Aloha Gang! Well , today we start our new run towards another profitable week. In the past couple of weeks we have been taking it to the Man, Lets not let up on him at all. BTW, wasnt that one hell of a Pro Bowl game played yesterday. WoW over 100 pts scored, only down side was that it had to end on a Fvckin missed FG again. You guys all know how I feel about them Dam Kickers. Anyways, before I go off on the deep end with this, lets get back to business. Today, I like this Big Monday's card alot. I do have to warn you though, the past Hot weeks I had all started off with terrible Mondays. Still, my Big Monday card is loaded with Two Huge Revenge Games of the Month plays, so losing wont be that easy on this day. Today, we are going to break that trend with these two and the other plays, leading to produce yet another positive winning card for us. So without further talking from me, Lets Get To Rockin Baby!
7 Unit Big 12 & MWC Revenge Game of the Month Plays on:
Okla St -3 (buy 1pt)(EZ WINNER BY 20pts)
New Mexico -5 (WINNER BY 12pts)
-Okla St is 12-0 at home this year. Here they are averaging 82 ppg and shooting 53.7% from the field while holding opponents to just 57.7 ppg and 38% FG from the field. Kansas is a solid 5-3 SU on the road averaging 70 ppg and 45% shooting from the field, while holding its opponents to only 65.2 ppg and 38.4% FG shooting. I dont feel that this Jayhawk squad will be able to keep this potent Cowboy squad down to those low averages. This seasons stats between the two shows a big advantage here with the Cowboys tonight. This squad on the year shoots higher FG% at 52.3% and 3 pt FG's at 39%, compared to Kansas on year stat in FG% and 3pt FG% at 45.7% and 31.5%. Some other stats of value in this one is, Kansas is 0-3 ATS vs good Offensive teams scoring 77+ pts per game. Ok St is #2 in Scoring Off and #2 in Scoring Def in the Conf. They are also #1 in Scoring Margin and FG%, and #2 in Rebounding Def. One Area, I found that tells me alot about this Ok St Off, is that although they shoot the second lowest amount of 3pts per game with only 4.2, they are a solid #1 in FG% and #2 in Scoring Off in the league. This shows me how dominant they are in the paint and from the perimeter. Kansas does hold an advantage over Ok St in FT%, but that stat wont be enough as they will need more than FT to win this one. Kansas is ranked 5th in Scoring Off and 6th in Scoring Def, and 8th in 3 pts per game. These numbers, show me a big deficient that gives the Cowboys at home, with their potent Offensive play, a good advantage tonight over Kansas. Ok St is 2-1 ATS vs Kansas since 1997. Ok St is at home after a 2 game road trip and this will be their 1st game in front of the home crowd since Jan 31. Look for the fans to be very loud and in a frenzy tonight. Home Court Advantage should be at its highest which give Ok St a Huge Advantage. To make matters worst for the Jayhawks tonight, is the fact that Ok St was a victim last year of an 18pt ASS WHOOPING at Kansas. Can you say payback time. Revenge is the name of the Game tonight with the #1 shooting team in the Country. Go Cowboys!
-NM is a solid 12-3 SU and 8-4 ATS at home this year. Here in the Pit, they are averaging 73.1 ppg and shooting 48.4% from the field, while holding its opponents to a LOW of 60 ppg and 40% FG shooting. Wyoming is 0-8 SU and 0-7 ATS on the road this year. Here, they are averaging just 63.1 ppg and shooting 40.1% from the field, while their opponents score an average of 74.4 ppg and shoot 45% from the field. This will be Wyomings 3rd straight road game, and 2nd in the last two days. They have already lost the first two to Col St and AF. Looking back at Wyoming's series of road defeats this year, it shows a very consistant trend occuring. They seem to play the first road games very tough which have ended in close losses. But in their second road game following, they get blownout. This is going to be their third road game, and going by the road trends above, this one could get ugly real fast, as odds are very much against them that anything different will occur. Some other stats of value, is Wyoming is 0-6 ATS as an Underdog. Wyoming is 0-7 ATS in road games this year, and 9-21 ATS in the last 3 seasons. Wyoming is 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, and 17-34 ATS the last 3 seasons. Wyoming is 1-4 ATS when playing on ONE or less days rest, and 5-17 ATS the last 3 seasons. NM is 5-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. NM is 6-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest. Wyoming did pull the win at home over NM on 1-12, but that was in the comforts of Laramie. This one is at the "PIT", and this place will be not so comfortable especially to teams on their 3rd straight road games, and especially with REVENGE on the minds of the Lobos. Expect PayBack Tonight!
4 Unit Plays on:
Seton Hall E (WINNER OUTRIGHT-by 1pt in 2 OT's)
UNLV +7.5(LOSE- by DD'S)
-Seton Hall a solid 10-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home, scoring 79.4 ppg and shooting 50.6% from the field. They also are playing solid defense at home holding their opponents to only 62.5 ppg and 38% shooting from the field. Pitt is also solid on the road going 5-1 SU and 4-1 ATS this year, but they are only scoring 68.5 ppg and shooting 44% from the field. Pitt has historically struggled against good defensive teams who allows less than 64 ppg after 15+ games. The last 3 seasons, they are 1-3 ATS and 1-7 ATS since 1997. Pitt is also a poor FT% team, shooting a LOW of 62% from the line. They also are struggling a bit from behind the Arc at 32%. I wonder if Seton Hall remembers getting their ASSES Spanked by 32pts last year at Pitt. I say HELL yeah! That kind of thing players and fans never forget, and wait for their chances to pay back the ASS spanking. With Seton returning 4 starters back from last year, expect a full motivation to get Revenge. Pitt plays solid defense and is ranked #1, but so does Seton Hall ranked #3 in the Conf. This one comes down to Home Court Advantage and the Revenge Factor. Go Hall!
-A system play was used for my selection on Unlv. In this one using a power rating line, which is calculated using the rating of both teams and home court advantage. In this system, it shows Unlv has an edge as the power rating line differs significantly from the current posted line.
3 Unit Plays on:
ND +11 (buy .5pt)(WINNER OUTRIGHT)
TCU +1(WINNER OUTRIGHT)
-This game is based on a systems play, which shows that the betting public is correct when moving the line in ND games 69.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. Rec is 36-16.
-This is a huge opportunity for TCU to steal a win against an injured and depleted S Florida team, that is yet to win a Conf game.
**Ok Gang, If anyone interested to know, I am 3-0 this season on my Conf Game of the Month plays, winning with TT, Indy, and Mich ST. You can check back later if your interested, as I may have more plays up including halftime plays. Also, I will have a play on the late ESPN game with Byu vs San Diego St, so again check back later if your interested. Anyways, this card should produce us a solid winning day today. Lets spank the Man and enjoy Big Monday in the Hoops. Good Luck and Aloha Co-Captain.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 09, 2004 at 11:46 PM.]
7 Unit Big 12 & MWC Revenge Game of the Month Plays on:
Okla St -3 (buy 1pt)(EZ WINNER BY 20pts)
New Mexico -5 (WINNER BY 12pts)
-Okla St is 12-0 at home this year. Here they are averaging 82 ppg and shooting 53.7% from the field while holding opponents to just 57.7 ppg and 38% FG from the field. Kansas is a solid 5-3 SU on the road averaging 70 ppg and 45% shooting from the field, while holding its opponents to only 65.2 ppg and 38.4% FG shooting. I dont feel that this Jayhawk squad will be able to keep this potent Cowboy squad down to those low averages. This seasons stats between the two shows a big advantage here with the Cowboys tonight. This squad on the year shoots higher FG% at 52.3% and 3 pt FG's at 39%, compared to Kansas on year stat in FG% and 3pt FG% at 45.7% and 31.5%. Some other stats of value in this one is, Kansas is 0-3 ATS vs good Offensive teams scoring 77+ pts per game. Ok St is #2 in Scoring Off and #2 in Scoring Def in the Conf. They are also #1 in Scoring Margin and FG%, and #2 in Rebounding Def. One Area, I found that tells me alot about this Ok St Off, is that although they shoot the second lowest amount of 3pts per game with only 4.2, they are a solid #1 in FG% and #2 in Scoring Off in the league. This shows me how dominant they are in the paint and from the perimeter. Kansas does hold an advantage over Ok St in FT%, but that stat wont be enough as they will need more than FT to win this one. Kansas is ranked 5th in Scoring Off and 6th in Scoring Def, and 8th in 3 pts per game. These numbers, show me a big deficient that gives the Cowboys at home, with their potent Offensive play, a good advantage tonight over Kansas. Ok St is 2-1 ATS vs Kansas since 1997. Ok St is at home after a 2 game road trip and this will be their 1st game in front of the home crowd since Jan 31. Look for the fans to be very loud and in a frenzy tonight. Home Court Advantage should be at its highest which give Ok St a Huge Advantage. To make matters worst for the Jayhawks tonight, is the fact that Ok St was a victim last year of an 18pt ASS WHOOPING at Kansas. Can you say payback time. Revenge is the name of the Game tonight with the #1 shooting team in the Country. Go Cowboys!
-NM is a solid 12-3 SU and 8-4 ATS at home this year. Here in the Pit, they are averaging 73.1 ppg and shooting 48.4% from the field, while holding its opponents to a LOW of 60 ppg and 40% FG shooting. Wyoming is 0-8 SU and 0-7 ATS on the road this year. Here, they are averaging just 63.1 ppg and shooting 40.1% from the field, while their opponents score an average of 74.4 ppg and shoot 45% from the field. This will be Wyomings 3rd straight road game, and 2nd in the last two days. They have already lost the first two to Col St and AF. Looking back at Wyoming's series of road defeats this year, it shows a very consistant trend occuring. They seem to play the first road games very tough which have ended in close losses. But in their second road game following, they get blownout. This is going to be their third road game, and going by the road trends above, this one could get ugly real fast, as odds are very much against them that anything different will occur. Some other stats of value, is Wyoming is 0-6 ATS as an Underdog. Wyoming is 0-7 ATS in road games this year, and 9-21 ATS in the last 3 seasons. Wyoming is 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, and 17-34 ATS the last 3 seasons. Wyoming is 1-4 ATS when playing on ONE or less days rest, and 5-17 ATS the last 3 seasons. NM is 5-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. NM is 6-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest. Wyoming did pull the win at home over NM on 1-12, but that was in the comforts of Laramie. This one is at the "PIT", and this place will be not so comfortable especially to teams on their 3rd straight road games, and especially with REVENGE on the minds of the Lobos. Expect PayBack Tonight!
4 Unit Plays on:
Seton Hall E (WINNER OUTRIGHT-by 1pt in 2 OT's)
UNLV +7.5(LOSE- by DD'S)
-Seton Hall a solid 10-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home, scoring 79.4 ppg and shooting 50.6% from the field. They also are playing solid defense at home holding their opponents to only 62.5 ppg and 38% shooting from the field. Pitt is also solid on the road going 5-1 SU and 4-1 ATS this year, but they are only scoring 68.5 ppg and shooting 44% from the field. Pitt has historically struggled against good defensive teams who allows less than 64 ppg after 15+ games. The last 3 seasons, they are 1-3 ATS and 1-7 ATS since 1997. Pitt is also a poor FT% team, shooting a LOW of 62% from the line. They also are struggling a bit from behind the Arc at 32%. I wonder if Seton Hall remembers getting their ASSES Spanked by 32pts last year at Pitt. I say HELL yeah! That kind of thing players and fans never forget, and wait for their chances to pay back the ASS spanking. With Seton returning 4 starters back from last year, expect a full motivation to get Revenge. Pitt plays solid defense and is ranked #1, but so does Seton Hall ranked #3 in the Conf. This one comes down to Home Court Advantage and the Revenge Factor. Go Hall!
-A system play was used for my selection on Unlv. In this one using a power rating line, which is calculated using the rating of both teams and home court advantage. In this system, it shows Unlv has an edge as the power rating line differs significantly from the current posted line.
3 Unit Plays on:
ND +11 (buy .5pt)(WINNER OUTRIGHT)
TCU +1(WINNER OUTRIGHT)
-This game is based on a systems play, which shows that the betting public is correct when moving the line in ND games 69.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. Rec is 36-16.
-This is a huge opportunity for TCU to steal a win against an injured and depleted S Florida team, that is yet to win a Conf game.
**Ok Gang, If anyone interested to know, I am 3-0 this season on my Conf Game of the Month plays, winning with TT, Indy, and Mich ST. You can check back later if your interested, as I may have more plays up including halftime plays. Also, I will have a play on the late ESPN game with Byu vs San Diego St, so again check back later if your interested. Anyways, this card should produce us a solid winning day today. Lets spank the Man and enjoy Big Monday in the Hoops. Good Luck and Aloha Co-Captain.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 09, 2004 at 11:46 PM.]
