Thursday System Plays

[BigPete]

From the power ratings (PR) system

Clemson +5.5
Avg PR prediction +0.85
Standard Deviation= 4.5
B=(Line-avg)/standard deviation= 1.03

Where home team is favored from -4 to-10, but PR avg favors visitor to cover, and B>0.9
Play goes 16-5 since 2000

UL Lafayette +7.5
Avg PR prediction +2.91
Std Deviation= 4.3
B= (Line-Avg Pred)/Std Dev= 1.07

Where home team is a dog from -4 to -10 but PR avg predicts a home team cover, B>0.9
Play goes 28-7 since 2000

 

[OpeRaTiOnBeTs]

whats ur YTD?

 

[Drunkn247]

What is PR avg...I'm hoping its not Punt return?

 

[EagleSports]

hahahaha, ill lmao if its punt return
good one drunkn....thats would be great

 

[BigPete]

GMoney Record: 33-24

Predicted Score Clem 30/ NC 27

Clemson PPG
Offense 23.5
Op Def Avg 20.5
Defense 18.7
Opp Off. 25.1

Off % Changes 1.146341463
Def % Change 0.74501992

Predicted PPG
from % Change of Opp D 34.39
from % Change of Opp Off. 27.76

NCState PPG
Offense 38.4
Op Def Avg 27.2
Defense Avg 30
Opp Off. Avg 25.4


Off % Changes 1.411764706
Def % Reduction 1.181102362

Predicted PPG
from % Change of Opp D 26.40
from % Change of Opp Off. 28.61

 

[WhosCoaching]

The first line of the post says Power Ratings (PR)

 

[BigPete]

Little scary but pulled it out.

Shooting for the under on ColoSt/AF for 3-0 as posted on GMoney. No points in 1st. Hope it keeps up.

 

[hansenbros.]

good work!

GL

 

[Drunkn247]

good job pete...

 

[BigDaddyNole]

good job Pete --- your predictions were nuts on for the first two games

where I come from they call that "cha CHING"

I see that you're also a big fan of the performanZ system

I hit their message board from time to time ....

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Pete:

Where can I get a hold of some of these systems?

 

[BigDaddyNole]

when the point spread is between 4 to 10, what are the numbers when:
the home team is a DOG and the PR average favors the road team?

the home team is favored and the PR average favors the home team?

(assuming that B>.09)

thanks in advance!

 

Pete nice job man. I have the Over in the Air Force game but it looks like it's going down to the wire.

Keep those plays going..much appreciated at the Rx!

 

[BigPete]

Thanks guys, BDN let me run those for ya.

BGO shoot me an email.

 

[BigPete]

BDN:
Roady favored from 4-10, PR favors Road Team,
4-11 ATS

Homer Favored 4to10, PR favors home, 28-17 ats

Hope that saves you some cash.

 

[nysports]

Nice job Pete.

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Good work Pete.

What's your email address?

I prefer to not only look at these systems but find out why they work in those situations. I'll be happy to share any of my thoughts with you. Hopefully that will allow us to tweak the systems or develop systems on our own.

Thanks.

 

[BigPete]

petesnutrition@aol.com

 

[BigDaddyNole]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by BigPete:
BDN:
Roady favored from 4-10, PR favors Road Team,
4-11 ATS

Homer Favored 4to10, PR favors home, 28-17 ats

Hope that saves you some cash.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

interesting --- I guess if there's a trend here it's to do your best to stay away from road chalk of 4-10 even if the computer likes it .....