Tons of opportunity for Sat. (with writeups)

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Sorry to make the writeups rather brief but there is a lot of opportunity lately. Went 5-2 for 8/1/03 for +2.65 on the day. I'm +6.88 for 4 days.

AZ/CHCubs under 9.0 -102
Batista/Estes
Batista is pitching well lately. Estes was roughed up against Atlanta (who hasn't been) but pitched well in his last outing. Last 7 games between these 2 teams have gone under.

CHCubs +1.5 -126
AZ's recent average score is less than 2 runs per game. I'm betting that the D'backs can't outscore the Cubs by 2 or more if their total runs are less than 2 per game.

Atl -1.5 +115
Ashby/Hampton
The Braves usually cover the RL after a poor outing. Ashby has not pitched well lately. LA is 1-6 in its last 7.

Atl/LA over 9.0 -122
Atlanta's bats will come alive against Ashby after being stifled by Nomo last night. The over is 6-0-1 in Hampton's last 7 starts.

Tex -1.5 +156
Davis/Benoit
Benoit has impressed me but its Texas' bats that are so much better than Cleveland's. Cleveland is 1-9 in its last 10 road games while Tex is 5-1 in its last 6 games.

NYY/Oak under 8.5 -108
Weaver/Zito
NYY's have gone under in the last 10 overall. Zito is pitching well for Oakland. Both Weaver and Zito have 8-2 records for the under in the last 10 games.

CWS +144
Wright/Franklin
CWS are 15-2 in their last 17 and they are hitting well which makes this a good value.

CWS/Sea over 9.0 +108
CWS are averaging over 9 runs per game in their last 7. The over is 5-1 in Sea last 6 home games. The over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings between these 2.

Pit +124
Jennings/Meadows
Simply going against Col road record here to make this a good value.

Col/Pit over 9.5 +108
Pit is averaging 8 runs per game lately. The over is 8-2 in Pit's last 10 overall.

StL -146
Tomko/Seo
This is more of a bet against Seo who has been shelled early lately. The NYM's have not hit well while Tomko's last 2 games were pitched well. The NYM's are 1-6 in the last 7 and have lost the last 6 against StL.

Hou/Fla under 8.5 +106
Robertson/Pavano
The under is 13-4 in Hou last 17 overall. The last 5 meetings have been under. Neither team has been hitting well.
 

Another Day, Another Dollar
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Good luck today buddy
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Texas pitcher Benoit has alternated wins and losses in his last 8 starts. He won last time so he should lose today if you are into that type of weird treend.
 

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Thanks for the writeups.
 

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I usually am cautious when a game involves a pitcher that alternates. I prefer to look more at earned runs than wins or losses though. Texas' hitting just outpowers Cleveland to the degree that if Benoit were to have an off day I believe Texas would still win. Benoit's recent earned run numbers aren't bad enough to ruin the bet because of the difference in hitting (IMHO).


I've thought of the alternating games theory also but I'm not sure when the trend will break so I haven't made decisions based upon that.

Thanks for the feedback.
 

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