Tuesday 4/21/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Champions League TODAY 19:45

B Munich

v

Porto

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		3/10	17/4	9	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT B MUNICH	RECENT FORM
HLAWAD*HWALAW​ Most recent​	2 - 1 1 - 1	ADALHWAWHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Bayern have won nine of their last 12 home games *without conceding a goal

EXPERT VERDICT: Losing 3-1 in Oporto will have come as a shock to Bayern but they have every chance of repairing the damage at the Allianz Arena, a venue where they have won all four of their Champions League home games this season – scoring 13 goals without conceding. Porto will defend deep but may not have done enough at home to qualify.

RECOMMENDATION: Bayern to win 2-0
1


REFEREE: Martin Atkinson STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Champions League TODAY 19:45

Barcelona

v

Paris St-G.

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ITV		4/11	9/2	7	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BARCELONA	RECENT FORM
HWAWHWADAWHW​ Most recent​	3 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 0 1 - 1	HWAWHWNWHLAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Barcelona have led at half-time and full-time in six of their last seven home fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Paris St-Germain seem to have regressed since running Barcelona close in the 2013 Champions League quarter-final and are unlikely to recover from the 3-1 mauling they received at the Parc des Prince last week. PSG will have to play on the front foot and Barca should pick them off easily.

RECOMMENDATION: Barcelona-Barcelona double result
1


REFEREE: Svein Oddvar Moen STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Champions League We 22Apr 19:45

Monaco

v

Juventus

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS5		12/5	9/4	11/8	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MONACO	RECENT FORM
AWHDHDAWALHD​ Most recent​	3 - 2	HWHWAWALHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Juve have lost just one of their last 14 away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Juventus needed a penalty to seal a 1-0 first-leg win over Monaco in Turin but are well placed to clinch a place in the semi-finals for the first time since 2003. Monaco’s counter-attacking style is not suiting to chasing games and the concession of an away goal may signal the end of their Champions League quest.

RECOMMENDATION: Juventus
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Championship We 22Apr 19:45

Livingston

v

Hibernian

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ALBA		5	3	8/15	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LIVINGSTON	RECENT FORM
HLADHWHWAWHD​ Most recent​	0 - 4 1 - 2 0 - 2 4 - 1	HLALHLAWHWNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Livingston have lost one of their last six Championship matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Hibs head to Livingston having suffered disappointment in the Scottish Cup semi-finals and while they have won five of their last six away league matches, this could prove a tough test. Livi have given themselves a chance of avoiding the drop with some fine recent resultsand can gain a share of the spoils.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Andrew Dallas STADIUM: The Energy Assets Arena

 

[superbeets]

Champions League We 22Apr 19:45

Real Madrid

v

Atl Madrid

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		4/5	13/5	15/4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT REAL MADRID	RECENT FORM
ALHWAWHWADHW​ Most recent​	2 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 1 4 - 1	HWAWHWADHDAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Real Madrid have won 17 of their last 20 home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Real Madrid have played Atletico seven times without success this season but can end their derby frustration with victory at the Bernabeu. Los Blancos have done the hard part – digging out a 0-0 away draw in the white-hot atmosphere at the Vicente Calderon - and can complete the job at home.

RECOMMENDATION: Real Madrid
2

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 23Apr 20:05

Dnipro

v

FC Bruges

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ESPN		Evs	23/10	3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT DNIPRO	RECENT FORM
AWAWHWHDADAW​ Most recent​	3 - 2	AWHWHWALHDHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Club Brugge are unbeaten in 15 Europa League matches this season

EXPERT VERDICT: It’s advantage Dnipro after a goalless first leg, but the Ukrainians have nominal home advantage with this return match being played in Kiev and another tight tussle looks likely. Club Brugge have been excellent in this season’s Europa League and should not be totally underestimated.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Marlins @ Phillies
Haren is 1-0, 2.08 in two starts this year; over is 4-0-1 in his last five.

Williams is 0-1, 4.91 in two starts this year; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Marlins won three of last four games with Philly; four of last six stayed under the total. Miami lost its last four games; five of their last six went over total. Phillies lost seven of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six.

Cardinals @ Nationals
Lynn is 1-1, 2.45 in two starts this year; six of his last eight stayed under.

Gonzalez is 1-1, 5.84 in his two starts this year; three of his last four stayed under the total.

Cardinals won eight of last ten games with Washington; under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. St Louis won its last five games, allowing five runs; four of the five stayed under. Washington won four of last five games; six of its last seven went over total.

Cubs @ Pirates
Wood is 1-1, 2.31 in two starts this year; seven of his last ten stayed under.

Liriano is 0-1, 2.08 in two starts; Pirates scored two runs for him. In his last nine starts, under is 6-2-1.

Cubs lost seven of last nine games with Pittsburgh; four of last five went over total. Pirates won three of last four games; they scored total of two runs in their last four losses. Chicago won six of its last nine games.

Braves @ Mets
Cahill is 0-5, 9.40 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.

Niese is 1-0, 3.18 in two starts this year; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Mets won their last eight games, scoring 35 runs in last six (over 4-1-1); they won four of last six games with Atlanta, last four going over. Braves are 5-1 on road; seven of their last nine overall went over the total.

Reds @ Brewers
Marquis is 0-1, 7.20 in two starts this year; seven of his last ten went over.

Fiers is 0-5, 4.71 in his last five starts, 0-2, 5.91 this year; eight of his last ten starts stayed under the total.

Reds lost seven of last nine games after a 4-0 start; five of their last six games stayed under. Milwaukee lost last six games, outscored 31-10; Brewers are 6-4 in last ten games against Cincinnati- nine of last eleven stayed under.

Padres @ Rockies
Morrow is 0-0, 1.29 in two starts this year; Padres scored four runs for him.

Matzek is 1-0, 1.80 in two starts this year; seven of his last eight went under.

San Diego won eight of their last ten games overall; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine . Colorado lost its last four games, outscored 34-8. Home side won nine of last 11 Padre-Rockie games; under in 4-2-1 in the last seven.

Dodgers @ Giants
Anderson is 1-0, 4.09 in two starts this year; six of his last nine stayed under.

Lincecum is 0-1, 3.00 in his two starts; Giants scored two runs for him.

Giants lost nine of last ten games, scoring 14 runs in last seven (under 5-2). Dodgers won last seven games, scoring 44 runs (over 5-2). LA won seven of last nine games against their rivals from the north.

American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Norris is 0-1, 12.38 in his two starts; four of his last five went over.

Buehrle is 2-0, 3.75 this season; Jays scored 12 runs in each of his starts. Five of his last six starts went over the total.

Baltimore won four of last six games; they've lost four of last six games with Toronto, with under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Blue Jays lost five of their last seven games, all at home.

Bronx @ Tigers
Eovaldi is 0-0, 4.35 in two starts this year.

Lobstein is 1-2, 5.94 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Detroit is off to an 11-2 start- they allowed total of three runs in last five wins. Bronx won three of last four games; nine of their last eleven games went over. Tigers lost five of last nine series games, with seven of last eight staying under the total.

Red Sox @ Rays
Miley is 0-1, 10.57 in two starts this year; four of his last five went over.

Archer is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his last two starts; four of his last five went under the total.

Red Sox are 5-3 in last eight games with Tampa Bay; they've lost three of last four games overall, with eight of last ten going over. Rays lost four of last five games, with four of those five going over total.

Twins @ Royals
Milone is 2-0, 2.08 in two starts this year; five of his last six went over.

Vargas is 1-1, 7.00 in two starts this year; over is 5-3 in his last eight.

Kansas City is 3-3 in last five games after a 7-0 start. Minnesota won four of its last six games. Twins won three of last five games with KC- over is 3-1-1 in those five games.

Indians @ White Sox
Carrasco is 1-1, 2.84 in two starts this year; he got hit on the jaw by a batted ball in last start, was KO'd in first inning. Under is 9-1 in his last 10 starts.

Noesi is 0-4, 5.01 in his last four starts; last three stayed under.

Cleveland won seven of last ten games against White Sox; 10 of last 11 in series stayed under total. Indians lost seven of last nine games, with five of last six staying under. Chicago lost three of its last five games.

A's @ Angels
Pomeranz is 1-1, 3.00 in two starts this year; four of his last five road starts stayed under the total.

Santiago is 1-1, 2.92 in two starts this year; six of his last eight went over.

Oakland lost seven of last nine games with Angels- four of last five went over total. LA lost seven of last ten games, was outscored 25-11 in its only four home games (0-4). Oakland lost three of last five games, with four of last six staying under.

Astros @ Mariners
McHugh is 7-0, 1.91 in his last seven starts; seven of his last eight stayed under the total.

Walker is 0-2, 17.18 in two starts this year; four of his last six stayed under.

Houston won five of last six games with Seattle; last four went over total. Astros won four of last five games- four of last six stayed under. Seattle lost five of its last seven games; seven of their last ten went over.

Interleague
Rangers @ Diamondbacks
Martinez is 2-0, 0.64 in his two starts; Rangers scored 18 runs for him. Four of his last six starts went over.

Anderson is 0-0, 4.09 in his two starts; seven of his last nine went over.

Texas won six of last nine games with Arizona; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Rangers lost five of last seven games (over 4-2-1). Arizona won three of last four games; four of their last six stayed under.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Phil: Haren 2-0; Williams 1-1
Stl-Wsh: Lynn 1-1; Gonzalez 1-1
Chi-Pitt: Wood 1-1; Liriano 0-2
Atl-NY: Cahill 0-1; Niese 1-1
Cin-Mil: Marquis 1-1; Fiers 0-2
SD-Col: Morrow 2-0; Matzek 2-0
LA-SF: Anderson 1-1; Lincecum 0-2

Blt-Tor: Norris 1-1; Buehrle 2-0
NY-Det: Eovaldi 0-2; Lobstein 1-0
Bos-TB: Miley 1-1; Archer 2-1
Min-KC: Milone 2-0; Vargas 1-1
Clev-Chi: Carrasco 1-1; Noesi 0-1
A's-LAA: Pomeranz 1-1; Santiago 1-1
Hst-Sea: McHugh 2-0; Walker 0-2

Tex-Az: Martinez 2-0; Anderson 1-1

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Phil: Haren 0-2; Williams 1-2
Stl-Wsh: Lynn 0-2; Gonzalez 0-2
Chi-Pitt: Wood 0-2; Liriano 0-2
Atl-NY: Cahill 1-1; Niese 2-2
Cin-Mil: Marquis 2-2; Fiers 0-2
SD-Col: Morrow 1-2; Matzek 1-1
LA-SF: Anderson 0-2; Lincecum 1-2

Blt-Tor: Norris 1-2; Buehrle 1-2
NY-Det: Eovaldi 2-2; Lobstein 1-1
Bos-TB: Miley 1-2; Archer 1-3
Min-KC: Milone 1-2; Vargas 0-2
Clev-Chi: Carrasco 1-2; Noesi 1-1
A's-LAA: Pomeranz 1-2; Santiago 1-2
Hst-Sea: McHugh 0-2; Walker 2-2

Tex-Az: Martinez 0-2; Anderson 0-2:

Umpires
Chi-Pitt-- Six of last nine West games stayed under.
Cin-Mil-- Nine of last ten TBarrett games stayed under.
SD-Colo-- Seven of last ten Fairchild games went over.

NY-Det-- Three of last four Little games went over.
Min-KC-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Guccione games.
Cle-Chi-- Five of last six Cooper games went over.
A's-LA-- Six of last eight Foster games stayed under.
Hst-Sea-- All three Bucknor games this year went over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer: CL - Quarterfinals Best Bets
By Toby Maxtone-Smith

UEFA Champions League: Quarterfinal - Second Leg preview

The biggest story to come out of the first leg of Champions League quarter-finals was FC Porto’s stunning 3-1 victory over Bayern Munich. It could have been more, in fact, had Manuel Neuer been sent off early on, which he should have been. This defeat pushed Bayern out to 4/1 to win the Champions League, though such is the confidence in the Germans that Porto are only narrow 5/6 favourites to qualify.

Otherwise, Barcelona showed why they deserve to be 11/8 favourites. Inspired by Luis Suarez, they dismantled Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 at the Parc des Princes, leaving the second leg looking like a formality. Real Madrid escaped from their frequent graveyard, the Vicente Calderon, with a 0-0 draw at Atletico, while Juventus defeated Monaco 1-0.

Let's handicap the second leg of UEFA Champions League quarterfinals.

The Banker: Under 2.5 goals in Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid at 4/5 (Wednesday, 2:45 p.m. ET)

The most interesting second leg looks set to come from the Santiago Bernabeu as Real and Atletico meet for the twelfth time in just a year and a half. Real Madrid were quite unlucky not to win their away leg. They dominated the first half but were unable to break their rivals down. Atletico then rallied after the break leaving the tie delicately poised.

The fact remains, however, that Atletico are better suited than almost anybody else to make life hard for Real. Only once in those twelve games have Atletico conceded more than twice in 90 minutes, and they have won away to Real three times in that period. Atletico will look to keep it tight early on, and the half-time 0-0 might be worth a bet, along with taking 4/5 on under 2.5 goals in the 90 minute match.

The Solid Bet: Bayern Munich -1.5 vs FC Porto at 1/1 (Tuesday, 2:45 p.m. ET)

Having backed Bayern to get the job done early in Portugal, it is with caution that I am backing the Germans here. However Bayern have won all four home Champions League games to nil this year, scoring 13 goals in the process, and all against competitive sides. In the last round they responded to a tentative 0-0 draw away to Shakhtar Donetsk by smashing the Ukrainians 7-0 in the home leg.

Like most Portuguese teams, Porto are a far more dangerous opponent on home soil, and the 3-1 win means they are likely to sit back at the Allianz Arena. But Bayern are just so strong at home. Their record in the league reads W12, D1, L1 with 46 scored and just six conceded. Their record so far this season suggests the result in Porto was a freak: many called it the worst performance of the Guardiola era. Keep faith with Bayern, and back them to win by two or more goals at evens.

The Outsider: Barcelona to draw with Paris Saint-Germain at 9/2 (Tuesday, 2:45 p.m. ET)

At 2/5 Barcelona don’t look worth a bet in a game that may not turn out to be very competitive. Unless PSG are leading at half-time, the tie will be over long before the final whistle is blown. They are 25/1 to pull off one of the great Champions League upsets and qualify. Under these circumstances, a draw at 9/2 looks an attractive price.

PSG showed they can be very solid away from home as their 10 men dumped Chelsea out in the last 16 at Stamford Bridge. Barcelona, despite their attacking instincts, know they have no need to be cavalier here. A draw would take them through with plenty to spare, and the signs suggest it is more likely than odds of 9/2 indicate.

The First Goalscorer: Carlos Tevez at 4/1 for Juventus at Monaco (Wednesday, 2:45 p.m. ET)

After denying Monaco that crucial away goal in Turin, Juventus are 1/6 to make their first Champions League semi-final since 2003, when they were runners-up. The year after that, Monaco lost the final to Turin, and the side from the principality are 4/1 to overturn their first-leg deficit.

Carlos Tevez has had a superb season for Juventus, scoring 26 goals in 39 games. The former United and City striker is a real big game player, and Juventus know that an early goal would mean that Monaco would have to score three - a tough ask for a team who qualified from their group despite scoring just four goals in six games. Tevez is clearly the front-runner in the first goalscorer market, is in great form and is worth a bet at 4/1.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer: Bayern Munich still face injury concerns
Andrew Avery

Bayern Munich was beaten soundly by a score of 3-1 in Portugal by Porto in the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal showdown and still face injury concerns ahead of Tuesday's reverse fixture at the Allianz.

Arjen Robben, David Alaba and Mehdi Benatia are still out while Franck Ribery, Philipp Lahm, Juan Bernat and Bastian Schweinsteiger are doubtful.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Money coming back to Mayweather as fight approaches
Andrew Caley

With less than two weeks to go before the biggest Megafight in years, money has come back on Floyd Mayweather after Manny Pacquiao was seeing plenty of action initially.

According to the Westgate LV Superbook, Mayweather has moved back to a -215 favorite as of Monday afternoon, with Pacquiao on the board at +185 for their showdown on May 2.

Mayweather was listed at -265 when the fight was officially announced, but moved as low as -190 before bouncing back. Pacquiao was as high at +170, but with fight night approaching bettors are coming back to Mayweather.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 3:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$5900 - N/W $500 P/S L/6 OR P/S IN 2014-15 OR 2015 AE: N/W 9 PM LT AE: $12500 CLM W/A AE: N/W 2 PM IN 2015 B ALDRICH JR 2 OVER 4 J RYAN 5 OVER 6


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 ROCKY MOUNTAIN GUY 4/1


# 2 AMAZING QUEST 7/5


# 7 K J'S CAROLINE 8/1


Hey, listen up! ROCKY MOUNTAIN GUY is the wise bet if you like to win. The panel of smart guys knows that speed is King in harness racing. This nice horse will unlock our way to a nice victory. This gelding has been going to post against some of the most competitive company in this field these days. That 90 speed rating clocked in the most recent race puts this contender in the mix in here. AMAZING QUEST - Considered a solid wager based solely on his high ultimate prize percent. Have to favor a standardbred coming out of the Monticello Raceway 2 hole. The win figure is excellent, way above normal. K J'S CAROLINE - Mare has one of the most respectable win rates in the group of animals and that could be the deciding factor when they head for home.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 2:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$20000 - YR/SOA OF NY BONUS TROTTING SERIES 3RD LEG 2ND DIVISION


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 DETROIT RAPPER 6/5


# 5 MARCH AWARENESS 3/1


# 2 BROOKROADDONNIE 5/1


DETROIT RAPPER gets the edge as our best wagering option in this race. Can't ignore based on speed ratings which have been outstanding (95 avg) recently. That 95 TrackMaster SR clocked in the last race puts this race horse in the mix in this race. Marohn and Harmon have a really good working relationship. Great results from their races. MARCH AWARENESS - Don't let a race horse with such a bang-up winning rate like this be passed over. 51 percent of the time this trainer and horse duo end up in the money. Big players in this event. BROOKROADDONNIE - Has to be given a look based on the formidable TrackMaster speed fig recorded in the most recent race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmont Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5400 Class Rating: 54

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 NO MORE APPLES 8/1


# 7 SHES A BULLSEYE 6/1


# 4 LUCIDITY 9/2


I lean toward NO MORE APPLES for this event and is a decent value bet given the line. Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been quite good - 56 avg - of late. Is tough not to consider given the company run in lately. She should have a good showing versus this softer lot. SHES A BULLSEYE - Seems to have a competitive class edge based on the recent company kept. LUCIDITY - This filly looks very good in this race since Lamew has a solid win percent with horses going this distance. Her chances to prove victorious are much better this time out facing this less demanding group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $38000 Class Rating: 84

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 BROTHER JIMMY RAY 7/5


# 3 TAKE DAT PUDDY TAT 10/1


# 6 DELORO 8/1


BROTHER JIMMY RAY looks to be a formidable contender. This bunch is much easier than the last one he was up against. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group recently. Has been moving soundly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. TAKE DAT PUDDY TAT - He has been running soundly recently while recording strong speed figures. Should be given a chance based on the very good Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last competition. DELORO - With a solid 72 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,100 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 HONG KONG HARRY (ML=8/1)
#2 ALISA'S ENGINEER (ML=7/2)
#6 TAKE A WALK (ML=2/1)


HONG KONG HARRY - A win percent the likes of what Parker and Reed have achieved together is out of sight. The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. ALISA'S ENGINEER - I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this gelding's PPs. Almost always in the money. Jockey jumped on this gelding's back for the initial time on Mar 23rd. Should be acquainted with the horse even better today. This gelding is in good condition. Ran first on March 23rd. TAKE A WALK - Looking at this gelding's running lines, I see he's almost always in the money. This gelding is in good form, having run a nice race on April 1st, finishing first. This gelding is uppermost in earnings per race entered. Take a long look at this horse in the post parade.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BUY WITH GOLD (ML=5/2), #3 YANKEE KITTEN (ML=5/1), #1 SUNSHINE VALENTINO (ML=6/1),

BUY WITH GOLD - A strong thoroughbred that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings lately. YANKEE KITTEN - This questionable contender ran a pedestrian speed fig last time around the track. He shouldn't improve and will likely get beat in today's race running that fig. SUNSHINE VALENTINO - Finished third last time out of the box. Would have to improve to be on the board in today's event. The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underlay.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 HONG KONG HARRY is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5] Box [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,5,6] with [2,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:31pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 VARIABILITY (ML=3/1)
#3 SNAKE PLISSKIN (ML=6/1)


VARIABILITY - Last two races were sprints. Longer races have to be his best game and he should be considered a play in this route. This animal has the pace, and no one may be able to keep up with him. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least 5 class points like this one did last time out. I believe he'll be competitive at this level. Dropping 7 lbs from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. SNAKE PLISSKIN - This jock and trainer are reliable together. Win percentage when teamed up is very hard to best. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a solid effort is a good omen.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 COPLEY SQUARE (ML=2/1), #2 EXCEPTIONALISM (ML=5/1),

COPLEY SQUARE - A bit of a less than stellar performance when this gelding finished fourth. EXCEPTIONALISM - Really don't think the last speed rating was earned legitimately. The off track may have lead to such a high rating. Will be hard for this racer to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 VARIABILITY to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Tuesday 4/21 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 116 - 357 / $598.10 BEST BETS: 14 - 28 / $48.80

Best Bet: A COOL MILLION (6th)

Spot Play: GAELIC AND GARLIC (8th)


Race 1

(7) HOT RODDY returns locally now back in the Fusco barn and improvement can be expected. (2) K SLATER has back class and should be prominent throughout. (5) CHEYENNE JEFFREY has never had a winning profile but he has raced well with better.

Race 2

(4) LINDA MARIE raced competitively in the Weiss series at Pocono and prior to that she was sharp at Saratoga. (5) LADY CATERINA was nowhere in a bulky field last out; filly will be closer today. (7) SATURDAY KNIGHT gets Sears in the bike and will have plenty of friends at the windows.

Race 3

(1) MAKEOUTLIKEAPANDIT ships from Cal-Expo via Indiana for live connections and he should be ready to roll at first asking. (4) CHUCARO ACERO BC finally returned to the winner's circle last out and clearly the Miller trainee has ability. (6) ULTIMATE G flashed willing pace in morning action at Freehold and could be ready for his first start in 2015.

Race 4

(1) LUCKY COLBY hasn't put in a bad effort in quite some time and he may offer a touch more value than likely favorite (4) BENTLEY KARAN. The latter looked like a winner last week but the finish line angle fooled everyone; gelding is in career form. (3) MASSIVE TALENT closed well last out and could be ready for a breakout performance.

Race 5

(5) MARCH AWARENESS makes his second local start for Burke and he could be aggressively handled to get the jump on (6) DETROIT RAPPER. The latter has been super in every start this year and the Harmon trainee is clearly the one to beat. (4) JACKIE GOLDSTEIN has been decent in his last two and gets along well with Dube.

Race 6

(4) A COOL MILLION was aggressively handled last week and flattened out late; mare could have a clear shot to the lead today. (1) DOT DOT DOT DASH has done little wrong in her last six races and she lands the rail again; logical. (2) BLOCKING THE WAY was third best last week and could rate that highly today.

Race 7

(2) DREAMSTEELER is coming off a career-best effort and the Brainard trainee deserves a long look from this spot, where she could stay clear of trouble in this oversized field. (1) WINWOOD SCOUT will have nose on gate and will also be close to the front. (6) DREAM DEFENCE N was an interesting claim last out where he was second best at a price; keep an eye on him.

Race 8

(4) GAELIC AND GARLIC went evenly last week in a needed start off the layoff and he's had some good moments versus better in the past. (3) BRANDOS MUSCLE MAN is another with back class but he hasn't done much versus better since returning. (5) MOVEMENT moves up off a sharp wire-to-wire score.

Race 9

(9) FIRE IN THE CELL has looked good in her last few, including last out where she was second best to a razor-sharp rival. Second-tier start may make things difficult but the price should be right. (10) THERAPUTIC is also stuck in the second tier and will threaten if he can stay clear of traffic. (6) ORANGE BIGI clearly doesn't like to win but she can be forwardly placed and land a share.

Race 10

(6) MUSCLESPRINCTONIAN may have been a bit over his head last week at Pocono but his prior local efforts were sharp; tough to ignore these connections. (4) MERGATROID hasn't won in two years but she does have some speed and stays flat. (10) VEGLIANTINO has burned money her last three at odds-on; no reason to hop on board now.

Race 11

(5) ALMAFI COAST can be excused for last week's tough trip where he didn't tire that badly. Last month he had a big closing effort in an added-distance event and he gets the competent and expierenced Peter Kleinhans in the sulky today. (2) PRINCE LAUXMONT raced well for Banca off the claim and one could assume a similar effort though we don't know much about these amateur drivers. (1) MEADOWVIEW ARNY stopped in his debut for the Dane, Jr. barn versus better; he's back at the right level.

Race 12

(2) PARKLANE EAGLE looked sharp in two qualifiers over at Pocono for the Foley barn and he could be ready for action right off the bench. (1) BULLSEYE kicked home nicely to be second best from a similar spot last out. (7) SOUTHERN WINDS went down the road last week and needs to muster sharp early speed from this spot to repeat today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Indiana Grand (2nd) Boomer Six, 5-1
(5th) Dance Proudly, 9-2


Mahoning Valley (4th) Bishamon, 3-1
(7th) Oversized, 6-1


Mountaineer (1st) John's War, 5-1
(6th) Alisa's Engineer, 7-2


Parx Racing (1st) Thug Daddy, 4-1
(9th) Exceptionalism, 5-1


Turf Paradise (5th) Distort This, 6-1
(6th) Barbaric, 8-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Preview: Canucks (48-29) at Flames (45-30)

Date: April 21, 2015 10:00 PM EDT

The last time the Calgary Flames held a lead three games into a postseason series, they dropped Game 4 at home and went on to lose in seven.

They'll try to avoid that same mid-series misstep Tuesday night against the Vancouver Canucks in a first-round Western Conference clash that's grown plenty physical in the last two games.

Calgary is chasing its first series win since advancing to the 2004 Stanley Cup Final. It's since lost in the first round four times, including to San Jose in 2008 after missing out on a chance to go up 3-1 at home.

"It's going to be all about our start," center Joe Colborne told the Flames' official website. "They're going to come out, they know how important this game is, and so do we. It's going to be another hard-fought, physical game and we're expecting a lot of the same."

The Flames didn't have any trouble getting up for their first home playoff game since 2009 on Sunday with a 4-2 win to regain the series lead and improve to 5-0-2 at home since March 19.

"Players were walking in before the game and they were already commenting on fans outside," coach Bob Hartley said. "We were in the locker room and we could hear them. 'Go Flames Go.' It was unbelievable."

Sam Bennett, Brandon Bollig, T.J. Brodie and Sean Monahan handled the scoring, and once Calgary went up three goals in the third, fighting broke out for the second straight game. No suspensions were handed down.

For the 18-year-old Bennett, his first NHL goal made him the second-youngest player in franchise history to score in the postseason. Jarome Iginla was six days younger.

The Flames are still waiting for points leader Jiri Hudler to break out. The veteran has been held without a point and has a minus-4 rating in the series, and he's been held to two goals and no assists in his last 14 playoff games.

Hudler's top line at least made some progress with Monahan's power-play goal. Fellow first-liner Johnny Gaudreau assisted.

The Flames also won the last two meetings of the season, so they've taken four of five while limiting the Canucks to nine goals. Vancouver's Daniel and Henrik Sedin have combined for a goal and an assist in those games.

For Vancouver, it was a seventh playoff loss in eight tries. It's also dropped three straight on the road in regulation for the first time this season and allowed 16 goals in its last four away from home. The Canucks' 24 regular-season road wins trailed only Anaheim and the New York Rangers.

A split in Calgary would put them back in a home-ice advantage scenario.

"It's not like we played our best game and they just flat out beat us," defenseman Kevin Bieksa told the team's official website. "We didn't play very well at all, and they played pretty good. That's the way the series goes. There's going to be ups and downs. We're down a game again, but we're looking for a split in Calgary, so we'll come back next game. We're a pretty resilient team. We're a lot smarter team. We've been through this before."

Eddie Lack hasn't, and it might be showing away from Vancouver. His last four road games have resulted in three losses and a 4.00 goals-against average. Even so, he's 4-3-0 with a 1.86 GAA against Calgary.

At the other end, Jonas Hiller has gone 9-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA in his last 14 games with three straight home wins, and he has a 2.15 GAA over a 4-2-1 span against Vancouver.