JB
2* SA-7'
Michael Cannon
Thursday's Plays
30 Dime
CAVALIERS
5 Dime
CUBS
(With Hill as listed pitcher)
TIGERS
(With Maroth and Loe as listed pitchers)
Bonus Play:
PADRES -1 1/2 RUN LINE
Chris Jordan
Thursday night sweep
500?
CAVALIERS
300?
DIAMONDBACKS
AccuPicks
4* Cleve Under (NBA)
4* NYY ML
3* StL ML
3* NYM ML
3* AZ Over
Larry Ness 15 Get away day game
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics Jun 7 2007 3:35PM
Prediction: Boston Red Sox
Reason: The Red Sox, who have dropped six of seven games overall, grounded into three double plays in Wednesday's 3-2 defeat, one night after grounding into four in a 2-0 loss. Oakland is 7-2 entering the finale of its 10-game homestand, with its starters going 6-1 with a 1.30 ERA to help the team move a season-best four games above .500. Joe Blanton (5-3, 3.81 ERA), takes the hill for the Athletics on Thursday. He pitched a career-best three-hitter Saturday night against Minnesota, retiring 19 of the last 20 batters he faced and throwing just 108 pitches in Oakland's 1-0 win. In five home starts this year, he's got a 2.04 ERA with a 29-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. So why take the Red Sox? How about a little history? With victories in the first three games of this series, the A's have won seven consecutive home meetings with the Red Sox. They have not swept a four-game home series from Boston since May 19-21, 1932, when they were based in Philadelphia! Now that's a LONG time! Curt Schilling goes for Boston and after going 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his first seven starts of 2007, he's 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and a .349 opponent batting average over his last five outings! However, the Red Sox are 4-1 in those five starts, with Schilling posting a 15-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio over the last three (it's 62-16 on the season). Since joining Boston in 2004, he is 22-8 with a 3.22 ERA when pitching after a Red Sox loss. Plus, the Red Sox were 18-8 (plus-$1,155) on the road in '07 prior to this series. They all of a sudden didn't just become a bad team. MLB Getaway Day GOW 15* Bos Red Sox
Freese
Guaranteed Pick: Tom Freese
Game: Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers Jun 7 2007 8:35PM
Prediction: over
Reason: We like a high scoring game here as Detroit starter Mike Maroth is in terrible KW form with more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Maroth also has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts vs. the Rangers. Maroth has a 8.53 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Rangers. Texas starter Kammeron Loe has allowed 5 or more runs in 6 of his 9 starts this year. He will allow at least that many runs to a Tiger team that has scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. 5* MLB 'Total' Of the Week Play On 'Over' (Loe vs. Maroth
6* Cleveland Cavaliers Banker Sports
Astros Matty O'shea
GOLD KEY GAMES:
3 Units (Bonus Play): OVER 10 runs Yankees
2 Units (Bonus Play): UNDER 180 Spurs / Cavs
Silver Key (Bonus Play):OVER 11 runs Tigers/Rangers
Gold Key (Paid Play): Cleveland cavaliers +7.5
The Cavaliers under Head Coach Mike Brown have gotten to the Big Dance, and deservedly so having beaten the Eastern Conference's best. They have covered seven straight Playoff events in a row Against The Spread, and we go back with them here. The Cavs are a young team with nothing to lose as Dogs in this Series, but they must fend off the propensity of "just being glad to be here." Positive trends for the Cavs tonight include 24-17 Against The Spread versus winning teams, 20-10 ATS in non-Conference Play, and 27-20 ATS on the Road.
The Spurs won the Western Conference Title again under Head Coach Gregg Popovich, and they look to bring another Finals Trophy home to San Antonio as Odds-on Favorites. They are experienced, well-rounded, and arguably have F/C Duncan, G Ginobili and G Parker playing the best ball of their careers. Virtually all trends are positive for the Spurs tonight, with the exception of 14-22 ATS versus the Central Division.
The line overnited at Spurs -7.5. We'll take those points and the Road Cavs here tonight in a Gold Key Play.
Vegas Experts
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
The Mets have played seven straight unders. John Maine has a 2.35 LT ERA vs. the Phils in four starts. Cole Hamels shows a 1.29 LT ERA vs. the Mets in three starts. The NY METS are 21-7 UNDER in home games vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons and 13-4 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season.
Play on: Under
LT Lock
Phillies
streak is now 1-0
Rocco Spacamuro
100* Cavs +7.5
Survivor all-star "Tuppy" who hit 22 in a row and won $1 million (or maybe it was $100,000) picked the White Sox for tonight.
Tuppy
member since 1/27/2004
Survivor Pick Record: 464-431-20
Thursday pick: CWS
A capper on Wagerline named "Captain Lock" released the Phillies for Thursday as a 5 dime pick. His picks and record are tracked and verified at Wagerline. 5 dimes are 3-0-1 and the last time he released a 5 dime pick was on April 3rd.
Phillies -104 (Hamels)
LARRY NESS FULL CARD:
15* Getway Day GOW: Red Sox
Las Vegas Insider: Cardinals
Oddsmaker's Error: NY Mets
Maverick
NBA SPURS 7.5,
MLB Hous, Atl
Thursday's Comps
Sebastian-San Francisco
Winner Line-Dodgers
OTM-OVER Tigers
Mountaineer-UNDER Dodgers
Computer Boys-Mets
Kevin Kennedy-Tigers
Feiner-St. Louis
Ty Gaston-OVER San Antonio
Proffit Plays
Triple plays = 105-96
MLB
Detroit
Boston
NY Mets
Daily Best Bets
YTD = 31-34
NBA
Cleveland +6.5
-----------------------------------
Professional Plays
YTD = 34-15
Plays rated 1-5 Units
MLB
3 units on St Louis -155
2 Units on Houston -145
----------------------------------------
Sebastian Sports (4-0-0 / +400)
MLB - Chicago-N (+100)
5 Units Spurs - Will Cover
Psychic Sports:
2*Mets
2*Astros
3*White Sox
4* Major SA Spurs
ASA
4* Spurs -7.5
Bought and paid for. Confirmed
Stu Finer
Today's Action
NOTE: Baseball releases are for games where the starting pitchers are specified.
5000 DIME NBA Finals Game of the Year...CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Love all of these points tonight as in this Game 1, LeBron and the Cavs will be more than ready and they will give the Spurs all they can handle. Just like Detroit's guards had problems slowing down LeBron James, the Spurs will not be able to handle James with just one man (Bruce Bowen). When doubled, LeBron will dish to open shooters because he is an unselfish player. In helping beat the Spurs in both meetings this season, LeBron averaged 27 points and 7.5 boards a contest. He will come huge again tonight. They won both those games by shooting just 44 percent and 36 percent from the field. LeBron was the only Cleveland to score 20-plus points in either game. That's very similar to the Detroit series and I see a similar result tonight. San Antonio can play an up-tempo style of hoops, but they'll be more comfortable matching the Cavs' grinding style and this will be a low-scoring game.
I like how Cleveland has played defense in these playoffs. They allowed just 82 ppg in Round 1 versus the Wizards, 77 ppg in the conference semis against the Nets and then 79 ppg against the Pistons. They have the size with Zydrunas Ilgauskas and this team just gets after it defensively. And could Larry Hughes have played any worse against the Pistons? He'll respond tonight and Daniel Gibson, like LeBRon, will give San Antoinio troubles when driving in the paint. Cleveland thrives in this role having covered 21 of its last 26 as a dog, including 19 of 22 as a road pup. The Cavs have covered seven of eight on the road in the postseason and six of its last seven versus the Spurs (all as a dog). Cleveland believes it can win and belives it will win. This team has a workman-like approach to each game and LeBron & Co., will be more than ready for this one. This game will be very tight inside the final minute and win or lose, the Cavs will easily stay inside this price tonight for this solid 5000 DIME winner!
1000 DIME MLB Best Bet...SAN DIEGO PADRES (Run Line -1.5)
The Dodgers are weary (10th road game in as many days), not hitting (just one run first two games of this series) and Jake Peavy and the streaking Padres will post a convincing win tonight. In winning the first two of this series, the first-place Friars have now won four straight and nine of their last 11 games. Peavy (7-1, 1.68 ERA) has a 1.80 ERA in his last three starts and is 7-1 with a 2.31 ERA in 14 career starts against L.A. He and the San Diego pen (1.64 ERA at Petco this season) will again shut down this weak L.A. attack that is batting a mere .233 in its last seven contests. L.A. again won't have ailing closer Takashi closer and Dodger starter Hong-Chih Kuo has allowed six earned and 11 hits in just seven innings this season. The Friars are hitting better of late (.257, 5.7 runs per game last seven) and they'll score enough for Peavy tonight as San Diego scores early and often for this easy home win.
200 DIME MLB No Brainer...OVER Tigers-Rangers
Detroit has stayed under just twice in its last 18 games while the Rangers have remained below the posted price only once in their last six contests. Neither of these starters is throwing particularly well of late and this one's going over, too. Mike Maroth has an 8.53 ERA in five career starts versus Texas and a 6.43 ERA in his last three starts overall. Five of his six road starts have gone over this season. And don't forget about that injured Tiger bullpen (5.21 road ERA). Texas starter Kameron Loe (1-5, 6.37 ERA) is 0-5 with a 7.29 ERA in his last eight starts. The Tigers are batting at a .321 clip in their last seven games and they've scored at least nine runs in four of their last five games. They'll do their share of scoring in sending this game over the posted price
Larry Ness NBA
Larry Ness | NBA Sides
SAN -7.5 (-110) vs 701 CLE
Analysis:
While LeBron is being compared to MJ, the understated Spurs are poised to win their 4th NBA title since '99, with this core group (Bowen, Duncan, Ginobili and Parker) looking for its third championship in the last five seasons. Cleveland came back from 0-2 to win four straight against the Pistons (covered all six games of the EC Finals) but at this point, one must really question just how good Detroit was. Prior to the Pistons, the Cavs only had to beat the injury-ravaged Wizards and a rather pathetic New Jersey team. As for the Spurs, they bounced back from a Game 1 loss to win four straight over the Nuggets (a team that had finished the season having won 10 of their last 11), then beat the very talented Suns in six games and they easily dispatched of the red-hot Jazz 4-1 (covered convincingly in all four wins!). The Spurs' "Big Three" (Duncan, Ginobili and Parker) have been excellent, plus veteran Finley has bounced back from a career-worst regular season, to average 13.1 PPG in the playoffs, while connecting on 46.2%of his threes. San Antonio's role players have been terrific, helping the Spurs slow down the high-scoring Nuggets, match the Suns point-for-point and then overwhelm the Jazz. James is of course James plus Cleveland's complimentary players have taken turns having their "day in the sun." Recently, it's been rookie Daniel Gibson. After averaging just 3.7 PPG through the postseason's first 11 games, Gibson averaged 16.2 PPG over the final five games of the EC Finals, including 21.0 PPG over the final three. However, while Gibson "was becoming a star," Cleveland's two starting guards, Hughes and Pavlovic, went south! Hughes averaged just 6.7 PPG (on 35.3%) and Pavlovic only 6.3 PPG (on 25%), those final three games. While the Spurs opened as a five-to-one favorite to win this series, they may just have something to prove in this game. The Cavs beat them both times during the regular season, including in San Antonio for the first time since the 1988 season. San Antonio WILL be ready to play in Game 1! Las Vegas Insider on the SA Spurs
Cardinals -larry Ness
Cardinals -marc Lawrence
Cardinals 3 Units- Accu Picks
Cardinals -tom Freeze
Cardinals 15 Units -scott Spreitzer
Cardinals 3 Units - Prof. Plays
Jim Kruger
3* Spurs
Dr. B
Thursday Basketball Analysis
Cleveland at SAN ANTONIO (-7 ½)
Not only is Cleveland a better team since Aleksandar Pavlovic joined the starting lineup on March 1st, but the Cavaliers also have had the luxury of not having to play back-to-back nights in the playoffs. Cleveland was just 10-12 straight up and 6-15-1 ATS on the second of back-to-back nights this season, but the Cavaliers are now 52-24 straight up and 49-27 ATS when rested, including 15-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or more. The problem with backing Cleveland is that San Antonio applies to a 25-0 ATS game 1 angle that is stronger than the team trends favoring the Cavs. After factoring in the team trends, the general situations and my ratings I come up with a fair line of San Antonio by 8 points in this game. There is not enough line value to back the Spurs at the current line of -7 ½ points (chance of covering is less than the 52.4% it takes to break even at -1.10 odds), but I will lean with San Antonio at -7 points or less. As far as the total goes, my math predicts 182 1/2 total points, but game 1 of a series between two good teams tends to go Under the total, so I have no opinion on the total either.
iamondbacks 
