Tony Chau John Morrison
MLB Series System
PLAYS
UNOFFICIAL
8/29 Miami Marlins (.473, HOME) vs Reds (.501, AWAY) Bet D +1.5 (-110 BetOnline 10:50AM ET on 8/29)
8/29 Detroit Tigers (.441, HOME) vs Indians (.505, AWAY) Bet C +1.5 (+130 BetOnline 10:50AM ET on 8/29)
UPCOMING PLAYS
8/30 Miami Marlins vs Nationals
8/30 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
8/30 New York Yankees vs Athletics
*SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
9/2 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Padres
9/5 Seattle Mariners vs Astros
9/6 Boston Red Sox vs Yankees
9/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cardinals
9/9 Los Angeles Angels vs Indians
9/10 Chicago White Sox vs Royals
9/10 Colorado Rockies vs Cardinals
9/16 Milwaukee Brewers vs Padres
9/19 Kansas City Royals vs Twins
9/20 Boston Red Sox vs Rays
9/20 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Brewers
9/20 Los Angeles Angels vs Astros
9/23 Miami Marlins vs Mets
9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Red Sox
9/27 New York Mets vs Braves
9/27 Cincinnati Reds vs Pirates
MLB Series System
PLAYS
UNOFFICIAL
8/29 Miami Marlins (.473, HOME) vs Reds (.501, AWAY) Bet D +1.5 (-110 BetOnline 10:50AM ET on 8/29)
8/29 Detroit Tigers (.441, HOME) vs Indians (.505, AWAY) Bet C +1.5 (+130 BetOnline 10:50AM ET on 8/29)
UPCOMING PLAYS
8/30 Miami Marlins vs Nationals
8/30 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
8/30 New York Yankees vs Athletics
*SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
9/2 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Padres
9/5 Seattle Mariners vs Astros
9/6 Boston Red Sox vs Yankees
9/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cardinals
9/9 Los Angeles Angels vs Indians
9/10 Chicago White Sox vs Royals
9/10 Colorado Rockies vs Cardinals
9/16 Milwaukee Brewers vs Padres
9/19 Kansas City Royals vs Twins
9/20 Boston Red Sox vs Rays
9/20 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Brewers
9/20 Los Angeles Angels vs Astros
9/23 Miami Marlins vs Mets
9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Red Sox
9/27 New York Mets vs Braves
9/27 Cincinnati Reds vs Pirates
BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (AUGUST 29)
The model has 3 sides and 3 total. There is 1 game with a side and total in the same game.
904 .5* CHC/NYM u7.5 -114
907 .67* LAD -190
908 .5* LAD/AZ u9 -114
909 .5* SDP -115
914 .33* KCR +164
915 .5* TB/HOU 8.5 +100
Inforamtion:
Basewinner has yesterday also the mets under,houston under and phillis under. all 3 under bets lose last night!!!
DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (913) Oakland Athletics at (914) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Bassitt v. Sparkman
1) wind blowing straight out at Kauffman today for a sweltering hot, humid, ball flying out day with 14mph winds.
2) Bill Welke is the home plate umpire today...and is as terrible for home teams as they come season...-10 Units and a full run more for the road team on average.
(Sidenote: the Over here and the A's were in a dead heat for the bigger play...but the Royals offense coming alive a tiny bit yesterday plus we should see all 18 at bats today and neither bullpen is very good...with the Royals being quite bad since 8/1)
3) No starter since the end of May (when he became a regular starter) has induced LESS swings and misses than ole Glenn on the mound for Ned Yost. He is bottom 10 inducing soft contact over the same period at just 11%...meaning 89% of the contact he allows (most of anyone) is medium to hard (both north of 40%!) and with these gusty winds today this isn't gonna be good against this nasty lineup! He also has a GB/FB ratio lower than all but a dozen starters in the league and a HR/FB ratio right near 20% or double the league average...with a BABIP well above .350!
4) Since 8/15 no team has takes better against RHP on the road than the A's with a .435 wOBA...even more dangerous against a pitcher with the wind in his face pitching to contact...fly ball contact at that...HRs might abound early...maybe often! They also have a .400 BABIP during that time and plays to another Sparkman disadvantage.
5) Chris Bassitt is certainly the better starter going today and has looked decent of late...and while most of the advantages lean toward the A's offense...he is right at the bottom of the league with just an 8% swing and miss rate...and while we hit with an easy BIG win early this week in this same matchup due to the Royals offensige futility...Bassitt might allow them to build on a smidge of the momentum they gained with a win last night to enable the possibility of a split today!
Runs should abound in the early innings on both starters and the A's should look more like they did on Monday with our rocking chair winner and hopefully do their part at making today's AS EASY!
Also recommend a play on the A's -1 if you can get it...at a play of 5% or damn close...1.5 could burn us like Tuesday.but worth a 3% play or so if all can find. ML is worth a big look as well but the price is (justifiably) gross...
Game: (913) Oakland Athletics at (914) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Oakland Athletics -1.0 (-121)
View Analysis
Bassitt v. Sparkman
Extensive analysis in 5% play...or with All Access - use discount code MLB99 at checkout
wind + Sparkman + Welke + A's on the road off a loss is the basis
Game: (917) Minnesota Twins at (918) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Total Under 6.0 (-101)
View Analysis
Berrios v. Cease
Joe West is the crux of this bet today...as he is an Under champ umpire behind the plate. He is 7-17 O/U overall and 3-11 when 2 right handers face off as well as 3-9 O/U in the AL...meaning the addition of a DH on both ends does not inhibit his ability.
I have faith in Berrios and the issue will most likely be Dylan Cease...who is a young rookie struggling to keep some consistency in his starts...in fact having his worst start facing these Twins....turns it around today with a swirling right to left strong wind making things tough more on the hitters early than the pitchers
Game: (911) Cleveland Indians at (912) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Cleveland Indians -0.5 (-145)
View Analysis
Clevinger v. action
Game: (913) Oakland Athletics at (914) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Bassitt v. Sparkman
1) wind blowing straight out at Kauffman today for a sweltering hot, humid, ball flying out day with 14mph winds.
2) Bill Welke is the home plate umpire today...and is as terrible for home teams as they come season...-10 Units and a full run more for the road team on average.
(Sidenote: the Over here and the A's were in a dead heat for the bigger play...but the Royals offense coming alive a tiny bit yesterday plus we should see all 18 at bats today and neither bullpen is very good...with the Royals being quite bad since 8/1)
3) No starter since the end of May (when he became a regular starter) has induced LESS swings and misses than ole Glenn on the mound for Ned Yost. He is bottom 10 inducing soft contact over the same period at just 11%...meaning 89% of the contact he allows (most of anyone) is medium to hard (both north of 40%!) and with these gusty winds today this isn't gonna be good against this nasty lineup! He also has a GB/FB ratio lower than all but a dozen starters in the league and a HR/FB ratio right near 20% or double the league average...with a BABIP well above .350!
4) Since 8/15 no team has takes better against RHP on the road than the A's with a .435 wOBA...even more dangerous against a pitcher with the wind in his face pitching to contact...fly ball contact at that...HRs might abound early...maybe often! They also have a .400 BABIP during that time and plays to another Sparkman disadvantage.
5) Chris Bassitt is certainly the better starter going today and has looked decent of late...and while most of the advantages lean toward the A's offense...he is right at the bottom of the league with just an 8% swing and miss rate...and while we hit with an easy BIG win early this week in this same matchup due to the Royals offensige futility...Bassitt might allow them to build on a smidge of the momentum they gained with a win last night to enable the possibility of a split today!
Runs should abound in the early innings on both starters and the A's should look more like they did on Monday with our rocking chair winner and hopefully do their part at making today's AS EASY!
Also recommend a play on the A's -1 if you can get it...at a play of 5% or damn close...1.5 could burn us like Tuesday.but worth a 3% play or so if all can find. ML is worth a big look as well but the price is (justifiably) gross...
Game: (913) Oakland Athletics at (914) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Oakland Athletics -1.0 (-121)
View Analysis
Bassitt v. Sparkman
Extensive analysis in 5% play...or with All Access - use discount code MLB99 at checkout
wind + Sparkman + Welke + A's on the road off a loss is the basis
Game: (917) Minnesota Twins at (918) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Total Under 6.0 (-101)
View Analysis
Berrios v. Cease
Joe West is the crux of this bet today...as he is an Under champ umpire behind the plate. He is 7-17 O/U overall and 3-11 when 2 right handers face off as well as 3-9 O/U in the AL...meaning the addition of a DH on both ends does not inhibit his ability.
I have faith in Berrios and the issue will most likely be Dylan Cease...who is a young rookie struggling to keep some consistency in his starts...in fact having his worst start facing these Twins....turns it around today with a swirling right to left strong wind making things tough more on the hitters early than the pitchers
Game: (911) Cleveland Indians at (912) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Cleveland Indians -0.5 (-145)
View Analysis
Clevinger v. action
ROB VENO
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (903) Chicago Cubs at (904) New York Mets
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -1.5 (+115)
View Analysis
Game: (907) Los Angeles Dodgers at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-123)
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (903) Chicago Cubs at (904) New York Mets
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -1.5 (+115)
View Analysis
Game: (907) Los Angeles Dodgers at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-123)
Miller locks
7:00 pm est ncaaf
ucla vs. Cincinnati
pick: Cincinnati -2.5 (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
cincinnati reds vs. Miami marlins
pick: Cincinnati reds -1.5 (+103)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaaf
georgia tech vs. Clemson
pick: Georgia tech +37 (-111)
risk: 11 units
10:15 pm est ncaaf
utah vs. Byu
pick: Byu +6.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaaf
ucla vs. Cincinnati
pick: Cincinnati -2.5 (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
cincinnati reds vs. Miami marlins
pick: Cincinnati reds -1.5 (+103)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaaf
georgia tech vs. Clemson
pick: Georgia tech +37 (-111)
risk: 11 units
10:15 pm est ncaaf
utah vs. Byu
pick: Byu +6.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
