Trentmoney 2008 Bowls

[trentmoney]

most of my plays will be later in the season so no reason to jump now with suspensions/ineligibles but taking one now as it's right around a key number

1* oregon st/pitt u52.5

total opened at 56 and immediately got bet down, and for good reason!!!

pittsburgh a team that looks to run the ball (almost 60/40 split) and bill stull is less than impressive at qb and going against an attacking d-llne and secondary with 4 seniors

oregon st loses top playmakers james and possibly jacquizz rodgers, along w/ back up rb francies, so offense falls on the shoulders of 1st yr starter moveao, who certainly has played well but now minus key elements...pittsburgh defense solid, vulnerable to the pass but good in the front 7

at this number both teams need to score in the high 20's or one must score in the 30's to go over...compared to other games at similar numbers (rutgers/nc st, uga/msu, gtech/lsu) there seems to be less offensive firepower and qb play in this game than the others, thus creating good value imo

good luck

 

[jimmyshivers]

like the logic bud don't know alot about either of these teams but the style of pittsburgh and the injuries of OSU make the total seem kinda high. Interested to see your write up on the Clemson game u mentioned in the GS thread. Keep 'em comin.

 

[GoSooners]

Trent...BOL this bowl season. Looking forward to seeing your other plays.

 

[trentmoney]

4* TCU -2.5

frogs have the staples that i look for when backing a team:
great defense
good run game and balanced offense (over 200 yds rush/pass)
2yr starter at QB

they're also a little more battle-tested playing in a tougher conference than boise...gary patterson always has his defense ready and likes to think of his squad as a "bcs" type team playing in a non-bcs league, which is why he has played oklahoma, texas, or texas tech in each of the last 5 years...the chance to end boise's undefeated season, an opportunity they missed out on when they outplayed but lost to utah, should keep their focus

good luck

 

[pezgordo]

4* TCU -2.5

frogs have the staples that i look for when backing a team:
great defense
good run game and balanced offense (over 200 yds rush/pass)
2yr starter at QB

they're also a little more battle-tested playing in a tougher conference than boise...gary patterson always has his defense ready and likes to think of his squad as a "bcs" type team playing in a non-bcs league, which is why he has played oklahoma, texas, or texas tech in each of the last 5 years...the chance to end boise's undefeated season, an opportunity they missed out on when they outplayed but lost to utah, should keep their focus

good luck

I agree. Good luck Trent.

 

[MSUSpartans]

I also like TCU. Good luck in the bowls this year trent!

 

[trentmoney]

GS, pez, sparty-

good luck on the bowls!!
always appreciate your thoughts and insights in my thread

 

[brewser2]

anyone worried about the corner for TCu who is acedemically inelgible?

 

[MSUSpartans]

anyone worried about the corner for TCu who is acedemically inelgible?

"TCU junior linebacker Daryl Washington, fourth on the team with 57 tackles, could see additional playing time with starter Robert Henson out because of academic reasons"

Not too worried as it doesnt change their gameplan. They will continue to blitz the hell out of BSU and their freshman QB.

 

[trentmoney]

anyone worried about the corner for TCu who is acedemically inelgible?

tcu plays a 4-2-5 alignment so their 3rd lb who is starting tonight has plenty of experience as sparty just mentioned above...their extra safety plays as a "fast" linebacker to get more speed on the field who's able to drop into coverage as well...tcu has been a top-level defense for years, and it's not just because of this one player...scheme and coaching are more important to the success of this defense

i try not to get too caught up with injuries unless they all occur at the same position

:toast:

 

[MSUSpartans]

Bad beat last night Trent. Liking ND tonight for a small play. Any thoughts?

 

[trentmoney]

just got on now...hope you took ND last night

 

[trentmoney]

2* FSU -5.5

FSU finally got the run game going this year, which is why trickett and fisher were brought in, and it made a huge difference in their offense...defense has always been solid, now go against a weaker version of badgers team

wisky can always run the ball, but recent years they've at least had a threat in the passing game, first with lee evans, then brandon williams, and then travis beckum, who's missed most of this year due to injuries...but the big difference and real problem w/ this badgers team is their defense...poor tackling and actually a little small up front, they've been no better than average all year long, now lose 2nd best player in casillas (DE shaughnessy their best imo)...not good news when facing the type of athletes that FSU has on offense

good luck

 

[trentmoney]

3* nc st +7.5

i'm proud to say that i was on nc st +8 @ home on 10/4 vs BC to start this 7-0 ATS run, as well as being on them their last 4, making it a nice 5-0 payoff for me with this team

as for this game, we all know the numbers and angles by now as it has been discussed numerous times...but what makes it a play for me is the better balance on offense that nc st posseses, going over 149 yds rushing 6 games in a row, while rutgers has struggled to gain an identity on the ground...and while both qbs have been hot, mike teel has a history of throwing an int or two, which could be the difference in this game

at pk i would have leaned wolfpack, +3 or +4 a small play, so obviously i'm happy to get this number in what should be a very competitive, entertaining game

good luck

 

[Railbird]

thought the line was goofy as well, rutgers did not get 1st down vs horrible fresno in 1st half

 

[MSUSpartans]

just got on now...hope you took ND last night

I sure did for 2 units. Looking at FAU tonight with +7.5:toast:

 

[manchild]

tag

 

[MSUSpartans]

Any plays tonight Trent? I'm liking Nevada and Oregon. I think I will stay away from WMU/Rice, cant seem to cap it with any clarity.

 

[trentmoney]

3* BC -3 -120/-125

buying the half because of the strong number and there might not be a lot of points in this game

BC one of the best front 7 in the country facing a weak offense that might use 3 qbs today...tough, physical o-line should allow a surprisingly effective BC run game to have success...concerns w/ qb davis had me lower this play but defense and run game should determine the outcome imo

good luck

 

[trentmoney]

5* gtech -4

won't rehash all the angles that have already been discussed...bottom line for me is production that gtech has had on the ground the last 4 games is off the charts!! qb nesbitt was injured mid-season and the offense was a little rusty his first 2 games back...but over the last 4 has put up mind boggling rushing numbers

defensive players are used to attacking, rushing up field aggresively to the point of attack...that is not conducive to defensing this gtech offense...having not tackled live for 4 weeks, then to have to play a different style of defense that you are not used to should prove difficult for LSU imo...fast turf track should make it even more difficult to stop the quickness of gtech

good luck