Timmy's thread Aug1st-end of regular season

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Here we go on the early games

Was-Noah off 21 days and Milone pitched once this year-lean NYM-115 FF
NYY-Gray much better last 3 and Cobb is good for giving up 4 runs.Lean NYY-x FF-175 or NYYov3 -130
Also lean NYYRL-140 but reluctantly passing due to Boston up next.
Cle-Carrasco era 3 in last three but Struggles with Minn. Unders 5-3 this year, early game-1U Under 9-105
Det-Fiers not bad recently-going with early game under 9-115 1Unit

Boy was Gray awful, especially against a team he's beaten 3 times this year.

Det/Cincy bullpens give up 8 runs:ohno:

unders easily could have been 4-0, but that's gambling
 

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7pm games: I see you passed on both Cubs/Pitt & LAA/TB - I see nothing that would make me take either side. And since you are not on either total, I will tell you I would be on the Over 8 for both games. Cubs/PIT - Hamels trade to the Cubs could hit the reset for him but both SP's thus far this season should give up enough to cover. LAA/TB - both SP's no great shakes so if both teams show up offensively there will enough to cover.


I do like the Braves, the same reasons as you, but -177 is to much so if I bet them it would be -1 @ -132. I think they would be ok on the RL @ +110 but that hook on home teams seem to get me a lot so I try to avoid it.

I doubt I will give any comments on the later games - I usually shutdown before they end so I make it easy on myself and eliminate them from consideration.
 

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Thanks for the input. I agree 100% on Overs, I just don't know if Hamels
comes out and throws a gem 1st time out with Cubs.

TB probably goes over in FF LOL....I guess seeing it open at 8 and DROP
to 7x scares me.
 

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Thanks for the input. I agree 100% on Overs, I just don't know if Hamels
comes out and throws a gem 1st time out with Cubs.

TB probably goes over in FF LOL....I guess seeing it open at 8 and DROP
to 7x scares me.
I should have been more clear - IF I would have bet the Cubs/PITT and LAA/TB it would have been OVR... I am not betting either since they are totals... BTW, sorry for commenting on the HOU/SEA under, I knew it would be nothing but bad news if coming from me.
 

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I do like Braves, the same reasons as you, but -177 is to much so if I bet them it would be -1 @ -132. I think they would be ok on the RL @ +110 but that hook on home teams seem to get me a lot so I try to avoid it.
The line got to juiced up to take the -1 so I went ahead and bet the RL @ +105. This is one of my problems that you also mentioned about yourself - betting for the action. Again, I think they will be ok on the RL but will hate myself if I lose by that hook.


BOL on the rest of your picks tonight, TR.
 

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Yeah I got that you weren't playing overs but if "forced" would
play overs. Don't worry about the jinx thing-I have a brother
who thinks if he doesn't watch the Hogs or Cards a few minutes
behind they will lose. LMAO

The only place I freak out about so called jinxes are at a Craps
table or the horse track when a guy is yelling he won at the
1/16th pole and I'm on the same horse.:smoking:
 

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Oak-Stroman has pitched better but Oak is on a roll. If Manaea holds them
to 3 Oak wins. Oak-135 2U
Hou-Throw out the one bad game by Dallas and neither offense doing much. 1U un8-120
Pit-Does the new uniform change Cole? Unsure so only Lean Ov8-115
StL-Kyle's road era 3.6 vs Luke's home era 5 and he got rocked by Col last out. Col 1U+118
LaD-not scoring any runs and Chase stats better than Hill. 1U Milw+148, 2U un8-120
TB-Nick awful and Tyler 1st start. Pass
ChX-Two pitchers who can't string together two decent games. Pass

Waiting on updated pitching info for Atlanta.

I will summarize my unit plays later.

Oak played out nicely, 8 runs on HR's killed the Hou unders.
Should have trusted Dallas more and played him over Wade!
I've seen others say they don't trust LeBlanc...
 

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Aug 1 results
2-5 -3.75 units

Needed my top play to win, not be postponed and bullpens to not suckface)(*^%
 

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Thurs Aug 2

3 early games

StL-Col hasn't seen Miles yet, Antonio road ERA 8, StL FF 2U-145
LAA-Heaney 2.7 era last 3 against TB bullpen-lean LAA
ChX-Two pitchers giving up plenty of runs-2U O9x-110
 

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Thurs Aug 2

3 early games

StL-Col hasn't seen Miles yet, Antonio road ERA 8, StL FF 2U-145
LAA-Heaney 2.7 era last 3 against TB bullpen-lean LAA
ChX-Two pitchers giving up plenty of runs-2U O9x-110
Nothing there for me. Good luck on your picks.
 

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Phi-TTov4x-125 1U..in 5 of 6 most recent home games they scored at least 5, Pablo road era 5 and bullpen worse
WasRL-135 2U-Little surprised this is that low. Mahle is awful.
AtL-1U O8-120. Neither pitcher has been sharp lately or against each other.
Chi-3U-161 High but I'm playing against SD 1st game of a series until they win one
LaD-lean Ov7 because these pitching duels have not materialized lately but Pass.
AZ-lean Ov7 same reason as LaD game but Pass
Bos-1U-108 Rather wager game over 4 hours LOL. Betting NYY doesn't get out of their funk GM1.
TX-both pitchers doing a little better lean U11 but Pass.
Sea-No line-lean Sea but Pass-have enough action.
 

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Aug 2 summary

Chi-3U-161
StL FF-2U-145
Chx Ov9x 2U-110
WasRL-2U-135
Phi TTov4x-1U-125
AtL Ov8-1U-120
Bos-1U-108

Down to 7 LOL-awful chalky
 

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Thanks Varkey-right now the luck has been bad but way early in this experiment and
need to keep it up - and get down to max of 5 games
 

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So far I have two @ 7pm:
ATL-1 -131 Braves the better team across the board
Cubs -1 -111 Cubs have had the Pads number this year, playing at home and although Montgomery is nothing special he should outduel Erlin.
 

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So far I have two @ 7pm:
ATL-1 -131 Braves the better team across the board
Cubs -1 -111 Cubs have had the Pads number this year, playing at home and although Montgomery is nothing special he should outduel Erlin.
I would like to bet on the BOS/NYY game don't feel that comfortable with either but "with a gun to my head" I would take BOS.
 

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Good luck tm. Going with your chi -1. Also like tex -1. Fading bal due to cleaning house this week and on the road.
 

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That Sea over may be something to double check
Felix not so hot anymore and Tyler hasn't started in
The Show in 10 years...
 

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Then again it's basically a bullpen game so Sea won't be seeing the same
pitcher twice most likely
 

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