Tuesday 6/23/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

European U21 Championship TODAY 19:45

Czech Rep. U21

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Germany U21

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
–-–-–-–-NLNW​ Most recent​	Unknown	–-–-–-–-NDNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in five of Germany's last six matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Czech Republic bounced back from a disappointing defeat to Denmark with a stylish 4-0 win over Serbia and the tournament hosts can trouble trophy favourites Germany. The Germans have plenty of attacking firepower – their 3-0 win over Denmark took their tally to 27 goals in ten games – but they can be vulnerable at the back.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
2

 

[superbeets]

European U21 Championship TODAY 19:45

Denmark U21

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Serbia U21

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
–-–-–-–-NWNL​ Most recent​	Unknown	–-–-–-–-NDNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Serbia have kept only two clean sheets in their last ten internationals

EXPERT VERDICT: Serbia's campaign started well with a 1-1 draw against a powerful Germany side but they slumped to a 4-0 defeat to the Czech Republic in their second game. That drubbing could have taken the wind out of their sails and Denmark, who beat the Czechs in their opening match, have the quality to take advantage.

RECOMMENDATION: Denmark
1

 

[superbeets]

European U21 Championship We 24Jun 19:45

England U21

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Italy U21

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
–-–-–-–-NLNW​ Most recent​	0 - 1 1 - 2	–-–-–-–-NLND​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: England have not led at half-time in any of their last eight internationals

EXPERT VERDICT: With just two goals between them from a combined four matches and with the stakes so high, it's going to be a tense affair in Olomouc. The Italians were much improved in their second outing – the 0-0 draw with Portugal – where they carved out plenty of decent openings. However, they’ve yet to score from open play and lack teeth in attack.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Tuesday 6/23 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

3,6,9/1,4,5/5,7,9/1 = $27



LATE PICK 4: 1,3,8/2,6/2,8,10/5,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 125 - 398 / $732.80 BEST BETS: 16 - 35 / $54.80 SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 33 / $45.60

Best Bet: WHITE BECOMES HER (7th)

Spot Play: ONE TO DRAW TO (10th)

Race 1

(1) TONY SOPRANO is by top trotting sire Kadabra out of the millionaire dam Windsong Soprano. He looks ready to go at first asking here for trainer McIntosh. (9) MARION MARAUDER is also well-bred and boasts the fastest last 1/4 from this group's qualifiers. She is dangerous here in her debut. (6) BOW TIES N BOURBON was an impressive winner his lone qualifier and should make an immediate impact for Team Jamieson.



Race 2

(7) IMSPORTY is by a leading sire of 2YO and the first one to race from a top-notch race mare that won 21 races, earned $800K and took a mark of 1:50 2/5. This colt finished with a flourish in his qualifier and may be one of the better 2YO on the grounds; top call. (2) THINK ON IT was an unchallenged winner in his lone prep and looks like the main threat. (3) WHATASHOWINONTARIO was a strong second to an impressive winner in his second qualifier and should be prominent here.

Race 3

(5) BLACK WIDOW BABY has displayed good closing power from far back in both her starts. She gets a better post and a positive driver change here. She almost surely should go forward and there isn't much to beat in here; top call. (2) BLACK QUEEN is a nine-time loser but has hit the tri in every start and comes off a good try at Georgian in a Grassroots dash. She's the one to beat but is likely to be over bet. (1) ANISTON SEELSTER didn't show much last year but qualified well and looks faster this year. She is an exacta threat.

Race 4

(3) HE SAID goes first off the claim here for high percentage trainer Fellows and moves from an open claimer back to a conditioned class claimer. Expect Filion to provide an aggressive steer here. (6) VEGAS ROCKS dropped into this class last week and got up late with a deliberate charge down the lane. He fits here and is dangerous right back. (9) SHADOW NEWTON put up some serious splits and only got nailed very late. He is sharp but doesn't exactly have a nose for the wire as seen by his 10 seconds from his last 35 starts to go with only two wins.

Race 5

(1) GRONK has missed some time, but is one of few contenders in weak maiden field. Jamieson should be aiming to leave better tonight and take control of the race on the backstretch. (2) MAGICAL PUMPKIN showed dramatic improvement second time out and is a big threat here. His dam has produced nothing but winners and it appears it won't be long before this filly joins that list. (4) AUNT LOTTIE was prominent throughout last week and is with a chance here to graduate.

Race 6

(9) SHIPPS EXPECTANCY cut out some wild fractions for this class last week in his first start off the claim and almost lasted. That race was a big improvement and stamps him as a contender here. (7) RAVE ON closed strongly last time but was overtaken by one that roared home in 26 2/5 as the big favorite. This one may be ready to break the 2015 goose egg in the win column. (5) INTENDED STYLE knows only one style - right to the engine for as far as he goes - but he is likely to get challenged early here which will compromise his chances.

Race 7

(1) WHITE BECOMES HER left with the starting car in her Armbro Flight elimination - she was moving that fast. While she expectedly tired, these are much easier and she has a big shot of wiring this group. (8) MONEY MAVEN gets a catch driver back here and has done well in this class with Jamieson at the controls; threat. (3) ROCKYS FIRST had a tightener where he raced evenly at a higher class. He has shown many times in the past that he can more than compete at this level. Keep him on your deeper pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(6) IDEAL SHADOW got backed up on bad cover last week on the final turn or he would have been at least in a win photo. He is razor-sharp right now and gets top call here over (2) TWOMICKEYTRIP who beat him last week in his first start for Moreau and will be the one to catch again, no doubt. (3) CRAFTY MASTER closed belatedly for third behind the top two and likely repeats that scenario here.

Race 9

(8) KATE SMITH has had some gait issues but threw down a big qualifying mile a week ago, drops in class and picks up red-hot Filion which suggests an aggressive steer is in the plans. Top call hoping she trots the whole mile. (2) HER NAME IS LOLA takes a massive class plunge and is more than capable of beating this group. (10) CANTABS FORTUNE was ridiculously overbet last week considering she had missed 5 weeks but missing a check allows her to drop again. She is a much bigger threat here, even from the 10-hole.

Race 10

(5) ONE TO DRAW TO was hung out to dry vs. Grassroots competition last time now drops back down to face the weakest group he has seen to date. He looks like he has some issues but Henry may still be able to take him coast-to-coast in this spot. (8) AXELERATE SEELSTER has shown good early speed in several starts but lacks finish most nights. If he could land in the pocket early, he could threaten here at a price. (3) R U MACHIN ME has dropped his time every week and looks primed now to produce his best effort to date. (2) GRANTLAND has been improving his late speed and Christoforou has been known to sneak this type past late; beware. (10) WILDCAT LIGHTNING is always close by but can't get it done. He is likely for one of the minor slots here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Tuesday 6/23 Analysis
By Brewster Smith



MEET STATS: 90 - 496 / $643.00 BEST BETS: 10 - 43 / $42.70

Best Bet: SUN OF A VICTORY (2nd)

Spot Play: NORTHERN OBSESSION (7th)



Race 1

(3) FEELING CAM LUCKY makes his return to Yonkers where he has done his best running; threat at his best. (6) RANSOM DEMAND put in a nice qualifier at Philly last out. (2) GRAND GALOP SEMALU flashed some speed at Monticello last time around.


Race 2

(2) SUN OF A VICTORY was nailed for win honors at Saratoga in his recent trip. Seems to be ready to boss this group of trotters. (4) MUSCLESPRINCTONIAN rallied strongly to grab the victory last out. (1) CASTLE PINES should fare well from the fence.

Race 3

(1) AMALFI COAST gets serious post relief. With a return to his 6/2 trip, it's game over for the rest of these. (7) NORTHERN ESCORT got the job done last out down the road; threat again. (3) BINGO QUEEN could be a factor in this event.

Race 4

(6) DEMONS N DIAMONDS This looks like to be a perfect spot for this trotting sophomore to get the job done. (3) MUSCLES AND SPICE Gelding was second best in his most recent outing. (7) VOLCANIC MATTER closed well upstate for all the glory last time out.

Race 5

(3) SS POSEIDON surged late to grab the show spot last time around. Trotter moves inside and that should help his cause; threat. (8) CITIZEN HALL retains the 8-hole and was sharp in his last two trips. (4) EXPLOSION OF LIGHT should have a say in the outcome.

Race 6

(8) SIR SAMS Z TAM post hurts but he fits with this group of pacers' capable of the pounce and score. (1) CHUCARO ACERO BC held for the show spot last time out. The rail slot can help his cause. (7) WESTERN PIONEER was sent down the road last out for all the glory.

Race 7

(4) NORTHERN OBSESSION has tactical speed and should be a major factor in here. (6) AGGRESSIVE Jersey invader can be right in the mix. (1) WYGANT PRINCESS put in a mild bid last time out for show honors upstate.

Race 8

Will take a shot with (2) BRICKYARD TOOTS to get back into the winner's circle and the two slot can make that happen. (3) DREAMSTEELER was caught for the score in her latest. (1) ROYAL MALINDA was sharp for the place spot at Saratoga recently.

Race 9

(1) JESSE’S STORY Meadows invader has hit the board 6 of 13 trips to the post. She gets a cozy post to work with and is capable of making today a winning one. (3) VALLEY GLIDER moves down in class and gets post relief; big threat. (4) SCOTTISH CROSS has fine speed and clearly not out of this.

Race 10

(3) WESTERN CREDIT His last start is a indication he will put his best foot forward. (7) LUTETIUM Vernon invader is sharp and gets the services of good trot driver Gregory; dangerous. (2) LIMITLESS is much better than his last flop; watch out.

Race 11

(5) LAUDERDALE Trotting gelding showed good speed at The Meadowlands. Might find the half-mile oval to his liking; worth a shot. (6) PHOTOSAVVY Philly shipper is knocking at the door based on her last two tries. (4) WATKINS Closed strongly for the show spot in his Jersey finale; beware.

Race 12

(3) CUNDALINI Indiana invader makes his initial trip to Yonkers. Has good late punch and with a nice trip, he can mow these down at his best. (1) CAVIART LUCA moves down the ladder, moves to the fence and Sears signs on to drive; main danger. (5) TWIN B TENACIOUS just missed the victory in his latest; don't overlook.

 

[superbeets]

European U21 Championship We 24Jun 19:45

Portugal U21

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Sweden U21

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
–-–-–-–-NWND​ Most recent​	Unknown	–-–-–-–-NWNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Portugal have kept clean sheets in six of their last nine competitive matches

EXPERT VERDICT: The Swedes have been largely outplayed by Italy and England so far, but have managed to take three points into the final round of games. Portugal have been cut open in both games but are somehow yet to concede a goal. If they keep the ball as well as usual, expect the Swedes to struggle to break them down.

RECOMMENDATION: One or both teams not to score
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Today's games
Reds @ Pirates
Smith is making MLB debut after starting season in A ball; he is 1-3, 3.56 in eight AAA starts this season. He was 10-7, 4.70 in 24 AAA starts LY.

Locke is 1-0, 2.95 in his last three starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Reds won seven of last eight games with Pittsburgh; they've won four of last five games- seven of their last eight stayed under. Pirates lost last three after winning previous eight; eight of their last ten games stayed under.

Braves @ Nationals
Wood is 0-2, 5.19 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Roark is 3-0, 3.86 in his five starts, last four of which went over.

Braves lost last five games with Washington; last six series games went over total. Atlanta won four of its last five games (under 3-1-1). Nationals scored 19 runs in winning their last three games.

Cardinals @ Marlins
Martinez is 4-1, 1.12 in his last six starts, last five of which stayed under.

Urena is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts; his last four stayed under.

Cardinals lost four of last five games with Miami; they're 7-3 in last ten games, with last three going over total. Marlins lost four of last five games, with eight of last ten staying under- they're 9-2 in last eleven home games.

Dodgers @ Cubs
Greinke is 0-2, 1.99 in his last eight starts; five of last six stayed under.

Hammel is 2-0, 3.80 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Dodgers won three of last five games against the Cubs; over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. LA lost six of last eight games; over is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Cubs are 6-3 in last nine games (under 6-2-1).

Mets @ Brewers
Niese is 0-5, 7.43 in his last seven starts (over 5-1-1). .

Fiers is 1-2, 6.06 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Mets lost 16 of last 19 road games (under 6-1 in last seven), but won three of last four games against the Brewers- under is 4-1-1 in their last six. Milwaukee lost eight of last nine games; five of its last seven went over.

Diamondbacks @ Rockies
Anderson is 2-0, 1.45 in his last three starts; six of his last seven went under.

Kendrick is 1-4, 5.26 in his last six starts; four of his last six went over.

Arizona won its last four games with Colorado; eight of last ten series games went over the total. D'backs won seven of last ten games, seven of which stayed under. Rockies won last two games after losing seven of previous eight- six of their last seven games went over.

Padres @ Giants
Despaigne is 0-2, 5.89 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Bumgarner is 2-2, 3.22 in his last five starts; Giants got blanked in his last two outings. Over is 5-3 in his last eight starts.

San Diego won four of last six games against the Giants; four of last six series games played here stayed under. Padres are 2-5 since changing managers; five of their last seven games went over. Giants are 4-2 in last six games, but lost eight of their last nine at home. Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten overall.

American League
Tigers @ Indians
Price is 2-0, 1.17 in his last three starts; four of his last six road starts stayed under the total.

Salazar is 2-1, 3.28 in his last six starts, five of which stayed under.

Detroit won nine of last 11 against the Indians (over 9-2); Tigers lost five of last nine games overall-- their last seven road games went over. Cleveland is 2-4 in its last six games, scoring 12 runs in the six games.

Orioles @ Red Sox
Jimenez is 2-0, 3.97 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.

Kelly is 1-0, 3.68 in his last four starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Baltimore won seven of last nine games with Boston, winning last five; four of last six series games went over. Orioles won five of last seven games; four of their last six went over. Red Sox won four of last six games (over 4-1-1).

Blue Jays @ Rays
Dickey is 1-1, 3.24 in his last four starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. He lost his dad a week ago tonight.

Archer is 5-0, 1.94 in his last seven starts.

Blue Jays lost seven of last nine games with Tampa Bay; five of last eight series games stayed under. Toronto is 4-4 in last eight games after winning 11 in a row; five of their last eight stayed under. Tampa Bay won eight of last 11 games; four of last six stayed under.

A's @ Rangers
Chavez is 2-2, 2.31 in his last five starts; five of his last seven stayed under.

Gonzalez is 2-1, 0.90 in four starts, all of which stayed under.

Oakland is 6-4 in its last games with Texas; over is 5-2-1 in last eight. A's won six of last eight games- three of their last four stayed under. Rangers lost three of last four games, scoring six runs; seven of their last eight games stayed under.

White Sox @ Twins
Samardzija is 0-2, 6.84 in his last four starts, three of which went over.

Pelfrey is 2-0, 0.78 in his last three home starts; five of his last six starts overall stayed under the total.

Chicago lost seven of last eight games with Minnesota; four of last seven went under total. White Sox lost nine of last eleven games; they've scored 13 runs in last eight games- six of last seven stayed under. Twins won four of their last six games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine.

Astros @ Angels
McHugh is 2-1, 7.07 in his last five starts, all of which went over.

Wilson is 2-0, 0.60 in his last two starts; his last three all stayed under.

Angels won three of last four games with Houston; under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Astros lost three of last four games; over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games. Halos are 4-3 in last seven games; six of those seven stayed under

Royals @ Mariners
Guthrie is 1-1, 3.13 in his last four starts, all of which stayed under.

Montgomery is 1-2, 2.73 in his four starts (over 2-2).

Royals lost seven of last ten games with Seattle; under is 7-2-1 in those ten games. KC won six of its last eight games (over 6-2). Mariners are 3-4 in their last seven games, under is 5-2-1 in their last eight.

Interleague
Phillies @ Bronx
O'Sullivan is 0-3, 6.43 in his last six starts; five of his last seven went under.

Sabathia is 1-0, 4.37 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over.

Phillies won last three games with Bronx; six of last eight series games went over the total. Phils lost 11 of last 14 games but won last two; six of their last seven went over the total. Bronx won four of last six games; six of last seven went over.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Cin-Pitt-- Smith 0-0; Locke 7-6
Atl-Wsh-- Wood 5-9; Roark 3-2
StL-Mia-- Martinez 10-3; Urena 2-3
LA-Chi-- Greinke 9-5; Hammel 6-7
NY-Mil-- Niese 4-9; Fiers 6-8
Az-Colo-- Anderson 5-8; Kendrick 3-11
SD-SF-- Despaigne 4-6; Bumgarner 8-6

Det-Clev-- Price 11-3; Salazar 9-13
Balt-Bos-- Jimenez 7-6; Kelly 5-8
Tor-TB-- Dickey 7-7; Archer 10-5
A's-Tex-- Chavez 3-8; Gonzalez 3-1
Chi-Min-- Samardzija 6-8; Pelfrey 9-4
Hst-LAA-- McHugh 9-5; Wilson 7-7
KC-Sea-- Guthrie 8-5; Montgomery 1-3

Phil-NY-- O'Sullivan 4-6; Sabathia 6-8

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Cin-Pitt-- Smith 0-0; Locke 3-13
Atl-Wsh-- Wood 4-14; Roark 2-5
StL-Mia-- Martinez 1-13; Urena 3-5
LA-Chi-- Greinke 5-14; Hammel 4-13
NY-Mil-- Niese 5-13; Fiers 4-14
Az-Colo-- Anderson 4-13; Kendrick 8-14
SD-SF-- Despaigne 4-10; Bumgarner 2-14

Det-Clev-- Price 3-14; Salazar 4-12
Balt-Bos-- Jimenez 2-13; Kelly 6-13
Tor-TB-- Dickey 3-14; Archer 5-15
A's-Tex-- Chavez 2-11; Gonzalez 1-4
Chi-Min-- Samardzija 7-14; Pelfrey 1-13
Hst-LAA-- McHugh 5-14; Wilson 2-14
KC-Sea-- Guthrie 3-13; Montgomery 1-4

Phil-NY-- O'Sullivan 6-10; Sabathia 4-14

Umpires
LA-Chi-- Ten of last eleven Emmel games went over.

Det-Clev-- Four of last five Cooper games stayed under.
Tor-TB-- Five of last seven Drake games stayed under.
Chi-Min-- Three of last four Miller games went over.
Hst-LAA-- Six of last eight Hoye games went over.
KC-Sea-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last 12 Joyce games.

Phil-NY-- Last three Kellogg games went over total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

2015 CFL Win Totals

The 2015 CFL regular season opens on Saturday June 25 and ends on Sunday Nov. 8. All teams will play 18 games.

A major offshore sportsbook, has released regular season Win Totals for the upcoming season.

(2014 record)

British Columbia (9-9)
Over 9½ -150
Under 9½ +110

Calgary (15-3)
Over 11½ -160
Under 11½ +120

Edmonton (12-6)
Over 10½ -160
Under 10½ +120

Hamilton (9-9)
Over 9½ +105
Under 9½ -145

Montreal (9-9)
Over 8½ -130
Under 8½ -110

Ottawa (2-16)
Over 5½ -165
Under 5½ +125

Saskatchewan (10-8)
Over 10½ +110
Under 10½ -150

Toronto (8-10)
Over 8½ -120
Under 8½ -120

Winnipeg (7-11)
Over 8½ +110
Under 8½ -150

Odds Subject to Change

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL season betting preview: How to bet the East Division
By WILL ROGERS

The 2015 season will begin on Thursday night, with the Montreal Alouettes hosting the Ottawa Redblacks. We didn't see a single team in the East Division finish with a winning record last year, and the bookmakers are expecting the West to be superior again this season. According to the Grey Cup odds, Hamilton is the front runner in a jam-packed East.

Here's a look at how the teams in the East Division stack up entering the new campaign.

EAST DIVISION

Hamilton Tigers-Cats (2014: 9-9 SU, 9-9 ATS)

Odds to win Grey Cup: +660

Why bet the Tiger-Cats: Hamilton lost to Calgary in the Grey Cup last year, and finished first in the division during the regular season despite a .500 record. The Ti-Cats appear to be in good hands with a young quarterback in Zack Collaros, who comes off an outstanding rookie campaign. The 26 year old showed steady improvement throughout his first season as a starter, and his coach is expecting him to be even better in 2015. “He’s got some Doug Flutie in him,” said head coach Kent Austin, comparing him to one of the greatest quarterbacks the league has ever seen.

Why not to bet the Tiger-Cats: They were terrible on the road last year, winning just two of their nine games away from Tim Hortons Field. They might struggle to improve on that record with a young defense in 2015, and they'll have a tough time replacing Delvin Breaux, who left for the NFL. C.J. Gable, Nic Grigsby and Mossis Madu gave them depth in the backfield last year, but nobody stepped up as a true No. 1 running back.

Grey Cup Outlook: Good as long as Collaros can stay healthy.

Montreal Alouettes (2014: 9-9 SU, 9-9 ATS)

Odds to win the Grey Cup: +820

Why bet the Alouettes: Montreal finished last season winning eight of its last 10 games, and won its first playoff game in a 50-17 rout of the B.C. Lions. The Als are deep at running back with Brandon Whitaker, Brandon Rutley, Rainey and Logan, and they signed receivers Fred Stamps, Nik Lewis and Sam Giguere. The defense remains a strength, with Chip Cox and John Bowman both resigning.

Why not to bet the Alouettes: Jonathan Crompton took the team to the playoffs in 2014, but GM Jim Popp isn't convinced he has what it takes to be the starting quarterback. “Crompton won the job last year. The bottom line is can we win with him?” said Popp. Rakeem Cato led the Als in passing in their first preseason game, a 26-9 win over Ottawa. Brandon Bridge threw for 52 yards and a TD, while Crompton was just 2-of-6 for 17 yards. Who will start on opening night is anybody's guess.

Grey Cup Outlook: Fair. If they can find themselves a capable quarterback, they should be as good as anybody in the East.

Toronto Argonauts (2014: 8-10 SU, 7-11 ATS)

Odds to win the Grey Cup: +950

Why bet the Argos: While the Argos will begin the season with Trevor Harris filling in for Ricky Ray at quarterback, he'll have a stout offensive line protecting him. He's looked capable so far in the preseason. The receiving corps looks strong with Chad Owens and Andre Durie returning and a handful of veterans all competing for a roster spot. Rookie Tori Gurley impressed with seven catches for 188 yards and a TD in his first appearance of the preseason.

Why not to bet the Argos: Toronto hopes to make improvements on the defensive side of the ball, but it has a long way to go as its secondary allowed the most touchdowns in the CFL last season. The Argos’ success will likely depend on how Ricky Ray recovers from offseason shoulder surgery, and we saw last season how Travis Lulay struggled for B.C. coming off the same injury. Top it all off with a nightmare of a schedule to start the season, and the Argos have plenty to overcome.

Grey Cup Outlook: Poor. There are too many question marks surrounding this team, and if Ray has any setbacks returning from injury, the season will likely be a disaster.

Ottawa Redblacks (2014: 2-16 SU, 7-11 ATS)

Odds to win the Grey Cup: +3550

Why bet on the Redblacks: Ottawa added a lot of star power on offense heading into this season, with Maurice Price, Ernest Jackson and Greg Ellingson coming into to bolster the receiving corps. Ellingson has established chemistry with veteran quarterback Henry Burris from their time together in Hamilton. Chris Williams returns after spending the last two seasons in the NFL, and he'll give them a boost on offense as well as special teams.

Why not to bet on the Redblacks: While improvement appears inevitable for Ottawa, its got a long way to go after winning just two games all of last season. The prognosis on the defensive side of the ball is a lot less positive than it is on offense, and there’s a lot riding on the 40-year-old arm of Burris.

Grey Cup Outlook: Poor. This team should be vastly improved but they've still got a long way to go before they can expect to complete with the best teams in the league.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Book releases Week 1 opening lines
Stephen Campbell

Looking for a place to wager on the Canadian Football League? A sportsbook opened their Week 1 CFL lines on Sunday.

Here's a look at what the shop is dealing for the first week of the regular season:

Montreal (-7.5) vs. Ottawa. Over/Under: 46.

Saskatchewan (-7) vs. Winnipeg. Over/Under: 49.

Calgary (-6.5) vs. Hamilton. Over/Under: 52.

Edmonton (-5) vs. Toronto. Over/Under: 50.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 1
By David Schwab

The 2015 CFL season gets underway this week with Calgary coming in as the reigning Grey Cup Champion and odds-on favorite (7/2) to repeat.

The West Division is once again loaded with the best teams in the league. The Edmonton Eskimos are second on the list at 4/1 odds followed by Saskatchewan and both British Columbia Lions at 5/1 odds.

The top team from the East is the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and their odds to win the Grey Cup are set at 6/1.

The following is a brief betting tip sheet for Week 1 of the CFL regular season with the opening point-spread and total.

(2014 Straight-up & Against the Spread records)

Thursday, June 25

Ottawa RedBlacks (*2-16 SU, 6-11-1 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (10-10 SU, 10-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -9
Total: 45 ½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks begin their second season of play in the CFL and the prospect for any great improvement on last year’s two-win campaign has to be tempered with the longest odds by far to win a title this year at +3550. Veteran CFL quarterback Henry Burris is back for his 17th season in the league and the additions of wide receivers Maurice Price and Chris Williams is a big step in the right direction.

Montreal rallied from a slow start to make the playoffs last season as the second-best team in the East Division, but it will need much better consistency on both sides of the ball to have any hopes of a return to the Grey Cup glory this franchise has enjoyed over the years. Jonathan Crompton is expected to be the Alouettes starting quarterback in the season opener, but keep an eye on highly touted rookie Brando Bridge, who was selected in the fourth round of the draft.

Betting Trends

The RedBlacks went 2-5 against the spread in their final seven division games last season and they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games. Montreal covered ATS in its last six home games, but it is just 1-4 ATS in its last five season openers. The total has stayed UNDER in 20 of the Alouettes last 27 division games.

Friday, June 26

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (10-10 SU, 11-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (17-3 SU, 13-6-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats come into this replay of last season’s Grey Cup Championship as the top team in the East Division despite the fact that they are actually the fifth team on 5Dimes’ CFL futures to win a title. They have been to the last two Grey Cup Finals and if they want to make the third time a charm, it will be behind the arm of Zach Collaros at quarterback, who is one of the brightest young stars in this league.

Calgary is the favorite to repeat as CFL champs with the best odds on the board and for good reason. This is easily the best balanced offensive team in the league with Bo Levi Mitchell back at quarterback and Jon Cornish anchoring the running game. The Stampeders also return 10 of 12 starters on a defense that was second only to Edmonton is points allowed in 2014.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five road games and they have covered the spread in their last four road games against Calgary. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings between these two teams.

Saturday, June 27

Edmonton Eskimos (13-7 SU, 13-7 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (8-10 SU, 7-11 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -4 ½
Total: 50

Game Overview

If the Stampeders are the team to beat in the West in 2015, then Edmonton probably has the best shot to take them down as a second-favorite to win this season’s CFL title. Mike Reilly is back at the helm at quarterback with Justin Goltz in place as his backup. The Eskimos also have Adarius Bowman back after leading the CFL in receiving yards last season as well as running back John White to help lead the ground game.

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The Argonauts failed to make the playoffs last season after falling to third-place in the East. They will have to try and avoid a slow start this season with quarterback Ricky Ray still on the shelf for the first few weeks. Toronto also has to be leery of a defense that was ranked near the bottom of the CFL in points allowed last year.

Betting Trends

The Eskimos went 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games and they ended last season 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games against Toronto and the total has gone OVER in the last five meetings overall.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-11 SU, 8-9-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-9 SU, 7-12 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan 8 ½
Total: 49

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers move to the West Division last season was partly to blame for their losing record. Given just how stacked this division remains, it is very likely they will be bringing up the rear again with the longest odds in the West to win a title at +1175. The one bright spot was the play of Drew Willy at quarterback, after passing for the third most yards in the CFL last year.

Saskatchewan still managed to make the playoffs out of the West last season despite a collapse when quarterback Darian Durant was lost to injury. He should be ready to go against the Bombers in the season opener along with first round pick at wide receiver, Nic Demski. The Roughriders should also have a solid run game with Anthony Allen leading the way.

Betting Trends

The Blue Bombers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against Saskatchewan and the total has gone OVER in five of the last eight meetings overall. The Roughriders are 36-15 ATS over the course of their last 51 season openers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL need-to-know Week 1 betting stats and trends
By JASON LOGAN

The 62nd Canadian Football League season kicks off north of the border this week with four games on the board. Sportsbooks have released their odds on these opening matchups and Covers has dug into the Week 1 trends over the past 10 CFL seasons, hoping to give you some insight and edge into the first slate of three-down matchups:

Ti-Cats’ troubles

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats can’t seem to get off on the right foot and enter the 2015 campaign on a 10-year Week 1 losing skid. To make matters worse, Hamilton is 1-9 ATS in those contests. The Ti-Cats are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road in Week 1, which is where they open 2015 – at Calgary to play the defending Grey Cup champion Stampeders as 6.5-point underdogs Friday. Hamilton has been outscored by an average of 34.4-17.9 over the past decade of season debuts.

Easy Riders

Saskatchewan, unlike Hamilton, has been quick out of the blocks each year over the past decade. The Roughriders are an impressive 8-2 SU and ATS in their season opener since 2005, including a 5-1 SU and ATS count at home during that span. The Riders play host to rivals Winnipeg as 7.5-point home favorites Saturday.

Saskatchewan is also 7-3 Over/Under in those last 10 openers, going 4-2 O/U at home in that stretch. The Roughriders have scored an average of 34.3 points while allowing 24.1 points against during those Week 1 outings. Saturday’s total is set at 48.

Stamp this parlay

The Grey Cup champs are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last Week 1 appearances (unlike the NFL, not every team plays in Week 1) and have managed to cover in seven of those nine contests as well. Calgary, as mentioned above, is a 6.5-point home favorite versus Hamilton this coming Friday, and has not opened on the road in any season since 2005.

If you’re betting the Stampeders, you might as well parlay it with the Under in Week 1. Calgary has stayed below the betting total in seven of those nine opening week matchups. Friday’s total is set at 53 points.

Home sweet dome

The Edmonton Eskimos travel to the “Big Smoke” to take on the Toronto Argonauts in Week 1 Saturday, with Toronto set as a 4.5-point underdog in the Rogers Centre. The Argos have actually been a solid play at home during Week 1, going back to 2005, with a 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS mark in that span. However, the Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Toronto, so take that trend with a grain of salt.

The Argonauts are also a profitable 2-8 Over/Under in Week 1 games the last 10 seasons, with a 1-3 O/U count at home. Toronto has scored an average of 23.6 points in those games while giving up 25 points against. Saturday’s total is set at 49.5 points.

Opening night

The other game on the CFL sked is Thursday’s opening night matchup between the Ottawa RedBlacks and Montreal Alouettes, with the Als pegged as 8-point home chalk. This is the first Week 1 matchup for an Ottawa team since the Renegades back in 2005 – the team’s final season. Ottawa was blown away 41-16 at Edmonton that year.

As for Montreal, it’s been a solid winner but bad bet in Week 1, boasting a 6-4 SU mark but a 4-6 ATS record in that span. The Alouettes were 3-1 SU but 1-3 ATS (1-3 O/U as well) at home during that time frame. Montreal has just edged Week 1 opponent over the past decade with an average score of 27.5-27.1.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Betting Recap - 6/15-6/21
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, June 15 through Sunday, June 21)

-- Underdogs went 8-7 straight up
-- Underdogs went 8-7 against the spread (ATS)
-- Road teams posted a 13-2 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 13-2 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 8-7

Team Betting Notes

-- It was all about the road team in WNBA this week, as only Atlanta (3-5) and Tulsa (6-1) defended their home courts successfully this week.

-- Speaking of the Shock, they posted a 3-0 week and have covered each of their seven games this season (7-0 ATS).

-- For the Dream, the home win was about the only thing positive this week. They went 1-2 SU/ATS, and slipped to 2-6 ATS through eight games this season. One of the only things consistent about the Dream is the 'under', going 5-2-1 through their first outings.

-- Phoenix (3-3) scratched out an impressive road win at Seattle (2-4), improving to 3-2-1 ATS. It was also their first straight-up win in three tries on the road, while they improved to 2-1 ATS away from the desert.

-- Minnesota (5-2) suffered a rare loss at home to the Shock Sunday, just their second setback in seven tries this season. Even more rare was an offer in Sunday's clash of the titans, as the 'under' had hit in five of six games for the Lynx until the over was smashed against the Shock.

-- Connecticut (6-1) continues to roll right along, wrapping up a west coast road trip this week by going 3-0 SU/ATS. Like the Shock, the Sun have covered each of their seven games this season (7-0 ATS). They have a rematch with Los Angeles (0-4) at home on Friday.

-- Indiana (3-5) was a little better this week, going 2-1 SU/ATS, with their only setback against a good Washington (4-2) squad. The Fever have been involved in many high-scoring games, with the 'over' going 6-2.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Home favorites (WASHINGTON) in non-conference games, after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points
93-52 since 1997. ( 64.1% | 35.8 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) in non-conference games, off a home loss
289-201 since 1997. ( 59.0% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 60.5 and 65.5 points after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Post: 2:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$5700 - N/W $300 P/S L/5 OR P/S IN 2015 $6500 P/C L/S AE: N/W 7 PM LT AE: $7500 CLM W/A


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 GIDDYALLYOUGOT 5/2


# 8 WHERE'S WALDO 6/1


# 5 MURPHY'S IDEAL 7/2


GIDDYALLYOUGOT will not be denied the victory in here. Many harness players know speed is is key. This fine animal has credentials with a 86 avg stat. Positively the class of the grouping with an average rating of 84. A nice selection. Many expert selectors will recognize the outstanding TrackMaster speed fig in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this group of animals. WHERE'S WALDO - Amazing win percentage combined with recent really strong performances. We think he can handle this group. Many handicappers know speed is is such an important factor. This interesting entrant has credentials with a 86 avg number. MURPHY'S IDEAL - Could be considered here if only for the formidable speed rating earned in the most recent affair. Excellent win percentage combined with recent great performances. We think she can handle this group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 2:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$17000 - NON-WINNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 3& 4 YEAR OLD COLTS, HORSES & GELDINGS #6 BYBY LANDON IS SCRATCHED SICK; THE AE RELLENO HANOVER MOVES IN.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 WESTERN PIONEER 9/5


# 2 BULLSEYE 7/1


# 4 WELL TO DO 7/1


WESTERN PIONEER sure does look ready to dominate. Might be there at a good price tag. Positively one to keep in your exotics. Can't pass over based on speed ratings which have been outstanding (85 avg) recently. Earned a 80 TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. A duplicate event here should get the ultimate prize this time. BULLSEYE - The wagering panel always likes a proven player. This horse's high winning rate is proof of that. WELL TO DO - Reason to like this gelding as he has in the sulky one of the best drivers in win percentage over the last 30 days. Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 84).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 62

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 23. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 ROARING BELLE 5/2


# 2 SMOKIN RACER 2/1


# 4 CHIT CHAT CAT 5/1


ROARING BELLE is my choice. With Ignacio getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Ignacio will almost certainly be able to get this mare to break out early for this race. Ought to be given a chance - I like the numbers from the last contest. SMOKIN RACER - Must be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Overall the speed figs of this horse look formidable in this race. CHIT CHAT CAT - Looks strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races lately. Should be given a shot - I like the figures from the last contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Turf. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 95

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 23, 2015 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 PASTA LOVER 5/2


# 10 KISS OF THUNDER 7/2


# 4 CLASS BOPPER 9/2


PASTA LOVER looks to be a decent contender. Has been running admirably lately and will almost certainly be close to the front end early on. Could provide positive gains based on quite good recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 87. This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 5 / 28 in his races recently. KISS OF THUNDER - Ought to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a solid contender. CLASS BOPPER - Has posted formidable Equibase Speed Figs in turf route races in the past.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware - Race #7 - Post: 4:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 COOL BU MOON (ML=8/1)
#2 LAY IT ON (ML=4/1)


COOL BU MOON - Colt has shown some pace. This shorter trip should be better for him. I like this colt. Has the top earnings per race in this one. LAY IT ON - I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a strong outing within the last 30 days. Have to like this gelding today. If you take a look at his PP lines you see a definite trend, getting closer with every race. The latest speed fig of 69 is the best last race speed fig in the bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 IMPRESSIVE ROBERTO (ML=2/1), #3 FLY PRIVATE (ML=3/1), #4 BOURNE HOT (ML=6/1),

IMPRESSIVE ROBERTO - In the last event this steed finished fourth. Doesn't look good for his chances this time. Unlikely that the speed rating he garnered on Jun 1st will be enough in this affair. FLY PRIVATE - Difficult to put any dough on this gelding on the front end. Likes to hit the board though. Common speed figure last time out at Delaware at 6 furlongs. Don't think this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event. BOURNE HOT - No picnic to wager on any runner in a short distance affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple of months.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 COOL BU MOON to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None