Tuesday 7/28/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 28, 2015

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | PHILADELPHIA at TORONTO
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL), in July games
61-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.3% | 34.9 units )
13-5 this year. ( 72.2% | 2.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | LA ANGELS at HOUSTON
LA ANGELS are 59-24 (+32.2 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games without giving up a stolen base over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: LA ANGELS (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.1)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 28, 2015

Tuesday's six-pack

Current spreads on some NFL spreads down the road.......

Week 12-- Eagles @ Lions (-1.5)

Week 12-- Panthers @ Cowboys (-4.5)

Week 12-- Bears @ Packers (-9.5)-- Six NFC teams on Thanksgiving Day

Week 13-- Packers (-2) @ Lions-- Teams meet with full week of rest.

Week 13-- Jets @ Giants (-4.5)-- Both teams playing on their home field.

Week 17-- Seahawks (-3.5) @ Cardinals

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 28, 2015

Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services

7/28/2015: Tuesday Bonus Play:

Your Bonus Play for Tuesday, July 28 is on 961. Kansas City Royals.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 28, 2015

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Tuesday

NATIONALS (Zimmermann) @ MARLINS (Fernandez) 7:10 PM

Take: MARLINS -125

There aren’t many spots where the lowly Marlins can even rate serious consideration at chalk. But the one exception to that rule is when the amazing Jose Fernandez is on the mound.

Fernandez has rebounded from his Tommy John surgery in spectacular fashion. I sure hope he stays healthy for years to come, as the sky is truly the limit for this incredibly gifted pitching phenom. Fernandez is putting up some eye popping numbers since coming off the DL. In fact, while that 2.77 ERA is good, it gets even better upon further examination when studying the Fernandez metrics.

There’s nothing wrong with Jordan Zimmermann and it’s never easy to try and beat the talented Nationals righty. But Zimmermann just can’t match up with Fernandez frock a head to head category standpoint.

It’s also important to note that while the Marlins are a bad baseball team, especially with Dee Gordon and Giancarlo Stanton having been sidelined. But they like get Gordon back tonight. And as is often the case with lousy squads, they play with their most focus and frequently get their best results when the ace is on the mound.

The Marlins are 19-3 at home when Fernandez starts, and that includes a huge 13-1 run as home chalk when Jose toes the rubber. So while there’s nothing to knock on Zimmermann and the Nationals are clearly the better team, I can completely justify Miami being the favorite here. Expect the Marlins to play well tonight and if they can plate just a few runs, they’ll have an excellent chance to get themselves a win.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 28, 2015

Jim Feist

Bonus Play for Tuesday, July 28, 2015. 7:10 PM EST

(961) KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS (962) CLEVELAND INDIANS

Take: (961) KANSAS CITY ROYALS

Reason: Your Bonus Play Tuesday, July 28, 2015 is in the MLB contest between Royals and Indians in Cleveland. Kansas City is not going away, like last year, a fine team with a winning record both home and away. The Royals are 16-5 as a favorite, plus a 12-4 run. Veteran Chris Young (3.32 ERA, 8-6) has had a great campaign and is 4-2 on the road with a 2.49 ERA. Kansas City is 7th in baseball in runs scored, while Cleveland is 20th. The Indians are 1-6 in their last seven games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 54-24 vs. a right-handed starter. Trevor Bauer goes for the Indians, getting bombed by the Whie Sox in his last start allowing 6 hits, 6 runs in 6 innings -- his second straight poor start. Bauer surrendered three home runs and has now allowed at least one home run in 10 of his past 11 starts. The Indians are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play the Royals.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 28, 2015

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play TUES Padres w/ Shields +135

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 28, 2015

Tuesday MLB Trends

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mets are 12-0-1 SU since Aug 26, 2012 as a favorite and after scoring 3 runs or less in a home win

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Jose Fernandez starts the Marlins are 11-0 since April 13, 2013 after an outing where he had more strike outs than hits allowed on the road.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Orioles are 0-10 OU since Sep 17, 2014 after a home win in which their opponent scored first.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Pirates are 10-0 SU since Sep 19, 2014 after scoring 3 runs or less in a home win.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Rays are 0-11-2 OU since Apr 26, 2015 vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Courtesy Vince Akins