TOP PLAYS OF THE DAY FOR BIG MONDAY!

[Co-Captain]

Aloha Gang. Posting the majority of my plays now, as we have been working all night on them, and I see several lines posted right now at some books giving us an advantage. Just lost to many games this year to .5-1pt. So I am locking these in now, as I diffinately see most of these lines moving later. Today we start the week off in a Positive Way! Lets Rock -N- Roll.



6 Unit Play on:


Furman -3(buy .5pt)(LOSE )


-Playing good ball at this time. Furman also leads the Conf in Scoring Def. They are 9-1 ATS @ Home, and I see them winning this one in a Big way.



4 Unit Plays on:


Appl St. -1.5(POSTPONED)

Texas Tech E(LOSE BY 1PT IN OT)(OUCH!)


-Appl St, already beat this Elon team by 23 pts, now only need to beat them by 2pts at their house, should be easy to do.
-TT is the better team here and they have the better coach, who needs to get wins over this Texas team, that have dominated the series of late. TT is 10-0 at home and this is a must play on the home team.



3 Unit Play on:


Old Dominion -6(LOSE)

OVER 100.5 AF/Utah game.(WIN)



-another team playing very well at this time. W&M's inconsistency and lack of Defensive play should make it easy for Old D to get a comfortable win on the road again.

-Dont usually play Totals, but this stat says I should. Utah games have gone Over this total in 17 out of 19 times. AF games as well , have also gone Over this total in 12 out of 15 times.



-GL today Gang. Lets all start the week off on a Winning note. Aloha CC.

[This message was edited by Co-Captain on January 26, 2004 at 11:25 PM.]

 

[Co-Captain]

Adding: Taking this numbers now as I see it working out of my favor later.


4 Unit Plays on:


Col St E(WIN)

NM +2.5(WIN)



-Col St is healthy at this time, and should be able to control this Rebel squad with their solid Def. play. Stat wise, Col St is leading the Conf in blocked shots, and hold an better Off and Def rebounding avg than Unlv. Today they catch UNLV in a bad spot, and playing in consecutive games on the road and at this altitude will only work in the Rams favor.
-With NM's solid win over Utah, and BYU's romp at the hands of AF, I have to think that the Courgars are wishing they were playing this one at home. They have now dropped 3 of their last games on the road. Tonight, they drop number four. The Pit tonight should be loud and unfriendly, and I expect the Lobos to showcase their talent as this one will be on National TV. BTW, the Lobos have the ability to light it up from downtown, and that makes me that much more glad I grabbed the extra points. They lead the Conf in 3 pointers made per a game, draining an avg of 8.8 per game from behind the arc. But I think in the end, the Lobos take this one outright.

[This message was edited by Co-Captain on January 27, 2004 at 02:13 AM.]

 

[Co-Captain]

Opinions: on Western Carolina -13(W), and AF -6(W).


-Western Carolina scoring approx 80 pts a game. The Citadel scoring approx 60 some pts a game. I have to think that Western Carolina will at least get their avg or higher being at home, and The Citadel may score their avg or lower being on the road. If both just score their season avgerages, Western Carolina covers the 13 points. Still, not strong enough to be a play.

-AF is a solid ball club, but many people are still not sold on them. I wasnt and that cost me a lost with BYU. A defeat of the Utes today, will make believers out of everyone. The Utes will have the size advantage, and will try and use their zone Def to control the paint against the patient ball control Offense of AF. But, the problem I see for the Utes is that AF has the ability to bust Zone Defense, because of their ability to stroke it from behind the arc. The Falcons are a close second behind NM in the Conf at draining the most 3 pointers per each game. They are averaging almost 9 three pointers a game. This ability to shoot the threes causes teams like Utah to either abandon the Zone, or cause them to spread the defendereds out more in order to cover the outside perimeters. This now creates gaps and lanes to the basket, as well as openings for low post and high post openings. Utah smoothering Zone Def will be in trouble if it cannot effectively stop AF from lightening it up from the outside. Byu tried to use this Zone strategy against AF and was kill by the Zone Busting 3 pointers. I am passing in this one for now.

[This message was edited by Co-Captain on January 26, 2004 at 11:33 PM.]

 

[Dante]

good luck Co-captain

 

[Co-Captain]

Thanks Dante and same to you as well. Aloha CC.

 

[RollTide+]

Bol to you today Capt....Like the ApplST play alot...Thanks....

 

[brendanjack]

good luck co

 

[Co-Captain]

BIGJOE same to you as well. Appla St. won by 23pts earlier, and I dont think that Elon's home court is worth 21 pts. Should be a comfortable win in this one. GL and Aloha CC.

 

[Co-Captain]

brendanjack, I hope you hit your dog play, looks good. GL and Aloha CC.

 

[jaypaw]

GL on TTU - I lean the other way but have yet to pull the trigger.

My take is that texas seems to have a more balanced attack, tomacek I dont believe is 100%, and texas has been horrible from the charity stripe - I think they will have that fixed tonight.

ALso TTU had trouble with A&M didnt they?

 

[Co-Captain]

Aloha Jaypaw, I appreciate your opinions. But as far as the Texas A&M game, that could of been due to TT looking ahead to this Big game with Texas. TT is simply destroying all quality opponents at home. They have gotten dd wins over Oklahoma St, Oklahoma, Minny, Utep, San Diego St, and Utah, with only Iowa keeping it under dd's. Texas coming off of a big loss at home against Okla St and that has to affect them a bit, which is is not good when having to travel to this hostile place. To many edges on TT side , which simply makes this a home team call for me. Still, GL with you selection today. Aloha CC.

 

[jaypaw]

to be honest I think that OkState Oklahoma and Minny (not to mention the other teams you mentioned) are on a lower level than texas.

Oklahoma is especially terrible this year..

Granted OkState won a nail biter against texas and TTU beat OKState, but Texas found a way to lose that OKState game by missing FTs.


I believe the reason UT struggled against A&M
was because tomacek was 100%... and in that game he may have aggrevated the injury further.

I will wait till game time to bet this one to hear about the injury status of TOMO, but if you plug in UT in that A&M game I think UT would have won it.

Yes sandwich - I know, but with TOMO still hurt texas is gonna get inside on TTU I believe.

 

[tigerclicks]

Hey CC, Looks like a nice set of plays today...The only play that stands out to me is the Furman play...I don't know much about them but Tenn. Chat has only been a dog 3 times and covered all 3 times...I also see Furman is 6-0 as an away dog and 9-1 over all...After some further reading, I can see your reasoning...Good luck today.....

 

[Co-Captain]

Jaypaw, I would expect him to play today. I cant find any big news of his injuries. Plus, in big games like these, you have to feel that he will play even if hurt. Yesterday, one of ny reasons for playing WF over Florida St. was because starting Guard Nate Johnson was injured in the previous game against NC. But he played even with his injury as it was a big game. I also thought even if he plays it wont be at 100 percent, so his production will be down. Well, I think he had the game of his career and scorered a season high. I know at one point in the first half he went 4-4 from 3pt land, and then later in the second half he drained two more. Big time players step up and play in big time games. This is a big time game, so I expect him to step up as well.

 

[Co-Captain]

tigerclicks, I like them alot at home. I also like them because they have the best scoring Def in the Conf holding opponents to an avg of 64 ppg. Chat has the highest scoring Off, but Furman has the better scoring Margin between the two. Anyways, GL to you as well today , Aloha CC.

 

[jaypaw]

Co Cap -

No offense but that is an extreme example. There is no way tomocek comes in and has a career night.


http://www.covers.com/includes/articles.aspx?theArt=17972&tid=29
Texas Tech without big man
Julian Dickinson

Texas Tech pulled out a comeback win over conference rivals Texas A&M earlier this week. But the Red Raiders paid a heavy price.

Tech led for most of Saturday's game, but a late A&M surge forced Head Coach Bobby Knight to take drastic measures. Forward Robert Tomaszek, who had sat out most of the game with an injured foot, was back on the floor in the second half in an effort to salvage another Big 12 win for the Red Raiders.

Tomaszek scored five points and hauled in one rebound, but the effort could affect the big man's health for Tech's next game against the Texas Longhorns tonight.

"He probably shouldn't have played," Knight told the Lubbock Avalanche-Journal. "There's no structural damage, it's just sore."


Tomaszek injured his foot in a previous game against Oklahoma and could have used more time to let it recover. That time might have to come when the Raiders play against Texas, just when they will need him in the paint to guard high-scoring freshman P.J. Tucker.

Tucker scores 13.5 points per game, however, teams have held him in check recently by guarding him with big, athletic defenders like Tomaszek.

The 6-foot-9 Red Raiders senior is a major contributor, playing 24 minutes and hauling in 5.6 rebounds per game. Without Tomaszek, Tech must rely almost entirely on Devonne Giles, the club's only other solid forward.

Some stellar team shooting (61 percent) and six rebounds from reserve guard Mikey Marshall helped the Raiders get past Texas A&M, but they will need more than perimeter shooting to beat a physical Texas team.

"I need to get in there and crash the boards," Marshall said. "But (on Saturday) we didn't have Robert Tomaszek out there for most of the game and somebody else had to step up."

The line for this contest opened with the Red Raiders as 1 1/2-point favorirtes, but that number has been bet down to a pick 'em. The total is set at 147 1/2.

 

[Co-Captain]

jaypaw I saw the article about this at another forum as well. Well, so does this mean you pulled the trigger with Texas. GL if you did.

 

[jaypaw]

no I didnt yet...

It scares me how confident you are so I'm gonna wait till I can get more info about it.

 

[thetexaskid]

like all your plays, we'll either celebrate or drown our sorrows together

good luck

 

[Co-Captain]

That good news to hear Kid. I love it when we agree, lets bank today. Aloha CC