Tuesday - 1st Inning - 39-22 +$1004.00 (20.08u)

[lazzonya]

new york @ philadelphia (7:05ET) - YES - $60.00/$50.00

a run is scored in the 1st inning of new york games 60.00% of the time
mets score a run in the 1st inning in 44.62% of those
mets allow a run in the 1st inning in 30.77% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of philly games 58.91% of the time
phils score a run in the 1st inning in 31.78% of those
phils allow a run in the 1st inning in 37.21% of those

in pedro's 14 starts, a run has been scored 12 times - he's allowed 8 (57.14%)
in moyer's 25 starts, a run has been scored 13 times - he's allowed 7 (28.00%)

pedro has allowed 5 runs in 8 road starts (62.50%)
moyer has allowed 5 runs in 13 home starts (38.46%)

mets 1-4 hitters are 57 for 153 (.372) off moyer
phils 1-4 hitters are 21 for 85 (.247) off pedro. however, burrell is 1-23. the remaining 3 bat .317 off him. wouldn't mind seeing manuel will move either victorino or werth up for this game.

current league averages are 52.02%, 30.96%, & 30.99%

leans:

oakland @ los angeles - YES (+125) - lots of value as both pitchers have average 1st inning stats.

texas @ kansas city - YES (-110) - take texas under -120 any time. also, millwood has been terrible on the road.


Current Leaders/Trends:

astros - 65.38% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
blue jays - 41.86% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
mets - score a run in the 1st inning 44.62% of games
astros - allow a run in the 1st inning 42.31% of games
rays - score a run in the 1st innning 24.81% of games
blue jays - allow a run in the 1st inning 23.26% of games

YTD:

39-22 +$1004.00 (20.08 units)

Current Streak:

0-1 -$75.00

YTD ROI: 22.89%

 

[Smoke_O]

Hey Lazz what are your thoughts on the Jays/Rays no score in the 1st?

 

[war1000]

which book can i play these? betjm doesn't offer then

 

[lazzonya]

which book can i play these? betjm doesn't offer then

i use bookmaker/cris exclusively.

 

[lazzonya]

Hey Lazz what are your thoughts on the Jays/Rays no score in the 1st?

too much juice for me. i never go above -130.

the play is solid by the numbers, though:

halladay is 19% overall and 28% on the road
shields is 31% overall but only 7% at home

both teams are well below average in all categories.

i have to remember to look for a YES with shields on the road. he's at 58% away from the trop.

peace

lazzonya

 

[w8lifterguy]

Looks like this week Mets are money.
2 fer 2 really appreciate the work. Last night Seattle had opp to score but team just sucks.