Aloha Gang. Well, we started off our post-season run on a winning note last night going 2W-0L= +5 Units. Today in day two we have our first NCAA game with several NIT matchups. Lets get started on this small card, and increase our profits heading into the Main Course of Tourney games coming up.
**6 Unit Play on:
Creighton -1.5
-Creighton is 14-1 SU at home this year, averaging 71.8 ppg and 47.2% from the field, 40% from 3pt land, and 70% from the line. At home, they are playing very solid defense holding opponents to ONLY 56.7 ppg, 41.9% from the field, 25.7pts in the 1st HF, and just 29.3 rpg.
Neb went 2-9 SU on the road this year, scoring 67.7 ppg, just 29.8pts in the 1st HF, and ONLY averaging 32.6 rpg, while they are giving up 73.3 ppg, 44.3% from the field, and 35.1 rpg.
Although Creighton Offensive production have fallen in the last 5 games, it was more than likely due to them having to face the Conf's Top three teams, one of them twice in this span. But, today I see an advantage with them having this one at home in front of their fans and on their court which they protect very well. This game is also an in-state rival game and that should motivate them even more, as Nebraska is their states Big Brother school and Creighton always gets up to take on Big Brother. In fact, Nebraska has lost 6 of the last 7 games to Creighton since 1997. The most recent loss occured early this season at Creighton back on 12-10 of last year, by 7pts. That makes Creighton 2-0 SU at home vs Nebraska in the last 3 seasons.
To make matters worst for Nebraska is the fact that they are on a 3 game slide, and this will be their 4th consecutive game being played on the road. Nebraska at home with their top ranking defensive play is very dangerous, but on the road they simply dont put any fear into any of their opponents. And their last lost to a depleted Oklahoma squad, after being up by a commanding DD lead, is a perfect example of this and their struggles away from home.
Nebraska is simply reeling badly at this moment, and they are not in a favorable position today at all. I cant see them having any type of motivation or focused, or any type of advantages over this Creighton squad, which could lead to them coming out on the winning end. Creighton, on the hand, should be happy to be in the post season, as well as motivated to continue their dominance over the Big Red.
A double digit win by the home team in this one is not unlikely. In fact, with the HCA Creighton will enjoy today, along with their trio of zone busting G's who are all able to drain it from downtown, I cannot see anything else happening. The Bluejays, puts this Husker squad out of their misery today and extend their post season alittle longer.(LOSE-up by 5pts w/ 1:20 left & lose SU by 1pt , WTF!)
**4 Unit Plays on:
St Louis -2 (buy .5pt)
-St Louis is solid at home posting a 12-2 SU record, and although they are averaging only 65.1 ppg, they do play very solid on the defensive end holding opponents to ONLY 54.7 ppg and just 39.8% shooting from the field. Iowa is just 5-9 SU on the road, where they average 70 ppg, while giving up 74.8 ppg. Based on Iowa's last 5 games, this scoring average has fallen to a season low of 61.4 ppg. St Louis solid defensive play and Iowa's recent struggles on offense should result in a solid win for the Bilikens. (LOSE-by 1pt ats)
Michigan -3
-Michigan a very solid 13-3 SU, averaging 72.5 ppg and 47.4% from the field, while they hold opponents to ONLY 61 ppg, 41% shooting from the field, and just 30 rpg. Mizzou is just 3-9-1 ATS on the road, and have lost 3 of their last 4 ATS. In their last 5 games, they have allowed opponents to score 80.4 ppg and 47.9% shooting from the field. Not a good sign on the road vs this good discipline defensive team. I have to think that Mizzou players are simply not happy for falling short of getting to the Dance. They put everything they had and went on a very impressive run trying to make a statement for an invite. But in the end, their inconsistant play, especially on the defensive end caused them to again come up short. After having its sights on the Big Dance and a possible shot at the National title , only to come up short and be sent to play with the rest of the rejects, I have to think the only thing on the minds of this Mizzou squad is when will this season end. Michigan, on the other hand, was barred from post season play last year, so just to be in the post season again should provide for alot of motivation and excitement. Playing at home, and happy to be in any post season Tournament is what leads to a Michigan victory today.
Lehigh/Florida A&M UNDER 134
-Florida A&M has held their last two opponents to an average of only 52 ppg, while they have averaged just 61 ppg the last two. Lehigh in their last two games has averaged 60 ppg, while they held opponents to an average of only 51 ppg. Both teams stepping it up on the defensive end , while struggling themselves on the offensive end the last two games, tells me of an outcome between these two going UNDER the total.(WINNER-TOT 129)
**3 Unit Play on:
Florida A&M +4.5
-I see a definate step up in play with this Florida A&M team, and it resulted in them winning 3 straight Conf Tournament games and an invitation into the Big Dance. To me, they seem to have found their grove and playing good ball at this right time. This could be also due to this team being a veteran squad with 4 returning starters who have finally jelled. Lehigh also won its Tourney game to get an invite to the Dance for the first time, but in their recently victories, it appears that they, on the other hand, may be going flat, especially on the offensive end. They have won their last three games, but two of them were only won by a bucket, and they were against teams which they have and should have again dominated enroute to an easier victory. This should of happened especially in their last game with American U, but Lehigh got the very hard win off of an lucky shot made with 3.8 secs left to play. Seems to me that one team is moving forward in play, and one is not. Take the pts with Florida A&M, who also played a better SOS.(WINNER-by 15pts)
-OK, Gang good luck with todays plays and lets keep it rolling along. No Mercy to the Man at all. Keep it positive and only positive will come. Aloha CC.
Email: cocaptainsports@yahoo.com
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on March 16, 2004 at 10:13 PM.]
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on March 16, 2004 at 10:46 PM.]
**6 Unit Play on:
Creighton -1.5
-Creighton is 14-1 SU at home this year, averaging 71.8 ppg and 47.2% from the field, 40% from 3pt land, and 70% from the line. At home, they are playing very solid defense holding opponents to ONLY 56.7 ppg, 41.9% from the field, 25.7pts in the 1st HF, and just 29.3 rpg.
Neb went 2-9 SU on the road this year, scoring 67.7 ppg, just 29.8pts in the 1st HF, and ONLY averaging 32.6 rpg, while they are giving up 73.3 ppg, 44.3% from the field, and 35.1 rpg.
Although Creighton Offensive production have fallen in the last 5 games, it was more than likely due to them having to face the Conf's Top three teams, one of them twice in this span. But, today I see an advantage with them having this one at home in front of their fans and on their court which they protect very well. This game is also an in-state rival game and that should motivate them even more, as Nebraska is their states Big Brother school and Creighton always gets up to take on Big Brother. In fact, Nebraska has lost 6 of the last 7 games to Creighton since 1997. The most recent loss occured early this season at Creighton back on 12-10 of last year, by 7pts. That makes Creighton 2-0 SU at home vs Nebraska in the last 3 seasons.
To make matters worst for Nebraska is the fact that they are on a 3 game slide, and this will be their 4th consecutive game being played on the road. Nebraska at home with their top ranking defensive play is very dangerous, but on the road they simply dont put any fear into any of their opponents. And their last lost to a depleted Oklahoma squad, after being up by a commanding DD lead, is a perfect example of this and their struggles away from home.
Nebraska is simply reeling badly at this moment, and they are not in a favorable position today at all. I cant see them having any type of motivation or focused, or any type of advantages over this Creighton squad, which could lead to them coming out on the winning end. Creighton, on the hand, should be happy to be in the post season, as well as motivated to continue their dominance over the Big Red.
A double digit win by the home team in this one is not unlikely. In fact, with the HCA Creighton will enjoy today, along with their trio of zone busting G's who are all able to drain it from downtown, I cannot see anything else happening. The Bluejays, puts this Husker squad out of their misery today and extend their post season alittle longer.(LOSE-up by 5pts w/ 1:20 left & lose SU by 1pt , WTF!)
**4 Unit Plays on:
St Louis -2 (buy .5pt)
-St Louis is solid at home posting a 12-2 SU record, and although they are averaging only 65.1 ppg, they do play very solid on the defensive end holding opponents to ONLY 54.7 ppg and just 39.8% shooting from the field. Iowa is just 5-9 SU on the road, where they average 70 ppg, while giving up 74.8 ppg. Based on Iowa's last 5 games, this scoring average has fallen to a season low of 61.4 ppg. St Louis solid defensive play and Iowa's recent struggles on offense should result in a solid win for the Bilikens. (LOSE-by 1pt ats)
Michigan -3
-Michigan a very solid 13-3 SU, averaging 72.5 ppg and 47.4% from the field, while they hold opponents to ONLY 61 ppg, 41% shooting from the field, and just 30 rpg. Mizzou is just 3-9-1 ATS on the road, and have lost 3 of their last 4 ATS. In their last 5 games, they have allowed opponents to score 80.4 ppg and 47.9% shooting from the field. Not a good sign on the road vs this good discipline defensive team. I have to think that Mizzou players are simply not happy for falling short of getting to the Dance. They put everything they had and went on a very impressive run trying to make a statement for an invite. But in the end, their inconsistant play, especially on the defensive end caused them to again come up short. After having its sights on the Big Dance and a possible shot at the National title , only to come up short and be sent to play with the rest of the rejects, I have to think the only thing on the minds of this Mizzou squad is when will this season end. Michigan, on the other hand, was barred from post season play last year, so just to be in the post season again should provide for alot of motivation and excitement. Playing at home, and happy to be in any post season Tournament is what leads to a Michigan victory today.
Lehigh/Florida A&M UNDER 134
-Florida A&M has held their last two opponents to an average of only 52 ppg, while they have averaged just 61 ppg the last two. Lehigh in their last two games has averaged 60 ppg, while they held opponents to an average of only 51 ppg. Both teams stepping it up on the defensive end , while struggling themselves on the offensive end the last two games, tells me of an outcome between these two going UNDER the total.(WINNER-TOT 129)
**3 Unit Play on:
Florida A&M +4.5
-I see a definate step up in play with this Florida A&M team, and it resulted in them winning 3 straight Conf Tournament games and an invitation into the Big Dance. To me, they seem to have found their grove and playing good ball at this right time. This could be also due to this team being a veteran squad with 4 returning starters who have finally jelled. Lehigh also won its Tourney game to get an invite to the Dance for the first time, but in their recently victories, it appears that they, on the other hand, may be going flat, especially on the offensive end. They have won their last three games, but two of them were only won by a bucket, and they were against teams which they have and should have again dominated enroute to an easier victory. This should of happened especially in their last game with American U, but Lehigh got the very hard win off of an lucky shot made with 3.8 secs left to play. Seems to me that one team is moving forward in play, and one is not. Take the pts with Florida A&M, who also played a better SOS.(WINNER-by 15pts)
-OK, Gang good luck with todays plays and lets keep it rolling along. No Mercy to the Man at all. Keep it positive and only positive will come. Aloha CC.
Email: cocaptainsports@yahoo.com
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on March 16, 2004 at 10:13 PM.]
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on March 16, 2004 at 10:46 PM.]
