Top Play Of The Day! St. Louis Cardinals

[mrbaseball73]

Royals will go down in flames tonight.

 

[Knockout]

That Royals line does look a little low for such a hot team. And Boggs isn't that spectacular. It's as though books are asking for KC money.

 

[OTK]

Why? Better starter, hotter team, at home...Everything says KC wins this game. The only reason to really bet STL in my opinion is they are a bigger name team. They don't have much more talent though.

GL though.

 

[cashflowmatters]

best bet, why??? KC 4-0 vs stl this year, at best this game is a toss up.

 

[Knockout]

Don't you guys know? Haven't you watched "Back to the Future?" He has a sports almanac from the future. LOL. At this point, w/ easy wins in last few days that he predicted, I'm beyond questioning anymore right now.

 

[mrbaseball73]

royals have never seen Boggs. Cardinals are the better team they will get the W.

 

[billhill999]

Royals will go down in flames tonight.

<TABLE class=data id=ctl00_ctl00_tblTrendsHomeATS cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell colSpan=2>

• <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 home games. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 games on grass. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 overall. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 14-3 in their last 17 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.<LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-1 in Davies' last 5 starts.
• Royals are 4-1 in Davies' last 5 starts on grass

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[mrbaseball73]

im not worried about that bill you can bury yourself in stats but im looking at the future (todays)performance.

 

[Loren78]

I'm afraid Tom Selleck is right...KC saw Pinero last time out...and there was no Pujols...I like the play..

 

[billhill999]

im not worried about that bill you can bury yourself in stats but im looking at the future (todays)performance.

People have gone broke in the long run ignoring trends, I'm laying off, hope you cash that Card ticket.

 

[mrbaseball73]

People have gone broke in the long run ignoring trends, I'm laying off, hope you cash that Card ticket.

dont get me wrong bill i consider trends and such but i like to think out of the box and i tend to view things in a diffrent way at times.

 

[gokcrgo]

<TABLE class=data id=ctl00_ctl00_tblTrendsHomeATS cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell colSpan=2>

• <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 home games. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 games on grass. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 overall. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 14-3 in their last 17 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.<LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-1 in Davies' last 5 starts.
• Royals are 4-1 in Davies' last 5 starts on grass

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

KANSAS CITY is 13-3 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season
KANSAS CITY is 14-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games this season
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season
KANSAS CITY is 21-15 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season
KANSAS CITY is 16-11 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less this season
KANSAS CITY is 15-9 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in June games this season
KANSAS CITY is 18-13 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against NL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent this season
LARUSSA is 38-61 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games as the manager of ST LOUIS
LARUSSA is 59-82 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games as the manager of ST LOUIS.
LARUSSA is 11-21 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after 5 straight games where they had 10 or more hits as the manager of ST LOUIS
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games.
(111-38 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +59.6 units)
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games, playing on Saturday.
(94-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.4%, +44.2 units)
Play On - Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, in June games.
(99-38 since 1997.) (72.3%, +46.8 units)
Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent, playing on Saturday.
(35-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +22.5 units)

I am in no way bashing you at all or saying your play is stupid. I am just throwing out some things as well for you to look at. Call me a homer if you want but I have pretty good insight into Royals game, and I would not bet against this team right now, NO WAY. I can see this winning streak lasting for awhile, they have a ton of energy. I just hope Guillen keeps his mouth shut from now on. lol. St. Louis hasn't exactly faced Davies very much either, just once. DAVIES is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143. His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. That was earlier this month on 6/17/2008 where Davies pitched 7 innings giving up just 1 run, and only 5 hits. Kansas City has won 6 straight and 11 out of the last 12. St. Louis has lost 3 straight, 4 out their last 5, and are 3-7 their past 10 games. You can't give me the this looks too good to be true on this game either because it is pretty much 50/50 on consensus. I see absolutely no reason to play St. Louis tonight, and alot of reasons to take KC. Just some things to think about, BOL tonight

 

[w8lifterguy]

I take into consideration stats and trends to help with decision making, but one trend stands out like a virgin at a swingers convention:

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD colSpan=4>Series Game Records</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>STL</TD><TD class=datahl2>O
</TD><TD class=datahl2>AW</TD><TD class=datahl2>AL</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>Game 1
Game 2
Game 3
Game 4</TD><TD class=datacell>13-14
19-7
13-11
0-4
</TD><TD class=datacell>7-6
7-6
10-8
0-2
</TD><TD class=datacell>6-8
12-1
3-3
0-2
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>KC</TD><TD class=datahl2>O
</TD><TD class=datahl2>AW</TD><TD class=datahl2>AL</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>Game 1
Game 2
Game 3
Game 4</TD><TD class=datacell>13-14
10-16
12-11
2-2
</TD><TD class=datacell>7-8
7-5
7-2
0-0
</TD><TD class=datacell>6-6
3-11
5-9
2-2
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Hard to ignore and STL will swing the bats.

 

[Knockout]

Here's the thing I can't figure? W/ all these trends you guys say favor KC and w/ KC as hot as they are, why is this line so low? Book as begging for KC money. It looks too easy.

 

[gokcrgo]

Here's the thing I can't figure? W/ all these trends you guys say favor KC and w/ KC as hot as they are, why is this line so low? Book as begging for KC money. It looks too easy.

They are getting plenty of Cardinal action, why do they need it any higher? Line seems right to me -125 to -130. Who would lay higher juice than that on KC is probably what the books are thinking.

 

[OTK]

Here's the thing I can't figure? W/ all these trends you guys say favor KC and w/ KC as hot as they are, why is this line so low? Book as begging for KC money. It looks too easy.

The general public will pretty much always bet against the Royals as a favorite. That's just the way it is. If you switch the name Royals to the Tigers or Yankees and this line is -140+ and the public is on them 70%. As it is the line is -120 and the public is on the Cards around 67% according to scoresandodds.

I actually think the Cards have a good chance of winning this game, but I don't see why anyone would bet against the Royals with how they've been. They are the #1 team in interleague play. That just shows how weak the NL is.

 

[Hip2Bsq]

I don't know how you are doing it MrBaseball. I rarely have that much confidence in my POD, just baseball being what it is, and you sir have done it for the last three days that I know of( crystal ball like predictions). :toast: Keep up the great work.

 

[Illini]

Under was the best play here. Don't know why they hung 9.5 after hanging 8.5 the night before.

 

[King83]

KANSAS CITY is 13-3 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season
KANSAS CITY is 14-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games this season
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season
KANSAS CITY is 21-15 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season
KANSAS CITY is 16-11 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less this season
KANSAS CITY is 15-9 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in June games this season
KANSAS CITY is 18-13 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against NL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent this season
LARUSSA is 38-61 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games as the manager of ST LOUIS
LARUSSA is 59-82 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games as the manager of ST LOUIS.
LARUSSA is 11-21 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after 5 straight games where they had 10 or more hits as the manager of ST LOUIS
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games.
(111-38 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +59.6 units)
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games, playing on Saturday.
(94-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.4%, +44.2 units)
Play On - Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, in June games.
(99-38 since 1997.) (72.3%, +46.8 units)
Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent, playing on Saturday.
(35-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +22.5 units)

I am in no way bashing you at all or saying your play is stupid. I am just throwing out some things as well for you to look at. Call me a homer if you want but I have pretty good insight into Royals game, and I would not bet against this team right now, NO WAY. I can see this winning streak lasting for awhile, they have a ton of energy. I just hope Guillen keeps his mouth shut from now on. lol. St. Louis hasn't exactly faced Davies very much either, just once. DAVIES is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143. His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. That was earlier this month on 6/17/2008 where Davies pitched 7 innings giving up just 1 run, and only 5 hits. Kansas City has won 6 straight and 11 out of the last 12. St. Louis has lost 3 straight, 4 out their last 5, and are 3-7 their past 10 games. You can't give me the this looks too good to be true on this game either because it is pretty much 50/50 on consensus. I see absolutely no reason to play St. Louis tonight, and alot of reasons to take KC. Just some things to think about, BOL tonight

where did you find that info...thanks

 

[smartermoney]

Great call here, way to read the line. What happened to the Royals team stats guy?