Tuesday 9/19/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12100 Class Rating: 65

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JULY 19 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 YONKA 4/1

# 5 STEVIE THE CAT 9/5

# 6 OUR HONEY BELLE 8/5

YONKA has a quite good shot to take this race. Is a solid choice - given the 70 speed rating from her most recent race. A solid 71 avg Equibase class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this group. She has recorded strong numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this group of horses in this race. STEVIE THE CAT - Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 50 speed fig which is one of the most respectable in this field. Will most likely compete admirably in the pace battle which bodes well with this field. OUR HONEY BELLE - Love when any animal makes a quick turnaround. Posted a formidable speed rating last time out.
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park

Fairmount Park - Race 6

$1.00 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) No SHOW Wagering


Optional Claiming $30,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 3:16P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OF $9,200 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR IBF SINCE AUGUST 19, 2017 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $30,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES)(MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, OR ILLINOIS SUPPLEMENT TO OVERNIGHT RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

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Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. PURGING THE STONE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * D' RAPPER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last se ven days. INFINITE MISCHIEF: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. PURGING THE STONE: Horse ranks in the top th ree in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
D' RAPPER
9/5

9/2
4
INFINITE MISCHIEF
5/2

9/2
3
PURGING THE STONE
2/1

9/2
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 8

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 51 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 5:21P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MANTANA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MANTANA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Ho rse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. MAD ANT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
10
MANTANA
8/1

5/2
8
MAD ANT
3/1

6/1
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:03pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: 4

#8 OUR LUCKY BREAK (ML=6/1)
#2 GO SPREAD THE WORD (ML=7/2)


OUR LUCKY BREAK - She finished 2nd July 28th, but was well ahead of the show horse. We have lots of early speed with this mount. She could wire this field. This filly earned a strong speed fig of 70 in her last race. That speed figure should be strong enough to prove victorious this time around. Got to love a filly who outruns her odds in her initial bow. Filly did just that back on July 28th. GO SPREAD THE WORD - Jock hops back aboard after getting to know the race horse by riding last time out. That's always a good to see. Have to give this filly a good shot. Ran a strong effort in the last race within the last 30 days. In the last race on August 26th was a good tune-up for today. Got respectable betting action in that one, but finished third. Expect better right here. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the 2nd time using it, like we have with this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MISS SPOT ON (ML=4/1), #7 R QUEENDOM (ML=9/2), #11 JACINTA (ML=5/1),

MISS SPOT ON - You think this horse is going to be first just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first often. Hard to bet this one after not being near the front at 1 mile and now being situated in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. R QUEENDOM - Would have to advance off that eighth place finish last time out of the box to make an impact here. Improbable that this entrant will be at her best this time out off the very long layoff. Maybe next time. JACINTA - This entrant hasn't had nary a single morning drill after running so well on Aug 25th.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 OUR LUCKY BREAK is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
8 with 2 with [5,7,11] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 2:10pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,800 Class Rating: 82

Rating: 4

#4 PARK AVE (ML=7/2)
#7 CLEVER CHAT (ML=6/1)


PARK AVE - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. CLEVER CHAT - This entrant ran out of the top three at Thistledown last time around the track on a sloppy track. He should improve right here under better track conditions. This horse brings in a lot of money per race. Utmost in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SILVER BUCKEYE (ML=5/2), #3 DICKS DESIRE (ML=3/1), #6 GEPPETTO (ML=6/1),

SILVER BUCKEYE - Tough to like the downward flow (80/75/71) of speed ratings. DICKS DESIRE - This horse doesn't have a winning spirit. Time-and-again finishes in the place or show hole. Finished sixth last time out of the box. Would have to improve to hit the board today. The rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this mount as a likely underlay. GEPPETTO - Thistledown isn't nice digs to this runner. Will probably be left with much too much to do down the stretch.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 PARK AVE to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
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The Sports Capper ; MLB

Arizona -180
Washington -210
Houston -210
 

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