Tuesday - 1st Inning - 48-29 +$970.25 (19.41u)

[lazzonya]

houston @ florida (7:10ET) - YES - $50.00/$52.50 (+105)

a run is scored in the 1st inning of houston games 61.74% of the time
stros score a run in the 1st inning in 34.23% of those
stros allow a run in the 1st inning in 40.94% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of florida games 53.69% of the time
marlins score a run in the 1st inning in 33.56% of those
marlins allow a run in the 1st inning in 36.24% of those

in oswalt's 27 starts, a run has been scored 18 times - he's allowed 9 (33.33%)
in volstad's 11 starts, a run has been scored 6 times - he's allowed 5 (45.45%)

oswalt has allowed 4 runs in 12 road starts (33.33%)
volstad has allowed 2 runs in 6 home starts (33.33%)

FLA's 1-4 are 11 for 32 off oswalt (.344)
HOU's 1-4 are 0 for 0 off volstad (NA)

current league averages are 51.62%, 30.70%, & 30.67%

leans:

chicago @ new york - NO (EV)

Current Leaders/Trends:

astros - 61.74% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
giants - 43.33% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
mets - score a run in the 1st inning 44.97% of games
orioles - allow a run in the 1st inning 42.18% of games
pirates - score a run in the 1st innning 25.33% of games
giants - allow a run in the 1st inning 22.67% of games

YTD:

48-29 +$970.25 (19.41 units)

Current Streak:

0-1 -$50.00

YTD ROI: 18.37%

a few asked for my breakdown:

$35 plays - 13/7 - 65.00%
$50 plays - 22/14 - 61.11%
$75 plays - 8/6 - 57.14%
$100 plays - 4/2 - 66.67%
$125 plays - 1/0 - 100.00%
$150 plays - 0/0 - N/A

 

[r.a.]

Respect your posts and often play them. Just wanted to throw this in as I watched Houston's last two games vs. the Cubs. Astros, definitely seemed pre-occupied with what was going on in their home town and came up with one hit in 18 innings. Now, they travel to Florida and are pretty much out of hope for the wildcard. Have also watched Ozwalt's last three starts and two say the least he is almost flawless ... zero runs in 26 innings. Best pitcher in baseball at this moment ... bol.

 

[TruthBTold]

Now, they travel to Florida and are pretty much out of hope for the wildcard.

2.5 out with 13 games to go, "pretty much out"? How do you figure?

:think2:

 

[lazzonya]

Respect your posts and often play them. Just wanted to throw this in as I watched Houston's last two games vs. the Cubs. Astros, definitely seemed pre-occupied with what was going on in their home town and came up with one hit in 18 innings. Now, they travel to Florida and are pretty much out of hope for the wildcard. Have also watched Ozwalt's last three starts and two say the least he is almost flawless ... zero runs in 26 innings. Best pitcher in baseball at this moment ... bol.

i strictly follow the numbers and "my system". out of all the games today, this was the only value i found.

i guess the flipside is that oswalt's mind is also probably elsewhere (which it wasn't in his last 3 starts). 2 of those starts were against the pirates and rockies who are terrible. the 3rd was against the cubs (who along with the other 2 are all below average 1st inning run producing teams).

also, the astros did allow 1st inning runs in both of those recent (in milwaukee) losses to the cubs.

it's all just throwing darts anyway.

peace & GL2U

lazzonya

 

[r.a.]

2.5 out with 13 games to go, "pretty much out"? How do you figure?

:think2:

Correct, but they have to climb over the Phillies, Brewers and or the Mets to get to the wildcard. Ozwalt, can't pitch everyday. They had a very nice run but not getting those games at 'home' with the Cubs really hurt.

 

[VenomousSanction]

Damn Lazz.. against u bro.. BOL

 

[FearTheRaven]

great call sir, tailed ya on this one

 

[WorldNumberOne]

nice work..

what site do you use for your pitcher vs hitter stats ?

 

[LockStock2SB]

cash money again. good work laz

 

[cover2win]

Nice Job!!

Nice Job man keep them coming that is some great statisical work.

 

[VenomousSanction]

good job Lazz!

 

[lazzonya]

nice work..

what site do you use for your pitcher vs hitter stats ?

i keep all the 1st inning stats myself. i normally use yahoo sports for the pitcher vs. batter stuff.

thanks for the support boys. it's been a real tennis match the last few days. back and forth.

peace

lazzonya

 

[yanni_gogolak]

nice job with a tough game. keep it up!

 

[sdf]

thanks