Aloha Gang. Whew, will these all day, everyday Tourney games ever end. Dam I am getting brain dead with all these games. Ah, but gotta love kicking the Mans Ass, and that is what keeps me going. The past Two days I have found my niche going 28W-11L-2P= +82 Units. My Top 7 and 6 Unit Plays went 10W-3L-1P= +43 Units. I also hit another GOM Play which brings my rec for GOM Plays this season to 12W-1L= +77 Units. Now lastly, my combined record for this week stands at 44W-29L-2P= +74 Units. Ok, today I am going to follow the same setup I had going the past two days, running a 1st Set of Plays and a 2nd Set as well. Lets do some spanking with this 1st Set.
FIRST SET:-for games going off at 1pm est to 4:30pm est.
**6 Unit Plays on:
Kentucky -7
-This one is between the Contender vs the Pretender. SC impressive wins in this tourney was against the weaker opponents of the SEC so dont be so fast in getting all warm and fuzzy about them just yet. Yes, SC plays very solid Defense and is ranked #1 in the Conf in Scoring Defense, but so does Kentucky who is #2 in the Conf in Scoring Defense. Kentucky's decided advantage in this one, will be on Offense, as well as on the Boards, where they rank 4th in Rebounding Margin. SC is ranked #10 in the Conf in this catergory. This is where I see the BIG advantage for the Cats. In their two games this year vs SC, the Cats had a desicive rebounding stat over SC. In the first game Kentucky 41 rebs to SC's 26. In the second game Kentucky 40 rebs to SC's 34.
SC is also ranked near the bottom in all shooting % in the Conf, FG%, FT%, and 3pt FG%, not good. The only advantage I see for SC is that they are averaging more 3pts made per a game than Kentucky, but dont forget, that Kentucky is also #2 in defending the 3pt shots. Kentucky already beat this team twice this year, and one was at SC where they won by 19pts. This win, was a couple days after they had won the Conf regular season title and a possible letdown should of occurred. But nope, no let down occurred, not with these Cats. Kentucky is on mission, and that mission is to get that #1 seed in this years Dance. Their opportunity opened up as Miss ST lost today blowing their shot at that seed. Kentucky since their last lost to Georgia back on 2-14, simply is on a roll going 7-0 SU and ATS. I cannot see anything stopping this Wildcat Train who is running at full steam ahead. I am climbing on board for this ride, and laying the pts, for a DD win today.(WINNER-by 15pts)
Illinois -6
-Ill is basically another team that is on a major freakin roll of late. This roll has given them the regular season Big Ten Title and it is basically because they have the #1 Scoring Offense and the #3 Scoring Defense. Now that is what I call a balanced team. Michigan is as well balanced in these category, but it is at #6 for Scoring Offense, and #5 at Scoring Defense. Both are #1 and #2 in Rebounding Margin, but Ill does drain more 3pt shots per a game, ranking #3 and Michigan #8.
Ill already beat this Michigan team by 14pts back on 1-31, even though they were out rebounded almost at a 2 to 1 ratio, with 26 to 41 rebounding deficit. Still, they were able to win this one because they play solid on the Defensive end, as well as on the Offensive end. And dont forget that deadly shooting from downtown. Today, Illinois higher quality balanced play, should be to much for this Wolverine less potent balanced play to keep up. I got my ticket to jump aboard this train as well, and laying the points on another DD winner. (WINNER-by 14pts)
**4 Unit Plays on:
Michigan St +3
-Ok I am going to state the same info I used in my GOM reasonings. Offense Wins Game, at least today it will. Check out these numbers. Mich ST leads the Big 10 in FG% at 52%, 3pt FG% at 43.4%, FT% at 77.7%, and Scoring Offense with 71.3 ppg. Big Guy Paul Davis is the spark to keep this Spartan squad rolling, as he leads them with 16 ppg and 6.4 rpg, as well as in FG% at 56.2%, and FT% at 80.4%. Chris Hill also contributes 14.1 ppg and is hitting 50% from the field, and a WHOOPING 45.6% from 3pt land. Then their is Kevin Tolbert who puts up 11 ppg and is hitting 52.9% from the field. ST, on the road is scoring 71 ppg and shooting a STAGGERING 50.5% from the field.
Wisc, does lead the Conf in Scoring Defense, giving up just 57.2 ppg, and are 2nd in the Nation in fewest turnovers. Still, they are struggling on the road to score, with just an 61.4 ppg average.
This one today is for Double Revenge, and the Spartans also have to throw in a possible seat in the Dance in the mix as well. The should be highly motivated and very focused on paying this Badger team back. Some say that it is hard to beat a team three times in one year. I say it is possible, but not when you face a team like this Mich ST squad who can simply shoot the lights out, and with deadly accurracy. I heard that Gatorades were trucked in by the case load, so no cramps should occur. LOL. A crampless Paul Davis will lead Mich ST to their Revenge Victory today!(WINNER-by 1pt ats)
Texas -2 (buy .5pt)
-Texas has the #1 Scoring Offense in the Conf, and are #4 in FG%. Kansas has the #3 Scoring Offense in the Conf, but are # 9 in FG%. Texas has the #6 Scoring Defense in the Conf, and the #3 3pt FG% Defense. Kansas is #7 in Scoring Defense, and #4 in 3pt FG% Defense. Texas is #1 in Rebounding Margin, while Kansas is #8 in the Conf in this category. Texas is #1 in the Conf in 3pt shots made per a game with 7.22. Kansas is #7 in Conf in 3pt shots made per game. Texas already smoked this Kansas squad by 15pts, back on 2-23. Longhorns struggling lately, but after that comeback versus Oklahoma, I feel that they have found their game and in the right time to make a run. They want to win this Tourney, you can just feel it. Well, I feel something. Longhorns Win!(WINNER-by 4pts)
NC ST -3
-NC ST's last home lost vs this Maryland squad is going to provide us some very good situational advantage today. Here are some stats. NC ST is #7 in Scoring Offense in the Conf, while Maryland is #5 in Scoring Offense. But NC ST is #2 in 3pt shots made per a game with approx 8. Maryland is ranked #8 in this category in the Conf. NC ST is #2 in Scoring Defense in the Conf, while Maryland is #6 in Scoring Defense in the Conf. NC ST has beaten Maryland at Maryland by 12pts. But in that lost at home to this Maryland squad, it was more due to lack of focus and motivation as they were coming off of a big win. Maryland just upset Wake Forrest, but in that game last night, they were unconscious on the Offensive end. I dont think that they can repeat that performance, especially against this solid Defensive team, who also btw can drain it from 3pt land. NC ST will not lose focus in this one, but if they do, at least we know that they have the ability against this team to make a comeback. I dont think it will happen, and I feel very confident laying this short number. (LOSE SU-after up by 19pts)
**3 Unit Play on:
TT +6
-You know, you have to be tough to play for Bobby "the lunatic" Knight, both mentally and physically. I like to always side with players who have this type of mentality over a talented but softer players. Today, I will take the rugged TT squad who blewout this Okie St team on their court, and also gave them all they could handle back in their House. TT's type of Offensive play with all those motion and screens will cause mismatches and cause confusions again to this Okie St team. I feel this could also be a possible outright upset today with Emmett and Company. You may not need the points, but take them anyway.(WINNER-by 1pts ats)
**Ok Gang, the second set will be posted later. Fvck, I need to sleep, as it is 5am here in Hawaii. So you can check back later if your interested. Lets do some damage with this solid first set. Good Luck and keep it Positive. Aloha CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on March 14, 2004 at 03:55 AM.]
FIRST SET:-for games going off at 1pm est to 4:30pm est.
**6 Unit Plays on:
Kentucky -7
-This one is between the Contender vs the Pretender. SC impressive wins in this tourney was against the weaker opponents of the SEC so dont be so fast in getting all warm and fuzzy about them just yet. Yes, SC plays very solid Defense and is ranked #1 in the Conf in Scoring Defense, but so does Kentucky who is #2 in the Conf in Scoring Defense. Kentucky's decided advantage in this one, will be on Offense, as well as on the Boards, where they rank 4th in Rebounding Margin. SC is ranked #10 in the Conf in this catergory. This is where I see the BIG advantage for the Cats. In their two games this year vs SC, the Cats had a desicive rebounding stat over SC. In the first game Kentucky 41 rebs to SC's 26. In the second game Kentucky 40 rebs to SC's 34.
SC is also ranked near the bottom in all shooting % in the Conf, FG%, FT%, and 3pt FG%, not good. The only advantage I see for SC is that they are averaging more 3pts made per a game than Kentucky, but dont forget, that Kentucky is also #2 in defending the 3pt shots. Kentucky already beat this team twice this year, and one was at SC where they won by 19pts. This win, was a couple days after they had won the Conf regular season title and a possible letdown should of occurred. But nope, no let down occurred, not with these Cats. Kentucky is on mission, and that mission is to get that #1 seed in this years Dance. Their opportunity opened up as Miss ST lost today blowing their shot at that seed. Kentucky since their last lost to Georgia back on 2-14, simply is on a roll going 7-0 SU and ATS. I cannot see anything stopping this Wildcat Train who is running at full steam ahead. I am climbing on board for this ride, and laying the pts, for a DD win today.(WINNER-by 15pts)
Illinois -6
-Ill is basically another team that is on a major freakin roll of late. This roll has given them the regular season Big Ten Title and it is basically because they have the #1 Scoring Offense and the #3 Scoring Defense. Now that is what I call a balanced team. Michigan is as well balanced in these category, but it is at #6 for Scoring Offense, and #5 at Scoring Defense. Both are #1 and #2 in Rebounding Margin, but Ill does drain more 3pt shots per a game, ranking #3 and Michigan #8.
Ill already beat this Michigan team by 14pts back on 1-31, even though they were out rebounded almost at a 2 to 1 ratio, with 26 to 41 rebounding deficit. Still, they were able to win this one because they play solid on the Defensive end, as well as on the Offensive end. And dont forget that deadly shooting from downtown. Today, Illinois higher quality balanced play, should be to much for this Wolverine less potent balanced play to keep up. I got my ticket to jump aboard this train as well, and laying the points on another DD winner. (WINNER-by 14pts)
**4 Unit Plays on:
Michigan St +3
-Ok I am going to state the same info I used in my GOM reasonings. Offense Wins Game, at least today it will. Check out these numbers. Mich ST leads the Big 10 in FG% at 52%, 3pt FG% at 43.4%, FT% at 77.7%, and Scoring Offense with 71.3 ppg. Big Guy Paul Davis is the spark to keep this Spartan squad rolling, as he leads them with 16 ppg and 6.4 rpg, as well as in FG% at 56.2%, and FT% at 80.4%. Chris Hill also contributes 14.1 ppg and is hitting 50% from the field, and a WHOOPING 45.6% from 3pt land. Then their is Kevin Tolbert who puts up 11 ppg and is hitting 52.9% from the field. ST, on the road is scoring 71 ppg and shooting a STAGGERING 50.5% from the field.
Wisc, does lead the Conf in Scoring Defense, giving up just 57.2 ppg, and are 2nd in the Nation in fewest turnovers. Still, they are struggling on the road to score, with just an 61.4 ppg average.
This one today is for Double Revenge, and the Spartans also have to throw in a possible seat in the Dance in the mix as well. The should be highly motivated and very focused on paying this Badger team back. Some say that it is hard to beat a team three times in one year. I say it is possible, but not when you face a team like this Mich ST squad who can simply shoot the lights out, and with deadly accurracy. I heard that Gatorades were trucked in by the case load, so no cramps should occur. LOL. A crampless Paul Davis will lead Mich ST to their Revenge Victory today!(WINNER-by 1pt ats)
Texas -2 (buy .5pt)
-Texas has the #1 Scoring Offense in the Conf, and are #4 in FG%. Kansas has the #3 Scoring Offense in the Conf, but are # 9 in FG%. Texas has the #6 Scoring Defense in the Conf, and the #3 3pt FG% Defense. Kansas is #7 in Scoring Defense, and #4 in 3pt FG% Defense. Texas is #1 in Rebounding Margin, while Kansas is #8 in the Conf in this category. Texas is #1 in the Conf in 3pt shots made per a game with 7.22. Kansas is #7 in Conf in 3pt shots made per game. Texas already smoked this Kansas squad by 15pts, back on 2-23. Longhorns struggling lately, but after that comeback versus Oklahoma, I feel that they have found their game and in the right time to make a run. They want to win this Tourney, you can just feel it. Well, I feel something. Longhorns Win!(WINNER-by 4pts)
NC ST -3
-NC ST's last home lost vs this Maryland squad is going to provide us some very good situational advantage today. Here are some stats. NC ST is #7 in Scoring Offense in the Conf, while Maryland is #5 in Scoring Offense. But NC ST is #2 in 3pt shots made per a game with approx 8. Maryland is ranked #8 in this category in the Conf. NC ST is #2 in Scoring Defense in the Conf, while Maryland is #6 in Scoring Defense in the Conf. NC ST has beaten Maryland at Maryland by 12pts. But in that lost at home to this Maryland squad, it was more due to lack of focus and motivation as they were coming off of a big win. Maryland just upset Wake Forrest, but in that game last night, they were unconscious on the Offensive end. I dont think that they can repeat that performance, especially against this solid Defensive team, who also btw can drain it from 3pt land. NC ST will not lose focus in this one, but if they do, at least we know that they have the ability against this team to make a comeback. I dont think it will happen, and I feel very confident laying this short number. (LOSE SU-after up by 19pts)
**3 Unit Play on:
TT +6
-You know, you have to be tough to play for Bobby "the lunatic" Knight, both mentally and physically. I like to always side with players who have this type of mentality over a talented but softer players. Today, I will take the rugged TT squad who blewout this Okie St team on their court, and also gave them all they could handle back in their House. TT's type of Offensive play with all those motion and screens will cause mismatches and cause confusions again to this Okie St team. I feel this could also be a possible outright upset today with Emmett and Company. You may not need the points, but take them anyway.(WINNER-by 1pts ats)
**Ok Gang, the second set will be posted later. Fvck, I need to sleep, as it is 5am here in Hawaii. So you can check back later if your interested. Lets do some damage with this solid first set. Good Luck and keep it Positive. Aloha CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on March 14, 2004 at 03:55 AM.]
