Two NHL playoff tips

[CharlieMaxwell]

Wondering how to bet the NHL playoffs? Read a couple of tips from Wild Bill by going to the "new" RX home page at www.therx.com

In-progress scores for all sports can also now be accessed from the Rx home page (right nav bar under the poll question).

Charlie

 

[wilheim]

Charlie - not for nothing, but I can't find the article. Maybe it's me, not sure. I see Las Vegas - Square City by Fezzik, and THE ADVERTISING DEBATE by Wild Bill at the top.


wil.

 

[CharlieMaxwell]

Try it now Wil. System went down for a while!

Charlie

 

[winkyduck]

dear wildbill,

you are an idiot!

you make 2 points that are so asinine i can't let them stand w/o a rebuttal:

1.) taking a team +1.5 goals and laying $2ish to win $1 is so stupid words fail me here. you might win your bet - but as i have said many times, it is better to lose a bet with a good line then win one with a bad line - for sooner or later the odds will turn and you will lose bad bets (fezzik - where are you to chime in here and help me out). laying $2 to win $1 in a playoff game is stupid. period.

2.) i find it is actually EASIER for the road team to steal game 1 then just about any other game. the home team and its crowd are sometimes SOOOOOOOOOOOOOO pumped up - they get too fired up for the game - and forget to play the game - thinking all they need to do is show up and they will win. the road team, on the other hand, knows they have to come in focused and ready to play and if they steal G1 - they not only take back home ice - they then put the hime team under HUGE pressure for G2.

 

[blueedwards]

i don't bet on hockey anymore

 

[WildBill]

Winky,

I respect your opinion, but I have been using these two simple methods for years and had only one losing season with them. I don't bet every game with the +1.5, but I bet them far more than I bet the games on the ML. Say what you want about your theory, but can you honestly tell me that there are squares on this number??? Really, I don't think any squares bet these, none. Maybe once in a blue moon they parlay them, but just think about square thinking. I know quite a few very sharp hockey bettors that load up on these. I used to think like you, why risk 2-1 on anything, but after looking at from the angle of finding the spots where the squares aren't this became a strong part of my arsenal. Choose to do as you wish, but just remember the books aren't giving away bargains. If you really think these are such bad ideas, why not just bet the favorite and lay the -1.5 all the time? There must be some value in that if that is what you believe wouldn't you say???

 

[neilm]

The last two seasons the +1.5 in the first two rounds was a ridiculous moneymaker (winning around 90% of the time).

However it was a relatively small sample size.

This season...

0-4 to start

 

[WildBill]

Very true, could be a bit of a regression to the mean, but I can remember many times when the first games were around .500 or below, which is a big money loser since the bettor is usually laying odds. The first games are always so crucial for the home teams that if they are going to have a game to really put on a strong performance it is this one. With an easy win in their pockets and their opponents more desperate for a win, now the games tend to get tighter.