HAKEEM PROFITBASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (575) Houston Rockets at (576) Memphis Grizzlies
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Memphis Grizzlies 5.0 (-104)
View Analysis
The Rockets have not been good on the road this season going 5-9 as a road fav and that hasn’t changed lately losing their last 4 on the road ATS. They are 2-3 ATS without Westbrook and he will miss this game as they play again tomorrow. The Grizzlies have been hot covering their last 5 games and 7 of their last 8 at home. Memphis is the 2nd offense rated & rebounding team over their L5 games and have been solid on the defensive end as well. The Rockets road woes will continue as they look forward to getting back home and taking on Lillard and the Blazers. I like the Grizz to stay hot.
Play is good from +5 to pk as I like Memphis to win this one outright.
Game: (575) Houston Rockets at (576) Memphis Grizzlies
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Memphis Grizzlies 5.0 (-104)
View Analysis
The Rockets have not been good on the road this season going 5-9 as a road fav and that hasn’t changed lately losing their last 4 on the road ATS. They are 2-3 ATS without Westbrook and he will miss this game as they play again tomorrow. The Grizzlies have been hot covering their last 5 games and 7 of their last 8 at home. Memphis is the 2nd offense rated & rebounding team over their L5 games and have been solid on the defensive end as well. The Rockets road woes will continue as they look forward to getting back home and taking on Lillard and the Blazers. I like the Grizz to stay hot.
Play is good from +5 to pk as I like Memphis to win this one outright.
DR. CHUCK NBA
Game: (571) Phoenix Suns at (572) Atlanta Hawks
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Atlanta Hawks 1.0 (-105)
View Analysis
No Rubio
Plus Trae
Lots of travel for Phoenix where they have lost outright the last 2 times they were away favorites...but over the course of the game, the Suns despite the Hell No status are the better team...and how long will Trae be a stud over the 48 minutes of game time. Lloyd Pierce is clearly not up to snuff of Monty and this is a solid first half play where both teams trend the opposite of this spread....where I would also probably have ATL favored or pickem....I overlooked the fact they were even the home team here because the line does not match my numbers so signifcantly!
Game: (575) Houston Rockets at (576) Memphis Grizzlies
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Memphis Grizzlies 5.0 (-108)
View Analysis
Not sure I understand this line at all...nor what the Rockets have done, sans Westbrook, to allow such a line to take place...this line is flat out kooky talk. Westbrook has missed 1 game this season and it was a home tilt against the Pistons with Harden and Capela, against a Detroit team that isn't very good and wasn't very good and didn't have Drummond and Blake scored 2 points total!
Brass tax...that game they laid 6 points to the visiting Pistons...a team that HADN'T won 5 in a row, covered 5 in a row, wasn't at home, and hadn't averaged 127 points per with an average 12 point win!
Vegas is telling us here the Rockets if this game was in Houston they would be nearly double the spread this game is...and therein lies the craziness of this play. I think the Griz might keep this streak alive, but I certainly don't love the Rockets to be able to pull off a 6 point win on the road in this spot...against the hotter, more feeling it team!
Game: (579) Cleveland Cavaliers at (580) Los Angeles Clippers
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 10:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Clippers -15.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Hard to imagine loving a line laying THIS many points but....wow...the Cavs just played last night...in Staples and lost by damn near 30 points. Sure looks bad considering the no rest et al....but take this into account...the Cavs led at the break last night against old pal Lebron in his new home! Beilein isn't "allowing" anyone but the starters to be true contributors...and it's going to REALLY rear its ugly head on a back to back at the end of a long road trip...that included travel, and included last night's game where the only 2 guys off the bench, Exum & McKinnie, who registered decent minutes, combined for 3 total points....3!
This game was following the enormous win the Cavs got on the road, in Denver, against the ill prepared, look ahead Nuggets. The Nuggets got what they wanted out of the 2 game set, with a win over LAC...but they also thought they could sleep walk over the Cavs...who didn't even have Exum to eat any minutes, so only McKinnie registered any solid time. Either Beilein is going to empty his bench and Delly is going to be the leader in minutes tonight, or he HAS NOT A CLUE about how to structure a road trip, with elevation, including back to backs....at least yet, as an NBA coach. If all 5 starters get to a potential 35 minute mark AGAIN tonight, the Clips even minus PG will just absolutely make this barely look like it is a professional sporting event.
The Clippers are probably in a spot, similar to last week against the Knicks, where we said on the show we would likely lay 20+ with the Jazz...who won that game by 24. This is a BARGAIN at -15 and I'm going to assume we don't say that again this season more than maybe a couple times....if we say it again...although tonight with the Bucks it is very possible similar!
Game: (571) Phoenix Suns at (572) Atlanta Hawks
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Atlanta Hawks 1.0 (-105)
View Analysis
No Rubio
Plus Trae
Lots of travel for Phoenix where they have lost outright the last 2 times they were away favorites...but over the course of the game, the Suns despite the Hell No status are the better team...and how long will Trae be a stud over the 48 minutes of game time. Lloyd Pierce is clearly not up to snuff of Monty and this is a solid first half play where both teams trend the opposite of this spread....where I would also probably have ATL favored or pickem....I overlooked the fact they were even the home team here because the line does not match my numbers so signifcantly!
Game: (575) Houston Rockets at (576) Memphis Grizzlies
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Memphis Grizzlies 5.0 (-108)
View Analysis
Not sure I understand this line at all...nor what the Rockets have done, sans Westbrook, to allow such a line to take place...this line is flat out kooky talk. Westbrook has missed 1 game this season and it was a home tilt against the Pistons with Harden and Capela, against a Detroit team that isn't very good and wasn't very good and didn't have Drummond and Blake scored 2 points total!
Brass tax...that game they laid 6 points to the visiting Pistons...a team that HADN'T won 5 in a row, covered 5 in a row, wasn't at home, and hadn't averaged 127 points per with an average 12 point win!
Vegas is telling us here the Rockets if this game was in Houston they would be nearly double the spread this game is...and therein lies the craziness of this play. I think the Griz might keep this streak alive, but I certainly don't love the Rockets to be able to pull off a 6 point win on the road in this spot...against the hotter, more feeling it team!
Game: (579) Cleveland Cavaliers at (580) Los Angeles Clippers
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 10:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Clippers -15.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Hard to imagine loving a line laying THIS many points but....wow...the Cavs just played last night...in Staples and lost by damn near 30 points. Sure looks bad considering the no rest et al....but take this into account...the Cavs led at the break last night against old pal Lebron in his new home! Beilein isn't "allowing" anyone but the starters to be true contributors...and it's going to REALLY rear its ugly head on a back to back at the end of a long road trip...that included travel, and included last night's game where the only 2 guys off the bench, Exum & McKinnie, who registered decent minutes, combined for 3 total points....3!
This game was following the enormous win the Cavs got on the road, in Denver, against the ill prepared, look ahead Nuggets. The Nuggets got what they wanted out of the 2 game set, with a win over LAC...but they also thought they could sleep walk over the Cavs...who didn't even have Exum to eat any minutes, so only McKinnie registered any solid time. Either Beilein is going to empty his bench and Delly is going to be the leader in minutes tonight, or he HAS NOT A CLUE about how to structure a road trip, with elevation, including back to backs....at least yet, as an NBA coach. If all 5 starters get to a potential 35 minute mark AGAIN tonight, the Clips even minus PG will just absolutely make this barely look like it is a professional sporting event.
The Clippers are probably in a spot, similar to last week against the Knicks, where we said on the show we would likely lay 20+ with the Jazz...who won that game by 24. This is a BARGAIN at -15 and I'm going to assume we don't say that again this season more than maybe a couple times....if we say it again...although tonight with the Bucks it is very possible similar!
ROB VENO BASKETBALL PLAYS
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (577) New York Knicks at (578) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 229.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (623) Central Florida at (624) Tulane
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 135.5 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (627) VA Commonwealth at (628) Dayton
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 137.5 (-108)
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (577) New York Knicks at (578) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 229.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (623) Central Florida at (624) Tulane
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 135.5 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (627) VA Commonwealth at (628) Dayton
Date/Time: Jan 14 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 137.5 (-108)
The bettor we have followed didn’t really have an awful week last week. He went 11-15 with a couple bad beats as we know. I don’t want to write him off just yet. He’s a long-term +EV bettor (over five years at the book) and quite consistent in NCAABB. Doesn’t mean he won’t have bad weeks and perhaps back to back bad weeks but unless the curse and jinx is real, we should grind some profit with him over time. Hopefully the regression he had last week will give way to a return to the mean this week. Today he has Clemson +11 (I’ll grade 10.5) over Duke for the game and is going with Clemson +6 for the 1st Half. Usually if a team isn’t covering by the first half against Duke, just pack up the tents. Therefore I look at his bet as all or nothing although it still is technically two distinct bets. I am going to advise 0.70 units on Clemson +10.5 and 0.50 units on Clemson +6. It’s a total of 1.32 units of risk. He also took them ML but I am not sure I am that ballsy right now at -16.52 units here. I’ll take the spreads but just FYI. I show Clemson as +8 on my NCAABB algorithm so I can see the value he is targeting and would be a bettor myself on this one at 11 based on the numbers. Needless to say he bet against Duke last week and we all know how that went. Hopefully a new week brings better luck! Currently Clemson is a 2 on the 1H and a 3 for the full game. This will be the final update, next update tomorrow by 12pm ET.
Winner winner (finally)
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