Less than a year out from the 2024 presidential election, the most compelling figure in the race hasn’t won his party’s nomination.
He hasn’t even been on a debate stage with his rivals.
But a poll released Tuesday shows former President Donald Trump sweeping six states among voters surveyed — and the biggest name among third-party candidates so far is cutting into President Joe Biden’s support.
Trump leads Biden in the states of Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
To be fair, a Trump win would be expected in Florida, which has gone from purple to staunchly red after a generation of Republican control over the state government. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Trump’s second closest competitor for the GOP nomination, won re-election there in 2022 by nearly 60 percent of the vote, making the current politics of the Sunshine State a “battleground” for Democrats in the sense that a game against the Harlem Globetrotters is a “battleground” for the Washington Generals.
North Carolina has also been fairly safe ground for Republicans in recent years, as Politico reported in January, despite perennial Democratic vows to make it competitive. The last Democrat to win the state, according to Politico, was Barack Obama in 2008. Even he didn’t win it on his second try.
But it’s the other states — legitimately battleground, up-for-grabs, electorate-that-looks-like-America states — that should have Democrats losing sleep.
And a man named Robert F. Kennedy Jr. should be giving them nightmares.
More Biden 2020 than Trump 2020 voters say they would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. if he was a candidate in all six states polled,” Redfield and Wilton reported. “In fact, more than twice as many Biden 2020 as Trump 2020 voters would vote for RFK Jr. in North Carolina (11 percent vs 5 percent) and Michigan (11 percent vs 4 percent).”
Imagine being a Democratic strategist suddenly confronted with the potential loss of 11 percent of the Biden 2020 vote to RFK, with the knowledge that the party is already shaky among its black voter base — its most reliable element.
The November numbers are no better for Biden in the other four states: Trump beat him in Arizona 40-33 percent; Florida, 44-34 percent; Georgia, a stunning 45-35 percent (considering the 2020 results and the indictment Trump is facing there); and North Carolina, 44-35 percent.
It’s important to note here that Biden won Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2020 only by the slimmest of margins. (With election fraud)
Any one of those states could have gone the other way (and in all honesty, probably did), and Tuesday’s poll just backs up that a 2024 election featuring the same match-up could have exactly the opposite results.
The Biden presidency is a disaster, and every American who can read knows it. (Admitting it to a pollster is a different question.)
The man himself has visibly aged in the public eye. A guy who might have “lost a little off his fastball” back in 2020 sometimes doesn’t seem capable of lifting his arm these day (or knowing what an “arm” is).
And there is one joker in the deck that, if it’s still in play come next October, is likely to be giving Democrats fits.
If that’s making for sleepless nights now, in 10 months it could have Democrats wetting the bed.
He hasn’t even been on a debate stage with his rivals.
But a poll released Tuesday shows former President Donald Trump sweeping six states among voters surveyed — and the biggest name among third-party candidates so far is cutting into President Joe Biden’s support.
Trump leads Biden in the states of Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
To be fair, a Trump win would be expected in Florida, which has gone from purple to staunchly red after a generation of Republican control over the state government. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Trump’s second closest competitor for the GOP nomination, won re-election there in 2022 by nearly 60 percent of the vote, making the current politics of the Sunshine State a “battleground” for Democrats in the sense that a game against the Harlem Globetrotters is a “battleground” for the Washington Generals.
North Carolina has also been fairly safe ground for Republicans in recent years, as Politico reported in January, despite perennial Democratic vows to make it competitive. The last Democrat to win the state, according to Politico, was Barack Obama in 2008. Even he didn’t win it on his second try.
But it’s the other states — legitimately battleground, up-for-grabs, electorate-that-looks-like-America states — that should have Democrats losing sleep.
And a man named Robert F. Kennedy Jr. should be giving them nightmares.
More Biden 2020 than Trump 2020 voters say they would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. if he was a candidate in all six states polled,” Redfield and Wilton reported. “In fact, more than twice as many Biden 2020 as Trump 2020 voters would vote for RFK Jr. in North Carolina (11 percent vs 5 percent) and Michigan (11 percent vs 4 percent).”
Imagine being a Democratic strategist suddenly confronted with the potential loss of 11 percent of the Biden 2020 vote to RFK, with the knowledge that the party is already shaky among its black voter base — its most reliable element.
The November numbers are no better for Biden in the other four states: Trump beat him in Arizona 40-33 percent; Florida, 44-34 percent; Georgia, a stunning 45-35 percent (considering the 2020 results and the indictment Trump is facing there); and North Carolina, 44-35 percent.
It’s important to note here that Biden won Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2020 only by the slimmest of margins. (With election fraud)
Any one of those states could have gone the other way (and in all honesty, probably did), and Tuesday’s poll just backs up that a 2024 election featuring the same match-up could have exactly the opposite results.
The Biden presidency is a disaster, and every American who can read knows it. (Admitting it to a pollster is a different question.)
The man himself has visibly aged in the public eye. A guy who might have “lost a little off his fastball” back in 2020 sometimes doesn’t seem capable of lifting his arm these day (or knowing what an “arm” is).
And there is one joker in the deck that, if it’s still in play come next October, is likely to be giving Democrats fits.
If that’s making for sleepless nights now, in 10 months it could have Democrats wetting the bed.
