Midway through the forth was when I was able to come back to the forum
I created a thread on the 7th. See below
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1000788
Nothing. What the fuck does tonight have to do with me calling plays? I called Monday night last week and Sunday night last night. There's balance in everything with this. You had balance. I don't need to post a winner every fucking week. I can't cap week in week out. What I do is I pick and choose when to post plays I feel are more likely to WIN than lose. Everyone loses picks. I could give 2 shits whether I lose tonight or not. Im on SF and up for the week regardless of whether or not they cover...
Sorry bro. Im not much on totals to be honest. I just felt that these 2x were the best spot to take the Unders. This week I don't really have a clue as to how they go.
My angles are like this: Either certain situations between 2 opponents or playing against stats simply because of balance. In 250, 500, 1000 games, 9/10, the win% is 48-52%. Now picture a roulette wheel and eliminate the greens. Now you've upped your chances to 50%. So if you walked up to a roulette wheel that hit 5,6 or 7 blacks in a row, ( not having begun playing from the start of the streak) would you hit black again because its hot? Or would you hit red? I'd hit red for 2 reasons. 1: because the probability on going the other way is larger than staying on the same side and 2: Because everything is balanced. For every upside, theres a downside. Vice versa.
See, the minute someone notices a factor in how games are going, it changes. For instance, "primetime games, the Overs been hitting at a phenomenal rate." Taking that single piece of information. I looked at Monday night last week and saw 4 Overs hit in a row. Therefore, odds were on MY side to hit the under. Not Vegas' side. Sunday night, all 5 weeks, Overs hit. Again, odds were on my side. Im not saying my reasoning is guaranteed money or a lock ect. But there ARE times when the odds for YOU to win are better than they are for Vegas...
I play that kind of angle too. Last Super bowl I tried to tell people Heads had come up in the past five Super Bowls and I felt the odds on Tails were extremely good. You wouldn't believe how many people told me I was wrong and each toss is 50/50. I had a long debate with a few members but in the end I went large on tails and won the bet..... There had never been a streak of 5 straight Heads or Tails before the five year span I spoke of. I'll take that bet everytime.
Exactly and even though, you chose tails, the win% was indeed 50/50. Though the odds to stay on heads was indeed your favor. BUT I find it difficult to process the coin flip simply because I find there is an advantage one way to the other IF you start the flip on say tails rather than ALWAYS heads.
I was reading an article about pendulum swings on gambling. I was impressed by the % of rolling a "7" on a craps table. Every 6 throws, the dice will land on "7." If you were to roll the dice 600 times, "7" will hit 100 times give or take 2-3 rolls one way or the other MAX! Pretty impressive.
ointer:Well open your mouth dipshit. Lives being lost? You act like I'm putting my life on ONE simple bet. I'm playing the odds on certain games that I feel are in MY favor. Since it's so fucking taboo to share what ppl do to cap games, tell me what the fuck YOU DO to cap games? You going to come into MY thread to talk shit, but whats funny is, I haven't seen you post ANYTHING worth a fuck since 2012. Maybe I missed it? So enlighten me! I know the great cappers here and you're NOT one of them...
