I took the over on the total at 68 earlier this week and I'm seeing a lot of value in it right now. I believe the total currently stands at 70 or so and will likely rise.
Here are some things to consider, first off this game is in Cincy and Miami is a pretty high profile team that basically owns the series against Cincy. The offense last week looked pretty explosive with the freshman QB in and considering the game film on him is very limited I don't expect Miami to have a whole lot to gameplan from. The talent disparity should be noticeable in terms of the defense, where Cincy is liable to give up 40+ every game Miami "shouldn't"......
up up to this point Miami hasn't faced any truly great teams. Now I'm not considering Cincy great, or even that good but their offense is full of playmakers and can be lightning in a bottle. I think this is a much more even matchup than most people realize. If Cincy can win it will be by a 3-7 point margin where Miami could legitimately win by 14-17 because of the better defense they possess. Wth that being said Miami hasn't been tested to much other than at home when they let Nebraska climb back in and eventually won 36-33.
Cincys offense put up 26 on a VERY good temple defense so I don't see how they don't score at least that amount if not 30+..... Miami should easily score 35+, giving this the making of a 72+ point game. You have to expect Cincy to have at least one or two turnovers that will likely result in 10-14 points by Miami, that will make Cincy play catchup most of the game and stretch the field like they love to do with all those WRs... Hard to not take a prime time over with an electric offense/bad defense team like Cincy at home going up against an untested defense/good offense team like Miami.
miami 48 Cincy 38
Here are some things to consider, first off this game is in Cincy and Miami is a pretty high profile team that basically owns the series against Cincy. The offense last week looked pretty explosive with the freshman QB in and considering the game film on him is very limited I don't expect Miami to have a whole lot to gameplan from. The talent disparity should be noticeable in terms of the defense, where Cincy is liable to give up 40+ every game Miami "shouldn't"......
up up to this point Miami hasn't faced any truly great teams. Now I'm not considering Cincy great, or even that good but their offense is full of playmakers and can be lightning in a bottle. I think this is a much more even matchup than most people realize. If Cincy can win it will be by a 3-7 point margin where Miami could legitimately win by 14-17 because of the better defense they possess. Wth that being said Miami hasn't been tested to much other than at home when they let Nebraska climb back in and eventually won 36-33.
Cincys offense put up 26 on a VERY good temple defense so I don't see how they don't score at least that amount if not 30+..... Miami should easily score 35+, giving this the making of a 72+ point game. You have to expect Cincy to have at least one or two turnovers that will likely result in 10-14 points by Miami, that will make Cincy play catchup most of the game and stretch the field like they love to do with all those WRs... Hard to not take a prime time over with an electric offense/bad defense team like Cincy at home going up against an untested defense/good offense team like Miami.
miami 48 Cincy 38
