UFC 99- Odds at 5Dimes does not make sense

[OnePlayAtATime]

<TABLE class=module border=0 cellSpacing=0 borderColor=#111111 cellPadding=0 width=800 rgfloat="440,600"><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=bottom bgColor=#e9eeee><TD noWrap>Sat 6/13</TD><TD noWrap>157 </TD><TD noWrap>Velasquez wins by 3 round decision</TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=radiox language=javascript onclick="return OnButtonClick()" value=M1_23 type=radio name=radiox>+397 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=top bgColor=#e9eeee><TD noWrap>4:30PM (EST) </TD><TD noWrap>158</TD><TD noWrap>Not Velasquez by 3 round decision</TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=radiox language=javascript onclick="return OnButtonClick()" value=M2_23 type=radio name=radiox>-597 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Velasquez should be around +200 if he is a -180 to win this fight. Kongo is going to be taken down and held down if Velasquez wins this fight. Does not make sense to me.

 

[Rambo]

Velasquez wins his fights by tko. Why assume kongo has to be taken down for him to win? The lines makers dont think this will go 3 rounds at all so of course hes gonna get good odds if it does. If you think its good then bet on it.

 

[OnePlayAtATime]

I did bet on it and now I am sharing it with everyone else.

Why assume he has to be taken down to lose? lol Because every fight that Kongo has ever lost has been because he gets put on his back for three rounds and lays there because of his subpar scrambling ability.

 

[JakeT.]

I included that 4/1 Cain decision in a few parlays. Lots of value if it's not a bad line.

PS, Kongo is a tough bastard and Cain has not shown the sub skills to think the end comes there. If Kongo's superior technical striking start to hurt Cain than I could easily see him winning by being on top.

 

[OnePlayAtATime]

I included that 4/1 Cain decision in a few parlays. Lots of value if it's not a bad line.

PS, Kongo is a tough bastard and Cain has not shown the sub skills to think the end comes there. If Kongo's superior technical striking start to hurt Cain than I could easily see him winning by being on top.

He does have a good top game. Kongo should give him a little bit of trouble with that sprawl that he has been working on but I think Cain will get worn down a bit too and be happy with maintaining top position and beating this very dangerous striker on the cards.

 

[OnePlayAtATime]

:cripwalk::toast: