Tuesday - 1st Inning - Playoffs 1-2

[lazzonya]

los angeles @ philadelphia (8:35ET) - YES (+135) - $35.00 Play

a run is scored in the 1st inning of LA games 53.70% of the time
dodgers score a run in the 1st inning in 33.95% of those
dodgers allow a run in the 1st inning in 32.10% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of PHL games 61.11% of the time
phils score a run in the 1st inning in 36.42% of those
phils allow a run in the 1st inning in 36.42% of those

in lowe's 34 starts, a run has been scored 16 times - he's allowed 9 (26.47%)
in hamels' 33 starts, a run has been scored 17 times - he's allowed 9 (27.27%)

lowe has allowed 5 runs in 17 road starts (29.41%)
hamels has allowed 2 runs in 16 home starts (12.50%)

LAD 1-4 are 3 for 18 off hamels (.167)
PHL 1-4 are 14 for 55 off lester (.255)

@ +135 there is a lot of value here for 2 teams that were above average in both 1st inning runs scored and allowed. i would never lay the -165 NO with these 2 teams at Citizens Bank Park.

LEANS (remaining games in order of confidence)

NONE

i will not be using any of these post-season plays towards my year stats. just information for those that have followed this season and have asked for me to continue during the playoffs. my "method" is not used during the 1st 25 games of each half & interleague play. we shall see how the playoffs go.

Playoff Plays
1-2
Playoff Leans
7-2

Year Totals:

57-30 (65.52%)
+$1303.00 (+26.06 units)

YTD ROI: 22.94%

$35 plays - 19/8 - 70.37%
$50 plays - 25/14 - 64.10%
$75 plays - 8/6 - 57.14%
$100 plays - 4/2 - 66.67%
$125 plays - 1/0 - 100.00%
$150 plays - 0/0 - N/A

 

[VEGASBABY+]

Hey buddy how are you I like ur play I just hate betting a yes in the playoffs

 

[hardys4ever2000]

especially with hamels and lowe pitching...but anyways you've had an awesome record this year so what do i know, BOL

 

[lazzonya]

Hey buddy how are you I like ur play I just hate betting a yes in the playoffs

yeah i hear ya. you see those big name pitchers and the natural reaction is to say "how can these guys not get 6 outs".

the postseason has been tough for me to find anything to play because i normally play dogs (which means a YES in the playoffs). with all the better pitchers going, i rarely find combined trends that point that way.

 

[VEGASBABY+]

Im going to lay off - 150 on the no at my book thats steep

 

[Rightbyu]

Today is Thurday not Tuesday!!
10-9-08 Thurday.

 

[yanni_gogolak]

Im going to lay off - 150 on the no at my book thats steep

he is saying play YES though +135
unless you are fading him

 

[lazzonya]

Today is Thurday not Tuesday!!
10-9-08 Thurday.

the old "autofill" enabled on my web browser strikes again.

i'm a moron.

peace

lazzonya

 

[VEGASBABY+]

Yeah i know he is saying yes I was just putting the no juice out there Its probably yes or a no play because of the juice

 

[totalguy]

Yeah i know he is saying yes I was just putting the no juice out there Its probably yes or a no play because of the juice

NOW you're getting it!:aktion033

 

[jeff_tweedy]

cha-ching!! man...you are invaluable with these 1st inning plays. i was temporarily upset because i took philly and they are trailing out of the gate and then i remembered...oh yeah, earlier today i took the YES on the score for the 1st inning from that lazzonya guy!!

thanks so much.

 

[lazzonya]

cha-ching!! man...you are invaluable with these 1st inning plays. i was temporarily upset because i took philly and they are trailing out of the gate and then i remembered...oh yeah, earlier today i took the YES on the score for the 1st inning from that lazzonya guy!!

thanks so much.

glad to help.

 

[yanni_gogolak]

thanks for another lazz

i dont know when u put your bets in, but i know the couple times u had +135 i waited a little while at got it at +150, last night for example. just a heads up for the future.

thanks again!

 

[totalguy]

My experience has been that a lot of squares pound the NO just before game time. A sort of impulse, last minute bet based on their misconceptions about what happens in the first inning. YES bettors can benefit greatly from that.

 

[lazzonya]

My experience has been that a lot of squares pound the NO just before game time. A sort of impulse, last minute bet based on their misconceptions about what happens in the first inning. YES bettors can benefit greatly from that.

great info for YES plays.

i normally place mine as soon as the lines come out for the simple reason that if i try and wait, my girlfriend will probably have me doing something after work. during working hours, i have a lot of flexibility.

if i tell her "hold on, i need to get this bet in", i won't have to worry about having a girlfriend anymore.

hhmmmm, maybe this could all work out.

peace

lazzonya

 

[yanni_gogolak]

great info for YES plays.

i normally place mine as soon as the lines come out for the simple reason that if i try and wait, my girlfriend will probably have me doing something after work. during working hours, i have a lot of flexibility.

if i tell her "hold on, i need to get this bet in", i won't have to worry about having a girlfriend anymore.

hhmmmm, maybe this could all work out.

peace

lazzonya

haha, well look at it this way. think how much you would be saving in girlfriend fees, plus gaining in the wait. you could retire a few years early! :lol: