Mohawk: Tuesday 9/6 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,5,6,7,9/4,5/4,5,7/7/1,3,5,6,10 = $30
EARLY PICK 4:7/1,3,5,6,10/3,5,8,9/1,4,6 = $60
LATE PICK 4: 4/1,2,4,9/4,5,7/2,4,8 = $36
MEET STATS: 323 - 960 / $1675.30 BEST BETS: 54 - 89 / $172.30
SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 89 / $119.10
Best Bet: RICHARD HILL (4th)
Spot Play: ELDORADO OF GOLD S (11th)
Race 1
(9) JILONA made several moves two starts back to almost won one of these Grassroots races then broke stride in her next start. Expect Henry to motivate this one early again if he can keep her trotting; slight nod in a race full of possibilities. (5) DELCREST MAGICSTAR is one-for-one vs. Grassroots foes. I think you have to use her in the Pick 5 here. (6) HILARIOUS HONEY has good tactical speed which should play well here; using. (7) SWEET KIMMY has been brought along slowly to this point. Maybe this time she gets sent early which could make all the difference for her.
Race 2
(4) POWERFUL MISSION is unbeaten racing in this Grassroots classification. If Hudon can keep her flat here, she stands a good chance of keeping the streak going. (5) ANIKADABRA shows two big wins in the Grassroots and looks like the other one you need on your Pick 5 tickets. (1) STRITCH should be able to sit a decent following trip and hit the ticket. (3) INNER DRIVE will be an early presence but she needs to find more trot late to contend for the top spot.
Race 3
(5) MR VARSITY - an $80K Lexington sales buy - has a useful opener now he picks up Jamieson for his second start for a barn that has been sizzling; top call. (7) TUXEDO BAY exits the Metro and he should be tough in here. Waples stuck with him over two others, including the choice. (4) MAROMA BEACH - bought for $110K at Harrisburg - is a 1/2-brother to the good local filly Shes Lights Out (6 wins, $75K, 1:52 3/5 life's mark at Mohawk to date). He's worth using in the Pick 5 in his debut. (1) BILLS FELLA should close and fill one of the lower exotics rungs.
Race 4
(7) RICHARD HILL hasn't fared so well in stakes company but if he can replicate his debut effort here, he should have no problem handling this non-winners of two field. Trainer Alagna has been winning with everything the past few weeks. (5) MY OLD MASTER has improved his late speed the past two starts and he should be competitive here despite the step up from maidens. (1) ALWAYS ROCK N ROLL should share off an inside following trip here. (4) BUGGER JERRY shares frequently in this class and will be an exotics threat again here.
Race 5
(10) GRANA PADANNO raced tough last time making two moves, but was nailed late by a sharp closer that was winning his second straight. He may be able to grab some cover here starting from out there; slight nod. (6) NEILS GOLDEN GIRL dueled with the choice which softened both of them up last time. She could be tripped out this time and is one of the main contenders here. (5) KINETIC KING closed well vs. better in his comeback race. He has been win shy this year but he fits well here. (1) SHOOT THE THRILL figures moving inside but he needs to stay flat, obviously.
Race 6
In a race that is very tough to narrow down, I'll side with (5) WORK THAT MAGIC for the top spot based on her good effort in this class on August 18th. (9) PARKHILL MAVERICK makes his second start back following a decent comeback race. He can make some noise at a price here. (8) LADY JUSTICE should be put into play here for a trainer/driver that makes his living off earnings of his young stock; using. (3) GROUPIE DOLL fits here and she could hit the board for the first time.
Race 7
(6) SOUTHWIND DIESEL wasn't pushed when leaving from an outer post in his debut, but he paced his back 1/2 in 54 4/5 and should be given a much more aggressive steer this time. (1) MAD MAD WORLD went a big trip from the 10-hole and finished ahead of the choice. He is the main rival. (4) CHALKY was sold privately on August 27th and he gets a positive driver change here; consider. (5) D M REACHER was bought for $16K at Harrisburg and he is related to several winners. He doesn't look out of place but he may need one before showing his best.
Race 8
(4) P C PIPE DREAM retains Waples here for a second drive and she has already won at this class previously; top call. (7) HUDSONS YA YA has progressed every start and she is certainly worth inclusion on late Pick 4 tickets. (9) YOU CANT AFFORD ME has shown enough speed to contend and she could upset with the right trip. (10) NORTHERN OATH could quite possibly have more talent than meets the eye off two charted lines. Notice the rapid final 1/4 in her debut. She could crash the exotics at a big price here.
Race 9
(4) SCOTTY MACH N goes first off the claim for a potent barn and this class change from a claimer to the lowest conditioned level isn't that tough. Jamieson chose him over two others here; top call. (9) SILVERHILL SHADOW fits well here and could be sent much harder off the gate this time; using. (2) VEGAS RICH has turned his season around in his last few starts at Kawartha and merits a look here with his improved form. (1) CURATOR isn't out of this and could beat them all if he can avoid a first-up trip and find a live helmet to follow.
Race 10
(7) TYMAL DIAMOND was a sharp winner two back with Condren driving and he returns to the bike here; slight nod. (5) BATOUTAHILL takes a massive class plunge and she could go off at odds-on vs. these but her history of gait issues is worrisome. (4) PRINCE DE VIE steps up off a sharp win for the hottest barn on the grounds. He is hard to leave out here. (3) ZLATAN has taken slices in more than 40% of his starts which is likely what he will do here.
Race 11
The last time (8) ELDORADO OF GOLD raced this low was in late April and on that occasion he was steered to victory by tonight's teamster McNair; predicting history repeats. (4) MYSTERY BET had a decent comeback race now he too drops to the bottom. He's a must-use. (2) FORK raced tough when dropped to this level last time. You can't count him out. (7) MY REVENUER can float out for position then follow along for a share. (10) ENTRANCED should make the Pick 5 ticket despite his post here.
