Tuesday 11/18/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

International TODAY 20:00

Scotland

v

England

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		5/2	9/4	21/20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN SCOTLAND	RECENT FORM
AWNDALHWADHW​ Most recent​	0 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 0	NDHWAWHWAWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: England have won six of their last eight matches against Scotland

EXPERT VERDICT: There's no love lost between these old rivals and it should be a competitive contest, far removed from the slow pace of most friendly fixtures. England have an excellent record against Scotland but Gordon Strachan's side have lost just one of their last ten games - 2-1 away to Germany - and can hold the Three Lions at Parkhead.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

International TODAY 19:45

Ireland

v

USA

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		11/8	21/10	21/10	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN IRELAND	RECENT FORM
HLHWAWHWADAL​ Most recent​	2 - 1 4 - 1 3 - 2	NLND*AWHDHDNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: USA have lost just one of their last eight friendlies

EXPERT VERDICT: Ireland could have no complaints about the 1-0 defeat they sustained away to Scotland on Friday and may have to settle for a draw from their friendly at home to USA. Jurgen Klinsmann has taken an experienced USA squad to Dublin and his charges won’t be too disheartened by Friday’s narrow 2-1 loss to Colombia at Craven Cottage.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 1:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$2700 - $4000 CLAIMING/ALLOWANCES N/W 5 PM RACES IN 2014


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 BAGEL MAN 4/1


# 3 MYRA'S HIHO 5/2


# 4 DELCO TROSS 7/2

After thorough analysis by the consortium, BAGEL MAN comes out as the top contender. This harness racer looks dangerous. Look at the 79 average TrackMaster speed fig. Good for a win wager just off the outstanding prior class rankings. Have to like this nice horse. Doing work well, achieved a huge TrackMaster SR in his most recent gathering (75). MYRA'S HIHO - Many expert selectors know speed is is key. This fine animal has credentials with a 79 avg figure. Seems to have a respectable class edge based on the company he has faced. DELCO TROSS - This contender earned a formidable TrackMaster speed fig in last race. Looks to be in top form to come right back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 6:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$4500 - NON WINNERS $12,500 LIFETIME. NORTHFIELD TRAINER CHANGE HN 2 M.DOHERTY TO T.NOSTADT


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 HOP ZIP 9/2


# 2 ALERO BLUE CHIP 5/2


# 6 YANKEE'S RENITA 10/1

HOP ZIP will have you running to the cashier's window this time. He has been competing well and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the finest in the group of animals. That 67 speed rating clocked in the most recent gathering puts this interesting entrant in the mix in here. Some drivers just do better with certain standardbreds. That seems to be the case here with Hershberger. A respectable bet. ALERO BLUE CHIP - Hands down the best position at Northfield Park is the 2. The win clip is very good. Has formidable speed ratings and most definitely has to be thought of for a wager today. YANKEE'S RENITA - Sometimes you just have to go with an instinct, love this one's chances.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7800 Class Rating: 65

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18, 2013. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 FLASH A SMILE 1/1


# 6 MOST DARLING 12/1


# 8 WANADAY 8/1


FLASH A SMILE is the top bet in this race. She should be carefully examined given the formidable speed figs. This mare has a very good winning percentage in dirt sprint races. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last contest. MOST DARLING - She looks very good in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Expect a strong attempt with the class drop.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $3100 Class Rating: 73

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 KINGDOM REGARD 2/1


# 5 CHA CHING CORONA 3/1


# 6 FEATURED GLORY 5/2


KINGDOM REGARD figures to be the wager in here. Could best this group here, showing formidable figures of late. Ought to go to the front end and should never look back. Earned a strong speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. CHA CHING CORONA - Demonstrates the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 67 speed figure which is one of the most favorable in this field. Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of formidable win percentage - 19 percent - at this distance & surface. FEATURED GLORY - Should compete very well in the early speed clash which bodes well with this field. The speed rating of 58 from his last affair looks very good in here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #6 - Post: 3:25pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,500 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 CLETO (ML=6/1)
#9 OUR EYES MET (ML=3/1)
#4 AVELLINO (ML=7/2)
#10 DREAMIN GRAND (ML=10/1)


CLETO - Lopez rode this entrant for the initial time in the last race and comes right back this time around. The latest speed figure of 74 is the highest last race speed rating in the group. OUR EYES MET - Have to make this gelding a serious competitor; he comes off a nice outing on Nov 1st. AVELLINO - VanDyke's agent must enjoy anytime Evans gives them a mount; winning pct together is fantastic. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is up against an easier field than last out at Turf Paradise. Getting a break of 5 pounds from last race at Turf Paradise. He should make the most of this advantage. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back. DREAMIN GRAND - Have to like the way Wolochuk has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Animal is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ARTAKSEZ (ML=5/1), #2 MASTER GAME (ML=8/1),

ARTAKSEZ - If you keep playing these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed most of the time. Tough for this closer equine to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone pace is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done. MASTER GAME - When looking at today's class rating, he will have to record a much better rating than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - CLETO - This is a great longshot angle. Play the top-rated TrackMaster power-rated horse if he has a morning line of at least 5-1.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #5 CLETO to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[4,5,9] with [4,5,9] with [4,5,9,10,12] with [4,5,9,10,12] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:01pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 POTICHE (ML=5/2)
#2 CANDY'S LUCK (ML=10/1)


POTICHE - This filly has been running at higher class levels previously. She did win versus better, a Starter Allowance race though. I believe this one is in the right spot today. A pony coming back this promptly after a sharp effort is a good sign. CANDY'S LUCK - The jockey and handler combination have a profitable return on investment when they combine forces. This filly seems to like to win at nice odds. Recent speed ratings show solid pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MAIN ENTRANCE (ML=7/2), #3 NUTMEG (ML=4/1), #1 LEGOMYBORREGO (ML=5/1),

MAIN ENTRANCE - Doubtful that the fig she recorded on Oct 27th will be good enough in this affair. NUTMEG - Can't bet on this horse in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint event recently. LEGOMYBORREGO - This field is a whole lot tougher than the ones she met in the last event.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - POTICHE - I'm betting on this filly. I love to wager on a thoroughbred on the immediate return.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #4 POTICHE to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Tuesday 11/18 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

3,9 / 1,6,9 / 1,4,5 / 3,9 = $36


Best Bet: ABOVE AND BEYOND (5th)

Spot Play: NITEROI OAKS (9th)


Race 1

(3) LINUS B WORTHY takes a big drop in class and picks up the top driver. (5) CONDOR HALL well bred gelding will offer a big price and looks to be in line for a ground saving trip. (2) BAND'S SUPERSTAR gets a great post in an evenly matched field.

Race 2

(1) NIRVANA GEAR filly was a game winner at this level the start prior. (2) ALERO BLUE CHIP has been facing much tougher but could need a start off three weeks. (3) FLYING MINDALE three-year-old pacer is one of few with upside in the race; threat.

Race 3

(9) SAINTFRANCIS has beaten much better on the year and should offer a big price off the bad-looking lines. (5) WEST RIVER VICTORY just missed last out and has been racing gamely. (1) CHRISTINA VICTORY gelding trotter has made the most money on the year and gets the best post.

Race 4

In a very tough race to handicap (3) SUCCESSFUL VENTURE needed the start over the track last out and has room to move forward in a very weak field. (4) BLUE PUNCH is 0 for the year but has been close at this level. (7) COIN OF THE REALM gelding has some ability but gets sent out for a very low percentage driver; use underneath.

Race 5

In another tough race to gauge (9) ABOVE AND BEYOND has shown a good burst of speed and has been facing much tougher. (4) SHELBY LU is one for twenty-six on the year but just missed at this level last out. (3) YANKEE SOLDIER is one for forty-eight lifetime and needs a smooth trip with some racing luck.

Race 6

(2) BUBBA SKINNER has yet to win on the year but has been pacing much faster than most of the field. (3) CAMN YANKEE could have an excuse last out with the off track; threat. (5) PANFERMIN FESTIVAL will offer a big price but needs a competent drive from a suspect pilot; use underneath.

Race 7

In the toughest race to handicap on the card (3) FOLLOW A DREAM gelding used to own a good burst of speed which is more than most of the field can say. (5) ITSALLABOUTTONIGHT three-year-old gets sent out for a trainer capable off dull-looking lines. (9) HE B ORIGINAL should be in line for a ground saving trip in an inconsistent field.

Race 8

(3) SOAKING UP THE SUN gelding is the horse to beat if he stays pacing. (9) JACKSONS SPIN went a big effort last race just tiring late being parked the entire mile; threat. (4) RENATA filly has been competitive at this level and should offer a much better price than her last start.

Race 9

(6) NITEROI OAKS well bred stallion will look to make it three straight and could have more to offer. (1) HELLO CARLO gets the best post and will be racing on the lead or in the pocket. (9) ACTION-EAR-TO-EAR pacing bred trotter has some ability but needs a smooth trip.

Race 10

(4) HERSMAN is one of few horses whose been competitive at this level. (5) FOX VALLEY MERCURY went a really nice effort last out in the slop; threat. (1) DANNYS ATTHEDANCE rarely wins but gets the best post; use underneath.

Race 11

(9) AIRGUITAR ROCKSTAR drops in class and has been pacing some good miles. (3) RIGHT ON TIME gelding went a big three-quarters of a mile last out just tiring late. (1) SOUTHWIND MAIZE comes into the race off a victory and gets the best post.

Race 12

In a weak and inconsistent field (1) REDICATION closed big ground two back and gets the best post with a top driver. (6) BAY SHARK is capable of better but needs a smooth trip. (7) CHEEKY FOOL needs a lot of racing luck but could pick up the pieces at a price in the right scenario.

Race 13

(2) DABUNKA looks to be in line for a good trip up close. (3) STYLISH ROCKET has been knocking on the door but needs to ration out his speed; fires early. (5) FOREVER GOOD gelding takes a significant drop in class and will be used aggressively.

Race 14

In a field with few contenders (4) NUTMEGS GIGILO has made the most money in the field on the year by far and finds an ideal spot to gain some confidence. (1) LINCOLN JIMMY gets post relief and is one of few in the race that's shown a good burst of speed in recent. (5) ALLAMERICAN FARGO gelding was improved last out and bumps down in class.

Race 15

(5) GRINFROM C TO C gelding will be much closer turning for home against a softer bunch than his last few. (1) PRECIOUS MEDAL pacer gets the best post in a wide open race. (3) CRUISE ON OSBORNE owns only one win on the year but could be in line for a ground saving trip; use underneath.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Finger Lakes (4th) Zeddemore, 3-1
(9th) Readygetsgold, 7-2


Mountaineer (1st) Starship Quality, 9-2
(5th) Alternate Plan, 3-1


Parx Racing (1st) Echo Libra, 8-1
(6th) Sense of Peace, 7-2


Turf Paradise (3rd) Knife Fork Zoom, 3-1
(6th) Kissin Dancer, 10-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Grand Salami - November

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
11/1 12 64 54 UNDER
11/2 7 36.5 39 OVER
11/3 1 5 7 OVER
11/4 12 65.5 56 UNDER
11/5 3 15.5 15 UNDER
11/6 10 54.5 56 OVER
11/7 5 26.5 26 UNDER
11/8 12 63.5 77 OVER
11/9 5 27.5 29 OVER
11/10 2 10.5 11 OVER
11/11 11 60.5 60 UNDER
11/12 2 11 18 OVER
11/13 9 49 53 OVER
11/14 6 32.5 28 UNDER
11/15 12 64.5 62 UNDER
11/16 6 31.5 33 OVER
11/17 1 5.5 6 OVER
11/18 11 - - -

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Leafs becoming a favorite for Over bettors
Stephen Campbell

The Toronto Maple Leafs have become a fantastic play for bettors banking on high totals recently, evidenced by the Over going 5-1 in the Leafs' last six outings.

The Leafs welcome Nashville to the Air Canada Centre in NHL action Tuesday. The Preds are presently slight +103 road dogs for the matchup.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Under bettors profiting in Columbus-Detroit meetings
Stephen Campbell

When the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Detroit Red Wings get together, low totals are the norm.

The Under has gone 5-1 in the last six meetings between the two clubs. They'll renew acquaintances Tuesday in Ohio.

Columbus enters the game on an a losing skid, dropping nine out of their last 11 matchups.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red-hot Blues listed as dogs vs. Bruins
Stephen Campbell

The St. Louis Blues, otherwise known as the hottest team in the NHL, will be in action once again Tuesday.

The Blues - winners of 10 of their last 11 games - travel to Beantown for a date with the Boston Bruins.

Despite that, the Blues are listed as slight +102 road dogs for the affair.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lowly Sabres look to knock off Sharks once again
Stephen Campbell

The Buffalo Sabres' struggles this season have been well documented, but they'll look to act as David once again when they face Goliath Tuesday.

On Oct. 25, Buffalo took down the high-flying San Jose Sharks at home. The Sabres were huge underdogs for the contest (+355 on the moneyline).

They'll host the Sharks once again in Western New York on a night full of NHL action. Oddsmakers have Buffalo pegged as +212 home dogs this time around.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA roundup: Kings file protest over loss
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

The NBA announced Monday that the Sacramento Kings have protested the team's 111-110 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Nov. 13 at FedExForum.

The basis for the Kings' protest is that guard Courtney Lee's game-winning shot should have been disqualified as having been made after time expired.

Under the protest procedures in the NBA Constitution, Memphis and Sacramento each will have an opportunity to submit evidence in support of its position and the protest will be decided by Dec. 2.

With just 0.3 of a second showing on the clock, Grizzlies guard Vince Carter threw an overhead inbounds pass from the side of the court to under the basket. Lee raced to meet the ball and tossed it in, looking over his shoulder to see if the red light on the backboard had come on yet. It hadn't.

The officials spent several minutes reviewing the play. The Kings' bench believed that Ryan Hollins, who was guarding Carter, had tipped the pass.


--The Phoenix Suns recalled two rookies, guard Tyler Ennis and forward T.J. Warren, from the Bakersfield Jam of the NBA Development League.

The 6-foot-3, 175-pound Ennis, the 18th overall pick of the 2014 draft from Syracuse, has appeared in two games with the Suns this season. Warren (6-8, 230), the 14th overall selection from North Carolina State, has played in one game with the Suns.


--The Sacramento Kings recalled rookie forward Eric Moreland from Reno of the NBA Development League.

The 6-foot-10, 218-pound Moreland, who played at Oregon State, was assigned to Reno on Nov. 4 and played in two games for the Bighorns. He totaled 30 points with 26 rebounds, three assists, five steals and one block in 58 minutes in starting both games.

--The Cleveland Cavaliers recalled rookie center Alex Kirk from the Canton Charge of the NBA Development League.

The 7-foot, 245-pound Kirk, 23, has appeared in two games for the Cavs this season, scoring two points.


-- The Los Angeles Lakers will be without forward Ryan Kelly for at least six weeks after he tore his right hamstring on Sunday night against the Golden State Warriors.

Kelly was examined on Monday morning when an ultrasound revealed the injury.

He has appeared in three games this season and averaged 3.7 points a game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pelicans going Over ahead of meeting with Kings
Stephen Campbell

After coming out of the gate red-hot this season, the Sacremento Kings have come back down to earth ahead of their contest against the New Orleans Pelicans Tuesday.

The Kings (6-4 SU) have gone 1-3 after a 5-1 start. Meanwhile, Anthony Davis and the Pelicans have become a fantastic play for Over bettors, evidenced by the Over going 5-0 in their last five outings as of Monday.

Sacramento is currently listed as 3.5-point home faves with an O/U of 200.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Struggling Lakers seek first road win in Atlanta
Stephen Campbell

It's been a tough go for the Los Angeles Lakers this season (1-9 SU), particularly away from home.

The Lakers have yet to pick up a win away from the Staples Center, but they'll have an opportunity to do just that Tuesday against the Atlanta Hawks in Georgia.

Kobe Bryant's crew is currently listed as +9.5 road dogs with a totla of 211.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'College Hoops'

College Basketball takes center stage Tuesday with the marquee matchup featuring 19-th ranked Michigan State taking on 4-th ranked Duke in the Legends Classic. Blue Devils dealing nicely without Jabari Parker, Rodney Hood who moved to the NBA are off dominating wins over Presbyterian (113-44), Fairfield (109-59) covering the 30+ in each contest. Spartans dealing without Gary Harris, Adreian Payne, Keith Appling accounting for 44.3 PPG last season barely got past Navy (64-59) in it's opener failing to cover the 17.5 point spot. These two last met in the 2012-13 NCAA Tournament a game Duke won 71-61 cashing as 2-point favorite. The victory pushed Blue Devils run vs Spartans to 3-0 (1-2 ATS) and 7-1 (2-5-1 ATS) the past eight encounters. Blue Devils 17-3 in these November non-conference games (13-7 ATS), Spartans 2-8 (4-6 ATS) in early Nov/Dec games vs the ACC the Blue Devils are the choice.