Thursday Night Cincinnati (+3) over S Florida.

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Expert Handicapper
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Jan 21, 2008
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The play of the day is the Cincinnati Bearcats +3 (-125 buying 1/2 point) over the S Florida Bulls.

I have a variance on Cincinnati to win ATS, they will most likely win this game straight up.

Cincinnati is 4-1 against the spread vs S Florida since 1992.
Cinci is 2-0 ATS in the last 3 seasons.

The Bearcats are 6-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team with a winning percentage greater than 75% over the last 3 seasons.

South Florida is loaded up with injuries, Cincinnati on the other hand has no signifcant injuries.

South Florida will also have trouble dealing with the 40° weather expected tonight in Cinci.
 

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"Cincinnati on the other hand has no signifcant injuries"

Other than the fact that their 3rd string QB MIGHT play the whole game.
 

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Is it confirmed that Pike is out tonight? I read that it is a game time decision. Since the line hasn't moved off 2.5 with heavy USF betting, I have a feeling that Pike will be playing. But it'll be good to get a confirmation though...
 

No Respect make the Situation worsen
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"Cincinnati on the other hand has no signifcant injuries"

Other than the fact that their 3rd string QB MIGHT play the whole game.
Uh-oh.. is this 100% true ?
 

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The 3rd string thing is a bit less concerning to me, as the term "system quarterback" can really apply to UC. It seems anyone can step in and succeed and I expect whoever plays to do that.
 

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