toledo vs n ill ...tuesday night football ...pretty cool

[truelyhandicapping]

I wish the whole season had games every night. Would probably be divorced though.

Enough of the chit chat, lets go...


: the last 5 games in the series have avg 65 points.

: toledo is 10-0 su, and 8-1-1 ats the last 10 vs n ill

: the huskies are 2-7 ats in last home games

: n ill is 5-11 ats last 16 nov games.



Toledo last year passed for 300 yards with a 24-27 completion rate. WOW

all skill positions return.


JUST THE FACT THAT TOLEDO OWNS THIS TEAM AND THEY ARE GETTING 7 POINTS I'LL PLAY IT.


7 UNITS

TOLEDO +7

2 UNITS

OVER THE TOTAL AS LONG AS IT STAYS UNDER THE #64.

 

[WizardofWins]

Great stats....i like the research....go toledo

 

[rugby]

Good play...................It's even worth a small play on the ML.

GL Players...............Rugby

 

[ElIguana]

THC, I'm with you on many of your plays, but I have to disagree here.....I don't know much about NIU, but I can see that they are 3-0 ATS at home this year, their defense plays well at home, and any team who can beat Bowling Green gets my attention.

Toledo has been shaky on the road--I can't get the 63-10 pounding at Kansas out of my head. Normally I'm all over underdogs, but I see NIU controlling this team tonight in a game well below the total of 64. Toledo lost ATS last week at Miami-Ohio, what other than history makes you think this week will be any different?

Looking forward to your reply.

 

[metro1]

Hey Lizard Man Great Points I Dont Like Toledo In This Spot Uni Very Good Team Thinking Of A Play But Every One In Here Is On Toledo But Sometimes We Know How That Goes Well Bol To All Of Us No Matter What We Choose

 

[truelyhandicapping]

i had n ill last year!


about 3 minutes after kick off i knew i had the wrong team.

not making the same mistake this year.


i'm going to do little more research, be back in a few hours.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ff0000 colSpan=7>Overall Stats | In Depth</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Offense</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Avg.</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Yards</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Pass</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Rush</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Y/R</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Y/A</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans vAlign=top bgColor=#ffdccb>TOL
NOILL </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>34.1
37.3 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>469.2
462.2 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>310.0
223.1 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>159.2
239.1 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>4.1
5.1 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>9.1
8.7 </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Defense</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Avg.</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Yards</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Pass</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Rush</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Y/R</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right bgColor=#ffdccb>Y/A</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans vAlign=top bgColor=#ffdccb>TOL
NOILL </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>31.1
26.2 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>437.1
365.1 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>280.3
221.1 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>156.8
144.0 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>3.9
3.8 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>7.9
6.8 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>if you can't take an over with stats like these, i give up.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

Last 10 Games <TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#cc6600><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ff0000 colSpan=3>Toledo's Last 10</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=middle bgColor=#cc0000 colSpan=3>Yard Margins </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>Date</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>vs.</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Score</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>Tot</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>Rus</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>Pas</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>11/02/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ MIAOH </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>L 16-23 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>9 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>101 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-92 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/23/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>CMICH </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 27-22 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-55 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-45 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-10 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/16/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>OHIO </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 31-13 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>170 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>17 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>153 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/09/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ WMICH </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 59-33 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>252 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>316 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-64 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/02/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>BALST </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 52-14 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>349 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>94 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>255 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/25/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>TEM </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 45-17 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>61 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-10 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>71 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/18/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ EMICH </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 42-32 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>4 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-20 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>24 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/11/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ KANS </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>L 14-63 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-203 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-110 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-93 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/04/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ MINN </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>L 21-63 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-298 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-321 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>23 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>11/29/2003 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ BGREN </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>L 23-31 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-51 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>69 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-120 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#cc6600><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ff0000 colSpan=3>Northern Illinois's Last 10</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=middle bgColor=#cc0000 colSpan=3>Yard Margins </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>Date</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>vs.</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Score</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>Tot</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>Rus</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>Pas</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/30/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ BALST </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 38-31 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>117 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>219 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-102 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/23/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ WMICH </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 59-38 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>158 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>61 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>97 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/16/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>CMICH </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 42-10 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>171 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>138 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>33 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/09/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ CENFL </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 30-28 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>84 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>154 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-70 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>10/02/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>AKR </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 49-19 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>228 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>195 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>33 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/24/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>BGREN </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 34-17 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>66 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>150 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-84 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/18/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ IOWST </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>L 41-48 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>60 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>0 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>60 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/11/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>SOILL </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 23-22 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>20 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>19 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>1 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>09/04/2004 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>@ MD </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>L 20-23 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-30 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>-80 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>50 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#ffdccb><TD class=small-copy-sans>11/22/2003 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>EMICH </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>W 38-24 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>44 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>33 </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans align=right>11 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[truelyhandicapping]

toledo outgaining ball st by 350 yds, nill outgained them by 140.


both beat western pretty easily.


i wouldn't put to much stock into toledo lost to kansas, third rd game to start the year out is tough for any school.

 

[Hitman26]

Glad to see you back and goodluck on your Rockets tonight.

 

[ElIguana]

Hard to argue w/ your numbers, THC.....but I will anyway. IMO one needs to separate home vs. away games AND look at more recent games, and these teams both perform much better at home. NIU's defense has allowed in their 4 home games 22 (SIU), 17 (BG...that's the high-powered BOWLING GREEN offense with the most passing TDs in the nation this year!!!), 19 (Akron), and 10 (C. MI) points. This NIU defense does not surrender many points at home. Toledo managed to hang a whole 16 points on Miami-O in Oxford last week.

Sorry, THC, I have to go against you and the year-long statistics and side with NIU and the UNDER 64 tonight. But these weeknight games in general have been high-scoring affairs, and I have been wrong many times before. GL

 

[truelyhandicapping]

THANKS HITMAN


EG,

I AM TERRIBLE AT OVER UNDERS SO FADING ME WOULD WIN YOU ABOUT 70% OF THE TIME.

STICK TO YOUR GUNS, BUT I DO SEE NILL SCORING AROUND 35 TO 40 TONIGHT, AND I KNOW TOLEDO WILL PUT UP SOME SERIOUS POINTS.


THAT MIAMI OH GAME WAS SCARY AS I HAD MIAMI OH, THEY NEVER SHOULD OF COVERED, OR EVEN WIN THE GAME FOR THAT MATTER.


TOLEDO IS A GOOD FOOTBALL TEAM, AS IS NILL (GIVEN THE MAC).


toledo has 4 new starters on the defense front, that is why they are getting pounded on the run, so i see nill getting about 240 to 300 yards on the ground, and toledo getting about 300 to 400 in the air.

man i just see how this isn't a shootout.

with my lluck though, the score will be 13-10.

na

good luck tonight.

 

[Hitman26]

Truely:


Do you play the NBA or CBB? I thought I remeberd seeing you post that you liked the college buckets. College BB starts thursday!

 

[ElIguana]

Thanks Buddy. Let's both take NIU, you take the OVER and I'll take the UNDER. Then we'll both be happy with the NIU win and one of us will be VERY happy with the total to boot. :toothless

P.S. Don't forget that NIU has had 10 days to prepare for this game, which has MAC title implications all over it. I give them the edge here.

 

[JUMBO227]

"YOUR KILLIN ME SMALTZ" I'm with you tonite buddy, I told you minny last night, come on let's work together. Just giving you **** !!!!! Don't change on me tonite, Toledo all the way !!!!!!!!!!

 

[hdaddy]

NIU has a played a tougher schedule and has produced more offensively and defensively than Toledo. This combined with their strenth at Home and Toledo's mediocracy on the road put my spread at NIU -9.5. Expect the score to be about 34-26.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

hitman,


i suck in pros, no i am the worst pro handicapper on the planet.


but college, now we are talking.
i posted here last year and hit right at 60%, but i posted 95% of all games on the docket. everyone use to ***** about all the games, but hell 58% to 60% and betting 45 during a weekday to 70 games on sat is alot of cash in your pocket.

i finished the year with about +250 units.

i have some killer systems for ml, straight bets, ect.

this year i going to be more selective.

last year from jan 11th till feb 10th, i was at 81-27. though not all documented seperatly here, because i posted all plays together for the most part. , but that particular system won me so much money i didn't know what to do. plus my book of 5 years cut me off and called uncle. which is :coffeetim


i look to make so much $$$ i will never have another job again, besides gambling.

I WON'T START BETTING TIL AFTER THE NEW YEAR THOUGH.

MAYBE SOME SMALL PLAYS BUT I DOUBT IT.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

On Your Knees Jumbo, And Pay.



Max Minny Stuck It To Me Again, Oh Well.

Won A Lot On Teasers Though. Plus That 2nd Half Over Was Nice.

 

[JUMBO227]

LOVE YA MAN.......LET'S KICK ASS TONITE.....ROCKETS AND OVER !!!!!!!:kicking:

 

[JUMBO227]

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Dude, NIU D surrenders a lot of points on the road, but in 4 home games they have surrendered on average 17 points per game against some decent offenses (held Bowling Green to 17!). Just as important, Toledo has been HAMMERED on the road this year.

NIU -6.5 is my play today......THIS IS FROM EL IGUANA
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