Thursday Service Play Thread 01/30/2020

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Originally Posted by sailfish
DR. CHUCK NBA

BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (561) Memphis Grizzlies at (562) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Jan 29 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Memphis Grizzlies -1.0 (-110)

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Past 3 games of all the teams in the NBA...in the first half...the Grizz have the top offensive rating and best defensive rating, coming in with a 20 net rating in the 3 wins since the debacle in Boston. Both these teams are on no rest AND travel...with the Grizz off a nice win with the Knicks off a bad loss. Grizzlies proved they can beat a team that ISN'T. bottom dweller last night as they took down the Nuggets...albeit very banged up, while the Knicks went to Charlotte and put up 92 points in a loss to the Hornets...winless most of January and in those losses the worst offensive rating and worst net rating as a team in January.
Also backing a 12-5 trend last 17 games in this specific spot with both teams on no rest.
Grizzlies are hungrier than ever, need every game they can get if they really want to possibly sneak into the playoffs...and no travel and lack of rest should stop them from imposing their will on a much lesser team!
Game: (565) Oklahoma City Thunder at (566) Sacramento Kings
Date/Time: Jan 29 2020 10:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 (-110)

View Analysis

15-7 1H ATS this season on the road...Kings no Bagley, no Holmes, Bjelica the 5? Take Steven Adams to go NUTS!



Sailfish. Do you get these every day? Very solid from what I've seen.
 

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[h=1]Sharp Premium

NEXT UPDATE 11am ET FRIDAY! Content record is 5-6.[/h][h=1]There is no top sharp consensus on any game as of yet.[/h][h=1]The highest LJP score of the day is currently Oregon St +7 over Stanford. Oregon St achieves an LJP score of 4U.[/h][h=1]There is an LJP major move is Marshall +2 over Florida International. Game opened FIU as a 1, then to Marshall as a 1, 3 and now 4. Marshall achieves an LJP score of 4U.[/h]
 

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ANDREW MCINNIS NCAAB 1/30/20

CBB Side Play
Game: (627) Minnesota at (628) Illinois
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 7:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Illinois -5.0 (-110)

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CBB Side Play
Game: (635) Old Dominion at (636) So Mississippi
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Old Dominion -120

View Analysis

CBB Side Play
Game: (695) Oregon State at (696) Stanford
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 11:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Stanford -6.5 (-110)

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Stanford and Oregon State will be coming into tonight's matchup on losing streaks. Oregon State has lost 4 of their last 5, while Stanford has dropped 2 extremely close games in a row. I must say, i like that Stanford lost their previous two games, they need this win more than OSU if they want to compete with Oregon at the top of the Pac12. Stanford is still in excellent shape as they are 15-4, 11-1 at home, and 13-6 ATS. Not only has Stanford won the last 4 matchups vs OSU, but they have covered the number in 3 of those 4 wins. You know my favorite two ingredients.. defense and rebounding. Both teams are about even in rebounding, however, Stanford blows OSU out the water when it comes to playing defense. Stanford ranks 7th in the country in defensive efficiency. Stanford actually has a fantastic offense, they just play at a slow pace. They are 10th in FG% and 15th in 3pt%. They may not average 80PPG, but they can put up 80+ on any given night, especially vs this swiss cheese Oregon State defense. It will be bombs away from 3 point land all night. I absolutely love Stanford at home, they play the type of basketball where the home crowd really helps. It is much harder to control the pace of the game as Stanford likes to do, when on the road. Stanford, 4-2 in conference play needs this one bad. They are too good on offense and defense for this game to even be close at home. Stanford in a blowout.
CBB Side Play
Game: (693) Colorado at (694) UCLA
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 11:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Colorado -4.5 (-105)

View Analysis

Colorado is playing MUCH better basketball than the UCLA right now and will look to bury the already dead bruins even one foot deeper tonight. Colorado enters tonight 16-4 overall, covering 7 of their last 9 games. UCLA is 10-10 on the year, 2-4 ATS in their last 6, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. I'd just like to say, I do not blame this failure on first year coach Mick Cronin. Cronin was not able to recruit his guys and now has to deal with the players that last years coach left him. Not a great group of kids, sorry. Colorado is averaging 72PPG while UCLA is averaging a measily 62 points in their last 5 games. That is a 10 point difference on offense... and offense isnt even Colorado's specialty, yikes! They have all of my favorite ingredients, what is not to like. The Buffs ranks 23rd on defense, 29th in defensive rebounding, and 73 in offensive rebounding. Defense is what is going to win this game. This is an ELITE defense, when UCLA has to go up against defenses like this, things do not go well. Colorado sort of reminds me of Stanford, who beat up on UCLA by 15 points a few games ago. They are literally better than UCLA in every important category so I will not continue to bore you with the stats. The Buffs are excellent in conference play, as they enter tonight 6-2. KENPOM ranks UCLA 130th in the country, to Colorado's 19th ranking. Two teams going in opposite directions. You have to go with Colorado here, this UCLA team STINKS and will struggle mightily with the stingy Buffs defense. Colorado all day, and night!
 

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ANDREW MCINNIS BASKETBALL PLAYS

NBA Total Play
Game: (571) Charlotte Hornets at (572) Washington Wizards
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 227.5 (-110)

View Analysis

NBA Total Play
Game: (569) Toronto Raptors at (570) Cleveland Cavaliers
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 221.0 (-110)

View Analysis

NBA Side Play
Game: (579) Utah Jazz at (580) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 10:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Utah Jazz 1.5 (-110)
 

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Miller locks

7:00 pm est ncaab
hofstra vs. Elon

pick: Hofstra -6 (-108)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est nba
charlotte hornets vs. Washington wizards

pick: Washington wizards -4 (-107)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est nba
charlotte hornets vs. Washington wizards

pick: Under 227.5 (-105)

risk: 11 units

7:30 pm est ncaab
minnesota vs. Illinois

pick: Illinois -6 (-106)

risk: 11 units
 

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ANDREW MCINNIS NHL

HOCKEY PLAYS

NHL \\
Game: (15) Nashville Predators at (16) New Jersey Devils
Date/Time: Jan 30 2020 7:38 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 6.0 (-120)

View Analysis

I love this number, plain and simple, this should be a 6.5 goal total NOT 6. So many stats show that this Preds team is edging every team they play into a high scoring game, they've gone over the total in 10 of their last 13 games on the road and 11 of their last 12 vs East conference opponents. The Devils are coming off a 4-3 game vs the Sens and will continue to see the puck go in for them in the 2nd half of the season. The Devils have plenty of talent up front with Hughes, Gusev and company...
Follow the Over train with the Nashville Predators, they'll keep going just like they did last night against the Washington Capitals.
 
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Mississippi Kid
NCAAB
#648 Maryland -5.5 2U POD
#664 Washingto U +3 1.5U
#1393 Liberty/Kennesaw St Under 119 1.5U
 

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Greg Shaker | CBB Total - Thursday, Jan 30 2020 8:30PM
647 Iowa / 648 Maryland UNDER 145.5 Pinnacle triple-dime bet
 

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ncaab assassin 4-0 today w/ Colorado pending guys been doing legit for me all month so far
 

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he states a 55% win rate all time .... I've. been with him 3 weeks and hes 49-33 in that time. (59.8%)
 

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