To hedge or not to hedge (Oklahoma -7)?

[letsgohoosiers]

Had a great day so far. Doubled my money.

Is Oklahoma -7 a winner?

Have them on a 3 team parlay, the other two have won. Also have them on a side bet.

Let me know.

 

[Low Rollin' 'Noles Fan]

I'd probably put double the amount you risked on the parlay at OSU +10.

So if you bet 50 to win 300, put 100 on OKST. Either win 200, win 50, or get lucky and middle/push one.

I'm trying to figure out if I should do the same thing with my 5-teamer, but I still have Wake pending at -3.

 

[whalewager]

the line reached 10.5 and is settled at 10

no dont fn hedge...you have plenty the best

 

[whalewager]

do not hedge

jc guys...this is fn gambling...that is why its called gambling


take the risk...u have plenty the best number

 

[letsgohoosiers]

The line movement towards Oklahoma has me leaning on staying there. When it moves 3+ points, it's usually a winner. Even at -10, it's -115 at the books.

I bet $10 to win $53.44 (parlay) and $40 to win $29.63 (-130, bought 0.5).

So if I were to hedge I would do $68.16 to win $64.91.

 

[woodypaige]

The line movement towards Oklahoma has me leaning on staying there. When it moves 3+ points, it's usually a winner. Even at -10, it's -115 at the books.

I bet $10 to win $53.44 (parlay) and $40 to win $29.63 (-130, bought 0.5).

So if I were to hedge I would do $68.16 to win $64.91.

In college football, Line movements of 2.5 and more is 78% this year to the other way.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

In college football, Line movements of 2.5 and more is 78% this year to the other way.

Thanks for the info. I remember 2 games with the line movement, the first one was FIU-Troy a while ago, opened at -7, ended around -12 and FIU lost by 10 or so. The other was the TT-Texas game, opened at -7, closed at -3.5 and TT won S/U. That led me to the opinion that line movement = winner. Do you have additional data to support the stat?

 

[StraightCashHomie+]

Also remember Toledo was at +17 about a hour before kick vs Michigan then it dropped to about 14.5 by actual kickoff and we know what happend there

 

[FadeMeToWin]

Okla rolls tonite

 

[woodypaige]

Thanks for the info. I remember 2 games with the line movement, the first one was FIU-Troy a while ago, opened at -7, ended around -12 and FIU lost by 10 or so. The other was the TT-Texas game, opened at -7, closed at -3.5 and TT won S/U. That led me to the opinion that line movement = winner. Do you have additional data to support the stat?

117 win-33 loses=78% this yr

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Ended up hedging. +10.5 was too good to pass up. A 7.5-10 point OU win and I double.

 

[whalewager]

holy hell man

 

[letsgohoosiers]

holy hell man

Sorry buddy, just didn't like the idea of needing a 2 possession victory in a rivalry game on the rival's field. Especially with all the close games between the two as of late.

I went 4-1 today and didn't want to end up with only $19.57 in winnings if I lost this.

 

[whalewager]

hoosiers,

when you have plenty the best number...do not hedge...

this is about numbers...not what happened in the past or what the gd trend is this year

 

[letsgohoosiers]

hoosiers,

when you have plenty the best number...do not hedge...

this is about numbers...not what happened in the past or what the gd trend is this year

Easy to say that now...

I am happy. That game would have given me heart attacks if I didn't hedge. It was going from 4 to 11 to 4 to 11 the entire game. It hit that magic 10 number in the 4th quarter and I thought I had a chance to win all, but it wasn't meant to be. Had a successful weekend and glad I did it.