Tip Sheet Survey - College/NFL Football - Feedback Welcome

[G-Man!]

What information on weekly Tip Sheets/Newsletters do you find helpful?

How often do you use picks posted by them or stats used or trust for capping plays?

Do any of the sheets you've followed have anything that you find useful every week, i.e Power Ratings or ATS records Best Bets or what ever etc?

 

[sidthekid]

What information on weekly Tip Sheets/Newsletters do you find helpful?

How often do you use picks posted by them or stats used or trust for capping plays?

Do any of the sheets you've followed have anything that you find useful every week, i.e Power Ratings or ATS records Best Bets or what ever etc?

I just read for the info/trends G, occasionally I will play off a sheet

 

[G-Man!]

I just read for the info/trends G, occasionally I will play off a sheet

Any specific stats with the innfo ?

Also what sheets do you read?

 

[sidthekid]

Any specific stats with the innfo ?

Also what sheets do you read?

Not necessarily, Pointwise, WP, Phil Steele, Red Sheet
What about yourself?

 

[G-Man!]

Not necessarily, Pointwise, WP, Phil Steele, Red Sheet
What about yourself?

Th best sheet to me is The Midweek Alert by Marc Lawerence.
Its the best handicapping sheet of all for the important stats.

I dont believe in Trends or Power ratings. They arent adjusted properly and are one dimensional.

Thats why Im asking for feedback on all the other sheets. I think if anyone has good results with the sheetss it would be good to share here so others can get something from the feedback.

 

[MTek]

I browse most of them but lean more towards Mark Lawrence Playbook.
Trends are trends for a reason and if Mark's write-ups agree with my process I'll generally use that as a positive sign to bet.

 

[G-Man!]

I browse most of them but lean more towards Mark Lawrence Playbook.
Trends are trends for a reason and if Mark's write-ups agree with my process I'll generally use that as a positive sign to bet.

Thats a good reason
Thanks for sharing.
Some trends can be an idicator for sure /
Problem I see is that the tends are usually being used and they ere created with completelydifferent rosters. Thats why I dont use them
Rarely are the same teams in the trend with the same players in the current matchup.

 

[deadeyedick]

Stats primarily as with the portal, I tend to disregard the trends given change over in personnel. I like to focus on net yards rushing and look for those teams that will double rush (DR) their opponents (i.e., Tulane out rushes UAB 281 to 106); and I like to ferret out those double digit dogs (DDDR) that will our rush their opponent (even if by only 1 yard) .... YTD DR is 118-40 and DDDR is 29-7. While record is very good the challenge is find em first and every week, there are those that did not qualify as either DR or DDDR yet they performed as a DR or DDDR. Some the commentary is good but mostly entertaining and good for a few chuckles -- tend to look at Red Sheet, Pointwise and Power Plays -- also have a couple of stat sites I use like TeamRankings and cfbstats for instance

 

[Let'sMakeSomeMoney]

Interesting system deadeye.

For DR and DDR I assume you are just using the Rushing Offense stats or are you factoring the Rushing Defense in any way?

I plugged into my prep worksheet (just factoring in Rushing Off) and came up with:

The Liberty game didn't work out - I'll closely watch the others this week.
Does this match your analysis?

Cheers

 

[G-Man!]

I browse most of them but lean more towards Mark Lawrence Playbook.
Trends are trends for a reason and if Mark's write-ups agree with my process I'll generally use that as a positive sign to bet.

Does anyone understand the line comparisions on Marc Playbbok on the last page?

 

[LutherVanDam]

I like Phil Steele and will typically heavily consider either his or his computer’s picks. I find the compilation of information (schedule/results, team statistical rankings, etc) to be quite useful. Like you, I don’t put much value in historical trends which is why I’m not super drawn to Marc Lawrence.

I am also big on coaching matchups because they give a feel for potential game scripts and tendencies. That’s why I love listening to Will Harris whenever he comes out of hiding. I would be attracted to a newsletter with more of that type of information (the qualitative stuff) that seems to influence teenagers more than the professionals.

 

[Let'sMakeSomeMoney]

Interesting system deadeye.

For DR and DDR I assume you are just using the Rushing Offense stats or are you factoring the Rushing Defense in any way?

I plugged into my prep worksheet (just factoring in Rushing Off) and came up with:

View attachment 102742

The Liberty game didn't work out - I'll closely watch the others this week.
Does this match your analysis?

Cheers

Plays went 7-2 ATS last week for 78% that's not bad at all. The losers were Liberty and Boise.
Also, interestingly all 3 of the Double Digit Dog Rushers won ATS (Purdue, Miss St, Vandy).

This week:
DDDR (Double Digit Dog Rushing) we have NMSt, Wyo and UCF
DR (Double Rushing yards) we have : Army, Rutgers, Navy, Wash St. Bowling Green and Arizona

Let's see how they do.


Cheers

 

[G-Man!]

Plays went 7-2 ATS last week for 78% that's not bad at all. The losers were Liberty and Boise.
Also, interestingly all 3 of the Double Digit Dog Rushers won ATS (Purdue, Miss St, Vandy).

This week:
DDDR (Double Digit Dog Rushing) we have NMSt, Wyo and UCF
DR (Double Rushing yards) we have : Army, Rutgers, Navy, Wash St. Bowling Green and Arizona

View attachment 103308

Let's see how they do.


Cheers

Excellent charting.

Have you separated the games with bowl level teams as opposed to losing teams - as stats vs losers tend to inflate the numbers.