PLAY OVER all teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP of 0.800 or less over his last three starts.
Conventional wisdom suggests, the bullpen is going to crack (it did last
night) and allow runs to be scored just from being tired, if Campillo can work only five or six innings.
Let's look at a few other parts to this NL East battle. The Braves average
5.7 runs per game at home and will face Burke Badenhop (1-3, 6.75) of Florida, who by his ERA isn't exactly fooling many hitters. Plus, the Marlins can swing the lumber themselves, being 15-9-2 OVER on the road this season.
All right, you want to know how good this system actually is. In the last three seasons, the OVER has been the correct play 28 of 36 times, 77 percent, including 4-1 this year. With the total this low, this potential play should be more comfortable than your favorite pair of beat-up shoes, with average total score being 11.7 runs a game. ........................
ad
Play Over - All teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 poor baserunning team - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts 47-20 over the last 5 seasons.
got a little blue help too
# Over is 6-0 in Runges last 6 Tuesday games behind home plate.
# Over is 5-0-1 in Runges last 6 games behind home plate.
BOL to all ..............comments are always welcome
Douglas
59-63 + 106 posted @ a hundy a game
Baseball - 905 Florida Marlins/Atlanta Braves over 9½ +100 for Game
Conventional wisdom suggests, the bullpen is going to crack (it did last
night) and allow runs to be scored just from being tired, if Campillo can work only five or six innings.
Let's look at a few other parts to this NL East battle. The Braves average
5.7 runs per game at home and will face Burke Badenhop (1-3, 6.75) of Florida, who by his ERA isn't exactly fooling many hitters. Plus, the Marlins can swing the lumber themselves, being 15-9-2 OVER on the road this season.
All right, you want to know how good this system actually is. In the last three seasons, the OVER has been the correct play 28 of 36 times, 77 percent, including 4-1 this year. With the total this low, this potential play should be more comfortable than your favorite pair of beat-up shoes, with average total score being 11.7 runs a game. ........................
ad
Play Over - All teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 poor baserunning team - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts 47-20 over the last 5 seasons.
got a little blue help too
# Over is 6-0 in Runges last 6 Tuesday games behind home plate.
# Over is 5-0-1 in Runges last 6 games behind home plate.
BOL to all ..............comments are always welcome
Douglas
59-63 + 106 posted @ a hundy a game
Baseball - 905 Florida Marlins/Atlanta Braves over 9½ +100 for Game
