Tuesday 10/21/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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Welcome to the new sponsor of the Rx Service Thread: Cappers File - The Largest Online Database For Rating Handicappers


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Champions League TODAY 17:00
CSKA Mosc.vMan City
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS511/2

16/5

4/7

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CSKA MOSC.RECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: CSKA Moscow have won one of their last six European home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: It’s almost must-win territory for Manchester City and they can get their Champions League campaign back on track with a victory in a game behind closed doors in the Russian capital. CSKA have already lost to Roma and Bayern Munich and look out of their depth at this level.

RECOMMENDATION: Man City
2


REFEREE: Istvan Vad STADIUM:

 

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Champions League TODAY 19:45
ChelseavNK Maribor
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
ITV1/7

13/2

20

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CHELSEARECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Chelsea have won five of their six home matches this season

EXPERT VERDICT: This Stamford Bridge clash appears to be one of the biggest mismatches in this season’s Champions League. Jose Mourinho may even have one eye on Sunday’s trip to Manchester United but whatever starting 11 he selects should be good enough to comfortably overcome the threat of Maribor.

RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea 3-0
1


REFEREE: Danny Makkelie STADIUM:

 

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Champions League We 22Oct 19:45
AnderlechtvArsenal
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SKY115/4

14/5

4/5

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ANDERLECHTRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Arsenal have kept one clean sheet in their last nine matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal’s weakened defence was once again exposed in the Premier League as the Gunners were held to a 2-2 draw by Hull on Saturday and Arsene Wenger’s side could be involved in another high-scoring shootout. The Gunners are great going forward but can’t be trusted to keep a clean sheet.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
2


REFEREE: STADIUM: Constant Vanden Stock Stadium

 

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Champions League We 22Oct 19:45
LiverpoolvReal Madrid
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS515/4

29/10

4/5

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LIVERPOOLRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Real Madrid have scored 32 goals in their last seven matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Free-scoring Real Madrid have been in sensational form in recent weeks and the champions can defeat Liverpool at Anfield. There is not as much to fear from the Reds these days with Luis Suarez at Barcelona and Daniel Sturridge injured and Madrid can warm up for El Clasico with a win on Merseyside.

RECOMMENDATION: Real Madrid
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Europa League Th 23Oct 18:00
PAOK SalonikavFiorentina
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
ESPN19/10

23/10

7/5

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT PAOK SALONIKARECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: PAOK are unbeaten in their last 14 home fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Fiorentina are the standout team in Group K but their matchday three clash with PAOK is the toughest of their schedule and they may settle for a point. The Italians have a big match away to Milan on Sunday and may rest key man for the clash with PAOK, who have won four and drawn one of their last five home games.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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Europa League Th 23Oct 18:00
LillevEverton
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
ITV46/5

23/10

9/4

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LILLERECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in eight of Everton's 11 games this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Lille's excellent defensive standards have slipped recently with Ligue 1 defeats to Lyon (3-0) and Guingamp (2-1) so Everton should not fear their trip to northern France. The Toffees ended their recent slump with a fine home win over Aston Villa and Roberto Martinez's men are worth backing to earn a draw.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 
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Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 8
By Mike Rose

Week 8 of the 2014 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the rankings and see how they did from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.

(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)

1) Mississippi State (Bye)

2) Florida State (W-L vs. Notre Dame 31-27)
The Noles never looked the part of the better team against Notre Dame, but the coast should be clear from here.

3) Ole Miss (W-W vs. Tennessee 34-3)
After falling behind 3-0, the Rebs never looked back against UT.

4) Baylor (L-L vs. West Virginia 41-27)
Baylor couldn't survive a second straight bad first three quarters, and it was knocked from the ranks of the unbeatens.

5) Notre Dame (L-W vs. Florida State 31-27)
A suspect offensive pass interference call is what gave the Irish their first loss of the year.

6) Michigan State (W-W vs. Indiana 56-17)
There was a point that MSU was in a dog fight with Indiana, but a 28-0 second half changed all of that.

7) Alabama (W-W vs. Texas A&M 59-0)
Did you really think that Alabama was done? Not after that win, you don't.

8) Auburn (Bye)

9) Oregon (W-W vs. Washington 45-20)
There were no problems for the Quack Attack this week against U-Dub.

10) Georgia (W-W vs. Arkansas 45-32)
Everyone has really forgotten who Todd Gurley is in Athens.

11) Oklahoma (L-L vs. Kansas State 31-30)
The Sooners' kicking woes took them out of title contention once and for all.

12) TCU (W-W vs. Oklahoma State 42-9)
Was TCU that good, or was Okie State that bad? It's a question that begs to be asked for sure.

13) Ohio State (W-W vs. Rutgers 56-17)
JT Barrett has the biggest test of his career next week in Happy Valley.

14) Kansas State (W-W vs. Oklahoma 31-30)
That's two straight trips to Norman in which the Wildcats have pulled off the big upset.

15) Oklahoma State (L-L vs. TCU 42-9)
Don't be stunned if the Cowboys don't win another game this year.

16) East Carolina (Bye)

17) Arizona (Bye)

18) Arizona State (W-W vs. Stanford 26-10)
Mike Bercovici has made the QB competition interesting in Tempe.

19) Nebraska (W-W vs. Northwestern 38-17)
Another 146 yards and four TDs for Ameer Abdullah against NW.

20) Stanford (L-L vs. Arizona State 26-10)
The Cardinal never figured they would be 4-3 through seven games.

21) Texas A&M (L-L vs. Alabama 59-0)
That win over South Carolina in Week 1 feels like forever ago.

22) Clemson (W-L vs. Boston College 17-13)
Cole Stoudt is clearly no Deshaun Watson, and the Tigers might be struggling for it.

23) Utah (W-W vs. Oregon State 29-23)
The Utes survived on the road in Corvallis, and they have a real shot to seize control of the Pac-12 North next week against USC.

24) Marshall (W-W vs. FIU 45-13)
Does anyone care that Rakeem Cato has 19 TDs and 1,912 yards this year?

25) USC (W-W vs. Colorado 56-28)
Four first quarter TDs made this one a no-contest early.
 
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QB Kelly expected to start for Arizona State
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Arizona State quarterback Taylor Kelly, who missed the past three games with a foot injury, is expected to return to the starting lineup for the Sun Devils next game against Washington on Saturday, Arizona State coach Todd Graham said Monday.

Kelly has not played since suffering the injury in the Sept. 13 victory over Colorado.

Backup Mike Bercovici finished that game and started the next three. The Sun Devils were 2-1 in the games Bercovici started, losing to UCLA, but then beating USC and Stanford in a difficult three-game stretch.

Bercovici has completed 62.2 percent of his passes with 10 touchdown passes and two interceptions. He also threw the Hail Mary pass that beat USC on the final play of the game.

Despite Bercovici's recent success, Graham has said all along that Kelly would regain the starting job when he was healthy enough to play. Kelly is more mobile than Bercovici and gives the Sun Devils a running threat that Bercovici doesn't.

For the season, Kelly has completed 42-of-68 passes for 625 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions while rushing 19 times for 168 yards and two more scores.

The 14th-ranked Sun Devils are 5-1, including 3-1 in the Pac-12 South, while Washington is 5-2 overall and 1-2 in the Pac-12 North.
 
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Clemson's leading rusher out for season
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Clemson freshman running back Adam Choice, the team's leading rusher, suffered a torn ACL in Saturday's game against Boston College and will miss the rest of the season, coach Dabo Swinney said Monday.

Choice is expected to have surgery within a few weeks and should be ready to play at the start of the 2015 season.

He ends his season with 218 rushing yards.

The 21st-ranked Tigers (5-2, 4-1 ACC) will also be without tight end Jordan Leggett for several weeks after he suffered a knee injury in Saturday's game.

On the positive side, running back Dyshon Dye, who has not played this season after tearing his Achilles tendon last February, is expected to practice this week and could play Saturday. Dye redshirted the 2013 season because of a back injury.
 
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NCAAF opening line report: LSU faces statement game vs. Ole Miss
By COLIN KELLY

Mississippi at Louisiana State (+3)

Unbeaten Mississippi is ranked No. 3 in the country heading into Week 9 of the college football season, with a 7-0 SU record. More important for bettors backing the Rebels, though, is that they are ranked No. 2 against the spread, having yet to lose to the oddsmakers, with a 6-0-1 ATS record.

Keeping both those streaks intact won’t come easy in a Southeastern Conference that’s been eating its own all season. Ole Miss hopes to keep its championship hopes alive when it travels to the bayou this week to face Louisiana State (6-2 SU and ATS).

The Rebels rolled Tennessee 34-3 to easily cash as a 16-point home chalk Saturday, while LSU is coming off a 41-3 home trouncing of Kentucky laying 11.5 points.

“Tennessee was a very real overlook spot for the Rebs, and they played a complete game,” said John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu. “I’d say this is the best team in the country, but I still don’t trust their quarterback (Bo Wallace).

“And just when everyone was ready to write off LSU, they come back with a big win. They could make a major statement here.”

Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears (+18.5)

These Pac-12 rivals square off in a Friday night game, with No. 7 Oregon (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) continuing its quest to try to get back into the four-team playoff picture. Since their stunning 31-24 home loss to Arizona, the Ducks rolled over UCLA 42-30 giving 1.5 points on the road, then thumped Washington 45-20 as a 21-point home fave.

After going 4-1 SU and ATS in its first five games, California (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) has dropped two in a row, but the Golden Bears gave UCLA all it could handle Saturday before losing 36-34 as a 6.5-point home underdog.

“We’ve seen a massive uptick from the Ducks' offense since their left tackle (Jake Fisher) returned. Marcus Mariota remained relatively clean against a pretty good pass-rushing team Saturday,” Lester said. “Cal is so one-dimensional offensively and bad defensively, I don’t know if they can keep up.

Southern California Trojans at Utah Utes (+1)

No. 19 Utah (5-1 SU and ATS) is just a few minutes away from a perfect record this season, with its only loss coming on a late TD in a 28-27 setback at Washington State. The Utes have been a big surprise, beating Michigan at the Big House – though the Wolverines are awful – and following their lone loss with a 30-28 upset at UCLA and a 29-23 overtime win at Oregon State last Thursday giving 1.5 points.

No. 21 Southern Cal (5-2 SU and ATS) has also won its last two SU and ATS, pummeling visiting Colorado 56-28 on Saturday as a 19.5-point fave.

“We expect to see a lot of groundwork between these two teams,” Lester said. “The Utes have been fantastic for their backers this year, but USC is a very public team, so we had to be wary of those factors when setting the line.”

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-17)

You can’t say much good about Michigan (3-4 SU and ATS), but Michigan State (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) is another story. The fifth-ranked Spartans’ lone loss came at Oregon in a game they were in through three quarters before getting flattened late 46-27 as a 14-point road pup in Week 2.

Since then, they’ve won five in a row SU (3-2 ATS), including a 56-17 road beatdown of Indiana on Saturday as an 11.5-point favorite. Michigan is coming off a bye, after fending off Penn State 18-13 as a 2.5-point chalk to end a three-game SU slide.

“I’m not so sure Mark Dantonio doesn’t have one of the top four teams in the nation. The Spartans are impressive, and they finished a game decisively this week (at Indiana),” Lester said. “I don’t have much to say about this one. Michigan is garbage, and in a rivalry situation, this could get ugly.”
 
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NCAAF Line Watch: Bettors should jump on Marshall now
By STEVE MERRIL

Each week during the college football season, Steve Merril looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Marshall -28 vs. Florida Atlantic

Marshall opened as a 26-point home favorite over Florida Atlantic, and the line quickly moved up to -28. The Thundering Herd are a perfect 7-0 SU on the season, and they need all the style points they can in order for a remote shot at getting into the 4-team playoff discussion.

Florida Atlantic has been awful on the road this season. The Owls are 0-4 SU with three of their losses coming by 48, 41, and 28 point margins. Marshall has a potent offense that is averaging 47.4 points per game on an incredible 7.8 yards per play this year. Knowing they need to win by big margins, laying the 28 points now with Marshall would be a prudent move by bettors.


Spread to wait on

Tennessee +17 (vs. Alabama)

This line came out with Alabama as a 16-point road favorite at Tennessee, and most sports books have already moved this game up to -17/-17.5 after early money came in on the Crimson Tide. This line will likely go higher once the public gets involved.

Alabama comes in off a 59-0 win over Texas A&M while Tennessee enters off a 34-3 blowout loss as 16-point underdogs at Mississippi. Both teams played the Rebels and lost, yet Alabama is laying more points into the Vols despite playing on the road. The value will be on the home dog in this game, especially closer to kick off.


Total to watch

Vanderbilt at Missouri

Vanderbilt and Missouri have two of the worst offenses in the country this season. The Commodores are only averaging 17.6 points per game on just 4.7 yards per play. The Tigers are only averaging 5.1 yards per play despite scoring 30.7 points per game. Those numbers are not in line with each other, and represent Missouri’s fortune of scoring on short drives, defense, and special teams.

Both teams also possess decent enough defenses to stifle the opposing offense. Vanderbilt is allowing 5.7 yards per play versus offenses averaging 6.0 yards per play. Missouri has even better numbers, allowing 4.7 yards per play versus opponents averaging 5.9 yards per play. If this total comes out at 45 or higher, there will be value with the Under.
 
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NCAAF

ARKANSAS ST (4 - 2) at LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) - 10/21/2014, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAF

Trends

ARKANSAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Arkansas State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
 
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College Football Trends

College Football Betting Trends - Tues, Oct. 21

Arkansas State at UL - Lafayette, 8:00 ET
Arkansas St: Red Wolves 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 conference games.
UL - Lafayette: Ragin' Cajuns 1-6 ATS vs. team w/winning road record
 
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Royals to start Shields, Ventura in Series
The Sports Xchange

The Kansas City Royals announced Saturday that James Shields and Yordano Ventura will start the first two games of the World Series against the San Francisco Giants.

Shields is expected to face Giants left-hander Madison Bumgarner in Game 1 on Tuesday. Ventura will likely face San Francisco's Jake Peavy in Game 2 on Wednesday.

The first two games of the series are in Kansas City.

Shields is 1-0 with a 5.63 ERA in three postseason starts. Bumgarner is 2-1 with a 2.42 ERA in four playoff starts.

Ventura has no decisions with a 4.85 postseason ERA in three games -- two starts. Peavy is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA in two postseason starts.
 
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No clear fave in Game 1 of World Series
Stephen Campbell

The San Francisco Giants and the Kansas City Royals get the World Series underway Tuesday, and as of Sunday, there doesn't appear to be a clear favorite.

The National League champion Giants are currently slight -106 moneyline faves, with Kansas City's line sitting at -102.

A pair of aces will square off on the mound, with Madison Bumgarner getting the nod for San Fran and "Big Game James" Shields taking the ball for the Royals.

The total for the contest is presently 6.5.
 
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Tim Lincecum didn’t pitch in the NLDS or NLCS, but he’ll be on the World Series roster
by Alex Pavlovic

The Giants used 24 of 25 players on the NLDS roster and did the same in the NLCS. The missing man was the same both times: Tim Lincecum.

Still, manager Bruce Bochy will have Lincecum on the World Series roster. He said the Giants likely will keep the same group that beat the St. Louis Cardinals in five games to clinch a World Series matchup with the Kansas City Royals.

“Timmy has done a lot for us — I’ll start with that,” Bochy said of Lincecum’s inclusion. “When you get in the postseason, there is probably going to be a guy or two who doesn’t get a lot of work, but that doesn’t mean he might not play a key role.”

Bochy pointed at Game 2 in Washington in the NLDS, when Yusmeiro Petit threw six innings out of the bullpen but was going to be lifted at that point. Lincecum would have pitched the 19th inning, but Brandon Belt hit a homer in the 18th and the Giants held on for the win.

Lincecum didn’t go through a full workout Saturday because he woke up with a stiff neck. He threw briefly and then ran back to the clubhouse with a trainer, but the Giants don’t think the discomfort will linger.

They’re not worried about Lincecum’s last start against the Royals, either. He gave up six earned runs in 3 1/3 innings on August 10 and the speedy Royals swiped five bases off Lincecum, who has always had trouble holding runners. Bochy said he trusts him in the World Series.

“You can’t ever have enough pitching and experience,” Bochy said. “I think about Tim, trust me, and the fact that he hasn’t been out there. I haven’t forgotten about what he’s done and what he could do for us.”
 
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World Series notebook: Giants hold experience edge
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

KANSAS CITY, Mo. -- The San Francisco Giants have been here before, winning the 2010 and 2012 World Series.

The Kansas City Royals have not been to this biggest baseball stage since 1985, when they defeated the St. Louis Cardinals in seven games. That also was the last time the Royals were in the playoffs, so most of their players are postseason neophytes.

Advantage Giants.

"I can imagine any time you've done something more than your opponent, it's going to make it easier to understand the weight of the situation," Royals eighth-inning setup reliever Wade Davis said. "I think we're all pretty comfortable where we are right now. We've played in some pretty big games and beat some really good teams."

The Royals are 8-0 in postseason play, sweeping the Los Angeles Angels and the Baltimore Orioles after rallying to top the Oakland Athletics in extra innings in the wild-card game.

Both teams worked out Monday afternoon with the World Series set to begin Tuesday night at Kauffman Stadium. Right-hander James Shields will start for the Royals against Giants left-hander Madison Bumgarner.

While the Royals have the home-field advantage, that does not faze the Giants, who are 16-5 on the road in postseason play since 2010.

"That's tough to explain," Bumgarner said. "It definitely has worked that way for us. I don't know the numbers, but it does seem like we're not really affected much by being on the road. Obviously, you would like to be at home. Home-field advantage is a little bit of an advantage. But we're here, and we're playing the cards we were dealt."

While Bumgarner will be working on his normal four days of rest, Shields has not pitched in 11 days.

"Resting and some bullpen action, just trying to repeat my delivery in my bullpen sessions," Shields said. "I think this late in the year almost too much throwing is too much, so I've just kind of rested by body up for (Tuesday)."


--Jarrod Dyson is the Royals' fourth outfielder and deluxe pinch runner, but he has become a go-to guy for the media.

After the Royals won the first two American League Championship Series games in Baltimore, he predicted the series would not return to Camden Yards, and it did not.

"It's not a time for a prediction," Dyson said Monday. "I can't give you guys no headlines, man. I'm sorry. That's my new name now, 'Headline.' (My teammates) gave me a new name because I give you guys a headline, talking crazy."

Dyson stole third base on his own in the ninth inning of the wild-card game against Oakland and scored the tying run on right fielder Nori Aoki's sacrifice fly. If he had been thrown out, the Royals probably would have been eliminated.

"That was a gutsy move by me. If I get thrown out right there, the whole city is ready to kill me," Dyson said with a laugh.


--Giants right-hander Tim Lincecum, a two-time National League Cy Young Award winner, has not pitched since Sept. 28 and has not started since Aug. 23.

Bochy said Lincecum had a good bullpen session Sunday.

"We need to have him ready because you don't know what's going to happen in the game," Bochy said. "He's ready to go and he's healthy. It's an old adage, all hands on deck, and he's one of them. If it's the right spot, he'll be out there."

Bochy said Lincecum, who went 12-9 this season with a 4.47 ERA in 33 games, including 26 starts, is mentally handling his situation "great."

"Really been upbeat about it, he understands," Bochy said. "He's done so much, including this year. You go back to '12 and he was a weapon in the bullpen, and he could be that this series. I feel bad for him that he didn't get to pitch against Washington or St. Louis because I think a lot of Timmy.

"There was never any thought of not having him on this roster. Not just having him on the roster, but the fact that he could help us at some point."


NOTES: Bochy said Michael Morse would be the Giants' designated hitter for the series opener, with Travis Ishikawa, who hit the game-winning home run in the series clincher against St. Louis, playing left field. Bochy also said the Giants' World Series roster will remain unchanged from the group that won the National League Championship Series. The 25-man rosters must be set Tuesday. ... The Royals' Ned Yost said he is a completely different manager than when he managed the Milwaukee Brewers from 2003-08. "I think I've learned to let my players be themselves," Yost said. "Because I have great coaches, I think I listen a lot more than I did back then. I'm pretty hard-headed, a little more flexible, and use the tremendous experience we have in our coaching staff to my benefit and our benefit." ... This is the second time in the wild-card era (since 1995) two wild-card teams advanced to the Fall Classic. The previous time was 2002, when the Anaheim Angels beat the Giants in seven games. ... This is the second time two teams reached the World Series after recording fewer than 90 victories during the regular season (excluding the strike-shortened 1981 season). The Giants went 88-74, while the Royals finished 89-73. In 1918, the Red Sox (75-51) beat the Cubs (84-45) in the World Series.
 

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