Tigertoy is back to help out with some Handicapping

[TIGERTOY]

I'm just trying to understand you "tips." They're off. You stated bet against a SB champ. And home dogs on Monday night. So if you're being successful? Perhaps you should list how you're picking and choosing your spot since I posted the results of both of those tips if someone was to bet every game of those tips. You will NOT hit 80+ % unless you're picking spots. So technically those aren't good tips for beginners. Home dogs do hit at a decent rate however it's a certain situation. Not just betting a home dog....

If you you think "They're off", don't follow them.

You're also mentioned earlier that betting against Super bowl champs and Bronco went 9-7 ATS and betting against them on that year lose money. Yes, using this trend on that year lose money. Trend is not 1 year results. Trend is 10, 20, 30 years, and longer results. This trend is not guarantee that you will be winning 100% when you bet on them. It's only the trend and might not be good this year but so far it's 4-1 this year.

 

[wizard1183]

If you you think "They're off", don't follow them.

You're also mentioned earlier that betting against Super bowl champs and Bronco went 9-7 ATS and betting against them on that year lose money. Yes, using this trend on that year lose money. Trend is not 1 year results. Trend is 10, 20, 30 years, and longer results. This trend is not guarantee that you will be winning 100% when you bet on them. It's only the trend and might not be good this year but so far it's 4-1 this year.

Please show everyone your statistical data for SB champs yr after. I'm willing to bet it's wrong whatever you're looking at cause I've looked at several SB champs in the past decade and very few wonats and if they did? It was by 1-2 games fading them. You came here saying you'd help ppl by giving tips. But your tips are not valid. So I'm just trying to see how you come up with your data. I'm not trying to say you're picks aren't good. But trying teach handicapping? I don't think you're a good teacher by what you've stated

 

[TIGERTOY]

I understand what you're saying however a home dog on Monday night is considered a bad team. So how can you suggest not betting on bad teams? If you're combining those 2 tips? If that's the case? Then bet on the fav everytime.

I did a query on a team below 50 in win % vs team above 50 in win % on Monday nights.

If thr home dog is above 50% and Away fav is below? The results are:
0-2SU & ATS

If dog is below vs an above avg away fav? Results are:
24-46SU
33-37ats

So what are you constituting as a bad team vs a good one?

To be considered a good team, that team must have good Quarterback, good running back, and good defenses and W-L records and ATS proof that. The bad teams are opposited of the above and records is very lousy. If you don't know what is good teams, middle of the pack teams, and bad teams, I suggest you look at team W-L records, ATS records, offenses and defenses stats, and search web on power rankings.

To be successful in handicapping, we need to do researches at trends, angles, historical, offenses and defenses stats, motivations, coaching staffs and etc. of each team. It takes many years of experiences in doing so and I make mistakes often. It can not be explain in one pages or two pages written instructions. I hope you get it.

 

[wizard1183]

Yes I know theirs more variables. I know what good teams and bad teams are. But would you say a good team is above .500 and a bad is below.500? Cause that's usually the case and I posted stats on that. I agree, it's yrs of looking at certain things. Situations are another factor. For instance I'm willing t bet next time Dolphins play saints? Dolphins will wipe the floor with them because historical data shows a scoreless team usually bounces back vs it's revenge. But even with that there's instances where it won't happen. It's depends when they're playing? If Dolphins lost game before? If saints blew out the game before? Ect.

 

[TIGERTOY]

This week is tough in finding good match up to have some edges.

I may not be around on Sunday so I will give this week all my plays today. All plays that I posted in here will have my real money (not Monopoly money) riding on them. Every posted plays is a nickel ($500) and my best bet is a dime ($1000).

Let's the fun begin

LA Chargers +3.5 West cost team travel 3 time zones playing East normally a good spot to bet against but point is premium here. Take the points.

Cincinnati -3 Look like a wrong team is favorite here but everyone jumps on Buffalo band wagon, I will go the other way.

Dallas -2.5 Cowgirls need this game more to proof to everyone.

Kansas City -1 Think Indian Chiefs get ambush here with Texans good defenses but I suspect their offenses.

KC/Hou Under 45

Let's me remind everyone that these picks are not guaranteed winning and there will be losing weeks, therefore, bets what you can support. Past performances can not guarantee future out comes.

Good luck everyone cheersgif

 

[Steiner69eR]

Wow, don’t believe my eyes. Welcome back!!!

 

[TIGERTOY]

Wow, don’t believe my eyes. Welcome back!!!

Thanks my friend. Good to be back.:toast:

 

[TIGERTOY]

2-0 in our early games.
Cowgirl is in the dog fight. Keep our finger crossed.

 

[TIGERTOY]

2-1 for the day. Cowgirls did me again.

Let’s go the Sunday’s Night game

 

[headquarters]

Thanks for sharing TIGERTOY, missed you, glad to see you back!

 

[TIGERTOY]

Thanks for sharing TIGERTOY, missed you, glad to see you back!

Thanks for coming to say ""Hello" headquarters. Yes, I missed you all also. The pleasure is all mine sharing my plays. I'm not even watch or follow football for 3 years. Hope your football in the years past were well and make a lot of money. Good to see you again. cheersgif

 

[TIGERTOY]

Recap

3 - 2 for the day. Not a bad day for the tough week picking.

 

[Vietnve]

Recap

3 - 2 for the day. Not a bad day for the tough week picking.

Tigerboy, what is your pick for tonight?

 

[mhk]

Welcome back tigertoy. I'm big on trends and angles as well, just not always. For instance I always love home dogs of less than 3 SU, always get a +#, but I don't bet them each and every time.... I get what you are saying here, don't worry if others don't..

 

[SouthernWiseguy]

Thanks for your input awon. This week is only my third week for me betting on football this year. The 1-0 on Washington was the week that Oakland Raiders traveled acrossed 3 time zones and as a chalk (-2.5 pts) over Washington. Not last week when Washinton traveled to KC.

By the way, 1-0 or 2-0 referred in my post were only my personal plays not my posted plays. I'm not posted my plays yet this year. If you want to look at my previous posted plays in the year pasted, just do the search "Tigertoy" and you will see all my posted

I don't know if someone posted but that Wsh/Oak game was on Sunday Night NOT Monday Night?

 

[TIGERTOY]

Welcome back tigertoy. I'm big on trends and angles as well, just not always. For instance I always love home dogs of less than 3 SU, always get a +#, but I don't bet them each and every time.... I get what you are saying here, don't worry if others don't..

Thanks mhk and good to see you around. You're a wise man.

There is usually a good value in home dogs especially on a prime time and divisional games. I don't bet on them every games either if home dog is a bad team and no chance of winning straight up, I don't bet them. There are 2 home dogs this week on Sunday games, Miami and Houston. I kicked myself not jumping on Miami. Miami has some decent defenses but I afraid of their offenses and I scratched it out. Another is Houston which I bet against them on my posted plays. We can not win them all every times.

Thanks again for coming and sharing your trends.

 

[EddieMoney]

Thanks mhk and good to see you around. You're a wise man.

There is usually a good value in home dogs especially on a prime time and divisional games. I don't bet on them every games either if home dog is a bad team and no chance of winning straight up, I don't bet them. There are 2 home dogs this week on Sunday games, Miami and Houston. I kicked myself not jumping on Miami. Miami has some decent defenses but I afraid of their offenses and I scratched it out. Another is Houston which I bet against them on my posted plays. We can not win them all every times.

Thanks again for coming and sharing your trends.

How high are we

 

[TIGERTOY]

I don't know if someone posted but that Wsh/Oak game was on Sunday Night NOT Monday Night?

It's bad. It was Sunday Night prime time. Thanks for correction Southern Wiseguy.

 

[Rich3227]

How high are we

Lmao

 

[TIGERTOY]

Monday Night Football. My favorite night betting football and drinking with my good friends.

Chicago +3.5 Rookie QB or no rookie does not matter. Just take the points and belive in magic.

Min/Chi Under 41 Run baby run.

Best of luck everyone