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Tuesday 10/24/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12200 Class Rating: 72
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 HUNDRED PERCENT 4/1
# 5 BUSTIN TO GET HOME 5/2
# 4 SHORE TO PARTY 3/1
HUNDRED PERCENT has a decent shot to take this race. Displays strong Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. Has run admirably when racing a dirt sprint race. Win percentage with this jockey and handler combo - 29 percent - sound. BUSTIN TO GET HOME - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figs of this group. Must be considered here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone. SHORE TO PARTY - He has been running well and the Equibase speed figs are among the best in this group of horses in this race. With a nice class figure average of 81, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group of horses in this race.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12200 Class Rating: 72
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 HUNDRED PERCENT 4/1
# 5 BUSTIN TO GET HOME 5/2
# 4 SHORE TO PARTY 3/1
HUNDRED PERCENT has a decent shot to take this race. Displays strong Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. Has run admirably when racing a dirt sprint race. Win percentage with this jockey and handler combo - 29 percent - sound. BUSTIN TO GET HOME - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figs of this group. Must be considered here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone. SHORE TO PARTY - He has been running well and the Equibase speed figs are among the best in this group of horses in this race. With a nice class figure average of 81, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group of horses in this race.
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 77
Rating: 4
#7 CREDIT ALERT (ML=6/1)
#4 ACT THE PART (ML=3/1)
CREDIT ALERT - Not much speed in this race other than this pony. Always be careful of the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Entered last at Mountaineer Park in a race with a class figure of 83. Dropping considerably in class rating in today's event puts her in a solid position right here. You probably should disregard that last affair at Mountaineer Park on a track listed as good where she finished out of the top three. Should do well in this event under normal track conditions. ACT THE PART - This racer coming off a good contest in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. Nice return on investment for this jock and trainer twosome. Looked very good in last race at Mountaineer Park. A quick turnaround means Baird thinks she can do it again. A repeat of that last race on Oct 16th where she garnered a speed rating of 68 looks high enough to triumph in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 HIGH REWARDS (ML=2/1), #2 CHASE THE MUSIC (ML=7/2), #1 NASHA NADEZHDA (ML=9/2),
HIGH REWARDS - This filly showed little last time out of the box. Unlikely for this thoroughbred to make an impact with no recent good showings in a sprint contest. CHASE THE MUSIC - Garnered a most unsatisfactory speed rating last out in a $15,000 Claiming race on October 4th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that figure. NASHA NADEZHDA - This filly recorded a speed fig in her last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 CREDIT ALERT to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Bar
Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 77
Rating: 4
#7 CREDIT ALERT (ML=6/1)
#4 ACT THE PART (ML=3/1)
CREDIT ALERT - Not much speed in this race other than this pony. Always be careful of the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Entered last at Mountaineer Park in a race with a class figure of 83. Dropping considerably in class rating in today's event puts her in a solid position right here. You probably should disregard that last affair at Mountaineer Park on a track listed as good where she finished out of the top three. Should do well in this event under normal track conditions. ACT THE PART - This racer coming off a good contest in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. Nice return on investment for this jock and trainer twosome. Looked very good in last race at Mountaineer Park. A quick turnaround means Baird thinks she can do it again. A repeat of that last race on Oct 16th where she garnered a speed rating of 68 looks high enough to triumph in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 HIGH REWARDS (ML=2/1), #2 CHASE THE MUSIC (ML=7/2), #1 NASHA NADEZHDA (ML=9/2),
HIGH REWARDS - This filly showed little last time out of the box. Unlikely for this thoroughbred to make an impact with no recent good showings in a sprint contest. CHASE THE MUSIC - Garnered a most unsatisfactory speed rating last out in a $15,000 Claiming race on October 4th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that figure. NASHA NADEZHDA - This filly recorded a speed fig in her last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 CREDIT ALERT to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows
Portland Meadows - Race 5
Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 14% Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 2:52P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500, IF FOR $2,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SHARP FOCUS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has th e highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KINGS COURT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TIME ON THE RUN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last star t was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ABEJA: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yar ds if a Quarter Horse race).
4
SHARP FOCUS
7/2
4/1
7
KINGS COURT
5/2
7/1
2
TIME ON THE RUN
4/1
7/1
3
ABEJA
15/1
9/1
Portland Meadows - Race 5
Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 14% Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 2:52P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500, IF FOR $2,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SHARP FOCUS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has th e highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KINGS COURT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TIME ON THE RUN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last star t was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ABEJA: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yar ds if a Quarter Horse race).
4
SHARP FOCUS
7/2
4/1
7
KINGS COURT
5/2
7/1
2
TIME ON THE RUN
4/1
7/1
3
ABEJA
15/1
9/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 85
Rating: 4
#2 START JUMPING (ML=8/1)
#6 DO A LEGGER (ML=8/1)
#5 PROMISE ILLGETYOU (ML=15/1)
START JUMPING - This jock and trainer have a beneficial ROI when they unite. Jockey jumped on this gelding's back for the first try on Oct 2nd. Should be in tune with the horse even better this race. This one has increased his speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking note of. DO A LEGGER - Really believe this beautiful animal is going to be on the money near the finish line. PROMISE ILLGETYOU - Trainer Serey moves this animal down in class to face weaker company. Look for a solid race in this race. I like that recent race on Oct 7th at Meadowlands where he finished third.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BIG TOWN (ML=2/1), #4 DIMENSION (ML=9/2), #8 THESE BLUES (ML=5/1),
BIG TOWN - This morning-line favorite may be out of form without any recent works. If you keep selecting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down regularly. DIMENSION - I can't play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the job done now and then. THESE BLUES - When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to record a much better speed fig than in the last race to compete in this dirt route.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #2 START JUMPING to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 85
Rating: 4
#2 START JUMPING (ML=8/1)
#6 DO A LEGGER (ML=8/1)
#5 PROMISE ILLGETYOU (ML=15/1)
START JUMPING - This jock and trainer have a beneficial ROI when they unite. Jockey jumped on this gelding's back for the first try on Oct 2nd. Should be in tune with the horse even better this race. This one has increased his speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking note of. DO A LEGGER - Really believe this beautiful animal is going to be on the money near the finish line. PROMISE ILLGETYOU - Trainer Serey moves this animal down in class to face weaker company. Look for a solid race in this race. I like that recent race on Oct 7th at Meadowlands where he finished third.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BIG TOWN (ML=2/1), #4 DIMENSION (ML=9/2), #8 THESE BLUES (ML=5/1),
BIG TOWN - This morning-line favorite may be out of form without any recent works. If you keep selecting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down regularly. DIMENSION - I can't play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the job done now and then. THESE BLUES - When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to record a much better speed fig than in the last race to compete in this dirt route.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #2 START JUMPING to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
The Walker Group at Thistledown
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 8.2f on the Dirt. Purse: $10300 Class Rating: 83
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 11 SEGOVIA 8/1
# 10 SPANISH ARMADA 15/1
# 12 SCARECROW 8/1
SEGOVIA looks formidable to best this group especially at a long price. Inirio has this horse running well and is a decent selection based on the very strong speed figures earned in route races lately. Has decent Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet for this event. SPANISH ARMADA - Should be given a shot based on the decent Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last competition. Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 72 Equibase speed fig which is one of the most respectable in this group of horses in this race. SCARECROW - Has earned formidable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Gamblers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 8.2f on the Dirt. Purse: $10300 Class Rating: 83
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 11 SEGOVIA 8/1
# 10 SPANISH ARMADA 15/1
# 12 SCARECROW 8/1
SEGOVIA looks formidable to best this group especially at a long price. Inirio has this horse running well and is a decent selection based on the very strong speed figures earned in route races lately. Has decent Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet for this event. SPANISH ARMADA - Should be given a shot based on the decent Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last competition. Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 72 Equibase speed fig which is one of the most respectable in this group of horses in this race. SCARECROW - Has earned formidable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Gamblers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA
ZIA - Race 2
2nd Half Early Daily Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta 1st Leg .50 Pick 3/ 2nd Leg Pick 4
Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 12:37
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PROUD CECILIA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LITTLE BIT LOUDER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. I'M A LEGEND: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in th e top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GEE WHIZ VERA: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
9
PROUD CECILIA
15/1
4/1
6
LITTLE BIT LOUDER
3/1
6/1
2
I'M A LEGEND
6/1
8/1
8
GEE WHIZ VERA
6/1
9/1
ZIA - Race 2
2nd Half Early Daily Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta 1st Leg .50 Pick 3/ 2nd Leg Pick 4
Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 12:37
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PROUD CECILIA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LITTLE BIT LOUDER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. I'M A LEGEND: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in th e top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GEE WHIZ VERA: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
9
PROUD CECILIA
15/1
4/1
6
LITTLE BIT LOUDER
3/1
6/1
2
I'M A LEGEND
6/1
8/1
8
GEE WHIZ VERA
6/1
9/1
Soccer
Italy – Serie A
2:45pm ET
Inter v Sampdoria
Last Head-To-Heads at Inter:
1-2 (Sampdoria win)
3-1 (Inter win)
2-0 (Inter win)
1-0 (Inter win)
Recent Form:
Inter: 4-0-1
Samdporia: 3-1-2
KEY STAT: Inter have won five home Serie A matches in a row
EXPERT VERDICT: Inter’s 100 per cent home record faces a test from Sampdoria, who are up to sixth in Serie A following a 5-0 crushing of Crotone. However, Samp have yet to play anyone in the current top eight so assessing the form of Marco Giampaolo’s men isn’t straightforward but Inter should be able to get the job done in a low-scoring contest.
RECOMMENDATION: Inter to win 1-0 (1)
Italy – Serie A
2:45pm ET
Inter v Sampdoria
Last Head-To-Heads at Inter:
1-2 (Sampdoria win)
3-1 (Inter win)
2-0 (Inter win)
1-0 (Inter win)
Recent Form:
Inter: 4-0-1
Samdporia: 3-1-2
KEY STAT: Inter have won five home Serie A matches in a row
EXPERT VERDICT: Inter’s 100 per cent home record faces a test from Sampdoria, who are up to sixth in Serie A following a 5-0 crushing of Crotone. However, Samp have yet to play anyone in the current top eight so assessing the form of Marco Giampaolo’s men isn’t straightforward but Inter should be able to get the job done in a low-scoring contest.
RECOMMENDATION: Inter to win 1-0 (1)
Soccer
England – EFL Cup
2:45pm ET
Swansea v Manchester United
Referee: Robert Madley
Last Head-To-Heads at Swansea:
0-4 (Manchester United win)
1-3 (Manchester United win)
2-1 (Swansea win)
2-1 (Swansea win)
Recent Form:
Swansea: 2-3-1
Manchester United: 4-1-1
KEY STAT: Man Utd have scored in all bar one game this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Jose Mourinho has a soft spot for the League Cup and is likely to approach it in cautious fashion as he looks to progress to the quarter-finals. United have kept clean sheets in five of their last nine games, while Swansea have failed to score in five of nine matches against top-flight teams.
RECOMMENDATION: Manchester United to win 2-0 (1)
England – EFL Cup
2:45pm ET
Swansea v Manchester United
Referee: Robert Madley
Last Head-To-Heads at Swansea:
0-4 (Manchester United win)
1-3 (Manchester United win)
2-1 (Swansea win)
2-1 (Swansea win)
Recent Form:
Swansea: 2-3-1
Manchester United: 4-1-1
KEY STAT: Man Utd have scored in all bar one game this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Jose Mourinho has a soft spot for the League Cup and is likely to approach it in cautious fashion as he looks to progress to the quarter-finals. United have kept clean sheets in five of their last nine games, while Swansea have failed to score in five of nine matches against top-flight teams.
RECOMMENDATION: Manchester United to win 2-0 (1)
