Dwayne bryant
MASSIVE NFL THUR NIGHT O/U
Game: (301) Denver Broncos at (302) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Oct 18 2018 8:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Greek
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 42.0 (-110)
View Analysis
NFL -- 8:20 PM ET
[301] Denver Broncos at [302] Arizona Cardinals
PLAY: OVER 42 (-110)
BET SIZE: 4%
My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
Projected Points Scored = 47
We have two teams who do not stop the run very well. Denver is dead last in the NFL, allowing a whopping 5.6 yards per carry & 161.3 rushing yards per game. Arizona is second last, allowing 151.2 rushing yards per game. When you can't stop the run, it forces extra defenders in the box. And that creates one-on-one matchups on the outside. Successful running games leads to success in play-action passing and plenty of one-on-one shots down the field