Tuesday Bet O The Day 11/4

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A Separate Reality
Joined
Jan 14, 2002
Messages
5,533
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2006
YTD 50-39 (.561)
SIDES 39-26 (.600)
TOTALS 11-13 (.458)

2007
YTD 50-35 (.590)
SIDES 34-25 (.576)
TOTALS 16-10 (.615)

2008
YTD 35-50 (.411)
SIDES 20-26 (.434)
TOTALS 15-24 (384)

PLAYOFF RECORD 17-17
ML 1-1
SIDES 7-8
TOTALS 9-8

Welcome back Wise Guys.

Looking to rebound from a horrible season last year. In 2007/2006 the playoff records are included within. Last years demise might have been attributed to too many bets in relation to previous years and pressing. Been around 55% posting here since 2002, including another horrible year in 2004 were success went to my head resulting in too much sex, drugs and more drugs and little Capping. Onward...

First off the only problem with my first bet is... "you is all going to like it." and when we all like something, you know what usually happens.

NBA Capping is situational in nature. Is your team going to show up is the NBA Cappers eternal question. There are certain situations in which teams show up and others when they dont. When the 2 situations converge (one team needing to showup and the other team not fully interested) we have a good bet.

San Antonio is 0-2 and playing in front of the home crowd. Do you think they show looking for that first win? Are they interested? Dallas is playing their 4th game in 6 nights and are on a backtoback. Is Dallas tired? Will they show? Do they care? Dallas looks like cannon fodder for the winless Spurs.

Spurs-3' :103631605

Like I said earlier though, the bet looks good, we is all going to like it, manage your bankroll in case it falls apart, still early in the season. GL

2009
YTD 0-0
 

Rx Addict
Joined
Nov 6, 2006
Messages
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i like the spurs too but i guess will be a public play...anyway nice to see you back and good luck.
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
Always enjoy you posts. No doubt the Spurs want a W real bad. I'm pretty sure the Mav's would like to win real bad also. Just don't seem the sam without Ginobli (sp)

good luck
 

A Separate Reality
Joined
Jan 14, 2002
Messages
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Tokens
Well what can you say? Spurs are hurting, they were never in the game, did not show up. Dallas obviously wanted the game more.

One thing that I have to seriously consider is passing on bets where I find myself in with the masses/public. 68% off the bets were on the Spurs and it went down in flames. Big Bookie when he was here, was basically betting the other side of bets that bettors were on 65% and above. BB results were in the 50% which tells me that you need to further analyse the 65% bets and above to cherry pick the winners, until then you'd probably be better off passing bets when 65% of the bettors are on them... I don't know
 

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