two tonight w/analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-1.50 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-3.00 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date </TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-3.00 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

SAN DIEGO +1.16 over San Francisco
A new team for lefty Shawn Estes can only help this talented chucker. Estes pitched in Arizona and Colorado the past two seasons and a change to this extremely friendly pitcher’s park can only help this crafty vet. Estes has four pitches and he’ll use all four effectively. His fastball will touch 90 MPH and it has wicked sinking action. He led National League pitchers by inducing 34 ground into double plays last year and that was at hitter friendly Arizona. For the Giants, it’ll be ex-Cardinal Matt Morris making his San Fran debut. Morris has gotten progressively worse over the past three years and last year he was knocked out three times within the first two innings in the second half of the year. He gives up plenty of jacks and his once over-powering fastball is no longer over-powering, in fact, it’s not even close. Cardinals didn’t re-sign Morris for a reason and the Giants are going to find out why. San Fran favored in San Diego is wrong. Play: San Diego +1.16 (Risking 1.5 units).
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Anaheim –1.12 over SEATTLE
The first of trouble for the Mariners is that Joel Pineiro is the second man in the rotation and that’s not good for a guy that surrendered 224 hits in 180 innings last year to go along with a 5.62 ERA. All that came in one of the best pitching parks in the majors. Offensively, the Mariners have some huge holes and once you get to the bottom four of the order it gets pretty ugly. The Angels are once again serious contenders and John Lackey can usually be relied upon for a quality start. Last year he turned in his best season, going 14-5 with a 3.44 ERA while striking out 199, third-most in the AL. After the all-star break he went 8-1 with a 2.57 ERA in 15 starts. The Angels have one of the best bullpens in the majors and anytime we can lay a short price with the Angels over the Mariners, regardless of who’s pitching, you can pencil us in. This pitching match-up, as does everything else about this game, heavily favors the visitor. Play: Anaheim –1.12 (Risking 1.68 units to win 1.5).
 

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