Ok lets right this ship today huh boys! Seems like it is definitely not the day to come back on as lines look fishy all over the board!
Iowa St -1.5 - Weird that I'm taking the one that the line is moving in the opposite direction I know. I can't help but bite on this dangling lure in front of my face though. Iowa St has 4 players that average over 12 ppg and the 5th is at 9.4 ppg. Thats basically every starter in double digits. Texas just lost its best player in Ridley and since he's been out they have gone 1-3 and averaging like 13 ppg less. I see a rebound game here for Iowa St. They will be able to score its just whether or not their defense will come to play tonight in Texas. I think after the last meltdown they get their act together and get back on track. This one scares me fyi so be cautious. Just can't get my attention off it though.
Vanderbilt -16 - Vandy just lost an absolute meltdown at USC. They went on nearly a 9 minute scoring drought and still only lost by 4. Pathetic I know. Tonight they come back home and face an Auburn team that is very bad defensively. They are 305th in the nation at ppg allowed, 226th ing fg% allowed and 170th in 3 point defense. They are just an average offensive team and really haven't played any juggernauts away from home like this except for Xavier and they lost by 24 to them. Vanderbilt will be ANGRY and looking to tee off. They rank inside the top 70 in all three major offensive stats and inside the top 10 in two of the major defensive stats. This line seems a little big but its for a reason. Not to mention its hard to keep yourself in games on the road if your only a 63.8% ft shooting team sitting at 317th in the country like Auburn. This smells disaster and I want to be on the home teams side in this. Especially since they are slightly public dogs from what I see.
WVU - Seems strange the best team in the nation is only a 1.5 point favorite. Kansas is 2nd best team in the country shooting 3's and because of that and their rebounding skills they are also 2nd in the nation in ppg. The only problem I see here is WVU is 2nd in the nation at defending the 3 and guess who is a better rebounding team. WVU is. The only team Kansas lost to was on the road and it was Michigan St, a team that is 4th in nation defending the 3. See the pattern? WVU is not as good as Michigan St i truly don't believe. I do think though, that coming into this environment and playing against a very good defensive team, one that loves to create turnovers and is playing the #1 team in the nation in front of its home crowd will be very tough. The line is low for a reason so on this one I will back the home dog. NOTICE I DID NOT POST THE SPREAD!!!! I WILL ONLY BE PLAYING THIS IF WVU GETS TO +2 OR HIGHER!!!!! IF IT DOES NOT GET TO THIS BY GAME TIME THEN IT IS A NO PLAY! I feel it very well could come down to final shot. I just wanted to post this now as I will be going out to dinner and not able to post later.
Good Luck guys!
Iowa St -1.5 - Weird that I'm taking the one that the line is moving in the opposite direction I know. I can't help but bite on this dangling lure in front of my face though. Iowa St has 4 players that average over 12 ppg and the 5th is at 9.4 ppg. Thats basically every starter in double digits. Texas just lost its best player in Ridley and since he's been out they have gone 1-3 and averaging like 13 ppg less. I see a rebound game here for Iowa St. They will be able to score its just whether or not their defense will come to play tonight in Texas. I think after the last meltdown they get their act together and get back on track. This one scares me fyi so be cautious. Just can't get my attention off it though.
Vanderbilt -16 - Vandy just lost an absolute meltdown at USC. They went on nearly a 9 minute scoring drought and still only lost by 4. Pathetic I know. Tonight they come back home and face an Auburn team that is very bad defensively. They are 305th in the nation at ppg allowed, 226th ing fg% allowed and 170th in 3 point defense. They are just an average offensive team and really haven't played any juggernauts away from home like this except for Xavier and they lost by 24 to them. Vanderbilt will be ANGRY and looking to tee off. They rank inside the top 70 in all three major offensive stats and inside the top 10 in two of the major defensive stats. This line seems a little big but its for a reason. Not to mention its hard to keep yourself in games on the road if your only a 63.8% ft shooting team sitting at 317th in the country like Auburn. This smells disaster and I want to be on the home teams side in this. Especially since they are slightly public dogs from what I see.
WVU - Seems strange the best team in the nation is only a 1.5 point favorite. Kansas is 2nd best team in the country shooting 3's and because of that and their rebounding skills they are also 2nd in the nation in ppg. The only problem I see here is WVU is 2nd in the nation at defending the 3 and guess who is a better rebounding team. WVU is. The only team Kansas lost to was on the road and it was Michigan St, a team that is 4th in nation defending the 3. See the pattern? WVU is not as good as Michigan St i truly don't believe. I do think though, that coming into this environment and playing against a very good defensive team, one that loves to create turnovers and is playing the #1 team in the nation in front of its home crowd will be very tough. The line is low for a reason so on this one I will back the home dog. NOTICE I DID NOT POST THE SPREAD!!!! I WILL ONLY BE PLAYING THIS IF WVU GETS TO +2 OR HIGHER!!!!! IF IT DOES NOT GET TO THIS BY GAME TIME THEN IT IS A NO PLAY! I feel it very well could come down to final shot. I just wanted to post this now as I will be going out to dinner and not able to post later.
Good Luck guys!
