Ufc 173 5/24/14

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David Michaud -150..........................1 unit -making his UFC debut. shout out to Unique Kennels. Home of the Southern English Bulldog. Ruff Ruff. bad ass doggies.

Francisco Trinaldo +110....................0.5 unit

James Krause +160..........................0.5 unit

Parlay 1 unit to win .82 units
Barao
Cormier
Lawler
 

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I think Cormier is a lock but I need something to parlay him with since I don't wanna lay -820, is Barao safe?

I don't love Lawler, hes been inconsistent in the past.

I can't believe this fight is even happening with Hendo. Unless he throws a haymaker or something, he has no chance right? Am I nuts?

I actually laid the -800 on Hendo/Bones in 2012 before it got canceled. This is the samething as that except Hendo is 2 years older now.
 

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-I don't love Lawler either, and it scares me the most like it should. Training at ATT, I know that he is roll ready here, and only being a 3 rounder, I think he gets it done. However, Jake knows this is do or die for him here, as he will never gain big fights again after tonight without a big win here. Still rolling with Lawler though as he has improved each time out, and I think he does again here. Plus being only a 3 rounder, I don't see him fading like last fight.

-I wouldn't call Barao a "lock", but it is pretty safe IMO. Granted, even Wineland won the first round from Barao, but he went out shortly after. Dillashaw is outmatched here for sure, and I believe he would have to catch Barao early with a nice punch to win. Even if he stuns him and they go to the ground, I think Barao is still better.

-With Hendo, there's always that chance of that huge right hand, but I like Cormier. I think we see Daniel continue to roll his way to a title shot tonight.

I like a small shot at Camus +280 as well, but I'm not playing it. I think this will be all that I play tonight, but will most likely be bumping up the unit on Trinaldo +110.

Good luck and enjoy. Gonna be rough on me tonight. Flying tonight at 6. Hauling ass home to watch late, and back up at 430 to fly again.
 

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That will really take some power away from that haymaker and could zap his cardio
 

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Hendo only weighed in 4 lbs less than when on TRT, and only 7 pounds less over 3 years time. Cardio could be better than norm as well now that I think about it as he is coming off back to back camps since I don't know how long...
 

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FWIW Cormier is +200 at BM to win by TKO/KO. Took that over the -800 anyday

Feels like he has a very good chance to win by KO, he has KOd heavyweights in the past and I think he will be looking for an impressive win vs a has been.

That line is lower because he has gone to decision vs some heavyweights but pretty tough guys to KO in Nelson and even Mir.

+200 seems like a huge steal

What do you think of Barao to KO/TKO at +125? I haven't seen enough of him, just wondering
 

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I actually don't like the +200 on Cormier. It could happen of course, but I think we get a snooze fest against the cage, or a wrestling match. don't think he will submit Hendo. Cormier just needs to win, and he gets the same outcome, a Title Shot. He could easily play it safe and keep distance from the H-Bomb. With that being said, Hendo's chin isn't what it used to be, so good luck...

Barao is one of the best fighters in the world IMO. He could stop
Dillashaw here, but a back in forth rolling match could be warranted too. Good luck.
 

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Whew, doubling up on Krause may save my night.

A lot of heart Varner just to survive the round. That ankle is broke!!
 

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(-1.4 units).

TJ put on a clinic. Nice showing, and surely suprised me and 99.9% of the rest of the World!

I'm going to go out on a limb here and say he loses his next fight...

Back for the next event. Enjoy!
 

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