Aloha Gang! WOW, what an awesome day it was yesterday. Hell what an awesome week it has turned out to be. Yesterday we hit our Big Underdog Game of the Month with Dayton. Now my record for the GOM this season is 6-0. So far my combined record for this week is: 21W-11L= +52 Units. Todays card will be hard to duplicate that of yesterdays, but after going over these games for some 7 straight hours, I see alot of FAVS that are undervalued and that give me confidence in these plays. BTW, my Top plays for the Day this week stands at 5-0. Today, got 3 more to add to that list. So enough talking, Let Get To Rockin Baby!
6 Unit Plays on:
Louisville -2 (buy 1pt)
Denver -4
Utah St. -5(buy .5pt)
-What can I say, but I aint jumping off of this Cardinal squad whose main guys are back and healthy. We made some cash against them while they were gone, but they are back so I am back on them as well. Their last game against UAB on 2-7 where they spanked them by 18pts gives more alot of good feelings in this one, especially since this Charlotte squad lost at home to this same squad by 7pts. Louisville is solid on the road going 5-2 this year. Louisville also owns the current series between the two going 5-1 ATS vs Charlotte at Charlotte since 1997. More currently Louisville is 2-0 ATS at Charlotte the last 3 seasons. This is Louisville's 1st of a three game road trip, so I expect them to be fully energized and motivated by their last win and the fact that Charlotte is challenging their position, to gain the higher position above them in the Conf. Charlotte is good and they do hold the Conf's top scoring Off. But Louisville is also solid in scoring Off at #3. Still, here is the difference between these two, and one where I see Louisville holding an advantage over Charlotte today. Louisville is number #2 in the Conf in Scoring Def. Charlotte is the worst in the Conf at #14 in Scoring Def. WOW! Hey, if you cant play Def, how do you expect to win against this Top ranked team who plays solid on both ends of the court. Def wins games as we all know, but so does the 3 pointers. Louisville is #1 in the Conf in draining the 3's with 8.5 per a game. Also , Pitino is worth some points as well. This should be a good competive game, but I have to go with the team with the better Def, better shooting from downtown, and better coach. Cardinals back in form after two recent losses, and they are prepping for their run to March Madness. Charlotte is just a tune-up for this Final Four team.
-Denver plays with 4 returning starters and a deep bench. W Kent is currently 1-3 ATS after allowing 60pts or less. W Kent currently is 2-6 ATS as a Dog. W Kent also is currently 1-7 ATS, when playing against a team with a winning record. W Kent this year is only 3-6 SU on the road and 5-4 in the Conf. Denver also is 5-4 in the Conf, but a solid 8-2 at home. W Kent has been owning the series of late but I see Denver getting Revenge for last years lost at W Kent using its deeper bench and the high altitude to wear down W Kent in the end. Denver will be happy to be back home in front of the home fans after a 1-1 road swing. Their last game at home was back on Jan 31st, so look for them Mile High fans to be in a frenzy. Home in the thin air is a secret weapon, just ask the Broncos.
-Ok you got the Conf elite traveling on the road laying points. Well, thats Ok with this team if you ask me. Utah St is currently 19-1 on the year, and 11-0 in Conf games. They are a solid 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS on the road. Utah St is currently 4-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. This is a good sign, as Utah St doesnt let up on anyone. Cal Northridge is currently 1-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. They are also only 3-6 ATS as and Underdog. Still, Northridge is solid as well at home, but they are now facing the Conf's elite team who has already beaten them 3 of the last 4 games. The last one was back on 1-17 at Utah St by a Whooping 26pts. This has got to play into the heads of a team that knows it cant win todays game. Well, at least I can hope it will. Utah St is simply Rollin, Rollin, Rollin and Northridge is not good enough to stop this train. This number is another Gift by the Vegas Boys. Thanks guys!
4 Unit Plays on:
Pacific -9.5
Fresno St E
-Idaho Potatoe heads on a 4 game winning streak. Big friggen deal. All those 4 games were at home. Now, they are on the road for the first time since 1-24. Here on the Road, they SUCK big time. In fact, they have lost 4 of the last 5 games on the road and these losses were by double digits. Now on to the Tigers. This Tiger team has been flying under the Radar most of the season and quietly putting together a solid 7-2 SU and 5-2 ATS home record, and an impressive 10-1 Conf record. The numbers all point to a 10pt win, but I see a game that could instead get ugly real fast. Pacific is 9-2 against Idaho since 1997 and after tonight you can make it 10-2. Pacific also beat Idaho by 1pt back on 1-17 at Idaho, but dont expect any road Revenge from these Potatoe Heads tonight as Pacific is currently 6-2 ATS when playing against teams with lossing records. The Tigers Big Men should dominate in the paint and that should lead to a solid double digit win. Lay the points!
-In this one, I think the whole world is on the Miners. Not me, I seen Utep play. In fact, I played against them and won Big as I went against them vs Hawaii as my Game of the Year. This Utep squad is a finess team, something like Hawaii. Fresno St is not. Fresno showed Hawaii in Hawaii how they can dominate down low and win. Fresno is also a tough place to play and has a solid winning tradition. I do know that several key players may be out for Fresno, but let us not forget that this team without them still won at Hawaii and then on the road following. Utep is playing good ball at home, but on the road they are just 3-3 and scoring 14pts less than their seasons average of 82.4 ppg. Offensive production for Utep is definately down for them on the road. Fresno St is not done any better at home in the scoring department, but they have been playing very solid defense here, holding their opponents to just 55 ppg and just 38% from the field shooting. Fresno St has owned the series of late and have gone 4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU vs Utep at Fresno since 1997. Now I like that type of Home dominance. Oh yeah, dont forget Fresno playing with Revenge as they got spanked on 1-17 by 14pts at Utep. Payback for the Bulldogs today.
3 Unit Plays on:
SMU -2.5
Butler -4
-Ok, this one is simple. I am going with the better team who has 4 returning starters and a deep, deep, deep bench, over a San Jose St team thats on a 12 game losing streak. Now , I know that some of you maybe thinking that SJ ST is getting better as they played Conf leader Hawaii to a one pt loss at Hawaii. Well Gang, dont be fooled by that game. Hawaii was not interested in that one, plus SJ ST is the type of team that just gives Hawaii matchup problems with their style of play. SJ ST is simply not a team that I can trust again any time soon, even at home. SMU, lost their last 6 road games, but they were against the WAC's Top teams and Okla St. I do like these stats favoring SMU. SMU is 8-2 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 12-4 ATS since 1997, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. SMU is also 4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU vs SJ ST over the last 3 seasons. SMU also beat SJ ST by 15pts on 1-17, and I cant find anything to tell me that I should expect any different results. No HCA and lack of depth to compete, usually equals another loss. Mustangs wears Trojans, LOL.
-Cleveland St is currently 3-10 ATS, 8-14 ATS after 3 seasons, after 3 or more consecutive losses. Clev St is currently 1-4 ATS, and 7-10 ATS after 3 seasons after scoring 60pts or less. Clev St is currently 0-1 ATS and 1-3 ATS the last 3 seasons as a home Underdog of 3.5pts to 6pts. Clev St is currently 5-9 ATS, 15-30 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 48-60 ATS since 1997, as an Underdog. Clev St is currently 2-9 ATS off a loss against a Conf rival. Clev St is currently 1-4 ATS, 3-9 ATS the last 3 seasons, 18-27 ATS since 1997, vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64pts per game. Clev St is currently 0-2 ATS, 2-3 ATS the last 3 seasons, vs poor Offensive teams scoring less than 64pts per game. Clev St is currently 0-4 ATS, and 6-13 ATS, the last 3 seasons when playing against a team with a losing record. The bottom line is that this team SUCKS. They arent good against teams with good defenses and they arent good against teams with average offenses scoring less than 64 ppg. DAM! What the Fvck do you want Cleveland ST. Anyways, I am not going to back this team until it decides what it is they want to ensure Wins for them. They are on a 14 game losing streak. Well, thats the furthest I went back. I simply dont want to go into the stats in this one, as it is terrible for both, but there is no other way to go in this but against the Clev St team. Butler owns the series going 10-3 against Clev St since 1997. Plus, Butler killed them by 18pts back on 1-29. Don't think their Home Court will make any difference in this re-match. Players also on the Clev St team may still be out, but that wont matter one bit in this one. The Butler answers the door, then slams it in the face of Clev St today in their house.
***Ok Gang, them is it for now. I still am looking at a couple of the PAC-10 matchup and may have some possible plays later. I also will have a play on the Hawaii game, but I need to wait awhile for further info. If your interested, you can check back later for them. As for now, I will bank on these to get us some positive coin going into them late games. Hey today is Thirsty Thursday, so I am expecting a Big day as them beers taste oh so good after a good Ass Kicking to the Man. Good luck to All and Aloha Co-Captain.
.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 12, 2004 at 12:40 PM.]
6 Unit Plays on:
Louisville -2 (buy 1pt)
Denver -4
Utah St. -5(buy .5pt)
-What can I say, but I aint jumping off of this Cardinal squad whose main guys are back and healthy. We made some cash against them while they were gone, but they are back so I am back on them as well. Their last game against UAB on 2-7 where they spanked them by 18pts gives more alot of good feelings in this one, especially since this Charlotte squad lost at home to this same squad by 7pts. Louisville is solid on the road going 5-2 this year. Louisville also owns the current series between the two going 5-1 ATS vs Charlotte at Charlotte since 1997. More currently Louisville is 2-0 ATS at Charlotte the last 3 seasons. This is Louisville's 1st of a three game road trip, so I expect them to be fully energized and motivated by their last win and the fact that Charlotte is challenging their position, to gain the higher position above them in the Conf. Charlotte is good and they do hold the Conf's top scoring Off. But Louisville is also solid in scoring Off at #3. Still, here is the difference between these two, and one where I see Louisville holding an advantage over Charlotte today. Louisville is number #2 in the Conf in Scoring Def. Charlotte is the worst in the Conf at #14 in Scoring Def. WOW! Hey, if you cant play Def, how do you expect to win against this Top ranked team who plays solid on both ends of the court. Def wins games as we all know, but so does the 3 pointers. Louisville is #1 in the Conf in draining the 3's with 8.5 per a game. Also , Pitino is worth some points as well. This should be a good competive game, but I have to go with the team with the better Def, better shooting from downtown, and better coach. Cardinals back in form after two recent losses, and they are prepping for their run to March Madness. Charlotte is just a tune-up for this Final Four team.
-Denver plays with 4 returning starters and a deep bench. W Kent is currently 1-3 ATS after allowing 60pts or less. W Kent currently is 2-6 ATS as a Dog. W Kent also is currently 1-7 ATS, when playing against a team with a winning record. W Kent this year is only 3-6 SU on the road and 5-4 in the Conf. Denver also is 5-4 in the Conf, but a solid 8-2 at home. W Kent has been owning the series of late but I see Denver getting Revenge for last years lost at W Kent using its deeper bench and the high altitude to wear down W Kent in the end. Denver will be happy to be back home in front of the home fans after a 1-1 road swing. Their last game at home was back on Jan 31st, so look for them Mile High fans to be in a frenzy. Home in the thin air is a secret weapon, just ask the Broncos.
-Ok you got the Conf elite traveling on the road laying points. Well, thats Ok with this team if you ask me. Utah St is currently 19-1 on the year, and 11-0 in Conf games. They are a solid 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS on the road. Utah St is currently 4-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. This is a good sign, as Utah St doesnt let up on anyone. Cal Northridge is currently 1-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. They are also only 3-6 ATS as and Underdog. Still, Northridge is solid as well at home, but they are now facing the Conf's elite team who has already beaten them 3 of the last 4 games. The last one was back on 1-17 at Utah St by a Whooping 26pts. This has got to play into the heads of a team that knows it cant win todays game. Well, at least I can hope it will. Utah St is simply Rollin, Rollin, Rollin and Northridge is not good enough to stop this train. This number is another Gift by the Vegas Boys. Thanks guys!
4 Unit Plays on:
Pacific -9.5
Fresno St E
-Idaho Potatoe heads on a 4 game winning streak. Big friggen deal. All those 4 games were at home. Now, they are on the road for the first time since 1-24. Here on the Road, they SUCK big time. In fact, they have lost 4 of the last 5 games on the road and these losses were by double digits. Now on to the Tigers. This Tiger team has been flying under the Radar most of the season and quietly putting together a solid 7-2 SU and 5-2 ATS home record, and an impressive 10-1 Conf record. The numbers all point to a 10pt win, but I see a game that could instead get ugly real fast. Pacific is 9-2 against Idaho since 1997 and after tonight you can make it 10-2. Pacific also beat Idaho by 1pt back on 1-17 at Idaho, but dont expect any road Revenge from these Potatoe Heads tonight as Pacific is currently 6-2 ATS when playing against teams with lossing records. The Tigers Big Men should dominate in the paint and that should lead to a solid double digit win. Lay the points!
-In this one, I think the whole world is on the Miners. Not me, I seen Utep play. In fact, I played against them and won Big as I went against them vs Hawaii as my Game of the Year. This Utep squad is a finess team, something like Hawaii. Fresno St is not. Fresno showed Hawaii in Hawaii how they can dominate down low and win. Fresno is also a tough place to play and has a solid winning tradition. I do know that several key players may be out for Fresno, but let us not forget that this team without them still won at Hawaii and then on the road following. Utep is playing good ball at home, but on the road they are just 3-3 and scoring 14pts less than their seasons average of 82.4 ppg. Offensive production for Utep is definately down for them on the road. Fresno St is not done any better at home in the scoring department, but they have been playing very solid defense here, holding their opponents to just 55 ppg and just 38% from the field shooting. Fresno St has owned the series of late and have gone 4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU vs Utep at Fresno since 1997. Now I like that type of Home dominance. Oh yeah, dont forget Fresno playing with Revenge as they got spanked on 1-17 by 14pts at Utep. Payback for the Bulldogs today.
3 Unit Plays on:
SMU -2.5
Butler -4
-Ok, this one is simple. I am going with the better team who has 4 returning starters and a deep, deep, deep bench, over a San Jose St team thats on a 12 game losing streak. Now , I know that some of you maybe thinking that SJ ST is getting better as they played Conf leader Hawaii to a one pt loss at Hawaii. Well Gang, dont be fooled by that game. Hawaii was not interested in that one, plus SJ ST is the type of team that just gives Hawaii matchup problems with their style of play. SJ ST is simply not a team that I can trust again any time soon, even at home. SMU, lost their last 6 road games, but they were against the WAC's Top teams and Okla St. I do like these stats favoring SMU. SMU is 8-2 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 12-4 ATS since 1997, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. SMU is also 4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU vs SJ ST over the last 3 seasons. SMU also beat SJ ST by 15pts on 1-17, and I cant find anything to tell me that I should expect any different results. No HCA and lack of depth to compete, usually equals another loss. Mustangs wears Trojans, LOL.
-Cleveland St is currently 3-10 ATS, 8-14 ATS after 3 seasons, after 3 or more consecutive losses. Clev St is currently 1-4 ATS, and 7-10 ATS after 3 seasons after scoring 60pts or less. Clev St is currently 0-1 ATS and 1-3 ATS the last 3 seasons as a home Underdog of 3.5pts to 6pts. Clev St is currently 5-9 ATS, 15-30 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 48-60 ATS since 1997, as an Underdog. Clev St is currently 2-9 ATS off a loss against a Conf rival. Clev St is currently 1-4 ATS, 3-9 ATS the last 3 seasons, 18-27 ATS since 1997, vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64pts per game. Clev St is currently 0-2 ATS, 2-3 ATS the last 3 seasons, vs poor Offensive teams scoring less than 64pts per game. Clev St is currently 0-4 ATS, and 6-13 ATS, the last 3 seasons when playing against a team with a losing record. The bottom line is that this team SUCKS. They arent good against teams with good defenses and they arent good against teams with average offenses scoring less than 64 ppg. DAM! What the Fvck do you want Cleveland ST. Anyways, I am not going to back this team until it decides what it is they want to ensure Wins for them. They are on a 14 game losing streak. Well, thats the furthest I went back. I simply dont want to go into the stats in this one, as it is terrible for both, but there is no other way to go in this but against the Clev St team. Butler owns the series going 10-3 against Clev St since 1997. Plus, Butler killed them by 18pts back on 1-29. Don't think their Home Court will make any difference in this re-match. Players also on the Clev St team may still be out, but that wont matter one bit in this one. The Butler answers the door, then slams it in the face of Clev St today in their house.
***Ok Gang, them is it for now. I still am looking at a couple of the PAC-10 matchup and may have some possible plays later. I also will have a play on the Hawaii game, but I need to wait awhile for further info. If your interested, you can check back later for them. As for now, I will bank on these to get us some positive coin going into them late games. Hey today is Thirsty Thursday, so I am expecting a Big day as them beers taste oh so good after a good Ass Kicking to the Man. Good luck to All and Aloha Co-Captain.
.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 12, 2004 at 12:40 PM.]
