It has $250 limits, but its still great value...It's his 2nd start at AAA,after starting the season like 10-0 with a 1.39 ERA...also has not allowed a HR all season...The Delvil Rays are considering calling him up to the bigs very soon,as early as next week...so Durham(1st place in the division) with Price on mound -125 vs Indy (last place in their division) with an average pitcher on mound is worth a look....not sure where all has AAA lines, but i know TheGreek for sure does.
Looks like its worth a bet. But checked the standings and yes technically Durham is first in their division and Indy last in theirs but Durham is just 5 games over 500 and Indy 7 games under 500. And with this game in Indy there's really nothing between these teams tonight (aside from the pitching matchup of course).
The reason the line is so low is because they never have AAA lines high for the very reason that these teams are all pretty much equal, except for a few. -125 is a lot of juice in AAA for a road team. I would't play this just because you gotta think the books knew the public would pound a big name like David Price. Not saying he couldn't throw a no hitter tonight, but usually when I see teams with top records and a big name pitcher that the public loves getting a low line I go the other way.
Good luck though.
Good luck though.
lol. what? the public doesnt know david price from a game show host on cable television. the public doesnt even know there is such a thing as minor league baseball betting. this rivals some of the midseason posts during basketball season of 'the public is hammering the montana state game'. please tell me i did not just read this from you OTK. you are way better than that.
If the public just saw some random guy on the mound and it was David Price, most would have no idea, you are right about that. But this guy has been getting hyped up for a long time now and he gets even more exposure now that the Rays are a top team so I'd assume most of the public knows about him.
You are right that most people wouldn't even know about AAA baseball betting though, so I'm not too sure how much action the books will get on either side. But most average betters that will look at this game will just see the records and see if there is a pitcher that they recognize pitching for either team. I'm not saying it wouldn't be a smart play, but I wouldn't recommend people going overboard on something they really haven't been following and probably don't know too much about.
That was really the point I was trying to make.
There are valid points on both sides here.. the betting public does not bet on minor league games and the limits are low, so there is no fading the public.. hence lirianos last AAA start was an easy win but was only -120 or so. On the other hand, most baseball fans by now would know David Price, he has been talked about on ESPN a lot and was on the cover of SI the last month, but the fact remains this won't translate to a ton of action on people bettin on AAA Durham today.
Price only pitched 5 innings. You have to figure a top prospect is on a pitch count, especially in a game Durham does not really have to win. Indy beat on the Durham pen, and took a late lead, but it looks like the bulls just scored to tie it in the ninth.
http://www.minorleaguebaseball.com/...d=milb&t=g_box&gid=2008_08_18_dubaaa_indaaa_1
http://www.minorleaguebaseball.com/...d=milb&t=g_box&gid=2008_08_18_dubaaa_indaaa_1
Everytime there is a thread like this. It turns out to be a loser. I'm fading next time.
