Thursday Service Plays 09/27/18

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11th Hour Sports

NCAAF 5u: 103 NC+10 1st H. NC U 28.5 1st H.

NFL 8u: 101 MIN+4 1st H. MIN O 24.5 1st H. MIN+7.5g. MIN O 49g. NCAAF 5u: 103 NC+18. 8u: NC U 56.5.
 

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Steve Merril


Thursday, Sep. 27
MLB MINNESOTA -130 (action) (vs. Detroit) - 8:10 pm ET #962

-Detroit starter Francisco Liriano is slated for 2.6 earned runs with a 4.39 ERA and 1.42 WHIP
-lefty has been poor on the road; 40 runs on 75 hits in 80.1 innings; 4.48 ERA and 1.47 WHIP
-Twins' lineup has hit .299 (20-for-67) with a strong .945 OPS against Liriano in his career

-Minnesota starter Gabriel Moya is slated for 2.1 earned runs with a 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP
-lefty projects to have a 9.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.9 strikeout/walk ratio
-Tigers' lineup has yet to get a single hit (0-11) with a weak .145 OPS against Moya in his career

Play TWINS (-) (action).

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NCAA FootballMIAMI FLA -17.5 (vs. North Carolina) - 8:00 pm ET (ESPN) #104

-North Carolina got their first win of the season last week as expected; big jump up in class here
-offense has been terrible in their two road games; 18 points per game on 4.9 yards per play
-Tar Heels' defense allows 33.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.7 points per game

-Miami has won their 2 home games by a combined score of 108-17; expect another big win
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Hurricanes' defense is giving up just 18.5 points per game on 3.8 yards per play this season

Play MIAMI FLA (-).

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NFL

MINNESOTA +7 (at L.A. Rams) - 8:20 pm ET (FOX/NFLN) #101

-Minnesota is off an embarrassing home loss to Buffalo last week; expect bounce back effort
-offense was terrific in their lone road game; 29 points scored on a whopping 7.3 yards per play
-Vikings' defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Los Angeles comes into this game with a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS record; played 3 bad teams
-offense has faced a collection of defenses that give up 6.4 yards per play; big step-up in class
-Rams' defense allows 5.7 yards per play despite allowing 12 points per game; numbers don't jive

Play VIKINGS (+).
 

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DoIuGh8UYAApJHI.jpg:large
 

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[FONT=&quot][FONT=&quot]Larry Ness' 10* Thursday NFL Game of the Week (20-11, +8K NFL run s/Aug 18)[/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot][FONT=&quot]My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Vikings (8:20 EST)[/FONT][/FONT]
 

Dr. Bob who?
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Larry Ness' 10* Thursday NFL Game of the Week (20-11, +8K NFL run s/Aug 18)
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Vikings (8:20 EST)

Would be nice if we could see what line he says he played. The line fluctuated between 6.5-7.5. Those half points in either direction make a huge difference when the Rams won by exactly 7.
 

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Agree. Ness doesn’t usually include them in his writeups. I was going to by the hook to 7.5 and opted against it. Ughhh
 

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