Aloha Gang. Well I hope you all had a successful day on Saturday. If not, maybe today is your day to capitalize on. In the past 5 days it has been really sweet here. Following Fridays 0-2 day, we come back yesterday with a 11W-8L= +15 Unit Day. So far in the last 5 days my rec is: 31W-18L= +54 Units. Lets keep this positive streak alive and end this week with another hit to the Man. Today is Sunday and we go for the Sweep. Lets Get to Rockin Already!
6 Unit Play on:
Dayton -3 (buy .5pt)(WINNER)
Boston College -8 (buy .5pt)(WINNER)
Florida St/Maryland OVER 138(LOSE-by 3pts ats DAM!)
-Dayton comes into this one with 4 returning starters and a deeper bench that should be able to help wear down Umass. Dayton is 5-1 off a Win vs a Conf rival and after a Conf game. They have been solid this year on the road going 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS on the road. Dayton also a better FG% and FT% shooting team then that of Umass who is shooting a poor 62.5% from the line this year. This poor statistic itself could lead to a Umass loss, but it wont be the lone reason as overall talent of the Flyers will show its worth, and reflect why Umass is near the bottom of every shooting category in the Conf as well. Dayton is as well 2-0 ATS and SU vs Umass at Umass the past 3 seasons. Dont be fooled about Umass's 4 game win streak, they are not a match for this Dayton squad. Also, the low number should be very obtainable in the event the Flyers get caught looking to ST Joes. Still, I expect the seasoned Flyer squad not to be caught up in this situation, thus ruining their chances.
-How can you not play this one. ST Johns now must rely on walk on's to play after the suspensions of many of their starters and scholarship players. Still, even with them, this one would of been all BC as St Johns is simply terrible. I have no idea how they were able to demolish UCLA. Oh wait, thats right, UCLA sucks. To bad BC doesn't, which eliminates any type of repeat of that game happening again today. No way, no how. This game's line is a bit low and should be in the DD's so you need to get on it now before the whole world gets on it. Still, this one looks to easy so I am not going to rate this game any higher than this. Its a play that I cannot refuse to play, simply because of the situation that currently exist.
-In this FlSt/Maryland game, I see this number being obtainable with the Over as both teams on the year avg more than 70+ ppg. Also, both teams like to play fast tempo style of ball, so I can easily see them pushing the ball up and down the court. Florida St has some long range shooters as well as Maryland so if they are on, this over can more than be obtained. I do not have anything that prevents me from seeing both put up 70+ pts each, in a close down to the wire game again.
4 Unit Plays on:
Oklahoma +10(LOSE)
Minny +7(LOSE)
St Peters +4(PUSH)
-Don't look now, but the Sooners are on a 4 game win streak and just when everyone and their dogs were ready to call it quits on them. I think that this winning streak has brought back new life into this squad and has occurred in just the right time, heading into this one. Texas is very solid SU in Conf games going 6-1, but only 2-4 ATS. I feel this one is too many points and I am not going to lay any DD's against this rivitalized Sooner squad, no matter where or who they are playing. Oklahoma is 11-5 ATS vs Texas since 1997 and 12-4 SU vs Texas since 1997. I like the team getting points and who has the better trend on their side.
-Ill is currently 2-5 ATS in road games this year,and 7-17 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons. Currently, they are 1-5 ATS after allowing 60 pts or less. Ill is also currently 1-2 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. Minny not any better, but they did play their last two opponents at home down to the end, only losing at the end to Indy by 5pts and the HOT Mich St team by 1pt. This game is also on National TV so you can expect Minny to play above their abilities, and with this the current ATS woes of Ill, I'll gladly take any points given.
-This one pairs off the #1 and #2 team in the Conf, so you can expect a good one here. St Peters is a Very Solid 9-0 SU and 5-1 ATS at home this year. Manhattan is the leagues top Scoring defensive team, but St Peters is better than them in Scoring Offense and 3 pointers made, ranking #1 in the Conf, draining 8 of them per a game. These two categories can be big advantages at home and especially when getting points to boot. I see St Peters and the Conferences top Offensive player in Keyden Clark having a Big Day today. Plus, in most these types of games, you can expect the underdog home teams to play solid defense as well. I really like the home underdog in this one. Bow Wow!
3 Unit Play on:
Bradley +12.5(LOSE)
Florida St +7.5(LOSE)
-Bradley comes into this with a solid core of players. They play with 4 returning starter and a deeper bench in this one. They are a solid 7-3 ATS on the road, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Bradley is 2-0 ATS vs Wichita St over the last 3 seasons, and 4-2 ATS since 1997. I see Bradley's #2 and #3 leading Conf scorer's in Sommerville and Gillingham keeping this one close enough for the cover. I like the DD points in this one.
-I guess Florida St no matter who they upset at home, will never get the respect they deserve until they beat a quality team on the road. Well this team with 4 returning starters are showing many people that they can play some solid ball no matter where it is. Their game at Duke coming back from DD's to almost get close enough to pull an upset of Duke at Duke was a strong testiment that you can never count this team out. One reason, is their ability to light it up from down town. Another reason is that they have a deep bench, and that has allowed them to keep up with teams and take advantage of them late in the game due to this depth, and their opponents lack of it. Maryland doesnt have the depth to match Fl St in this one, but they do have a home court advantage, and Revenge on their minds. But I cant see how they will be effective in pushing the tempo against this team that has the reserves to help keep their studs legs rested, and against a team who likes to run as well. Fl St is 4-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Maryland, is 2-3 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last 5. HCA gets the win for Maryland today, but not the cover. Take the Points!
-Gang, I like this short card today. These are the type of days where you have more time to pick apart each game and go over them completely. Today's plan is simple, lets hit em all. SWEEP is the word of the Day, so lets not take any detours off the path leading straight to the winners circle. Good Luck and Aloha Co-Captain.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 08, 2004 at 10:10 PM.]
6 Unit Play on:
Dayton -3 (buy .5pt)(WINNER)
Boston College -8 (buy .5pt)(WINNER)
Florida St/Maryland OVER 138(LOSE-by 3pts ats DAM!)
-Dayton comes into this one with 4 returning starters and a deeper bench that should be able to help wear down Umass. Dayton is 5-1 off a Win vs a Conf rival and after a Conf game. They have been solid this year on the road going 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS on the road. Dayton also a better FG% and FT% shooting team then that of Umass who is shooting a poor 62.5% from the line this year. This poor statistic itself could lead to a Umass loss, but it wont be the lone reason as overall talent of the Flyers will show its worth, and reflect why Umass is near the bottom of every shooting category in the Conf as well. Dayton is as well 2-0 ATS and SU vs Umass at Umass the past 3 seasons. Dont be fooled about Umass's 4 game win streak, they are not a match for this Dayton squad. Also, the low number should be very obtainable in the event the Flyers get caught looking to ST Joes. Still, I expect the seasoned Flyer squad not to be caught up in this situation, thus ruining their chances.
-How can you not play this one. ST Johns now must rely on walk on's to play after the suspensions of many of their starters and scholarship players. Still, even with them, this one would of been all BC as St Johns is simply terrible. I have no idea how they were able to demolish UCLA. Oh wait, thats right, UCLA sucks. To bad BC doesn't, which eliminates any type of repeat of that game happening again today. No way, no how. This game's line is a bit low and should be in the DD's so you need to get on it now before the whole world gets on it. Still, this one looks to easy so I am not going to rate this game any higher than this. Its a play that I cannot refuse to play, simply because of the situation that currently exist.
-In this FlSt/Maryland game, I see this number being obtainable with the Over as both teams on the year avg more than 70+ ppg. Also, both teams like to play fast tempo style of ball, so I can easily see them pushing the ball up and down the court. Florida St has some long range shooters as well as Maryland so if they are on, this over can more than be obtained. I do not have anything that prevents me from seeing both put up 70+ pts each, in a close down to the wire game again.
4 Unit Plays on:
Oklahoma +10(LOSE)
Minny +7(LOSE)
St Peters +4(PUSH)
-Don't look now, but the Sooners are on a 4 game win streak and just when everyone and their dogs were ready to call it quits on them. I think that this winning streak has brought back new life into this squad and has occurred in just the right time, heading into this one. Texas is very solid SU in Conf games going 6-1, but only 2-4 ATS. I feel this one is too many points and I am not going to lay any DD's against this rivitalized Sooner squad, no matter where or who they are playing. Oklahoma is 11-5 ATS vs Texas since 1997 and 12-4 SU vs Texas since 1997. I like the team getting points and who has the better trend on their side.
-Ill is currently 2-5 ATS in road games this year,and 7-17 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons. Currently, they are 1-5 ATS after allowing 60 pts or less. Ill is also currently 1-2 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. Minny not any better, but they did play their last two opponents at home down to the end, only losing at the end to Indy by 5pts and the HOT Mich St team by 1pt. This game is also on National TV so you can expect Minny to play above their abilities, and with this the current ATS woes of Ill, I'll gladly take any points given.
-This one pairs off the #1 and #2 team in the Conf, so you can expect a good one here. St Peters is a Very Solid 9-0 SU and 5-1 ATS at home this year. Manhattan is the leagues top Scoring defensive team, but St Peters is better than them in Scoring Offense and 3 pointers made, ranking #1 in the Conf, draining 8 of them per a game. These two categories can be big advantages at home and especially when getting points to boot. I see St Peters and the Conferences top Offensive player in Keyden Clark having a Big Day today. Plus, in most these types of games, you can expect the underdog home teams to play solid defense as well. I really like the home underdog in this one. Bow Wow!
3 Unit Play on:
Bradley +12.5(LOSE)
Florida St +7.5(LOSE)
-Bradley comes into this with a solid core of players. They play with 4 returning starter and a deeper bench in this one. They are a solid 7-3 ATS on the road, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Bradley is 2-0 ATS vs Wichita St over the last 3 seasons, and 4-2 ATS since 1997. I see Bradley's #2 and #3 leading Conf scorer's in Sommerville and Gillingham keeping this one close enough for the cover. I like the DD points in this one.
-I guess Florida St no matter who they upset at home, will never get the respect they deserve until they beat a quality team on the road. Well this team with 4 returning starters are showing many people that they can play some solid ball no matter where it is. Their game at Duke coming back from DD's to almost get close enough to pull an upset of Duke at Duke was a strong testiment that you can never count this team out. One reason, is their ability to light it up from down town. Another reason is that they have a deep bench, and that has allowed them to keep up with teams and take advantage of them late in the game due to this depth, and their opponents lack of it. Maryland doesnt have the depth to match Fl St in this one, but they do have a home court advantage, and Revenge on their minds. But I cant see how they will be effective in pushing the tempo against this team that has the reserves to help keep their studs legs rested, and against a team who likes to run as well. Fl St is 4-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Maryland, is 2-3 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last 5. HCA gets the win for Maryland today, but not the cover. Take the Points!
-Gang, I like this short card today. These are the type of days where you have more time to pick apart each game and go over them completely. Today's plan is simple, lets hit em all. SWEEP is the word of the Day, so lets not take any detours off the path leading straight to the winners circle. Good Luck and Aloha Co-Captain.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 08, 2004 at 10:10 PM.]
