Tuesday Service Play Thread 01/07/2020

[bank--it]

Bowlda - if you're out there, would you mind posting the full RHC update for today? Not just the plays. Thanks in advance.

I HAVE IT

Here we go! Our new best friend is in action and I advise 1 unit on Providence +5.5 over Marquette, 0.50 units on Portland +2.5 over Toronto, 1 unit on Texas Tech -3 over Baylor and 0.50 units on Texas A&M +3 over Mississippi. You know what’s coming now. I would advise a 0.60 unit five team parlay of Providence +5.5 over Marquette, Portland +2.5 over Toronto, Texas Tech -3 over Baylor, Green Bay -200 over Seattle, Clemson +5.5 over LSU. Parlay pays 11.10 units. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL UPDATE OF THE DAY AS THIS BETTOR IS NOT EXPECTED TO ADD FURTHER PLAYS. IF HE DOES I WILL ALERT YOU ON TWITTER. IF NOT, NEXT UPDATE WILL BE 12PM ET ON WEDNESDAY! I AM MOVING THE MORNING UPDATE TO NOON ET OR BEFORE BECAUSE THIS GUY ALWAYS HAS HIS ACTION IN BY THEN. So daily updates will be 12pm ET each day moving forward instead of 10am ET. If he bets earlier, then that’s when I will post for the day but you can expect everything by 12pm ET! No, I do not think 1 unit bets are crazy when down 11 units. Proper bankroll management would have you technically at 1 unit bets until around -30 units. The passive model I used for the Robin Hood Club was just that, a passive model for the Robin Hood Club and not based on any standard analysis.

 

[jvo5319]

can anyone post leiner? thanks in advance!

 

[kingbookie]

Burns

Eagles +5
Ducks -117

 

[bank--it]

bezobets

[font=&amp]ncaa basketball: ohio state +2.5 @ 1.918/-109 (3 units)[/font]
[font=&amp]ncaa basketball: tennessee +5 @ 1.909/-110 (3 units)[/font]
[font=&amp]ncaa basketball: providence +5.5 @ 1.918/-109 (2 units)[/font]

fade or follow?

 

[deadheadct]

I HAVE IT

Here we go! Our new best friend is in action and I advise 1 unit on Providence +5.5 over Marquette, 0.50 units on Portland +2.5 over Toronto, 1 unit on Texas Tech -3 over Baylor and 0.50 units on Texas A&M +3 over Mississippi. You know what’s coming now. I would advise a 0.60 unit five team parlay of Providence +5.5 over Marquette, Portland +2.5 over Toronto, Texas Tech -3 over Baylor, Green Bay -200 over Seattle, Clemson +5.5 over LSU. Parlay pays 11.10 units. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL UPDATE OF THE DAY AS THIS BETTOR IS NOT EXPECTED TO ADD FURTHER PLAYS. IF HE DOES I WILL ALERT YOU ON TWITTER. IF NOT, NEXT UPDATE WILL BE 12PM ET ON WEDNESDAY! I AM MOVING THE MORNING UPDATE TO NOON ET OR BEFORE BECAUSE THIS GUY ALWAYS HAS HIS ACTION IN BY THEN. So daily updates will be 12pm ET each day moving forward instead of 10am ET. If he bets earlier, then that’s when I will post for the day but you can expect everything by 12pm ET! No, I do not think 1 unit bets are crazy when down 11 units. Proper bankroll management would have you technically at 1 unit bets until around -30 units. The passive model I used for the Robin Hood Club was just that, a passive model for the Robin Hood Club and not based on any standard analysis.

Any good?

 

[tak]

I HAVE IT

Here we go! Our new best friend is in action and I advise 1 unit on Providence +5.5 over Marquette, 0.50 units on Portland +2.5 over Toronto, 1 unit on Texas Tech -3 over Baylor and 0.50 units on Texas A&M +3 over Mississippi. You know what’s coming now. I would advise a 0.60 unit five team parlay of Providence +5.5 over Marquette, Portland +2.5 over Toronto, Texas Tech -3 over Baylor, Green Bay -200 over Seattle, Clemson +5.5 over LSU. Parlay pays 11.10 units. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL UPDATE OF THE DAY AS THIS BETTOR IS NOT EXPECTED TO ADD FURTHER PLAYS. IF HE DOES I WILL ALERT YOU ON TWITTER. IF NOT, NEXT UPDATE WILL BE 12PM ET ON WEDNESDAY! I AM MOVING THE MORNING UPDATE TO NOON ET OR BEFORE BECAUSE THIS GUY ALWAYS HAS HIS ACTION IN BY THEN. So daily updates will be 12pm ET each day moving forward instead of 10am ET. If he bets earlier, then that’s when I will post for the day but you can expect everything by 12pm ET! No, I do not think 1 unit bets are crazy when down 11 units. Proper bankroll management would have you technically at 1 unit bets until around -30 units. The passive model I used for the Robin Hood Club was just that, a passive model for the Robin Hood Club and not based on any standard analysis.

Thanks man. Best of luck tonight.

 

[SportsBookData]

J.R. Stevens
One of my favorite guys to follow. He's having a great season overall in CBB and NHL.

VIP PICKS (CBB - GAME OF THE MONTH)
[607] Ohio State +3/ML +125

VIP PICKS (CBB)
[601] Providence +6/ML +200
[609] Toledo +4/ML +150
[611] Tennessee +5/ML +170
[618] Rutgers +2/ML +115
[619] Miami (OH) +8/ML +290
[624] Temple +3/ML +125
[627] Northern Illinois +5/ML +170
[635] Missouri State +3/ML +125
[658] Air Force +8/ML +260

VIP PICKS (NBA)
[551] Detroit -3
[561] New York +13/ML +660

*Buy half point if necessary
*Play ML for half your normal amount when listed

VIP PICKS (NHL)
[45] Vancouver +190/ALT PL -1.5 (+450)
[47] Arizona +120/ALT PL -1.5 (+300)
[60] Nashville +100/ALT PL -1.5 (+260)
[63] Calgary -125/PL -1.5 (+190)

*OT included
*Play ML/PL/ALT PL equally

 

[sailfish]

Spartan
Creighton -2

 

[bank--it]

any good?

not good at all but tak asked for it

 

[sailfish]

Ben Burns
Cbb personal favorite
Texas tech -3

 

[RobbieGould]

Seabass: 300 Flames, 300 Texas Tech, 600 tennessee, 600 Creighton, 400 trail blazers, 400 suns game over, 400 nets game under

 

[sailfish]

TONY FINN CBB 1/7/20

BASKETBALL PLAYS

FINNs WEST CONFERENCE CASH
Game: (559) Sacramento Kings at (560) Phoenix Suns
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Phoenix Suns -6.0 (-108)

View Analysis

PLAY: Phoenix Suns -6 (good to -8)
4% confidence rating

(559) Sacramento Kings at (560) Phoenix Suns

You will read and hear the major media mouths, frontmen for their networks, call last night's victory by the Kings a easy-peezy rout of the Warriors. The truth is it was anything but. Yes, Walton's crew won by double-digits. But they were double-digit favorites. And yes, they were up by 20-plus in the game but they covered by a two-point bucket in the 111-98 final.

It was one of the worst shooting nights this season for the Warriors. Shooting from beyond the arc. At one point GS was 1-of-20 from the three-point line and they didn't hit a three pointer until their sixteen attempt. The finished 5-of-26 from long range. The Kings were as good as they can be. Sac shot over 50 percent from the arc and 48 percent overall.

The Kings had 22 turnovers and if they turn the ball over 15 times tonight in Phoenix they will have their ass handed to them. Anyone who has watched the Suns and Kings this year will agree with me... the Suns are a better team when these two go head-to-head. Booker owns the backcourt of the Kings and the new look front court of coach Williams tonight in combination with the injuries that Sac is facing in paint is not favorable for the Kings winning the second leg of a back-to-back.

Kings' Richaun Holmes had to leave the win over the Warriors with an injury to his right shoulder. He is questionable for tonight. Unlikely is a more accurate description.

The Kings were already without fellow frontcourt players Bogdan Bogdanovic (sprained right ankle) and Marvin Bagley III (sprained left foot) in the Golden State contest. And the trio are likely to be inactive tonight justifying a play on the Suns minus the touchdown.

PHOENIX SUNS -6
FINNs CBB CONFERENCE CASH
Game: (601) Providence at (602) Marquette
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Marquette -5.5 (-111)

View Analysis

PLAY: Marquette -5.5 (good to -8)
4% confidence rating
(601) Providence at (602) Marquette
The victory over Villanova this past weekend has positioned Marquette in a situation that makes them to be a contender in a deep and talented Big East. Butler, Seton Hall and tonight's foe, Providence, are a perfect 2-0 in league play. M
The 1-1 mark in confernce play, the loss, was on New Years day in Omaha when the Eagles lost to Creighton by a 92-75 final.
Marquette's Achilles that New Year's day was committing twice as many turnovers as the Blue Jays. Thrwo in that Howard scored just 18 points didn't help the Eagles in the final 10 minutes of the second half.
Tonight's game is as close to situationally strong as any others in January. The matchup between Howard and Pipkins should not be called a matchup in truth... it should be and is not fair... not far to the Fryers and Pipkins. Howard will have his way with the Providence point guard.
I will keep tonight's analysis short and to the point. This Fryers team might be 2-0 in league play but they are suspect on any give night considering their poor shooting percentage as of late. In particular Dialo who is makingf just 1-of-5 of this three-point attempts.
Marquette in a rout tonight.
MARQUETTE -5.5

 

[sailfish]

DR. CHUCK NBA

Game: (555) Oklahoma City Thunder at (556) Brooklyn Nets
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 216.0 (-102)

View Analysis

Not as desirable as the 217 from earlier but slow on the uptake....still a great number with no rest for either team and a couple of Under trends in the 6-0 and 23-0 and better
Game: (555) Oklahoma City Thunder at (556) Brooklyn Nets
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Brooklyn Nets -110

View Analysis

12-4 ATS at home...Thunder with no Gallo and on no rest plus travel and off a tough loss to the Sixers whereas the Nets are also on no rest, but will have Levert in the lineup and are already great at jumping on teams early...which should be the case against the Thunder....oh the line reeks ALL TO HELL...and that CAN'T BE BAD!
Game: (561) New York Knicks at (562) Los Angeles Lakers
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 10:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Los Angeles Lakers -7.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Talked much on the show....the Lakers are the only team with a motivation here...especially early where they are solid anyway...plus LBJ...and healthy outside of this...Lebron distributing it all over the place while the Knicks have a 3 in 4 with 2 straight Staples games....hard to imagine the motivation if it possibly exists whatsoever...
Mike Miller and Julius Randle with Elfrid Payton do give me just cause...because I accept the argument the Lakers may have little motivation as well...but the Knicks I believe are better than the current edition of the Pistons...and will Vogel put up with a 2nd straight pathetic, lifeless effort against an Eastern Conference cellar dweller....should he? Should Lebron? Well even if it's late we shall avoid...but I think it's quite possible this spread is tripled by the time we cash!

 

[sailfish]

DR. CHUCK NCAAB

Game: (609) Toledo at (610) Kent State
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toledo 4.0 (-108)

View Analysis

Tough loss with Toledo on the road against Ball State last week as I thought we might have an outright winner but missed the cover after all by 1 point in a 4 point loss! The Rockets are back in MAC action on the road again tonight in Cleveland to face Kent State...this time getting a smidge more points...and still my numbers have this off by the same margin...with Kent State not being worth anything more than regular HCA, if even this many points. One wonders how nervous Vegas already is with the disparity in record ON TOP of the venue. Kent State has looked good and is off a very solid victory over BG, by 18 points on the road to open MAC play. Toledo is on a 5 game losing streak including the aforementioned Ball State game and is on the road again coming into the game with an 8-6 record and Kent State is 11-2 at tip off tonight.
In addition to the numbers showing this a damn near equal matchup...we have more tickets on Kent but the line nearly sprinting away from them....and a 28-32 ATS trend spot for the team in Kent's positon tonight....including just 3 of the last 9 covered!
Game: (643) Mississippi at (644) Texas A&M
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 127.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Kermit Davis' boys pretty much take what they can get on the offensive end for the season so far...when the opponent has a 100 or much worse defensive rating, they are able to usually handle them with no qualms and put up nearly 80 points or sometimes more...while limiting the opponent on offense. However, the last 3 times they played a team with a defense that is solid like the Aggies tonight at College Station, they have average 49 points TOTAL per game against OK State, Wichita State, and Butler. One thing A&M does not have in common at all with those 3 teams is offensive prowess! The Aggies are an extreme work in progress for Buzz in his first year, and while it has gotten better recently...at home they are suffocating on defense and suffocated many times by the opponent, with an 8-1 Under record on the home floor heading into tonight and have a really great win over Oregon State allowing just 49 points to the Beavers at home...and then holding up tempo Arkansas to less than 70 points on the road.
127 is not where I have this total and I think it might be damn near 6 or 7 points off from where I rank this game...while I also think A&M keeps up the momentum on their home court and get a big league win tonight in the 61-57 range....hopefully it is out of the ridiculous foul shot realm near the end and I think we cruise to a victory....be ready with live betting if you're able in case things get "out of hand" early on potentially...like can always be the case

 

[sailfish]

The Machine

NCAAB:

Georgia +4 (-118) *10 units*

Creighton ML *10 units*

Leans:

Louisville -13

NBA:

Nets +1.5 *10 units*

 

[sailfish]

DWAYNE BRYANT BASKETBALL PLAYS

60% LIFETIME: CBB TOTALS SYSTEM $$$$$
Game: (645) Iowa at (646) Nebraska
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Total Under 73.0 (-110)

View Analysis

9 PM ET -- College Basketball

645 Iowa
646 Nebraska

PLAY --> 1H UNDER 73

Playable down to 71.5

BET SIZE --> 3%

 

[sailfish]

DWAYNE BRYANT

HOCKEY PLAYS

Game: (53) New York Islanders at (54) New Jersey Devils
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:08 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-120)

View Analysis

7:08 PM ET -- NHL

53 New York Islanders
54 New Jersey Devils

PLAY --> UNDER 5.5 (-120)

BET SIZE --> 3%

 

[Lippman]

I am just not on board with the Sharp play parlay stuff

 

[sailfish]

DR. CHUCK ADD-ON

Game: (551) Detroit Pistons at (552) Cleveland Cavaliers
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cleveland Cavaliers 3.5 (-110)

View Analysis

I personally don't even understand who is favored in this game. I understand the circumstances would be different per se....but I STILL don't know something Vegas might know....so
Kennard is out
Morris is out
Griffin is out
Kevin Love is in...and I think Tristan Thompson should be in as well.
Brass tax: This is the lineup for Detroit no matter what basically....SO they're saying on Thursday night this is going to be Detroit -9 or 10 points???
HMMM
Detroit is finishing a 6 game road trip and just flew a long trip from LA to Cleveland to end this trip before a rematch with the Cavs again on Thursday night....if the Pistons are road weary and jetlagged and completely worthless in this game...uniquely they can just make up for it at home on Thursday....and apparently be laying damn near 10 points...at which point we will likely take Cleveland again??

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Game: (631) Eastern Michigan at (632) Ohio
Date/Time: Jan 7 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 126.5 (-108)

View Analysis


Sure is hard to understand how this line isn't a bargain line....as with out other play in this package with the Under in College Station, TX tonight...this game in Athens features a visiting team that is bottom 10 in the nation at 342 with regard to offensive efficiency yet excels on the defensive end, near the top in forcing turnovers on opponent possessions as well a 94 def. efficiency, which is excellent. The winner of this game should achieve 60 points as Jeff Boals is going to be interested in getting down to playing solid, sound, effective basketball on both ends. They entered a home game against Campbell having only lost the 4 times they play FAR superior opponents and then lost at home to Campbell and then lost the MAC opener to Western Michigan as road favorites and lost by 12 points.
They have had a couple days off before the league home opener and get a pretty simple gameplan....beat a visiting team who just lost to Akron by 2 dozen points not even eclipsing 50 points! We have mentioned one of my favorite players in the entire country in Jason Preston, who leads the Bobcats this season and he is an all around stud and delight to watch play the game. He may not have a professional future of the heights he deserves but this is the kind of game he takes control on both ends and stops the poor run of play....just in time to still contend for a MAC title run!

 

[bank--it]

I think The Sharp was sent to slowly juice the betting world to death. It's slow death for anyone who follows RH and algos....... GL

It's great if you want to play $10 bets and don't mind 1 unit forward and 1.1 unit back every day long run.
JMO