Tuesday 1/27/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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[superbeets]

Capital One Cup TODAY 19:45

Chelsea

v

Liverpool

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		13/20	3	5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CHELSEA	RECENT FORM
ALHWHWAWADHL​ Most recent​	2 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 2	HDAWAWAWHDHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Liverpool have scored in all of their last five matches at Stamford Bridge

EXPERT VERDICT: Liverpool were the better side in the 1-1 first-leg draw against Chelsea with Raheem Sterling the chief tormentor and he seems to have benefitted greatly from his winter break. The 20-year-old looks a possible match winner and is worth an interest to score the first goal with Chelsea lacking slightly in confidence at moment.

RECOMMENDATION: R Sterling first goalscorer
1


REFEREE: Michael Oliver STADIUM:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 7:48 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$6000 - LATE-CLOSING EVENT 18 - THE `BETTER LATE THAN NEVER` - CONDITION CLAIMING $7,500 FOR 5-YEAR-OLDS AND UNDER IN 2014 THAT ARE NW 5 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES OR $25,000 LIFETIME THROUGH DEC. 1, 2014. SECOND LEG CLAIMING PRICE - $9,500. DILLANDER PICKED 3 OVER 4


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 HENRY BLUE CHIP 6/1


# 1 DIRECTLY RELATED 8/5


# 4 PROGRESIVE HANOVER 4/1


Really keen on the likelihood of HENRY BLUE CHIP taking down the winner's share for this one. Good for a win play just off the amazing prior class ratings. Have to like this contender. Deserves a shot given the positive win rate he sports. The number crunching team will always throw in a horse from the 5 slot here at Pompano Park, definitely worth a look. DIRECTLY RELATED - Could very well be the most compelling in the field of starters here, showing competitive ratings of late. Average speed is a solid 79. Had one of the most solid TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the group of animals in his last competition. A good idea to use in your bets. PROGRESIVE HANOVER - Getting a good feel about this gelding. Could surprise in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 4:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$13000 - NON-WINNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 3,4& 5 YEAR OLD COLTS, HORSES & GELDINGS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 BLACKTREE 7/2


# 1 KEYSTONE MEMPHIS 3/1


# 6 THEREISAPACEFORUS 6/1


BLACKTREE sure does look ready to end up in the winner's circle. Take a look at this nice horse's average speed number of 84 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a good wager. Has a substantial shot here, if he can perform to his back class. This race horse will be greatly helped with Sears driving. 20 percent winners the last 30 days. KEYSTONE MEMPHIS - Post 1 has been winning at an above average percentage, suggesting great probability of success here. Composite pace figures say this race should shape up nicely for this gelding. Looking for a big effort. THEREISAPACEFORUS - A good class horse cannot be passed over. With an average class stat of 85 all signs say this is the one to beat. With Dube in the sulky, watch out for this race horse to get the victory.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 110y on the Dirt. Purse: $3200 Class Rating: 71

QUARTER HORSE 110Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 SPEEDIN INDIAN 9/2


# 3 COLE HUNTER 9/2


# 7 CHITA DENIEBE 3/1


SPEEDIN INDIAN looks to be the wager in here. Will probably compete soundly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group of horses. Should be given a chance - I like the numbers from the last race. Trejo has this filly racing well and is a respectable choice based on the very strong speed figures put up in short races lately. COLE HUNTER - With a formidable ROI of +16 this conditioner has shown respectable results with entries running at this distance and surface. Ramirez will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out sharply in here. CHITA DENIEBE - Should definitely be carefully examined in this contest if only for the very good speed figure earned in the last affair.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4700 Class Rating: 82

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 1, 2014. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 DISCO D 5/2


# 6 MAN CHESTER MAN 4/1


# 5 STARDEMALION 6/1


I like DISCO D here. He has been running very well and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the most competitive in this field. Respectable selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Is a contender - given the 82 speed figure from his most recent race. MAN CHESTER MAN - Must be considered - I like the figures from the last competition. With a nice class fig average of 88, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this field. STARDEMALION - Maelfeyt has him trained strongly to break quickly out of the gate. Ought to be given a chance for this event if only for the solid speed figure posted in the last contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Sam Houston - Race #6 - Post: 3:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 53

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 SENOR BIG (ML=3/1)


SENOR BIG - Delany drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping info to figure that this horse has a good chance at this level. This animal is number one in earnings per race. He looks strong in today's event. Trying to win for the 1st time moving from a race on the grass to the dirt. I think Delany will have him in good shape for today's contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CITY CLASSIC (ML=2/1), #4 BIG MESA (ML=9/2), #2 LEARTES (MEX) (ML=6/1),

CITY CLASSIC - You should normally gamble against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. BIG MESA - Just can't invest in this entrant. Didn't show me anything last time around the track or on October 24th. This gelding earned a speed figure in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. LEARTES (MEX) - Don't believe this mount is worth 6/1 in this event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 SENOR BIG to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,500 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 ICE STORM (ML=8/1)
#5 HACHI (ML=8/1)
#4 DARN REY (ML=15/1)


ICE STORM - Taking a trip down the class scale; has the power to make his presence felt. Look for this one to go gate to wire in victory at some decent odds today. Ran eighth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the finish line. He has the highest earnings per race entered. Give the once over to this thoroughbred. HACHI - I sense an early battle developing here. If that happens, this gelding will be in perfect striking position to run down the leaders. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Sub-par effort last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour was due to the off-going (he finished tenth). Expect better today without the off-track conditions. Faced tougher last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. DARN REY - When Ocasio and Manning are put together on animals the ROI has been fantastic at +69.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MONEYINTHECUVEE (ML=5/2), #1 MONEY MAKES (ML=3/1), #3 DESTIND TO PAY (ML=7/2),

MONEYINTHECUVEE - Tough to put your money on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this entrant does. Hasn't raced or had any works since December 17th. Not much value on this favorite. MONEY MAKES - I predict disappointment for this horse in this contest. DESTIND TO PAY - Hard to keep chasing this sort of 'hanger' horse.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - ICE STORM - Some may pass on this one given his lackluster showing at Mahoning Valley Race Cour in last race. But that was in the slop. Beware this animal today.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 ICE STORM to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Harness: Track cancellations for Monday, Tuesday

Due to a potent winter storm which is predicted to dump upwards of two feet of snow in the New York Tri-State area, multiple tracks have cancelled live racing.

Yonkers Raceway will not conduct its card on either Monday evening or Tuesday afternoon.

Monticello Raceway cancelled racing for Tuesday afternoon.

The Meadows and Freehold, which were both scheduled to race Monday afternoon, also cancelled racing.

The Meadowlands moved its qualifiying races from Thursday at 9:30 a.m. to Friday at the same time.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Money Makes, 3-1
(7th) The Evil Edge, 4-1

Sam Houston (4th) Shining Value, 6-1
(6th) Big Mesa, 9-2

Turf Paradise (3rd) You Done Good, 6-1
(6th) Two Turns, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Grand Salami - January

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
1/1 2 10.5 10 UNDER
1/2 8 43 37 UNDER
1/3 10 52.5 74 OVER
1/4 7 37 46 OVER
1/5 1 5 5 PUSH
1/6 10 55.5 51 UNDER
1/7 4 22 23 OVER
1/8 10 55.5 58 OVER
1/9 5 26.5 33 OVER
1/10 11 58 58 PUSH
1/11 3 16 20 OVER
1/12 3 17.5 15 UNDER
1/13 10 54.5 64 OVER
1/14 4 21.5 18 UNDER
1/15 10 55.5 47 UNDER
1/16 6 32 34 OVER
1/17 12 64.5 69 OVER
1/18 4 21.5 33 OVER
1/19 7 37.5 37 UNDER
1/20 8 45.5 47 OVER
1/21 6 33.5 36 OVER
1/22 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/23 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/24 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/25 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/26 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/27 11 - - -
1/28 3 - - -
1/29 11 - - -
1/30 5 - - -
1/31 11 - - -

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Leafs posting ugly numbers after All-Star break
Stephen Campbell

Late season collapses have become the norm for the Toronto Maple Leafs in recent years, a trend that give their fans and backers plenty of reason to be concerned as the regular season begins to draw to a close.

Since the 2011-12 campaign, the Leafs are an NHL-worst 16-32-7 straight-up after the All-Star/Olympic break. The Buds have hit the mid-season wall sooner than usual this year and are currently sitting in 11th place in the Eastern Conference with a 22-23-3 record.

Toronto will return to the ice Wednesday when they travel to the Garden State for a date with the New Jersey Devils.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Preview: Bulls (29-17) at Warriors (36-6)

Date: January 27, 2015 10:30 PM EDT

Having missed an opportunity to further their momentum last time out, the Chicago Bulls could find it extremely difficult to get back into the win column in the opener of a six-game road trip.

The Bulls have the daunting challenge of trying to end the Golden State Warriors' 19-game home win streak and become the first Eastern Conference team to defeat them this season Tuesday night.

Chicago (29-17) had won back-to-back games after dropping six of eight, beginning with a 104-81 rout of San Antonio on Thursday. The Bulls couldn't keep that streak going Sunday, when they shot just 35.6 percent in a 96-84 loss to Miami and had 12 of their 87 attempts blocked by the Heat's Hassan Whiteside.

"I don't know if there's a straight explanation for it," forward Pau Gasol said. "We're trying to get ourselves going, get in some kind of rhythm but we haven't been able to do it yet."

Mike Dunleavy's 13-game absence due to an ailing right ankle hasn't helped, and Joakim Noah sat out four consecutive contests with his own ankle problems before playing the last two. Dunleavy and Noah are both questionable for Tuesday.

Chicago could use all the help it can get against the league-leading Warriors (36-6), who are currently on pace for 70 wins. The 1995-96 Bulls (72-10) are the only team to reach that mark.

Golden State has collected the majority of its victories at home, where it's 21-1 and has set a franchise mark with its current win streak. The Warriors are also the first team to open 14-0 against the Eastern Conference in a season since the 1971-72 Los Angeles Lakers won their first 19.

They've taken five in a row overall, with the latest a 114-111 victory against visiting Boston on Sunday. Klay Thompson followed up his career-best 52-point effort from Friday - when he set NBA records with nine 3-pointers and 37 points in a quarter - with a team-leading 31.

The Warriors nearly squandered a 13-point lead in the final 2:24, but Thompson helped keep the Celtics at bay by scoring his team's final seven points. It was just the fourth game during Golden State's run at home decided by single digits and the first since a 114-109 victory over Oklahoma City on Dec. 18.

"Now we've got some things to address in practice," center Andrew Bogut said. "The end-of-game execution wasn't great. We made some bonehead plays the last three or four minutes and let them back into the game."

Golden State is seeking to become the first team to win 20 consecutive home games in a single season since Denver took 23 in a row Jan. 20-April 17, 2013. Memphis had a 22-game streak that began in February and ended Dec. 5.

Thompson had 24 points in Golden State's only other matchup with the Bulls this season, a 112-102 win in Chicago on Dec. 6, and Draymond Green led the way with a career-high 31.

The Warriors have won four of their last five and 12 of the last 15 at home over Chicago, including a 102-87 victory in the most recent visit Feb. 6.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Game of the Day: Bulls at Warriors

Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors (-9.5, 210.5)

Klay Thompson set the bar ridiculously high with his NBA-record 37 third-quarter points on Friday but managed to follow that performance up in fine form as the Golden State Warriors stayed hot. Thompson will try to post his third straight game with 30 or more points when the Warriors host the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday. The Bulls looked strong in back-to-back wins over San Antonio and Dallas last week but fell at home to Miami on Sunday and are beginning a six-game trip.

Thompson “slumped” to 31 points in a win over the Boston Celtics on Sunday after matching the NBA season high with 52 on Friday and is averaging 31.8 points on 56.5 percent shooting in the last five games. The budding superstar will get a stiff test from another standout two-guard in Chicago’s Jimmy Butler, who remains strong on the defensive end even while his offense has slipped of late. Butler slumped to a season-low five points on 2-of-8 shooting in 43 minutes during Sunday’s 96-84 loss to the Heat.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, NBATV, CSN Chicago, CSN Bay Area (Golden State)

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Warriors as 9.5-point faves, which is where it currently sits at the time of writing.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The oddsmakers have been forced to start inflating the point spread on the Warriors as Golden State has been an ATS covering machine this season. Golden State started the season 28-12-1 (70% ATS) before failing to cover as an -18 point favorite on Sunday versus the Celtics. It will be interesting to see if that straight-up win, but point spread loss, is a sign of things to come as no team in recent history has gone a whole season hitting 70% ATS or better. In fact, each year there is only one to two teams maximum that even cover 60% ATS over the course of 82 games, so Golden State is probably due for some point spread regression in the near future." Steve Merril

ABOUT THE BULLS (29-17): Chicago’s 16-6 road record is bested only by Golden State (15-5) and Atlanta (17-5), and the Bulls have already earned road wins against Western Conference powers Dallas, Memphis and the Los Angeles Clippers. “Three games in four nights coming up,” forward Pau Gasol told reporters. “It’s going to be a challenging road trip. But this is what the league is about, challenges and see how well you do.” Gasol is averaging 16.7 rebounds over the last three games and has posted six straight double-doubles.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (36-6): Golden State has won a franchise-record 19 straight games at home but had an NBA-record streak of 11 straight home wins by at least 13 points come to an end in Sunday’s 114-111 win over the Celtics. “This is the point of the schedule when it gets really tough to get up emotionally night after night after night,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr told reporters. “It was kind of a workmanlike effort. We didn’t do anything glaringly inefficient. For the most part, we did our jobs. We just didn’t have a lot of life and legs.” One player who did show some legs was All-Star Stephen Curry, who cut to the basket for a rare dunk late to fire up the bench and notched his third straight game in double figures in assists with 11.

TRENDS:

* The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings
* The Over is 5-1 in the Warriors' prior six contests
* The Over is 4-1 in their last five matchups
* The Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall

CONSENSUS: 52 percent of users are on the Bulls.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Central foes square off'

Cleveland (25-20, 19-26 ATS) looks to take advantage of Detroit minus Jennings when the two teams square off at 'The Palace of Auburn Hills' on Tuesday. Cavaliers recently knocking off Thunder 108-98 hit the hardwood ridding a 6-0 SU/ATS streak behind 119.2 points per 100 possessions. Pistons (17-28, 20-25 ATS) not playing very good defense the past three allowing opponents to shoot an average 51.0% from the field in dropping 111.7 points per 100 possessions were unable to solve Toronto last time out falling 114-110 as Raptors hit 53.1% of their shots. The offshores aren't giving Detroit much of a chance as they have Cleveland 7.5 road favorite. But, before jumping on King James and his Cavaliers a few interesting betting numbers you should be aware of. Pistons handed Caves a 23 point thrashing in Cleveland earlier this year as 7 point underdogs. Pistons has been a solid play when receiving less than 10 points lately posting a 10-3 mark at the betting window. Cavaliers are 8-13 ATS on the road including 5-7 ATS as chalk. Cavaliers have a peculiarity of behavior when playing Tuesday, as they're 1-5 ATS. One final betting nugget. For whatever reason Pistons have been able to handle LeBron at 'The Palace' - Pistons won five straight (5-0 ATS) vs Cleveland on this floor before LeBron skipped town and while James was with Miami the Pistons went 6-1 (4-3 ATS) hosting Heat.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GOLF Big names at Phoenix Open

Tournament: Waste Management Phoenix Open
Date: Jan. 29 - Feb. 1
Venue: TPC Scottsdale Golf Course
Location: Scottsdale, Arizona

The “Greatest Show on Grass” makes its return Thursday, as the golfers head to the desert for one of the most exciting events of the year, the Waste Management Phoenix Open. This tourney has been played at TPC Scottsdale since the 1987 season and has recently begun aligning with the Super Bowl, which is coincidently in Glendale, AZ this year.

Golfers deal with more than a half million attendees over their four days on the par-71, 7,216-yard course and will be faced with one of the most famous holes in golf, the par-three 16th which is surrounded by boisterous fans in a stadium atmosphere.

Last season it was Kevin Stadler who had the hot hand as he posted four consecutive rounds of 68 or better and just beat out Graham DeLaet and Bubba Watson, who finished just one stroke behind Stadler.

Tiger Woods will make his return this weekend and will join Arizona State alum Phil Mickelson in what anticipates being one of the better tournaments of the year.

Let’s look at a few players who can turn up the heat in the desert this weekend and grab a victory.

Golfers to Watch

Bubba Watson (14/1): Watson has had no issues tearing it up at this course in the past with top-15 finishes in each of the past three seasons, including being the runner-up last season after leading the field with an average drive of 337.4 yards. He already has a victory under his belt this season, and should have no issues navigating this course with his big stick (300.6 yards per drive, 26th on tour) as he looks to improve one spot from last year and take home the trophy.

Phil Mickelson (23/1): It seems as if everyone is on Mickelson’s side when he heads to this course with his fellow Arizona State alum cheering him on, and he has rewarded them with three victories, with his last coming in 2013. He warmed up with a solid 24th-place showing at the Humana Challenge and should be able to wow the locals once again with his amazing wedge play as he looks to prove to the world that he still has some wins left in his tank.

Ryan Palmer (30/1): Palmer just keeps putting up big performances, and is due for his first win on the PGA Tour since the 2010 season after rattling off three top-25 finishes to start the year. He proved what he can do with a 61 on Friday of the Humana Challenge when he shot 10-under par of an eight-hole stretch and finished the event in 10th place. Palmer should be considered one of the safer picks to fight for first place come Sunday afternoon.

Brendan Steele (35/1): Steele has managed to make the cut in each of his five events so far this year and is coming off a runner-up performance at the Humana Challenge where he shot a 64 on Sunday. His past performances at this course really put him in the limelight, as he has been in the top-6 each of the past three seasons, and has shot a 69 or better in 10-of-12 rounds during that period. He feels comfortable at this course and should feed off his solid play from last week to come up big in Scottsdale.

Scott Piercy (40/1): Piercy is another player who comes to the Waste Management Open with both recent success this year and past success at this course. He’s finished in the top-17 at four of his past six outings, including a second-place showing at the Sony Open, and shot a 67 in three of the four rounds last year, as he finished in a tie for 15th place. The odds are still low for Piercy, but he looks primed and ready for his third career PGA Tour win.

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Odds

Bubba Watson 14/1
Jordan Spieth 15/1
Tiger Woods 18/1
Matt Kuchar 20/1
Rickie Fowler 20/1
Phil Mickelson 23/1
Hideki Matsuyama 24/1
Patrick Reed 24/1
Bill Haas 27/1
Ryan Palmer 30/1
Brendan Steele 35/1
Gary Woodland 35/1
Harris English 35/1
Hunter Mahan 35/1
Justin Thomas 35/1
Billy Horschel 40/1
Scott Piercy 40/1
Brooks Koepka 45/1
Charley Hoffman 45/1
Graham Delaet 45/1
Ryan Moore 45/1
Russell Henley 50/1
Keegan Bradley 55/1
Jamie Donaldson 60/1
Robert Streb 60/1
Francesco Molinari 65/1
Martin Laird 65/1
Nick Watney 65/1
Zach Johnson 70/1
Charles Howell III 75/1
Jason Dufner 75/1
Brandt Snedeker 85/1
Kevin Na 85/1
Sang-Moon Bae 85/1
Shawn Stefani 85/1
Kevin Chappell 95/1
J.B. Holmes 100/1
Seung-Yul Noh 100/1
Jason Kokrak 110/1
Tony Finau 110/1
Ben Martin 120/1
Cameron Tringale 120/1
Brendon de Jonge 130/1
Brian Harman 130/1
Kevin Streelman 130/1
Boo Weekley 140/1
Pat Perez 140/1
Rory Sabbatini 140/1
Russell Knox 140/1
Scott Stallings 140/1
Daniel Summerhays 170/1
Jonas Blixt 170/1
Matt Every 170/1
Matt Jones 180/1
Camilo Villegas 190/1
Sung Joon Park 190/1
Jason Bohn 200/1
Angel Cabrera 220/1
Erik Compton 220/1
Geoff Ogilvy 220/1
George McNeill 220/1
K.J. Choi 220/1
Mark Wilson 220/1
Michael Putnam 220/1
Morgan Hoffmann 220/1
James Hahn 230/1
Robert Garrigus 230/1
Spencer Levin 230/1
Steven Bowditch 230/1
Aaron Baddeley 240/1
David Hearn 240/1
Adam Hadwin 250/1
Andres Romero 250/1
Andrew Svoboda 250/1
Billy Hurley III 250/1
Bo Van Pelt 250/1
Brian Davis 250/1
Brian Stuard 250/1
Brice Garnett 250/1
Bryce Molder 250/1
Carl Pettersson 250/1
Carlos Ortiz 250/1
Chad Campbell 250/1
Charlie Beljan 250/1
Chesson Hadley 250/1
Chez Reavie 250/1
Chris Stroud 250/1
Daniel Berger 250/1
Danny Lee 250/1
David Toms 250/1
Derek Fathauer 250/1
Freddie Jacobson 250/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250/1
Jeff Overton 250/1
Jhonattan Vegas 250/1
John Huh 250/1
John Merrick 250/1
Justin Hicks 250/1
Justin Leonard 250/1
Ken Duke 250/1
Kenny Perry 250/1
Kevin Kisner 250/1
Kyle Stanley 250/1
Lucas Glover 250/1
Luke Guthrie 250/1
Martin Flores 250/1
Michael Thompson 250/1
Nicholas Thompson 250/1
Nick Taylor 250/1
Padraig Harrington 250/1
Retief Goosen 250/1
Ricky Barnes 250/1
Robert Allenby 250/1
Ryo Ishikawa 250/1
Scott Langley 250/1
Stewart Cink 250/1
Tim Wilkinson 250/1
Troy Merritt 250/1
William McGirt 250/1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB Cornhuskers visit Ann Arbor

Nebraska Cornhuskers (12-7) at Michigan Wolverines (12-8)

Crisler Center - Ann Arbor, MI
Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Line: Michigan -4

Michigan looks to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss on Saturday when it hosts Nebraska on Tuesday night.

John Beilein’s team really struggled in the non-conference season, but the Wolverines (7-10-1 ATS, 11-6 UNDER) have started to play their best basketball of the season. On Saturday, Michigan had a chance to win against double-digit-favorite Wisconsin, taking the Badgers to overtime before falling 69-64. This is not a good sign for Tuesday, considering the Wolverines are 1-5 ATS following an SU loss this season.

The Cornhuskers (6-9-1 ATS, 8-4 UNDER) have won four of their past five games (4-0-1 ATS), including a 79-77 win over 2-point favorite Michigan State on Saturday. They haven't been bothered by tired legs either, going 9-1 SU (4-4 ATS) when playing with 0-to-2 days' rest this season.

But Nebraska is not a good road team at 1-4 SU (1-3-1 ATS), where it has scored a meager 60.8 PPG. It has also yet to win in this series since joining the Big Ten, going 0-4 SU, but 2-2 ATS.

The game in Ann Arbor last season was completely dominated by Michigan who led 49-21 at half and cruised to a 79-50 win. SG Caris LeVert was outstanding for the Wolverines with 16 points (5-of-7 FG), seven rebounds and five assists, but he suffered a season-ending foot injury earlier this month.

The Cornhuskers have a subpar offense this season at 65.3 PPG on 43.4% FG (30.5% threes) and average a meager 10.1 APG with 13.2 TOPG. The defense of Nebraska has helped the team overcome its offensive struggles, as it limits opponents to 61.4 PPG on 38.1% FG (30.0% threes). The biggest reason for the offensive struggles is the inability to share the ball, and the fact that the Huskers have not been able to find a third scorer.

SG Terran Petteway (19.6 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 2.5 APG, 1.2 SPG) and SF Shavon Shields (16.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.2 APG, 1.2 SPG) are one of the best scoring duos in the country, but they are both much better when they are driving to the hoop. Petteway was awful in Ann Arbor last season (5 points, 2-of-10 FG, 4 turnovers) and Shields played well offensively (team-high 13 points), but contributed only one rebound and zero assists in his 28 minutes.

PF Walter Pitchford (7.2 PPG, 4.9 RPG) is a guy that has to step up if the Cornhuskers are going to make a run in Big Ten play. Despite his 6-foot-10 frame, he has the ability to shoot from long range, but after knocking down 41% threes last season, he's dropped to a 31% three-point clip this season. Pitchford is also coming off a game where he failed to score in four minutes before being ejected for throwing an elbow. If Pitchford, whose hometown is Grand Rapids, MI, cannot stay on the court, it will be very difficult to beat Michigan.

It has been a real struggle for the Wolverines' offense this season, and it has gotten even more difficult with top scorer, SG Caris LeVert (14.9 PPG), missing the remainder of the season due to an injury.

Michigan scores only 64.9 PPG on 41.2% FG, but makes 8.2 threes per game on a strong 35.4% clip. Its assists are low (12.2 APG), but this team has an outstanding 9.9 turnovers per game. The team plays solid defense with just 62.1 PPG allowed, but opponents are shooting 43.8% FG and 34.5% threes.

SG Zak Irvin (13.6 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 36% threes) is emerging as the go-to guy on the offense to fill in for LeVert. He is more of a slasher, but he is continuing to develop a shot from the three-point line. He came off the bench against the Cornhuskers last season at home and scored 16 points (4-of-9 threes) in just 19 minutes of action.

Sophomore PG Derrick Walton Jr. (10.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.2 SPG) has done a nice job of keeping the team together as a leader. He does a nice job of limiting his turnovers (1.8 TOPG), which is huge for a player who constantly has the ball in his hands. But he needs to do a better job finding the open man with only five assists and eight turnovers in the past three games combined.

Freshman PF Ricky Doyle (6.8 PPG, 65% FG, 3.0 RPG in 18.2 MPG) is going to have to step up and become a third scorer for the team. He has great size in the paint at 6-foot9, 245 pounds, and does a nice job of getting position on the block. However, he has to become a much better rebounder for a team that has really struggled to win the battle on the boards with a minus-2.0 RPG margin for the season.

Michigan cannot afford to give up many second opportunities, especially considering it will need as many possessions as it can get in order to raise its scoring average.

 

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NCAAB

Pitt was +9 in turnovers (20-11) in 62-57 double OT home win LY over Virginia Tech, game they trailed by 4 with 0:40 left. Panthers are 3-4 in last seven games, but lost last two to Duke/Louisville; they're 1-2 on road in ACC, with only win by point at BC. Tech lost 50-47 to Virginia here Sunday; Hokies are 0-6 in ACC but 4-2 vs spread, with home losses by 2-25-3 points. ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-8 vs spread.

Kansas State won three of four vs West Virginia in Big X play, winning both meetings here by 10-22 points. Wildcats won five of last six games, are 2-1-1 as home favorites, winning by 5-7-2-10 points. West Virginia is 2-2 in last four games, losing last road game by 27 at Texas, after winning first two road games at TCU/Tech. K-State is 89-54 in league play since Huggins coached here 8 years ago, 28-52 before he got there. Big X favorites are 12-3 vs spread in games with spread of less than 4 points.

Michigan won all four Big 14 games with Nebraska, winning by 15-29 in two games played here; Wolverines are 2-1 as home favorites, winning by 8-5-2 points, with OT loss to Wisconsin Saturday. Nebraska won four of last five games; they're 0-2 on Big 14 road, pushing both games in losses by 11-15 points. Huskers are shooting only 29.9% behind arc in Big 14 games. Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-10 vs spread.

LaSalle is 5-3 in last eight games with St Joe's, winning two of last three here; Explorers are 0-2 as home favorites, 2-4 SU in conference, winning by 13-11 points. St Joe's lost to a bad Penn team Saturday; they're 0-3 on A-14 road, losing by 3-15-9 points- Hawks lost six of last eight overall. LaSalle's only A-14 home loss was to UMass; they've got second-worst eFG% in conference. A-14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-3.

Georgetown won six of last seven games since 70-53 loss at Xavier (-5) in Big East opener; Hoyas are 4-0 at home in conference, 1-2 as favorites, with wins by 15-6-2-20 points. Xavier is 0-3 as road underdogs, losing road games by 3-12-7-3 points- home side won all eight of their games in conference. Big East home favorites of 6 or less points are 5-9 vs spread. Home side won both series games LY, with Xavier losing by 22 here and winning by 13 at home.

VCU is 3-1 vs George Washington in A-14 games, winning by 27-17 in games played here, by 19 in A-14 tourney LY. Rams won last 11 games, last three by 6 or less points; they're 0-2 as home favorites, winning by 6-15 points- they're 1-4 vs spread in last five games. Colonials won last four and 10 of last 11 games; they're 1-2 as underdogs this season, all in non-conference games. GW is 2-1 on A-14 road, losing at LaSalle.A-14 home favorites of 8 or less points are 11-5 vs spread.

Kent State won 13 of last 14 games with Central Michigan, winning last seven here, last three by 8+ points. Chippewas are 4-2 in MAC, 1-2 on road, with losses by 18 at Ball St., 6 at Akron. Kent won/covered their last five games; they're 3-1 as home favorites, winning by 6-10-7 points after loss to Bowling Green in opener. MAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 7-4 vs spread. Central is making 42.6% of its 3's; Flashes are leading MAC in defending the 3-point shot.

Tulsa is surprising 7-0 and atop AAC in their first year in league; they're 4-0 on AAC road with three wins by 7 or less points. Hurricane force a TO 22% of time in league, but shoot only 25.3% on arc. Tulane lost four of last six games; they're 1-2 at home, with its only win in OT over USF- they lost to Memphis by 2, at UCF in triple OT. AAC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 4-2 vs spread. Tulsa covered five of last six games.

Wyoming won its last two games in OT- they've won nine of last ten; its only loss was at home to San Diego State. Cowboys are 3-0 on road in Mountain West, winning by 5-6-5 points. Utah State lost three of its last five games, with losses by 9-6-2 points. Home side won both Wyoming-Utah State games LY; Cowboys lost by 11 here, won by 17 in Laramie. Wyoming scored 53 or less points in all three of its losses. Mountain West home underdogs are 4-6-1 vs spread.

Tennessee won five of last seven games with Arkansas but lost last two in this gym by 3-13 points; home side won last five series games. Vols won three of last four games,. are 3-0 on SEC road, allowed 53.3 ppg in wins by 14-8-4 points. Arkansas won its last two games by total of three points; four of their six SEC games were decided by 5 or less. SEC home favorites of 7+ points are 6-8 vs spread. Tennessee turns ball over 22.8% of time in SEC play, not good against Razorbacks' pressure.

Florida won its last nine games with Alabama, winning last four here, but those Gators aren't these Gators. Florida is 10-9, 3-3 in SEC, losing last three games, with losses at Georgia/Ole Miss- their only win in last four road games was by 4 at South Carolina. SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-9-1 vs spread. Crimson Tide lost three of its last four games, with three of those four decided by two points. Bama won two of three SEC home games, losing only to Kentucky.

Baylor won five of last seven games with Oklahoma State, winning two of last three visits here; Bears won three of last four games, are 1-2 away from home, losing by 10 at Oklahoma, 2 at K-State with win at TCU in OT. Cowboys lost three of last four games; they're 3-0 as Big X home favorites, winning home games by 14-11-20 points. Home teams are 6-1 vs spread in their conference games. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-4 against the spread.

Home side won six of seven Boise State-Colorado State games; Rams lost last three visits here by 17-11-20 points. Boise won/covered its last four games, beating UNLV/San Jose at home. Rams also won four in row, with win over San Diego State Saturday; they're 2-1 on MW road, losing by 13 at New Mexico, winning at Air Force/San Jose- four of their five wins on road this season were by 5 or less points. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 2-6 vs spread.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Tuesday's free selection: Eastern Michigan Eagles - 5 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: Michigan -4½ Over Nebraska