Tuesday 9/12/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Post Bonus Plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.
 

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Soccer

UEFA Champions League

2:45pm ET

Celtic v PSG

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Last Head-To-Heads at Celtic:
0-3 (PSG Win)

Recent Form:
Celtic: 4-1-1
PSG: 6-0

KEY STAT: Kylian Mbappe netted six goals in last season’s competition for Monaco

EXPERT VERDICT: PSG’s world-record signing of Neymar has commanded most of the column inches but the arrival of France starlet Kylian Mbappe could arguably be their biggest coup of the summer. Mbappe burst onto the scene in last season’s Champions League with Monaco and could be the man to hurt Celtic the most in Glasgow.

RECOMMENDATION: K Mbappe first goalscorer (1)
 

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Soccer

UEFA Champions League

2:45pm ET

Chelsea v Qarabag

Referee: Tasos Sidiropoulos

Last Head-To-Heads at Chelsea:
None

Recent Form:
Chelsea: 3-2-1
Qarabag: 4-1

KEY STAT: Chelsea have kept one clean sheet in their last seven outings

EXPERT VERDICT: In a group also containing Atletico Madrid and Roma, it is imperative Chelsea get off to the perfect start against section minnows Qarabag. The Blues shouldn’t give the home fans any serious worries at Stamford Bridge, but they haven’t been rock solid in defence and could be breached by the visitors.

RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea to win & both teams to score (1)
 

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Soccer

UEFA Champions League

2:45pm ET

Manchester United v Basel

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Last Head-To-Heads at Manchester United:
3-3
1-1

Recent Form:
Manchester United: 4-1-1
Basel: 3-1-2

KEY STAT: Man Utd have won three of their last four games to nil

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester United have begun the season in impressive fashion and should mark their return to Europe’s top table with a comfortable home win. The Red Devils have displayed pace and power to devastating effect and it’s difficult to see Basel laying a glove on them if United are in the same sort of mood.

RECOMMENDATION: Manchester United to win to nil (2)
 

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National League


Braves @ Nationals
Teheran is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. He is 2-1, 4.50 vs Washington this year. Braves 8-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-5

Gonzalez is 6-1, 1.79 in his last seven starts, last three of which went over. He is 1-1, 4.82 in three starts vs Atlanta this season. Washington is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-6-5

Braves lost three of last four road games; over is 5-1 in their last six games overall. Atlanta lost its last six road series openers. Washington won six of last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Nationals are 15-9 in home series openers.

Marlins @ Phillies
Peters is 0-1, 2.25 in two starts this year (over 1-1). This is his first road start. Marlins’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Pivetta is 1-3, 7.66 in his last five starts; over is 6-3-2 in his last 11. He is 1-1, 7.11 in three starts vs Miami this year. Phils are 3-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-13-2

Marlins lost 12 of last 14 games; over is 4-1 in their last five. Miami is 10-13 in road series openers. Philly lost five of last seven games; under is 3-1 in their last four. Phillies are 7-14 in home series openers.

Pirates @ Brewers
Cole is 1-1, 2.14 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. He is 1-0, 2.33 in four starts vs Milwaukee this year. Pirates are 9-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-13-7

Suter is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts (under 5-3-2). Milwaukee is 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-3-1

Pirates lost five of their last six games; under is 6-1 in their last seven. Milwaukee won three of last four games; they’re 4-2 in last six home games. Under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games.

Mets @ Cubs
Gsellman is 1-1, 5.84 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1). Mets are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-10-1

Quintana is 3-1, 4.18 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Cubs are 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-3

Mets won five of last seven games; over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 games. New York is 7-11 in last 18 road series openers. Cubs lost six of last eight games; under is 7-3 in their last ten home games. Chicago is 4-1 in last five home series openers.

Reds @ Cardinals
Stephenson is 4-0, 2.78 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1). Reds are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-1-1

Lynn is 0-1, 1.29 in his last three starts; under is 11-2 in his last 13. He is 2-0, 1.59 in three starts vs Cincinnati this year. St Louis is 6-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-13-2

Reds lost five of last six road games (under 4-1-1). Cincinnati is 10-15 in road series openers. St Louis won seven of last eight games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Cardinals are 9-5 in last 14 home series openers.

Rockies @ Diamondbacks
Gray is 3-2, 2.73 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 1-1, 4.09 vs Arizona this season. Colorado is 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-1

Walker is 3-0, 0.78 in his last four starts (under 3-1). He is 2-1, 3.04 in four starts vs Colorado this season. Arizona is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-5

Rockies won seven of their last eight games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Arizona is 14-3 in its last 17 games, but lost three of last four; over is 5-1-2 in their last 8 home games.

Dodgers @ Giants
Kershaw is 6-1, 1.32 in his last eight starts; under is 6-4 in his road starts. He is 2-1, 2.25 vs SF this season. Dodgers are 9-1 in those road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-3-3

Cueto is 1-0, 3.77 in his last three starts; his last five starts went over. Giants are 4-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-4

Dodgers lost 10 games in row, 15 of their last 16 games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Giants are 4-12 in last 16 games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five.

Dodgers-Giants started their game last night at 1:57am, so that result hasn’t been included yet in this article.
_________________________________________________________

American League


Orioles @ Blue Jays
Bundy is 4-1, 3.15 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 2-0, 0.69 vs Toronto this season. Orioles are 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-9-2

Biagini is 0-4, 7.20 in his last five starts (under 4-1). He is 0-1, 2.19 in two starts vs Baltimore this season. Toronto is 1-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-8-1

Orioles lost their last five games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Toronto won its last three home games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Tigers @ Indians
Boyd is 0-4, 8.38 in his last six starts; over is 7-3-2 in his last 12 starts. He is 1-1, 2.41 in three starts vs Cleveland this season. Detroit is 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-5

Kluber is 3-0, 1.96 in his last three starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. He is 2-1, 5.24 in four starts vs Detroit this season. Cleveland is 9-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-2

Tigers lost nine of last 11 games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. Cleveland won its last 19 games; under is 13-5 in their last 18 home games.

New York vs Tampa Bay (@ Citi Field in NYC- Rays are home team)
Gray is 2-2, 2.92 in his last four starts (under 5-2). New York’s first 5-inning record with him: 3-4

Snell is 3-0, 3.82 in his last five starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. He is 0-0, 4.50 in two starts vs New York this season. Tampa Bay is 3-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-3

This series is in the Mets’ stadium because of the hurricane. New York won seven of last nine games; eight of their last ten road games went over. Tampa Bay lost four of last five games; over is 4-3 in their last seven games.

A’s @ Red Sox
Manaea is 2-1, 2.55 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Oakland is 5-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-11-5

Rodriguez is 0-2, 6.04 in his last five starts; his last seven starts stayed under. Boston is 7-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11

A’s won their last five games; over is 8-1 in their last nine games. Oakland is 1-7 in last eight road series openers. Boston won four of last five games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Red Sox are 12-5 in last 17 home series openers.

Mariners @ Rangers
Gonzales is 0-1, 7.40 in five starts this year (over 4-1). Seattle is 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2

Gonzalez is 0-0, 4.76 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Rangers’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Mariners lost their last six road games; their last seven games overall stayed under. Texas lost three of last five games; over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games.

White Sox @ Royals
Covey is making his first start since May 23; he is 0-4, 8.12 in eight starts this season (over 3-3-2). Chicago is 1-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-1

Gaviglio is 0-4, 5.79 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Royals’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Chicago won its last three games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Royals are 5-4 in their last nine games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Astros @ Angels
Verlander is 3-0, 1.67 in his last four starts (under 4-0). Astros’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-0-1

Richards is 0-0, 1.13 in two starts this season (total of 8 IP). He threw 57 pitches in his last start, is probably still on a pitch count here. Angels won both his starts, both on road— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Astros lost its last four games, which all went over the total. Houston is 16-7 in road series openers. Angels lost three of last four games, all of which stayed under. Halos are 8-14 in home series openers.
_________________________________________________________

Interleague

Padres @ Twins
Wood is 0-1, 9.53 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Padres are 0-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-1

Gibson is 3-0, 1.69 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Minnesota is 4-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-13-1

Padres won three of last four games; under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. San Diego is 8-14 in road series openers. Minnesota is 3-5 in its last eight games; over is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Twins are 12-11 in home series openers.
_________________________________________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:


National League
Atl-Wsh: Teheran 13-15; Gonzalez 17-11
Mia-Phil: Peters 0-2; Pivetta 7-15
Pitt-Mil: Cole 16-13; Suter 5-5
NY-Chi: Gsellman 8-10; Quintana 6-4 (10-8)
Cin-StL: Stephenson 5-2; Lynn 13-16
Colo-Az: Gray 10-6; Walker 14-10
LA-SF: Kershaw 20-3; Cueto

American League
Balt-Tor: Bundy 17-9; Biagini 4-10
Det-Clev: Boyd 8-13; Kluber 17-8
NY-TB: Gray 3-4 (8-8); Snell 8-11
A’s-Bos: Manaea 12-14; Rodriguez 11-9
Sea-Tex: Gonzales 2-3; Gonzalez 1-0 (9-13)
Chi-KC: Covey 3-5; Gaviglio 0-1 (6-5)
Hst-LAA: Verlander 1-0 (13-15); Richards 2-0

Interleague
SD-Minn: Wood 4-4; Gibson 14-11
_________________________________________________________

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:


National League
Atl-Wsh: Teheran 8-28; Gonzalez 9-28
Mia-Phil: Peters 1-1; Pivetta 10-22 (4 of last 4)
Pitt-Mil: Cole 10-29; Suter 1-10
NY-Chi: Gsellman 9-18; Quintana 8-28
Cin-StL: Stephenson 5-1-1; Lynn 8-29
Colo-Az: Gray 4-16; Walker 7-24
LA-SF: Kershaw 5-23; Cueto

American League
Balt-Tor: Bundy 4-26; Biagini 6-14
Det-Clev: Boyd 5-21; Kluber 5-25
NY-TB: Gray 3-22; Snell 5-19
A’s-Bos: Manaea 9-26; Rodriguez 4-20
Sea-Tex: Gonzales 1-5; Gonzalez 7-23
Chi-KC: Covey 5-8; Gaviglio 4-12
Hst-LAA: Verlander 7-29; Richards 0-2

Interleague
SD-Minn: Wood 3-8; Gibson 8-25
_________________________________________________________

Umpires


National League
Pitt-Mil: Under is 6-2 in last eight Dreckman games.
Colo-Az: Five of last six Ripperger games stayed under.
LA-SF: Six of last nine Reyburn games stayed under.

American League
Balt-Tor: Five of last six Gorman games went over.
Det-Clev: Four of last five Barry games went over.
NY-TB: Under is 12-3 in last fifteen TBarrett games.
Sea-Tex: Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Nelson games.
Chi-KC: Underdogs won six of last seven Meals games.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 81-56 AL, favorites -$236
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 148-128 AL, favorites -$201

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 69-66-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 143-125-11
_________________________________________________________
Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/11/17
Ariz 28-26-19……40-22–11……..68-48
Atl 26-34-9……25-39-8………..51-73
Cubs 32-31-8…….34-24-14………..66-55
Reds 22-41-9……..29-36–7……….51-77
Colo 38-28-6…….37-29-5………..75-57
LA 31-24-13…….41-25-9……….72-49
Miami 30-33-9…….35-26-10………65-59
Milw 35-27-10…….35-28-9……….69-55
Mets 31-34-4……..30-37-7……….61-71
Philly 19-43-16……26-31-8………..45-74
Pitt 31-34-7…….28-31-13………..60-65
St. Louis 30-32-9……37-24-10………..67-56
SD 21-41-8……..36-29–9…………57-70
SF 16-49-9……..28-30-12……….44-79
Wash 42-23-7……33-29-9………….75-52

Orioles 27-37-5……..30-37-7………57-74
Boston 30-32-10………33-36-2…….63-68
White Sox 22-37-10………29-42–4…….51-78
Cleveland 44-23-8……..35-24-8……….79-47
Detroit 27-36-10…….28-33-10……..55-69
Astros 35-27-11……..43-24-5……..78-51
KC 26-33-10……..29-30-13…….55-63
Angels 26-39-8………29-27-13……..55-66
Twins 38-23-12………32-32-8…….69-54
NYY 33-38-6……….36-27-4…..…69-65
A’s 25-36-7……..32-32-12……..57-68
Seattle 26-36-9……..39-25-10………65-61
TB 36-29-10……..38-21-9……..74-50
Texas 34-26-11……..38-25-8……..72-51
Toronto 29-37-5……..29-32-11……..58-69

%age of times teams score in first inning
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/11/17
Ariz 22-71……..25-71………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-75……….35
Cubs 20-71……..25-72………..45
Reds 28-73……..26-72……….54
Colo 20-72……..25-71..……..45
LA 20-69……..26-74..…….46
Miami 31-72……..26-71………..57
Milw 24-72……27-73…..……51
Mets 31-69……..25-74……….56
Philly 17-78……..20-66……….37
Pitt 21-72……..22-73……….43
StL 15-72……..22-70………..37
SD 23-70……….24-73……….47
SF 17-75……….21-71……….38
Wash 26-72……..28-71……….54

Orioles 16-70……..24-75……….40
Boston 20-72……..17-71……….37
White Sox 22-69……20-75……….42
Clev 22-76……..23-69………45
Detroit 17-72…….26-71………43
Astros 21-74……..28-70………49
KC 18-70……..15-74………..33
Angels 27-75……..20-70……….47
Twins 17-71……..18-71……….35
NYY 18-76……..18-67……….36
A’s 16-68……..27-76………43
Seattle 21-71…….25-76……….46
TB 21-73……..24-72……….45
Texas 28-72……..30-71………58
Toronto 24-72……..21-75………45
 

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MLB Trend Report

1:15 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Atlanta

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games at home

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. BOSTON
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Oakland
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

7:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Detroit's last 25 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Detroit is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
Seattle is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:05 PM
NY METS vs. CHI CUBS
NY Mets are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing NY Mets

8:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MINNESOTA
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

8:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
Arizona is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Arizona is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

10:07 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home

10:15 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 1-6-1 SU in their last 8 games ,on the road
LA Dodgers4-0-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 3-9-1 SU in its last 13 games
 

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MLB Trend Report

CHI WHITE SOX @ KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 14 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

BALTIMORE @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore

DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Detroit's last 25 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NY YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Yankees

OAKLAND @ BOSTON
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Oakland

PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

SEATTLE @ TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle

NY METS @ CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against NY Mets

SAN DIEGO @ MINNESOTA
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Diego
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

CINCINNATI @ ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Cincinnati is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

COLORADO @ ARIZONA
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

HOUSTON @ LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA DODGERS @ SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
 

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MLB Long Sheet

ATLANTA (64 - 78) at WASHINGTON (88 - 55) - 7:05 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEHERAN is 12-29 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 87-55 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 37-15 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 62-28 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 132-171 (+2.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-58 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-30 (+17.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 68-82 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-30 (+13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-15 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 31-33 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 47-52 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 63-85 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEHERAN is 23-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 23-22 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
GONZALEZ is 23-26 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-7 (+3.9 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.5 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
TEHERAN is 5-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.442.
His team's record is 8-9 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-6. (+3.3 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 4-10 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 6-13 (-10.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-11. (-4.5 units)

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MIAMI (68 - 75) at PHILADELPHIA (54 - 89) - 7:05 PM
DILLON PETERS (L) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 60-81 (-28.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-36 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 54-52 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 40-37 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-17 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-89 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-61 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-57 (-16.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-8 (+2.7 Units) against MIAMI this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-1.9 Units)

DILLON PETERS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PETERS is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

NICK PIVETTA vs. MIAMI since 1997
PIVETTA is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.11 and a WHIP of 1.659.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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PITTSBURGH (68 - 77) at MILWAUKEE (75 - 69) - 7:40 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. BRENT SUTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-21 (-12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 97-120 (-35.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 42-57 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 75-69 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-43 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-55 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 36-33 (+6.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 65-50 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-5 (+4.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
10 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.5 Units)

GERRIT COLE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
COLE is 3-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.171.
His team's record is 6-5 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

BRENT SUTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SUTER is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.85 and a WHIP of 1.927.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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NY METS (63 - 80) at CHICAGO CUBS (77 - 66) - 8:05 PM
ROBERT GSELLMAN (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 63-80 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 0-14 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 13-40 (-27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
QUINTANA is 6-0 (+7.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. (Team's Record)
QUINTANA is 13-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 432-447 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-66 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-32 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 238-275 (-70.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 56-54 (-27.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 825-774 (-160.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

ROBERT GSELLMAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSE QUINTANA vs. NY METS since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (62 - 82) at ST LOUIS (75 - 68) - 8:15 PM
ROBERT STEPHENSON (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 31-30 (+8.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 54-56 (+6.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 78-74 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 6-15 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-14 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-31 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 50-53 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-55 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 35-41 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 8-5 (+4.9 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

ROBERT STEPHENSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
STEPHENSON is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LYNN is 10-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.127.
His team's record is 12-5 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-6. (+3.9 units)

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COLORADO (79 - 65) at ARIZONA (83 - 61) - 9:40 PM
JON GRAY (R) vs. TAIJUAN WALKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 445-704 (-135.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
GRAY is 2-14 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 83-61 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 46-26 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 27-13 (+10.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 15-7 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
ARIZONA is 38-26 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 59-41 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 62-46 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 33-28 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WALKER is 10-3 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 79-65 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 18-11 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 25-23 (+14.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 38-34 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 5-0 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in September games this season.
COLORADO is 36-25 (+16.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 20-15 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
COLORADO is 32-25 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 19-18 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 9-7 (+0.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)

JON GRAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GRAY is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.543.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. COLORADO since 1997
WALKER is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

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LA DODGERS (92 - 52) at SAN FRANCISCO (57 - 89) - 10:15 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 81-75 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1-11 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-33 (-25.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 133-98 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 90-88 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 27-23 (-12.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 4-10 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
LA DODGERS are 66-59 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 278-183 (+58.0 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
CUETO is 33-12 (+17.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 20-7 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 25-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 37-16 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 40-8 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-89 (-35.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-38 (-17.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-57 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-37 (-22.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-7 (+3.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KERSHAW is 20-9 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.804.
His team's record is 24-14 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 26-10. (+14.9 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CUETO is 6-7 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 7-9 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.2 units)

______________________________________________________________________

BALTIMORE (71 - 73) at TORONTO (67 - 77) - 7:05 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. JOE BIAGINI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 59-85 (-26.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 26-43 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-31 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 13-28 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 212-340 (-106.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 159-147 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-27 (+7.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 67-77 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 29-37 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 38-52 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 26-41 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 62-60 (-20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BIAGINI is 0-9 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
BIAGINI is 1-6 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
BIAGINI is 0-6 (-9.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 11-6 (+6.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.9 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. TORONTO since 1997
BUNDY is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.769.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JOE BIAGINI vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BIAGINI is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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NY YANKEES (78 - 65) at TAMPA BAY (71 - 74) - 7:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 11-19 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 16-24 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
GRAY is 18-27 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 5-16 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 2-11 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 8-19 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 139-167 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 72-79 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 87-111 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 74-92 (-21.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 9-5 (+3.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GRAY is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-7. (-7.2 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SNELL is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.464.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

______________________________________________________________________

OAKLAND (63 - 80) at BOSTON (81 - 62) - 7:10 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 200-267 (-53.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-47 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 9-25 (-12.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 15-32 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-54 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 7-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-22 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-2 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
OAKLAND is 65-64 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MANAEA is 16-10 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 59-57 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-36 (-17.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 369-292 (-47.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
RODRIGUEZ is 6-13 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. BOSTON since 1997
MANAEA is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 11.73 and a WHIP of 1.956.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

______________________________________________________________________

DETROIT (60 - 83) at CLEVELAND (88 - 56) - 7:10 PM
MATT BOYD (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 60-83 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 35-58 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 40-63 (-20.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 88-46 (+22.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-8 (+17.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-13 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 41-55 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 11-6 (+1.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

MATT BOYD vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BOYD is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. DETROIT since 1997
KLUBER is 7-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 10-10 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-11. (-4.2 units)

______________________________________________________________________

SEATTLE (71 - 73) at TEXAS (72 - 71) - 8:05 PM
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 32-40 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 72-71 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 45-30 (+16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 92-62 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 43-28 (+21.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-58 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 124-96 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 21-15 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 92-74 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 33-17 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-5 (+3.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

MARCO GONZALES vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.292.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

______________________________________________________________________

CHI WHITE SOX (57 - 86) at KANSAS CITY (71 - 72) - 1:15 PM
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 71-72 (+4.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 85-69 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 76-64 (+15.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 25-20 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 55-52 (+7.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-30 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 121-98 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 25-26 (-24.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 280-398 (-110.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 14-21 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 7-7 (+1.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

DYLAN COVEY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
COVEY is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.593.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GAVIGLIO is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

______________________________________________________________________

HOUSTON (86 - 57) at LA ANGELS (73 - 70) - 10:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-35 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
VERLANDER is 11-21 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 62-77 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 73-70 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 224-173 (+42.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 17-5 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-50 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 52-47 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-26 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 23-12 (+10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 45-26 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 68-36 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 15-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 8-5 (+1.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VERLANDER is 6-8 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.169.
His team's record is 7-10 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-4. (+6.4 units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RICHARDS is 4-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.249.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.6 units)

______________________________________________________________________

SAN DIEGO (65 - 79) at MINNESOTA (74 - 69) - 8:10 PM
TRAVIS WOOD (L) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 74-69 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 50-38 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 38-32 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
GIBSON is 10-3 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 22-10 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 65-79 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 49-50 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 48-56 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 80-93 (+16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-40 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 65-88 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-19 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 52-77 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
WOOD is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.778.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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Diamond Trends - Tuesday

TOP SU TREND:
The Cardinals are 13-0 since Jul 09, 2004 with rest as a home favorite in the first game of a series after a win as a home favorite in which they never trailed.

TOP OU TREND:
The Angels are 11-0 OU (3.82 ppg) since Apr 13, 2010 in the first game of a series with rest as a dog after they hit multiple home runs last game.

TOP STARTER TREND:
The Dodgers are 14-0 since Oct 13, 2015 when Clayton Kershaw starts and he averaged more than 4 pitches per batter in his last start.

TOP CHOICE TREND:
The Brewers are 0-12-2 OU (-3.54 ppg) since Jun 18, 2017 after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.
 

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MLB Top Trends

ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON
Play OVER ATLANTA on the total in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 22 Overs and 6 Unders this season (+15.2 units)

NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 61 Overs and 29 Unders this season (+29.15 units)

NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in Road games in night games. The record is 32 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+17.8 units)

SEATTLE @ TEXAS
Play OVER SEATTLE on the total in All games when playing on Tuesday. The record is 49 Overs and 20 Unders for the last three seasons (+28.8 units)

SAN DIEGO @ MINNESOTA
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in Home games after a loss. The record is 55 Overs and 29 Unders for the last two seasons (+24.5 units)

SAN DIEGO @ MINNESOTA
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record. The record is 78 Overs and 45 Unders for the last two seasons (+28.8 units)

CINCINNATI @ ST LOUIS
Play OVER CINCINNATI on the total in All games as a road underdog of +175 to +250. The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders this season (+8.9 units)

COLORADO @ ARIZONA
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in Home games when playing on Tuesday. The record is 18 Overs and 4 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.05 units)

COLORADO @ ARIZONA
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in Home games when playing on Tuesday. The record is 26 Overs and 8 Unders for the last three seasons (+17.5 units)
 

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StatFox Super Situations

OAKLAND at BOSTON
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 80-71 over the last 5 seasons. ( 53.0% | 44.9 units ) 12-18 this year. ( 40.0% | -0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 56-20 (+26.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. The average score was: WASHINGTON (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.6)
 

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MLB Betting Picks & Tips

Atlanta at Washington (-175); Total: 8.5
So, I might be insane. I probably am. But, I cannot stop fading Gio Gonzalez. It hasn’t worked yet and maybe it isn’t going to, but the numbers are so heavily in our favor regarding this that I can’t stop and won’t stop. One of these times, I’m going to look smart. Of course, I’ve told myself that for the last 10 years. Still waiting for that time.

Gio Gonzalez has a 2.50 ERA with a 3.89 FIP and a 4.28 xFIP. He has a .248 BABIP against and an 85 percent LOB%. My guess is that he’ll get absolutely rocked by the Cubs in the NLDS and that’s where his regression will show up, a la the Texas Rangers last season, but I’m still going to play on this. As far as qualified pitchers and LOB% go, Clayton Kershaw is #1, but conventional wisdom doesn’t apply to him. Gio Gonzalez is second at 85 percent. Robbie Ray is third at 84.9 percent. Max Scherzer is fourth at 83.6 percent. Lance Lynn is luckboxing his way to fifth at 82.7 percent. Corey Kluber is sixth at 80.9 percent. What do four of those six guys have in common? They strike out a ton of batters. Gio Gonzalez does not.

If we sort by BABIP against for pitchers, we find Ariel Miranda at the top at .226, but he has a 31.8 percent GB% and has given up a ton of home runs. Lance Lynn is second at .231, which is why the market continues to fade him. Max Scherzer is third at .239. Ervin Santana is fourth at .242. Jose Urena and Jeremy Hellickson come next and then Gio Gonzalez. Gonzalez has the highest GB% of those seven pitchers. Basically, Gonzalez is getting remarkably lucky with batted ball luck and sequencing. That’s why I keep fading him, much to the detriment of my bankroll. These are the stats upon which my handicapping process is dependent.

Since the All-Star Break, Gonzalez has worked 66.1 innings with a .231 BABIP against and an 85.2 percent LOB%. He has a 1.90/3.38/4.27 pitcher slash. The Nationals aren’t even a good defensive team per defensive runs saved. They are -32 and rank 25th. UZR paints a prettier picture, where the Nationals rank 12th. So, at best, this would loosely be considered an average defensive team.

I’m going to keep doing this if it kills my bankroll, damnit.

Miami (-120) at Philadelphia; Total: 9
With Hurricane Irma now gone and cleanup underway, the Marlins head north to Philadelphia to take on the Phillies. Rookie southpaw Dillon Peters will take the mound against Nick Pivetta. Peters has been solid in his two starts and was solid in the minors for the Marlins this season. The left-hander has a 14/5 K/BB ratio over his first 12 MLB innings with just three runs allowed on nine hits. The strikeout spike at the MLB level is pretty surprising. It’s hard to get a great gauge on Peters at the MiLB level because he didn’t spend a whole lot of time at most of his stops. This season, he worked 6.2 innings in rookie ball, 10.2 innings at High-A, and 45.2 innings at Double-A. At each stop, he was effective. He’s showcased plus command at each stop and decent control.

There seems to be a fair amount to like about the diminutive lefty. Peters is just 5-foot-9, which can be a tricky arm slot for hitters to pick up. The first trip around the league should be really good for him. Regarding long-term success, I don’t really know. This is his second time facing the Phillies, so we’ll see if that lineup makes any adjustments. I’d look to play on Peters in September facing teams for the first time, but the second time around could be a different story.

On the other hand, Nick Pivetta isn’t having much of a season. His strikeout rate is impressive, but his problem through the minors was command and it remains a problem at the MLB level. Pivetta has a 6.49 ERA with a 5.00 FIP and a 4.39 xFIP. Pivetta has over a strikeout per inning in his 111 innings of work, but he has a .341 BABIP against and has allowed 22 HR with an 18 percent HR/FB%. Command means everything. Pivetta just doesn’t have much of it.

Even though Peters is facing the Phillies for the second time, the Marlins appear to have a minor edge in that department and bigger edges in other areas now that they have gotten healthier and have something closer to a regular lineup with Justin Bour back in the mix. I’ll lay the short price on the road.

Detroit at Cleveland (-420); Total: 8
Just a quick note here. The biggest favorite ever tracked is when the Dodgers were -485 against Atlanta last season. It seems unlikely that the Indians get to that point, but -435 is the second-highest. That seems attainable as the Tribe goes for win #20 in a row on Tuesday night with ace Corey Kluber on the mound.

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (-115); Total: 8.5
Doesn’t it feel like the Pirates and Brewers have played each other about 75 times this season? They’ll play again today at Miller Park with Gerrit Cole for the Buccos and Brent Suter for the Brewers. Cole has a 3.93 ERA with a 4.08 FIP and a 3.88 xFIP on the season. He’s having a fine year and, most importantly, he has stayed healthy. Cole only worked 116 innings at the MLB level last season. This season, he has crossed 180 innings. Cole’s peripherals are all solid, minus a spike in HR/FB%, but he’s not the only one around the league that has experienced a similar increase.

Cole’s stuff is still lively, with at least six strikeouts in each of his last six outings. He hasn’t allowed a home run in his last three starts, which is a great sign, though the cooling weather conditions and the PNC Park factor are contributing factors. One thing that is a little bit notable is that Cole, who traditionally doesn’t walk batters, has walked seven over his last 14 innings. At this stage of the game, we’re looking for little outliers on guys with high workloads. Cole had injury issues last season and has managed to avoid them this season, so any sort of outlier piques my interest.

Brent Suter has been a nice piece for the Brewers. In 10 starts and eight relief outings, Suter has a 3.55 ERA with a 4.02 FIP and a 4.31 xFIP. As a starter, specifically, Suter has held the opposition to a .246/.299/.409 slash in his 52 innings of work. He has a 3.63 ERA with a 4.19 FIP and a 4.16 xFIP. That’s a bit better than league average in a season like this one. Suter hasn’t thrown in six days after making a short relief appearance on September 6, so we’ll see how sharp he is. Suter came back on September 3 and only made a three-inning start, so he won’t be working deep into this game. That creates a lot of uncertainty and a high-variance environment with relievers having to pick up the slack.

I’ll be staying off of this game as a result. If you’re dying to take a position, I’d look at Cole and the Pirates, since we have a reasonable expectation for Cole and we do not for the Brewers.

Colorado at Arizona (-130); Total: 9
Jon Gray and Taijuan Walker fire it up as the Rockies and Diamondbacks battle for NL Wild Card supremacy. As action begins on Tuesday, the Rockies trail the Diamondbacks by four games for home field advantage in the one-game playoff. The Cardinals are 3.5 in back of the Rockies and the Brewers are four out, so it would take a collapse from Colorado to fall out of that Wild Card game.

Jon Gray is a guy that I am looking to back right now. Gray has a 4.07 ERA with a 3.46 FIP and a 3.65 xFIP. Gray’s BABIP against of .340 is a little steep, even for a guy with his ground ball rate. He has allowed more hard contact this season and has gotten far fewer swings and misses, so it isn’t a big surprise, but Gray is still a guy that should have some better metrics. It’s also worth pointing out that he has been worse on the road, with a .284/.342/.448 slash against. That’s surprising given his home ballpark. A quick check shows that Gray has a .363 BABIP against on the road. He has a 24 percent K% on the road, so his stuff has been better away from home, which is another reason why I’m looking for some positive regression in that split.

Taijuan Walker is a little bit of a regression candidate in the other direction with a 3.33 ERA, a 4.01 FIP, and a 4.39 xFIP. Walker has a 10.9 percent HR/FB%, so I’m not too worried about the xFIP. What does concern me is that he has around a league average strikeout rate with a well below average swinging strike rate. The Diamondbacks are a quality defensive team, though, and have an excellent bullpen, which can help starters in terms of ERA because of runners left on base. Still, I look at Walker and see some concerning signs for his last few starts. Nothing overly significant, but enough to push me towards the Rockies in this spot. I’ll roll the dice on them as an underdog here and consider a live opportunity to buy back on Arizona and the strength of their bullpen if it’s a close game late.

Houston (-130) at Los Angeles; Total: 8
My first take on this line is that it is too low. Justin Verlander has a 3.74 ERA with a 4.04 FIP and a 4.37 xFIP on the year. He was a winner in his first start with the Astros and struck out seven with just one walk in his six innings of work. Getting away from the SS Detroit Tiger as it sinks into oblivion had to be big for Verlander. Now he’s in the midst of a home field advantage race on a playoff team. He’s also a pretty good pitcher, got a massive defensive upgrade, and has a team that will plant an analytics bug in his ear. I have to think that somebody like Verlander, who understands the value of high spin rate fastballs up in the zone would be receptive to some suggestions based on the metrics and numbers. I think this is a match made in heaven for both teams and I think it is a big deal heading into the postseason.

It was good to see Garrett Richards back on the mound. Over the last two seasons, Richards has only worked 42.2 innings at the MLB level. He’s an extremely talented guy with a sinker that is like hitting a bowling ball. Injuries have sidelined him in a big way. Richards worked 3.1 innings in his return a week ago with one run allowed on four hits. He struck out three and walked one. The concern here is that Richards will probably go four innings at most. The Astros are a pretty patient lineup, so they’ll be invested in working deep counts to get Richards out quickly. Injuries or not, the quality of stuff from whoever replaces Richards won’t be the same.

The Astros are the look today. This is a great venue for a fly ball guy like Verlander. Richards is a big question mark as he works his way back. I’m definitely interested in the favorite.
 

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Double-Play Picks

Yesterday's Picks: 2-0
Season To Date: 139-132-14

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-145, 8 )
The Yankees and Rays tangle for their second of three games being played at Citi Field in Queens (home of the Mets). The Yankees took the opener 5-1 in front of 15,000 Yankees' fan - even though the games are technically displaced home games for the Rays due to Hurricane Irma.

We're surprised Major League Baseball didn't put these games somewhere a little bit more neutral. This a definitely an advantage for the Yankees and they will continue their winning ways today.

The Yankees have now won eight of the last 11 meetings with the Rays and seven of their last nine games overall.
Sonny Gray will get the ball for the Yanks and, despite not getting the results he'd like, he has pitched really well since joining New York. In seven starts with the Yankees his team win/loss is only 3-4, but he has pitched to an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.172.

Blake Snell gets the ball for the Rays. He's had a bit of a weird season - he's had streaks of good and bad starts. In his last outing he allowed six earned runs over four innings against the Minnesota Twins, so we can assume he going to go on a little bad run.

The Yankees offense is in another one of their hot streaks - averaging 7.5 run per game over their last eight - so they should give Snell plenty of problems today.

Pick: Yankees -145

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels (+114, 8 )
The Angels return home after a tough nine-game road trip in which they managed to go 4-5, only to be welcomed by the division leading Astros for an important three-game series.

At 73-70, Los Angeles still trails the Twins for the second wildcard spot in the American League and with just three weeks left in the season, every game matters. Unfortunately for the Angels, they must face an Astros team that is now in a race for top spot in the American League with the Indians.

To make matters worse, they open the series against newly acquired Justin Verlander, who loves pitching in a pennant race. In Verlander’s debut for the Astros he threw six innings of one run ball, allowing six hits and striking out seven, leading his new team to a 3-1 win.

The former AL Cy Young and MVP award winner has been looking like his old self. Since the All-Star break, Verlander is 6-2 with a 2.33 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, while racking up 85 strikeouts to 17 walks.

He faces Garrett Richards, who makes just his second start since returning from a right-bicep injury. The Angels kept him on a pitch count in his first start, throwing just 52 pitches in 3.1 innings. Tonight, he shouldn’t get more than 70.

Richards also got an easy assignment in his first start back against the A’s. It won’t be so easy against the Astros, who rank first in runs, average, OPS and are third in homers.

Too much value with the ‘Stros here.

Pick: Astros -129


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (15-4, 2.56 ERA, $102)

Who on this Cleveland team isn’t streaking right now? But it would be no surprise if this team was following the lead of its ace.

The Indians’ last loss was in a Kluber start in which he pitched 7.2 innings, allowing two runs on four hits while striking out 12. In the three starts during the streak he is 3-0 with a 1.96 ERA, a WHIP of 0.70, while racking up 27 more strikeouts to just two walks. Wow.

Kluber and Indians are on track to be the biggest moneyline favorites of the season today versus the visiting Tigers, with the line currently at Cleveland -420.

Slumping: Nick Pivetta, Philadelphia Phillies (5-10, 6.49 ERA, $-479)
It’s been a tough introduction to the big leagues for Phillies rookie Nick Pivetta, who has never really found his groove and it seems to be getting tougher on the young right-hander as the season has worn on.

Pivetta is 5-10 on the season with a 6.49 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP, but the numbers have really turned south since the start of August. In his last seven starts he is 1-4 with a 9.41 ERA and a 2.06 WHIP.

Pivetta and the Phillies are currently +100 home dogs against the visiting Marlins.

Tuesday's Top Trends
* The Cleveland Indians have won their last 19 games overall. -400 today vs Tigers.
* Under is 11-1 in Eduardo Rodriguez's last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record. A's/Red Sox total: 9.5.
* The New York Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. +250 today at Cubs (Quintana).
* The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost 10 in a row and 16 of their last 17 overall. -275 today at Giants.

Weather To Keep An Eye On
The only rain in today's MLB forecast should be in St. Louis where the Cardinals are entertaining the Reds. There is a 50 percent chance of rain in the early evening but the wet stuff should taper off at around 8:00 pm local time.

That same game in St. Louis will also feature a 9-12 mile per hour wind blowing in from left-center field. The total is currently set at 8.5.

Wind check for Wrigley Field in Chicago is showing a 7-9 mile per hour breeze blowing in from left-center. The total for today's game between the Mets and Cubs is currently 8.5.
 

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Umpire Assignments:

975 Chicago White Sox +161 Over 10 -115
976 Kansas City Royals -171 Under 10 -105
Jerry Meals 2017: 14-14, 14-13 o/u (2016: 13-17, 14-14 o/u)

951 Atlanta Braves +160 Over 8½ +105
952 Washington Nationals -170 Under 8½ -125
Umpire information not available.

953 Miami Marlins -117 Over 9 -110
954 Philadelphia Phillies +107 Under 9 -110
Umpire information not available.

965 Baltimore Orioles -126 Over 9 -110
966 Toronto Blue Jays +116 Under 9 -110
Brian Gorman 2017: 5-12, 12-5 o/u (2016: 9-10, 10-9 o/u)

967 New York Yankees -146 Over 8 +105
968 Tampa Bay Rays +136 Under 8 -125
Ted Barrett 2017: 17-9, 9-14 o/u (2016: 20-12, 18-13 o/u)

969 Oakland Athletics +158 Over 9½ +100
970 Boston Red Sox -168 Under 9½ -120
Umpire information not available.

971 Detroit Tigers +375 Over 7½ -110
972 Cleveland Indians -420 Under 7½ -110
Scott Barry 2017: 13-10, 11-11 o/u (2016: 12-13, 8-15 o/u)

955 Pittsburgh Pirates +105 Over 8½ -125
956 Milwaukee Brewers -115 Under 8½ +105
Bruce Dreckman 2017: 13-15, 13-15 o/u (2016: 0-0, 0-0 o/u)

957 New York Mets +240
958 Chicago Cubs -260
Umpire information not available.

973 Seattle Mariners +101 Over 11½ -105
974 Texas Rangers -111 Under 11½ -115
Jeff Nelson 2017: 16-12, 15-11 o/u (2016: 16-13, 17-11 o/u)

979 San Diego Padres +156 Over 9½ -110
980 Minnesota Twins -166 Under 9½ -110
Umpire information not available.

959 Cincinnati Reds +155 Over 8½ +100
960 St. Louis Cardinals -165 Under 8½ -120
Umpire information not available.

961 Colorado Rockies +114 Over 9½ -105
962 Arizona Diamondbacks -124 Under 9½ -115
Mark Ripperger 2017: 14-10, 10-13 o/u (2016: 10-21, 14-17 o/u)

977 Houston Astros -128 Over 8 -110
978 Los Angeles Angels +118 Under 8 -110
Umpire information not available.

963 Los Angeles Dodgers -255 Over 6½ -115
964 San Francisco Giants +235 Under 6½ -105
D.J. Reyburn 2017: 12-17, 12-16 o/u (2016: 16-12, 12-15 o/u)
 

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WNBA

BEST-OF-5 SEMIFINALS


#6 MYSTICS VS. #1 LYNX: TUESDAY, 8 PM ET, ESPN2 |
Eyeing their fourth title in seven years, the Minnesota Lynx raced out to a 20-2 start this season before an up-and-down stretch run. They will be well-rested for the Semifinals once again, having completed the regular season on September 3, but the status of point guard Lindsay Whalen (out since August with a hand injury) remains a major question mark. On the other side is Washington, making its first Semifinals appearance in 15 years. The star-studded matchup of former MVPs Elena Delle Donne and Maya Moore will be must-see, while this year’s MVP favorite, Lynx center Sylvia Fowles, will look to put her own stamp on the series.


#5 MERCURY VS. #2 SPARKS: TUESDAY, 10 PM ET, ESPN2 |
L.A.’s quest to become the first WNBA team to repeat since the 2002 Sparks now goes through Phoenix, with a Mercury team making its ninth Semifinals appearance in 11 seasons on the other side. Former MVPs and Finals MVPs Candace Parker and Diana Taurasi step back into the spotlight having previously met in the 2009, 2013 and 2014 Playoffs. The matchup in the middle, meanwhile, will also be a thrill as Nneka Ogwumike and Brittney Griner clash.
 

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Cheat Sheet - Semifinals
September 11, 2017



The WNBA semifinals will begin with Game 1’s on Tuesday with four teams looking to advance in the postseason. These series will be best-of-five matchups and so will the WNBA Finals.

Game 2’s will take place on Thursday before the clubs travel and play Game 3’s on Sunday.

If necessary, Game 4 and 5’s will take place the following week on Tuesday Sept. 19 and Thursday Sept. 21. ESPN2 will provide national coverage of the matchups.

(1) Minnesota vs. (6) Washington

Washington (20-16) defeated Dallas 86-76 in the first round as a 6 ½-point home favorite last Wednesday.

The Mystics followed up that victory with an impressive 82-68 win at New York this past Sunday as a six-point road underdog. Washington cashed money-line tickets at plus-210 (Bet $100 to win $210).

Including those results, Washington has gone 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in its last five playoff contests.

The ‘under’ cashed in both of their first two playoff games this year.

The Mystics are 11-7 at home this season and 8-10 on the road, which includes the playoff results.

Against the Western Conference, Washington went 7-12 SU and 6-13 ATS.

Minnesota (27-7) finished the regular season with the best record in the WNBA and that record wasn’t surprising to the oddsmakers, who had the club favored in all but one of their games.

The Lynx went 15-2 SU and 8-9 ATS at home. The Lynx were a double-digit favorite 12 times and they went 5-7 ATS in those spots.

On the road, Minnesota was 12-5 SU and 10-7 ATS. It did struggle as a visitor down the stretch, going 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS while the ‘under’ was 5-1.

Minnesota went 14-4 SU and 10-8 ATS versus the Eastern Conference this season and three of the losses took place on the road.

Minnesota and Washington met three times in the regular season and the Lynx won and covered all of the games rather easily. All of the results were decided by double digits (14, 17, 25) between the pair.

The ‘over’ went 2-1 and the Lynx scored 98, 93 and 86 points.

Since the 2013 playoffs, Minnesota has gone 21-8 in the postseason and it’s had a solid rate of covering with a 16-11-2 record versus the spread.
____________________________________________________________________

(2) Los Angeles vs. (5) Phoenix
Phoenix (20-16) started the postseason with a pair of single-elimination victories. The Mercury stifled Seattle 79-69 last Wednesday before capturing an 88-83 win over Connecticut.

Including those wins, the Mercury have won and covered their last five games entering this series.

Total bettors should note that the ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in the last six games for Phoenix.

The Mercury have gone 10-8 SU and 11-7 ATS on the road this season. At home, Phoenix has posted very similar numbers – 10-8 SU, 8-10 ATS.

Los Angeles (26-8) was a beast at the Staples Center during the regular season, going 17-1 and the club helped bettors with a 12-6 record (67%) versus the number as well. The one loss came by two points.

Clubs had trouble scoring at L.A. this season (70.2 PPG) and total bettors saw the ‘under’ go 14-4 in its home games.

As visitors, the Sparks showed some flaws as they went 10-7 both SU and ATS. They did close the season with three straight wins on the road and the offense posted 95, 115 and 82 points during that stretch.

The Sparks won and covered all three encounters against the Mercury this season and two of the wins came on the road. In the lone home meeting, Los Angeles blasted Phoenix 90-59 as a 7 ½-point favorite. The ‘under’ went 2-1.

Including those results, Los Angeles is 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Phoenix.

During last year’s championship run, Los Angeles went 6-3 both SU and ATS. Future bettors should note that the WNBA hasn’t had a repeat champion since 2002 when the Sparks captured back-to-back titles.
 

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WNBA Trend Report

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MINNESOTA
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

10:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. LOS ANGELES
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoeni
 

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WNBA Long Sheet

WASHINGTON (20 - 16) at MINNESOTA (27 - 7) - 9/12/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 311-369 ATS (-94.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 180-229 ATS (-71.9 Units) after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in the conference finals since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

______________________________________________________________________

PHOENIX (20 - 16) at LOS ANGELES (26 - 8) - 9/12/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
PHOENIX is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in home games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 7-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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WNBA Playoffs Predictions:

Washington at Minnesota

In the first semifinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx (27-7) are hosting the sixth-seeded Washington Mystics (20-16), in the first game of a best of five series that will determine who will advance to the WNBA Finals to face the winner of the Los Angeles Sparks-Phoenix Mercury matchup.

Minnesota Lynx finished the regular season with a league-best 27-7 record. They have three consecutive wins and in their last game they won at home against tonight’s opponent Washington with an 86-72 score. Sylvia Fowles leads the team in scoring with 18.9 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounds, with 10.4 per game, and in blocks with 2 per game. She is followed by Maya Moore with 17.3 ppg, adding 5 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

Washington Mystics finished the regular season with an 18-16 record and were placed in the 6th place of the league. They have back-to-back wins and in the playoffs they eliminated Dallas in the first round and New York on the road in the quarterfinals with an 82-68 score. Kristi Toliver leads the team in scoring with 24 ppg, followed by Elena Delle Donne with 21.5 ppg and 10.5 rebounds per game.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Minnesota having won all three previous matches. Minnesota are 15-2 at home, while Washington are 8-10 on the road. Minnesota are better both offensively, scoring a third-best 85.4 ppg to Washington’s 81.7, and defensively, allowing a league-best 74.2 ppg to Washington’s 81. They have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a second-best of 47.8% to Washington’s 41.6% (third-worse), and in 3-pointers, shooting with a second-best 37% to Washington’s 31.7% (third-worse). Lynx are also better in assists, with a second-best 20.6 to Mystics’ 16.5 (second-worse), while Mystics are better in rebounding, grabbing a third-best 36.3 to Lynx’s 35.2, and are better in turnovers committed, with a league-best 12 to Lynx’s 14.3. This will be the first postseason game of the best team in the league against a team that comes from a surprise victory in the quarterfinals. Expect Minnesota to win by more than 10 points tonight.

Prediction: Minnesota -9.5



Phoenix at Los Angeles

In the second semifinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the second-seeded and defending champions Los Angeles Sparks (26-8 ) are hosting the fifth-seeded Phoenix Mercury (20-16), in the first game of a best of five series that will determine who will advance to the WNBA Finals to face the winner of the Minnesota-Washington matchup.

Los Angeles Sparks finished the regular season with a 26-8 record and were placed second in the league. They have seven consecutive wins and in their last game they won at home against Connecticut with an 81-70 score. Nneka Ogwumike leads the team in scoring with 18.8 ppg, adding 7.7 rebounds per game. She is followed by Candace Parker with 16.9 ppg, adding a team high 8.4 rebounds per game and 4.3 assists.

Phoenix Mercury finished the regular season with an 18-16 record and were placed 5th in the league. They have five consecutive wins and in the playoffs they eliminated Seattle in the first round with a 79-69 score and Connecticut on the road in the quarterfinals with an 88-83 score. Brittney Griner leads the team in scoring with 24.5 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounding with 10 per game and in blocks with 2 per game. Diana Taurasi follows with 18.5 ppg, while Leilani Mitchell adds 14.5 ppg and a team high 4 assists per game.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Los Angeles having won all three previous matches. Los Angeles are 16-1 at home, while Phoenix are 10-8 on the road. Los Angeles are better both offensively, scoring 83.5 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9, and defensively, allowing a second-best 75.2 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9. They also have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a league-best 48% to Phoenix’s 44%, and in 3-pointers, shooting with 34.2% to Phoenix’s 33.9%. They are also better in assists made, with 18.5 to Phoenix’s 17.7, and they commit less turnovers per game, with 13.2 to Phoenix’s 13.9. Mercury are only better in rebounding, grabbing 32.1 to Sparks’ 31.3 (third-worse). Sparks have been resting so far and they are the absolute favorite for the win, but expect a close game against the hot Mercury, so pick Phoenix in this one.

Prediction: Phoenix +9
 

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StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON at MINNESOTA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) 63-18 since 1997. ( 77.8% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WASHINGTON at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (WASHINGTON) off a road win, in August or September games 54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units ) 8-4 this year. ( 66.7% | 3.6 units )

PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=42% of their shots 52-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.3% | 27.8 units ) 5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.6 units )
 

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