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46-26 +20.67

1* Giants -114

Really wanted to fade Tanner yesterday, glad I didn't. I will fade Gio on the short price, pen advantage to Giants in this one. Samardz has been consistent vs this lineup.
:toast:
 

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not my best play apparently. no pressure on nationals pen, stranded 11 baserunners, oh well...

46-27 +19.53
 

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I hit my goal for the season, but I have been messing with metrics to help me gain more of an edge. This stuff isn't easy, so I'm just paper trading right now.
 

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I'll go ahead and list what I wrote down for tonight. These are all 1st 5 lines, I wanted to start by eliminating the bullpens. There's a lot of metrics which I am factoring here, the most challenging part is how to compute all of it into a % and compare it to the Vegas line converted into a %, yielding where is the edge.


TB U4.5
ATL U5.5
SEA +100
NYY -238
NYY O5.5
CLE O5.5
BOS -190
BOS U5
ARI u6
 

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I will keep posting what I am tracking so far....it really is a lot to compute and quantify, and the larger my sample size gets, the better I should be able to understand it all. Here is what I wrote down today.

And again, I am not wagering on these, it's just paper trading. I'm using a lot of baseball metrics, otherwise known as saber metrics, so this is a running bit for now.

These are all f5 lines.

902 ATL -144
904 PIT -1/2 -109
904 PIT u5 +101
910 LAD -1/2 -124
912 ARI u4.5 +102
918 CLE -1/2 -114
921 LAA o5 -120
923 TOR o4 -119
 

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Is that over 1st 5innings in the LAA. Trying to understand my bad for asking.
 

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Being my first time following which one stands out in your mind to start.
 

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