Tuesday NCAA

[PirateAlew]

1012-814 YTD
Should have known Mondays usually suck for NCAA with the small conference crap. Better slate for Tues.

South Carolina-3
Texas ML-122
BYU+2-115
Utah State-5
Baylor-5
VCU-3-118
Boise State+6-115

UNC-8
Ohio State-5
Wake Forest-3-120
USF ML-128
Minnesota+4-115
Rutgers+8
Miami OH-5

Boise/Colorado State Over 140
Rutgers/MD Over 126

Top plays: South Car, Texas, BYU, Utah State, Baylor, VCU, Boise State

GL to all.

 

[skoda]

Great! No UK… whenever you picked Wildcats they lost…. My brother, I say the only bet the over! 72 1st 1/2…. Game is gimme 15-6 YTD….

 

[PirateAlew]

Great! No UK… whenever you picked Wildcats they lost…. My brother, I say the only bet the over! 72 1st 1/2…. Game is gimme 15-6 YTD….

I've looked at the over and may play it later but may just stay off the game, UK has screwed me too many times this year and especially recently. I think they are on a downward trend this year now and I dont see them going too far in March unless they get a few major issues fixed. Never know what UK team will show up right now, so its a tough team to bet on.
Hope the over hits for you, but if i played it i would do game as I dont have as much luck with halves. Good luck and hope you cash it easy!

 

[PirateAlew]

Really like these 2 totals but Buffalo/BG is my top of the totals and here's why:

Bowling Green is ranked #78 for pace, or possessions per game with 73 per game and 74 when at home. Buffalo is ranked #144 so both in the upper half/3rd of the NCAA, with a slightly less 71.7 possessions/71.5 on the road so little drop off. Furthermore, the last 3 times these 2 matched up, the totals went well past the posted total of tonight's game and previous games. In 2023 they played to a 100-71 final and a 112-85 final and in 2022, a 99-88 final. Their pace hasn't changed much from the previous year as BG has a 72.8 score vs 73.1 this year (slightly higher) while Buffalo has slipped some from 75.7 to 71.7. With this game being at BG, they should dictate pace and even in a blowout like last year, i could see a score getting close to the mid 160's-170's again even with some of Buff's offensive woes with BG looking to blow out Buffalo returning the favor from the 100-71 thumping and the 112-85 last year. Buffalo is also giving up 80 points per game, i could see BG getting 90+ today, while Buff avgs 66.5, we could see a 90-70 type game pushing this over the total. (note Ken Pom has slightly different adjusted ratings than the standard NCAA ratings for pace 153rd and 135th for points per 100 possessions but still high).

Buffalo/Bowling Green Over 150-115 (Top play)
Texas Tech/Baylor Over 144

 

[skoda]

It’s Calipari, said earlier he needs to let players get in rythem! Not all hands on deck and please 2-3 passes and shoot the flipping ball! Tre Mitchell has some back problems.. Big Z was sick on Saturday? Calipari is running
out of excuses.. This is an incredible team and Calipari is pissing it away….

so I put #33 Sheppard Reeves Dillingham Therio

 

[poppers]

Good Luck PirateAlew!!

 

[BigCountry]

1012-814 YTD
Should have known Mondays usually suck for NCAA with the small conference crap. Better slate for Tues.

South Carolina-3
Texas ML-122
BYU+2-115
Utah State-5
Baylor-5
VCU-3-118
Boise State+6-115

UNC-8
Ohio State-5
Wake Forest-3-120
USF ML-128
Minnesota+4-115
Rutgers+8
Miami OH-5

Boise/Colorado State Over 140
Rutgers/MD Over 126

Top plays: South Car, Texas, BYU, Utah State, Baylor, VCU, Boise State

GL to all.

Pirate, do you worry at all about a unc letdown?

 

[PirateAlew]

Pirate, do you worry at all about a unc letdown?

Not really. They usually dominate Clemson especially at the Dean Dome. Think the heels have momentum and at home . They know they can beat up on the tigers and will look to do so.

 

[PirateAlew]

Niagara-4 (Top play)
Dayton ML-122 (Top play)
San Diego State/Air Force Over 133

 

[phantom888]

Great! No UK… whenever you picked Wildcats they lost…. My brother, I say the only bet the over! 72 1st 1/2…. Game is gimme 15-6 YTD….

Mr S
Do you play the first half’s only? Or both half and game overs?
Thanks
Good luck

 

[StevieRay]

Great! No UK… whenever you picked Wildcats they lost…. My brother, I say the only bet the over! 72 1st 1/2…. Game is gimme 15-6 YTD….

Vandy is one of the worst teams I’ve seen play. Not sure how they beat Mizzo.

 

[skoda]

Mr S
Do you play the first half’s only? Or both half and game overs?
Thanks
Good luck

1st half,. Have not followed 2nd half. getting too old except to coach... Armchair is best I can do....

 

[phantom888]

1st half,. Have not followed 2nd half. getting too old except to coach... Armchair is best I can do....

Thanks for responding
Good luck!

 

[PirateAlew]

Butler/Uconn Over 146

 

[PirateAlew]

Really like these 2 totals but Buffalo/BG is my top of the totals and here's why:

Bowling Green is ranked #78 for pace, or possessions per game with 73 per game and 74 when at home. Buffalo is ranked #144 so both in the upper half/3rd of the NCAA, with a slightly less 71.7 possessions/71.5 on the road so little drop off. Furthermore, the last 3 times these 2 matched up, the totals went well past the posted total of tonight's game and previous games. In 2023 they played to a 100-71 final and a 112-85 final and in 2022, a 99-88 final. Their pace hasn't changed much from the previous year as BG has a 72.8 score vs 73.1 this year (slightly higher) while Buffalo has slipped some from 75.7 to 71.7. With this game being at BG, they should dictate pace and even in a blowout like last year, i could see a score getting close to the mid 160's-170's again even with some of Buff's offensive woes with BG looking to blow out Buffalo returning the favor from the 100-71 thumping and the 112-85 last year. Buffalo is also giving up 80 points per game, i could see BG getting 90+ today, while Buff avgs 66.5, we could see a 90-70 type game pushing this over the total. (note Ken Pom has slightly different adjusted ratings than the standard NCAA ratings for pace 153rd and 135th for points per 100 possessions but still high).

Buffalo/Bowling Green Over 150-115 (Top play)

Cashed with time to spare after a UGLY first half. These writeup games seem to hit a lot, if only there were more hours in the day

 

[phantom888]

Cashed with time to spare after a UGLY first half. These writeup games seem to hit a lot, if only there were more hours in the day

Nice picking!

 

[PirateAlew]

Power went out for a minute trying to post this a bit ago. Thought it posted but here it goes.

Fresno State+3-115

 

[anthony.geritano]

Niagara-4 (Top play)
Dayton ML-122 (Top play)
San Diego State/Air Force Over 133

Whats your total projected total for SDS/AF?

 

[PirateAlew]

Whats your total projected total for SDS/AF?

Close to 140

 

[anthony.geritano]

Close to 140

Tks!!