Tommyjohn Series Chase Tracking Thread

[tommyjohn44]

I've finally settled on a structure for a chase and started it up last Friday but just got around to posting a tracking thread today. At this point, I am NOT recommending that anybody follow me. This is just for record keeping purposes and you're likely to see very little if any analysis posted on here. Here are the parameters:

- 3 game series chase. No more...sometimes less
- will chase both favorites and underdogs
- chase can and will include RL's
- chase will primarily focus on the Texas Rangers as that's the team I have the "best" working knowledge of. I will have a series chase play on every Rangers series
- chase will sprinkle in other teams
- game 1 of every chase will be played at $200. There won't be any 1, 3, or 5 unit plays

These were my first two plays.

<table class="fields"><tbody><tr class="ticket-number"><th colspan="2">Ticket Number: 92737323 - 1 </th> </tr> <tr> <td class="left-field">Accepted Date:</td> <td class="right-field white-box"> May 15, 2009 07:26 PM - EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Graded Date:</td> <td class="white-box">May 15, 2009 11:10 PM - EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wager Type:</td> <td class="white-box">Money Line </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wager Status:</td> <td class="white-box">Won </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Risk:</td> <td class="white-box">$260.00 (USD) </td> </tr> <tr> <td>To Win Amount:</td> <td class="white-box">$200.00 (USD) </td> </tr> <tr> <td>-</td> <td class="white-box">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amount Paid:</td> <td class="white-box">$460.00 (USD)
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>-</td> <td class="white-box">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Description:</td> <td class="white-box"> Baseball MLB - 976 Texas Rangers -130 for Game - Pitcher Options: Joe Saunders - L must start / Kevin Millwood - R must start </td></tr></tbody></table>

<table class="fields"><tbody><tr class="ticket-number"><th colspan="2">Ticket Number: 92888419 - 2 </th> </tr> <tr> <td class="left-field">Accepted Date:</td> <td class="right-field white-box"> May 18, 2009 03:07 PM - EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Graded Date:</td> <td class="white-box">May 18, 2009 10:06 PM - EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wager Type:</td> <td class="white-box">Spread (or run line) </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wager Status:</td> <td class="white-box">Won </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Risk:</td> <td class="white-box">$200.00 (USD) </td> </tr> <tr> <td>To Win Amount:</td> <td class="white-box">$290.00 (USD) </td> </tr> <tr> <td>-</td> <td class="white-box">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amount Paid:</td> <td class="white-box">$490.00 (USD)
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>-</td> <td class="white-box">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Description:</td> <td class="white-box"> Baseball MLB - 912 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +145 for Game - Pitcher Options: Sean Gallagher - R must start / Jeff Niemann - R must start </td></tr></tbody></table>

Current record: 2-0 + $490.00

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/19/09 Plays

Detroit Tigers (Willis) vs Texas Rangers (McCarthy)

Play: Detroit Tigers +115

$200 to win $230

PENDING

 

[BoutMyMoney]

a lot of people on texas for JMS chase system...

 

[tommyjohn44]

Rangers now have 8 consecutive losses at Detroit after tonight.

 

[tommyjohn44]

Results as of 5/20/09

Series Plays
5/15...Rangers -120 Winner
5/18...Rays RL +145 Winner
5/19...Tigers +115 Winner

Record 3-0 + $720.00

back on Friday with another Rangers play.

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/22/09 Plays

Texas Rangers (Holland) @ Houston Astros (Paulino)

Play: Texas Rangers RL +135

$200 to win $270



I might be back later with one other series play but I'm doing some more work on it before I decide.

 

[hoopsct]

no way

I see no way that padres can sweep the cubs . Good team just got swept by st louis. Sandiego cant hit at all.

 

[parlayallday]

I agree. Zambrano as a dog against peavy might be something good. Who knows how peavy pitches tonight after the whole trade ordeal, is head can't be completly in the game right now.

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/22/09 Plays Part Duex

Pittsburgh Pirates (Duke) @ Chicago White Sox (Floyd)

Play: Chicago White Sox RL +155

$200 to win $310

 

[tommyjohn44]

Damn Rangers blew a late lead before winning by 1 in extra innings and I now have my first real chase. Even with the loss it's a positive day as the White Sox win 2-0.

 

[tommyjohn44]

Results as of 5/22/09

Series Plays
5/15...Rangers -120 Winner
5/18...Rays RL +145 Winner
5/19...Tigers +115 Winner
5/22...White Sox RL +155 Winner
5/22...Rangers RL +135 Loser

Series (Game) Record 4-0 (4-1) + $760.00

Saturday Play

Texas Rangers (Feldman) vs Houston Astros (Moehler)

Play: Texas Rangers -120

$480 to win $400

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/23/09 Results

Series Plays
5/15...Rangers -120 Winner
5/18...Rays RL +145 Winner
5/19...Tigers +115 Winner
5/22...White Sox RL +155 Winner
5/22...Rangers RL +135 Loser
5/23...Rangers - 120 (2x) Winner


Series (Game) Record 5-0 (5-1) + $1160.00

Back on Monday with a play on Rangers/Yankees...

 

[fearthis]

Thanks for rangers winner.

 

[gynecologist]

WOW good job.. I usually avoid the Rangers, I'll check you out.

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/25/09 Picks

New York Yankees (Hughes) @ Texas Rangers (Harrison)

Play: Texas Rangers - 125

$250 to win $200

Houston Astros (Rodriguez) @ Cincinnati Reds (Harang)

Play: Houston Astros RL + 150

$200 to win $300

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/26/09 Picks

Got my ass handed to me pretty good yesterday. I was bit hesitant on playing the Rangers in this series as I was present the last time Hughes faced the Rangers and he had a no-no working through 6.1 before pulling a hamstring. Looks like he still has a good feel for pitching in Arlington. Oh well...here's to a better day today! I'll be at the Rangers/Yankees games tonight and tomorrow so hopefully I'll see a win...or two!!! :toast:

Series Plays
5/15...Rangers -120 Winner
5/18...Rays RL +145 Winner
5/19...Tigers +115 Winner
5/22...White Sox RL +155 Winner
5/22...Rangers RL +135 Loser
5/23...Rangers - 120 (2x) Winner
5/25...Rangers - 125 Loser
5/25...Astros RL +150 Loser

Series (Game) Record 5-0 (5-3) + $710.00

Plays for today:

New York Yankees (Chamberlin) vs Texas Rangers (Millwood)

Play: Texas Rangers EV

$450 to win $450

Houston Astros (Oswalt) vs Cincinnati Reds (Owings)

Play: Houston Astros RL +125

$400 to win $500

 

[tommyjohn44]

Results as of 5/27/09

Series Plays
5/15...Rangers -120 Winner
5/18...Rays RL +145 Winner
5/19...Tigers +115 Winner
5/22...White Sox RL +155 Winner
5/22...Rangers RL +135 Loser
5/23...Rangers - 120 (2x) Winner
5/25...Rangers - 125 Loser
5/25...Astros RL +150 Loser
5/26...Astros RL + 125 (2x) Loser
5/26...Rangers EV (2x) WinnerSorry I'm just getting this posted. I was out and about all day and didn't get this updated. Obviously the Rangers won yesterday (before getting their ass handed to them tonight with me in person) and the Oswalt took only his 2nd career loss vs the Reds. I pulled off the Astros for today's game though and accepted the 2 game loss as I didn't like what I've seen out of them lately and didn't expect it to change today (which it didn't).

Series (Game) Record 6-1 (6-4) + $760.00

The Rangers are off tomorrow before starting a series with the A's on Friday. I'll go over the new matchups tomorrow and might be back with another series play before Friday.

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/29/09 Plays

I'm laying off Game 1 of the Rangers doubleheader today to keep the 3 game series chase structure in tact. Well that and there's very little history on Hunter in the majors and it's not good. So I'll trade in the AAA call up for Millwood on Sunday if this thing gets that far.

Plays for today:

Oakland Athletics (Gonzalez) vs Texas Rangers (Feldman)

Play: Texas Rangers RL +125

$200 to win $250

Boston Red Sox (Wakefield) vs Toronto Blue Jays (Janssen)

Play: Boston Red Sox RL +140

$200 to win $280

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/29/09 Results

Series Plays
5/15...Rangers -120 Winner
5/18...Rays RL +145 Winner
5/19...Tigers +115 Winner
5/22...White Sox RL +155 Winner
5/22...Rangers RL +135 Loser
5/23...Rangers - 120 (2x) Winner
5/25...Rangers - 125 Loser
5/25...Astros RL +150 Loser
5/26...Astros RL + 125 (2x) Loser
5/26...Rangers EV (2x) Winner
5/29...Red Sox RL +140 Loser
5/29...Rangers RL +125 Winner

Series (Game) Record 7-1 (7-5) + $810.00

 

[tommyjohn44]

5/30/09 Plays

Boston Red Sox (Penny) vs Toronto Blue Jays (Tallett)

Play: Boston Red Sox (2x) EV

$400.00 to win $400.00